[EL] Check out Could Pennsylvania Republicans end the electoral college a...

[JBoppjr at aol.com]

Very interesting.  If course, if this change  was made, it would also 
change how campaigns are run.  In 2008, Obama made  a successful play for one of 
Nebraska's electoral votes. I assume that changes  in campaign strategy 
would mitigate this result in the future.  Jim  Bopp
 
 
In a message dated 9/15/2011 8:34:55 A.M. Eastern Daylight Time,  
ABonin at cozen.com writes:

 
Yes.  
_http://www.dailykos.com/story/2011/09/14/1016892/-Pennsylvania-Republicans-propose-awarding-states-electoral-votes-by-congressional-district_ 
(http://www.dailykos.com/story/2011/09/14/1016892/-Pennsylvania-Republicans-pro
pose-awarding-states-electoral-votes-by-congressional-district)  
Put  simply, awarding electoral votes by congressional district would be a 
disaster  for Democrats. Democratic voters tend to be much more concentrated 
in urban  areas while Republican voters are typically more spread out. That 
means that  the average blue seat is much bluer than the average red seat 
is red, which in  turn means that there are more Republican-leaning districts 
than  Democratic-inclined CDs. 
Here's  one stark illustration. John McCain's best district in the nation 
was TX-13,  which occupies the Texas panhandle. He won there by 77-23, a 54 
percent  margin. By contrast, there were 39 districts  that Barack Obama won 
by an equal or bigger spread, all the way up to  his90-point victory in New 
York's 16th Congressional District in the  South Bronx. 
More  concretely, if Pennsylvania's proposed system were in place 
nationwide,  Obama's 365-173 electoral college romp would have been a much tighter 
301-237  win. Meanwhile, George W. Bush's narrow 286-251 victory over John 
Kerry would  have turned into a 317-221 blowout. And just as bad, Bush's 
razor-thin 271-266  margin over Al Gore would have been a more comfortable 288-250 
spread for  Dubya, making Gore's "loss" despite winning the national 
popular vote even  more galling. 
 
 
From:  law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu  
[mailto:law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu] On Behalf Of  JBoppjr at aol.com
Sent: Thursday, September 15, 2011 8:32  AM
To: rhasen at law.uci.edu; law-election at uci.edu
Subject:  [EL] Check out Could Pennsylvania Republicans end the electoral 
college as we  know

 
_Click  here: Could Pennsylvania Republicans end the electoral college as 
we know it?  - The Washington Post_ 
(http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/could-pennsylvania-republicans-end-the-electoral-college-as-we-know-
it/2011/09/14/gIQAQUzUSK_blog.html)  
 

 
Has  anyone done any work on the effect of awarding electoral college votes 
by  congressional district would have effected prior Presidential election  
results?  Jim Bopp

 
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