[EL] Texas reply brief, W. Va. maps struck, and more

JBoppjr at aol.com JBoppjr at aol.com
Wed Jan 4 12:22:20 PST 2012


Interesting questions so let me try.
 
Can you explain how raising contribution limits solves this  issue?
 
People want to support the candidate of their choice and are willing to  
spend a certain amount of money to do that.  So if they cannot give "all  they 
are willing to spend" to the candidate, then they will look to other  
vehicles to give their money to that will help get their candidates  elected.  
Contribution limits to candidate, therefore, spawn other vehicles  for the 
spending.
 
Thus, raising contribution limits substantially will dry up much  of the 
funds now available to Super PACs.
 
This is true both logically and emphatically.  Logically, money given  to a 
candidates to spend will be spent most effectively and efficiently.   
Certainly money spent independently can be spent effectively but it is hit and  
miss. Romney's Super PAC spending in Iowa may be an example of effective  
spending and there are some groups that just want to get their own message out  
independent of the candidate  But coordinated spending is almost  always 
more efficient and effective and the ultimate example of that is the  
candidate simply doing it herself.
 
Just look at Indiana.  We have no individual contribution limits and  only 
a few independent spenders. We have no Super PACs, even though the  
restrictions on corporate and union contributions might result in some. There  will 
always be some groups who want to get their own messages out, or  contact 
their own supporters with partisan messages, but the demand for  independent 
spending driven by contribution limits does not exist in Indiana so  we have 
much less of it.
 
To curb this "problem," raising contribution limits must be accompanied  by 
a ban or further regulation of Super PACs, which is something I don't think 
 you'd approve of.

I don't really have to worry about this since such a ban or limits on  
contributions to Super PACs is unconstitutional.
 
I am quite shocked that you would even say that this is a "problem"  (with 
scare quotes noted) that can be fixed. 
 
You should not be shocked that I view this as a "problem."  The  problem is 
not independent spending per se, but the artificial increase in  
independent spending caused by contribution limits.  This is a distortion  that I see 
as a problem. But further, I positively support spending through  candidates 
and political parties because I view them as the most  accountable.  
Forcing spending through less accountable spenders is a  "problem."  Jim
 
 
In a message dated 1/3/2012 5:19:24 P.M. Eastern Standard Time,  
mmcdon at gmu.edu writes:

Jim,

Can you explain how raising contribution limits solves  this issue? The 
Romney campaign has sufficient resources to run their own  television ads, 
which have been overwhelmingly positive. As a strategic  decision, the Romney 
campaign is allowing Restore Our Future, Inc. to run the  negative ads. And 
with anonymous donors and the prohibition on coordinating as  a shield, 
Restore Our Future, Inc. cannot be tied directly to Romney’s  campaign. Any smart 
campaign in the future, knowing that their former veteran  campaign staff 
are at the helm of an affiliated Super PAC, will use this  campaign model 
regardless if campaign contribution limits are raised. When we  get to the 
general election, it would be foolish to believe that the Obama  campaign will 
not follow this model. To curb this "problem," raising  contribution limits 
must be accompanied by a ban or further regulation of  Super PACs, which is 
something I don't think you'd approve of.

I am  quite shocked that you would even say that this is a "problem" (with 
scare  quotes noted) that can be fixed. We've been hearing for months on the 
list  serve from those that defend the new campaign finance regime that 
only the  message is important and that the public does not need to know the 
source of  the message. If that is the case, there is no "problem" whatsoever 
that needs  to be fixed. The only sad part for Gingrich is that he did not 
have the  resources and wealthy friends to set up a Super PAC to attack 
Romney with the  same vigor. 

