[EL] Dick Morris's foreign money claims
Steve Hoersting
hoersting at gmail.com
Mon Oct 15 12:01:41 PDT 2012
You're talking 2008. This is 2012, and you're basing your entire argument
on reporting thresholds from an FEC formula.
Look at all you are ignoring to wrap yourself in the certainty there's
nothing to see here.
Yours is a ripeness argument: You will welcome press accounts of this
matter after the FEC has run its models and not before. Nice political
tactic to deflect attention, "du jour," as I think you put it.
You write as if you've never heard of Hsi Lai or the Thompson hearings. In
fact, I remember reactions much like yours before those matters fully saw
the light of day.
Steve
On Mon, Oct 15, 2012 at 1:15 PM, Joseph Birkenstock <
jbirkenstock at capdale.com> wrote:
> Thanks Steve – helpfully, the FEC posts its materiality thresholds from
> 2009-10 here: http://www.fec.gov/pdf/Audit_Procedures.pdf.****
>
> ** **
>
> Not so helpfully, at page 5 those procedures confirm that a matter will be
> addressed with respect to prohibited contributions if: ****
>
> ** **
>
> • the dollar value of the apparent prohibited contributions is greater
> than [REDACTED] of the total reported amount of contributions from
> individuals (as reported on Line 11(a)(iii) of the Detailed Summary Page of
> FEC Form 3)****
>
> AND****
>
> • the dollar value of the apparent prohibited contributions exceeds
> [REDACTED].****
>
> ** **
>
> So while I presume neither one of us knows the actual figures behind those
> redactions (I sure don’t, but I’d love to), it does appear that (1) at
> least as of two years ago, the relevant materiality threshold involved both
> a proportional test and an absolute dollar test; and that (2) those foreign
> contribution issues, if any, that were identified in the audit of the 2008
> Obama campaign fell below either or both of those tests.****
>
> ** **
>
> OTOH, the same document also explains that: ****
>
> ** **
>
> Any matter, *whether or not it meets the materiality threshold for
> inclusion in the interim*
>
> *audit report or referral to the Office of General Counsel*, can still be
> referred to OGC if the****
>
> auditor suspects there is a Knowing and Willful Violation of the Act (2
> U.S.c. 437g (a)(5)****
>
> and (d)).****
>
> ** **
>
> (Emphasis added.) So if there had been a reasonable suspicion that the
> Obama campaign was knowingly participating in a scheme to raise foreign
> money through unitemized credit card contributions, Audit could have – and
> in my experience, undoubtedly would have – referred that issue for further
> enforcement attention regardless of the proportion or absolute amount of
> money involved. ****
>
> ** **
>
> So especially on that basis, I just don’t see the double standard – but I
> do recognize that “failure to condemn [manufactured outrage du jour]” is a
> time-honored and perfectly valid political tactic and I wish you well with
> it.****
>
> ** **
>
> Best,****
>
> Joe****
>
> ** **
>
> ** **
>
> *From:* Steve Hoersting [mailto:hoersting at gmail.com]
> *Sent:* Monday, October 15, 2012 12:30 PM
> *To:* Joseph Birkenstock
> *Cc:* law-election at uci.edu
> *Subject:* Re: [EL] Dick Morris's foreign money claims****
>
> ** **
>
> Joe,****
>
> ** **
>
> I really don't know much about how to beef up audits or about the findings
> in 2008. But among the few things I know are these:****
>
> ** **
>
> There is such a thing as a materiality threshold in pursuing repayment or
> denoting problems in a Presidential campaign audit. What amount
> constitutes a "material" violation on $.75B in overall activity? $2M? $3M?
> More?****
>
> ** **
>
> There is much to be pursued by journalists and reformers in the
> allegations as they stand now: the reported profile of the owner of the
> website, the site's reported target audience, that the site redirects to
> the donate page of an authorized committee.****
>
> ** **
>
> That these questions aren't being pursued by journalists or reformers
> vigorously, let alone at all -- how to put it? -- "meets the materiality
> threshold" for double standards?****
>
> ** **
>
> Steve****
>
> ** **
>
> On Mon, Oct 15, 2012 at 11:02 AM, Joseph Birkenstock <
> jbirkenstock at capdale.com> wrote:****
>
> Steve - serious question: if foreign credit card contributions to the
> Obama campaign really are a serious problem, why weren't any violations
> identifed in the FEC's audit of the 2008 campaign? (Rick links below to
> his blog post on the subject from April of this year, and - as I'm sure you
> already know - the report itself is available here:
> http://www.fec.gov/audits/2008/Obama_for_America/FinalAuditReportoftheCommission1206263.pdf
> .)
>
> We know the auditors saw much more detailed information about Obama's
> unitemized contributions than is available to the public via FEC reports -
> so are you suggesting that there's more to these allegations now than there
> was the last time we saw this movie? (And if so, what is it?)
>
> Or are you suggesting that the FEC's audit process needs to be beefed up?
> (And if so, how?)
>
> ________________________________
> Joseph M. Birkenstock, Esq.
> Caplin & Drysdale, Chtd.
