[EL] do long lines occur more in black precincts?

Michael Peshkin peshkin at northwestern.edu
Mon Oct 22 08:38:11 PDT 2012


Back in '08 I published a study suggesting that long lines at polling
places may especially afflict black voters.

Rick asked on this list "I'd be interested to hear from others if the
methodology of this study is sound (especially in its reliance on news
reports of long lines)."   After which I got pilloried.

Now we're again about to see news footage of those determined black voters
in Ohio waiting in line for hours -- and nothing about the ones who went
home to feed the kids.

Is it even possible to measure the wait time - vs - race statistics?   Are
there practical yet methodologically sound sampling techniques?

Has anyone ever done it?   What do you guess they would find?

And would it matter?   Is the elasticity known, for turnout - vs - wait
time?

--

Article:
http://inthesetimes.com/article/4068/are_long_lines_the_new_poll_tax/

Graph: http://peshkin.mech.northwestern.edu/longlines/longlines-vs-black.pdf

Discussion on this list:
http://mailman.lls.edu/pipermail/election-law/2008-December/date.html
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