-Mike

============
Dr. Michael P.  McDonald
Associate Professor, George Mason University
Non-Resident  Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution

Mailing  address:
(o) 703-993-4191              George Mason University
(f) 703-993-1399           Dept. of Public and International Affairs
mmcdon at gmu.edu   4400 University Drive -  3F4
http://elections.gmu.edu     Fairfax, VA  22030-4444

From: law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu  
[mailto:law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu] On Behalf Of  JBoppjr at aol.com
Sent: Tuesday, January 03, 2012 4:32 PM
To:  rhasen at law.uci.edu; law-election at UCI.EDU
Subject: Re: [EL] Texas reply  brief, W. Va. maps struck, and more

My suggestion is to simply fix the  cause of this "problem," raise 
contribution limits. Jim Bopp

“Welcome  to the Super PAC Nation” 

Posted on January 3, 2012 12:06 pm by Rick  Hasen 
Greg Sargent:
So in sum: We are going to see hundreds and  hundreds of millions of 
dollars worth of ads bombarding millions of voters for  months on end, with no 
knowledge of who is paying for them, no accountability  at all for the 
candidates who are directly benefiting from them, and no  meaningful effort to rebut 
the countless lies, distortions and sleazy attacks  they’ll be leveling on 
a daily basis — ones that will directly impact who  controls Congress and 
the White House next year.
Welcome to Super PAC  Nation

In a message dated 1/3/2012 4:14:17 P.M. Eastern Standard Time,  
rhasen at law.uci.edu writes:
“Much Commentary on Virginia Ballot Access Shows  Utter Ignorance of 
History of Ballot Access Litigation” 
Posted on January  3, 2012 1:12 pm by Rick Hasen 
Richard Winger comments.

Posted in  ballot access | Comments Off 
“Three-judge federal panel says W.Va.  Congressional redistricting is not 
constitutional.” 
Posted on January 3,  2012 1:11 pm by Rick Hasen 
See this opinion (via the Charleston Daily  Mail).

Posted in redistricting | Comments Off 
Texas on Defensive in  SCOTUS Redistricting Reply Brief 
Posted on January 3, 2012 1:08 pm by Rick  Hasen 
You can read the brief here (Texas Redistricting is posting all the  reply 
briefs as they come in). I was struck in reading the Texas brief how  much 
less persuasive it seemed than the earlier filings (the stay requests and  
opening brief), which I thought were quite strong.  Texas made a  strategic 
decision to try to blow off the significance of the D.C. court  opinion 
explaining the denial of summary judgment, and that seemed to me to be  a mistake. 
 The problem is that the opening brief put a lot of weight on  the the 
question whether Texas was likely to succeed on the merits in the  underlyling 
preclearance dispute before the D.C. court, and the DC opinion  which came 
later really seemed to undermine that argument.
Also noteworthy  in this brief is that Texas alludes the the potential 
unconstitutionality of  section 5, an issue not squarely presented in the case: “
If any argument in  this case is ‘extreme,’ NAACP Br. 24, or ‘absurd,’ 
Rodriguez Br. 28, it is  Appellees’ argument (fully endorsed by the Texas 
court) that a district court  has carte blanche to rewrite a duly enacted state 
law—and order elections to  be conducted under that judicially drawn map—
solely because the preclearance  process is taking too long, without any 
finding that those alterations are  necessary to remedy a likely violation of law 
and narrowly tailored to do so.  If that is really what Section 5 requires, 
then the doubts about its  constitutionality are even graver than this 
Court feared in Northwest  Austin.”
Finally, in talking about who was responsible for the delay in the  
preclearance process, Texas describes the state of the current administrative  
preclearance request of its voter identification law: “Texas’ decision to seek  
administrative preclearance of its recently enacted voter identification 
law  further illustrates this point. Texas sought administrative preclearance 
from  DOJ on July 25, 2011, less than a week after filing its judicial 
preclearance  action for its redistricting maps. On September 23, 2011, at the 
very end of  the 60-day review period, DOJ requested additional information. 
Nearly two  months after that, on November 16, 2011, DOJ asserted that the 
State’s  submission was insufficient. Over 160 days have now elapsed since 
Texas  submitted its Voter ID law for preclearance, and DOJ still has not made 
a  final decision about whether it will interpose objections.”

Posted in  Department of Justice, redistricting, Supreme Court, Voting 
Rights Act |  Comments Off 
“Welcome to the Super PAC Nation” 
Posted on January 3,  2012 12:06 pm by Rick Hasen 
Greg Sargent:
So in sum: We are going to  see hundreds and hundreds of millions of 
dollars worth of ads bombarding  millions of voters for months on end, with no 
knowledge of who is paying for  them, no accountability at all for the 
candidates who are directly benefiting  from them, and no meaningful effort to rebut 
the countless lies, distortions  and sleazy attacks they’ll be leveling on 
a daily basis — ones that will  directly impact who controls Congress and 
the White House next  year.
Welcome to Super PAC Nation.