> One Thomas Circle, NW
> Washington, DC 20005
> (202) 862-7836
> www.capdale.com/jbirkenstock
> *also admitted to practice in CA
>
>
> ________________________________
>
> From: law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu on behalf of Steve
> Hoersting
> Sent: Mon 10/15/2012 10:46 AM****
>
> To: law-election at uci.edu
> Subject: [EL] Dick Morris's foreign money claims
>
> ****
>
> Rick,
>
>
> 1. Are you calling for enhanced disclosure of contributions to authorized
> committees? -- because that is the allegation here. My memory is you're for
> enhanced disclosure of social welfare organizations and for removing the
> regulation at issue in Van Hollen v. FEC.
>
> 2. Things are evolving quickly. Is the GAI report evolving as quickly? Are
> you or others at, say, Politico, interested at all in the fact that the
> website Obama.com -- purportedly owned by a third-party and distributed
> throughout the world -- goes straight to the DONATE page at Obama Victory?
>
> 3. So, there is no "journalist[ic]" interest in "sensationalism," eh?
> Sticking to campaign finance and not Lindsay Lohan, I saw Palin's
> campaign-wardrobe budget lead the news for a full weekend one year. I saw
> sensationalism drive the news cycle for three days in October 2010: "The
> Chamber is using foreign money."
>
> I think someone needs to yawn, grab another mug of coffee and get about
> the business of exposing Morris and Breitbart for the hacks they really
> are. Easy enough to do, I'm sure...
>
> ...and so much more in keeping with the mission of the reform
> organizations and the bent of the nation's editorial boards.
>
> All the best,
>
> Steve
>
>
>
> On Mon, Oct 15, 2012 at 10:24 AM, Rick Hasen <rhasen at law.uci.edu> wrote:
>
>
> Steve,
> Three things.
> 1. I hope you will join me in supporting enhanced disclosure laws
> to ensure that foreign money is not secretly flowing into our elections.**
> **
>
> 2. I believe the reason you don't see a lot of discussion of this
> on the editorial pages is that there's really nothing new in the GAI
> report. Here's what I wrote about it in a recent Slate column <
> http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2012/10/will_republicans_accept_if_barack_obama_defeats_mitt_romney_.html>
> :
>
>
> This week features what conservative <
> http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2012/10/dubious-donations-peter-schweizer-speaks.php>
> blogs are touting <
> http://hotair.com/archives/2012/10/08/obama-bundler-tied-to-chinese-government/>
> as an "explosive" new report <
> http://campaignfundingrisks.com/wp-content/themes/cfr/images/AmericaTheVulnerable.pdf>
> suggesting that the Obama campaign is illegally accepting massive foreign
> contributions via credit card. The so-called proof comes from a number of
> foreign visits to the Obama campaign website, the lack of any federal
> requirement to publicly disclose contributions from individuals who give
> less than $200 overall, and the Obama campaign's supposed failure to use
> credit card verification tools to make sure the contributions are coming
> from inside the United States.
>
> Never mind that the Obama campaign has denied similar
> reports in the past and has confirmed <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=33935>
> it does use the verification tools; that an extensive Federal Election
> Commission audit of the 2008 Obama campaign found no evidence <
> http://electionlawblog.org/?p=33193> of illegal foreign contributions;
> that foreign visits to the website does not mean that foreign contributions
> are being made; and that U.S. citizens (including those in the military)
> living abroad have the right to contribute to federal campaigns. The claims
> are a way to delegitimize the Obama campaign, even as Republican leaders in
> Congress stymie efforts to fix our broken disclosure laws <
> http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/jurisprudence/2012/07/campaign_finance_after_citizens_united_is_worse_than_watergate_.html>
> and argue for less disclosure of campaign finance information.****
>
>
>
>
> 3. Dick Morris lacks fundamental credibility with journalists and
> others. So his sensationalism won't bring attention to an important issue.
> In fact, it will convince journalists to ignore the issue.
> Rick
>
>
>
>
>
>
> On 10/15/12 7:14 AM, Steve Hoersting wrote:
>
>
>
> http://www.dickmorris.com/is-obama-running-on-foreign-money-dick-morris-tv-video-alert/
>
>
> We often argue about corruption -- what makes up
> corruption, what kinds of corruption matter, and which do not.
>
> Given Judge Kavanaugh's discussion in Bluman, I get the
> feeling that this matter -- yet to be proved or discredited in any news
> outlet I follow -- would far outrank unlimited IEs by the local Right to
> Life, the US Chamber or even the dreaded Kochs.
>
>
> If we do not see meaningful discussion of this issue here
> and in the editorial pages, will it be fair to conclude, as many have
> surmised, that campaign-finance purists are campaign-finance
> instrumentalists or partisans?
>
> Or is the relative silence just more evidence that
> retribution, or the prospect of it, is real?
>
>
> --
> Stephen M. Hoersting
>
>
>
>
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>
>
>
> --
> Rick Hasen
> Chancellor's Professor of Law and Political Science
> UC Irvine School of Law
> 401 E. Peltason Dr., Suite 1000
> Irvine, CA 92697-8000
> 949.824.3072 - office
> 949.824.0495 - fax
> rhasen at law.uci.edu
> http://law.uci.edu/faculty/page1_r_hasen.html****
>
> http://electionlawblog.org <http://electionlawblog.org/>****
>
> Now available: The Voting Wars: http://amzn.to/y22ZTv
>
>
>
>
>
>
> --
> Stephen M. Hoersting
>
>
>
>
>
> --
> Stephen M. Hoersting
>
>
> ****
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> --
> Stephen M. Hoersting****
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Stephen M. Hoersting
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