[EL] McDonald study, birthdate distribution in real voter list

[Justin Levitt]

Correct.  As we point out in the paper, our stats are conservative.  
Because both birthdates and names (think of kids named Michael Jackson 
in 2009) are clustered, you'll actually have real-world matches _more_ 
often than we estimate.

Justin

On 9/11/2011 11:33 AM, USSRecount at aol.com wrote:
> That is predicated on all parents equally distributing conceiving 
> children throughout the year--which does not account for holidays, 
> blackouts, et al
> *JOHN M. CARBONE, ESQ.
> CARBONE AND FAASSE
> 401 GOFFLE ROAD
> RIDGEWOOD, NJ 07450*
> OFFICE (201) 445-7100
> FAX (201) 445-7520
> CELL (201) 394-7888
> In a message dated 9/11/2011 2:30:06 P.M. Eastern Daylight Time, 
> bev at blackboxvoting.org writes:
>
>     > if you've got 180 voting-age people in a "room", there's a 50%
>     chance that two
>     of them will share the same date of birth.
>
>     Omitting the year, right? That's a huge omission and it changes
>     everything.
>
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-- 
Justin Levitt
Associate Professor of Law
Loyola Law School | Los Angeles
919 Albany St.
Los Angeles, CA  90015
213-736-7417
justin.levitt at lls.edu
ssrn.com/author=698321

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