Posted in campaign finance |  Comments Off 
“Wisconsin: No Roger, No Rerun, No Recall? Barrett and the  unusual nature 
of the recall Rematch/Rerun” 
Posted on January 3, 2012  12:02 pm by Rick Hasen 
This item appears on the Recall Elections  Blog.

Posted in recall elections | Comments Off 
“Like 6 Double  Barrel Blast From Big Sky Country: Montana Rejects Citizens 
United “  
Posted on January 3, 2012 11:24 am by Rick Hasen 
Ciara  Torres-Spelliscy blogs.

Posted in campaign finance | Comments Off  
“Iowa’s Other Peculiar Institution” 
Posted on January 3, 2012 9:38 am  by Rick Hasen 
David Schoenbaum on Iowa redistricting at the NYT “Campaign  Stops” blog.

Posted in redistricting | Comments Off 
“Is Privacy Act  Violated as Voting War’s GOP Hit Man is Fed Leaks By 
Justice Department Mole?”  
Posted on January 3, 2012 9:03 am by Rick Hasen 
AlterNet: “A crusading  GOP critic of the Obama Justice Department’s 
Voting Section, Hans von  Spakovsky, has admitted to having Department sources 
that are leaking  apparently confidential and highly personal information that 
he is using to  viciously attack Voting Section staff and to smear the 
Department at  large.”

Posted in chicanery, Department of Justice | Comments Off  
Mitt Romney Almost Certainly is Not a Liar About His Super PACs 
Posted  on January 3, 2012 8:56 am by Rick Hasen 
Newt Gingrich accused Mitt Romney  of lying about whether he is 
coordinating with pro-Romney Super PACs.   These PACs have been pummeling Gingrich with 
negative ads in Iowa, which many  believe has let to Gingrich’s big fall in 
the Iowa polls.
Here is the  relevant exchange between Gingrich and CBS’s Norah O’Donnell:
Norah  O’Donnell: “You scolded Mitt Romney, his friends who are running 
this Super  PAC that has funded that, and you said of Mitt Romney, ‘Someone 
who will lie  to you to get to be president will lie to you when they are 
president. I have  to ask you, are you calling Mitt Romney a liar?”
Gingrich:  “Yes.”
O’Donnell: “You’re calling Mitt Romney a liar?”
Gingrich: “Well,  you seem shocked by it! This is a man whose staff created 
the PAC, his  millionaire friends fund the PAC, he pretends he has nothing 
to do with the  PAC — it’s baloney. He’s not telling the American people 
the truth.”
I have  no inside information on any communications between Mr. Romney and 
supportive  super PACs.  But Mr. Romney seems like a very intelligent and 
cautious  person.  If he had any communications with the Super PACs, he could 
be in  very serious legal trouble—not to mention that the political fallout 
from a  potential criminal violation of campaign finance laws would be  
enormous.
And there is absolutely no upside to illegal coordinating.   As Mr. 
Gingrich himself explains, the people running the pro-Romney Super PAC  know Mitt 
Romney well, understand his campaign strategy, and have deep  pockets.  They 
can simply follow Romney’s lead—and be much more negative  than Romney, 
leaving the candidate unsullied and his opponents beaten  up—without risking 
any legal liability.
It is irresponsible for Mr.  Gingrich to accuse Mr. Romney of lying without 
a shred of evidence. The crime  here is not that Romney is coordinating.  
It is the system of superPACs  which threatens the integrity of our 
legislative and electoral  process.
UPDATE:  To be clear, Mr. Gingrich seems to be accusing Mr.  Romney of 
illegal coordination.  Romney is allowed to have some contact  with donors to 
the super PAC, etc., without violating the FEC rules (such as  they are) on 
what counts as coordination.

-- 
Rick  Hasen
Chancellor's Professor of Law and Political Science
UC Irvine  School of Law
401 E. Peltason Dr., Suite 1000
Irvine, CA  92697-8000
949.824.3072 - office
949.824.0495 -  fax
rhasen at law.uci.edu
http://law.uci.edu/faculty/page1_r_hasen.html
http://electionlawblog.org


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