[EL] Voter fraud and the Next Pope

[Doug Hess]

Any word yet on True the Vote asking to monitor the up-coming special
election in Rome? I worry that the burning of the ballots will make things
hard on the post-election auditing process. (Apparently,
"voter-verifiable *paper
audit trails" are banned *in the Sistine Chapel.) Plus, some of
the eligible voters are only known to the outgoing Pope (cardinals *in
pectore*). Surely signs of potential fraud.

Nate Silver hasn't developed a model yet, but some bookies are giving
Cardinal Turkson from Ghana good odds. See one list of odds at:
http://www.paddypower.com/bet/novelty-betting/current-affairs/pope-betting
 Note that
 Richard Dawkins is ranked near the bottom of the list at 666 to 1, but
Bono of U2 is even lower.

More seriously, Cardinal Arinze from Nigeria is also given good odds, but I
believe he is close to 80 and another short-term Pope may not be in the
cards unless there is difficulty reaching agreement on somebody that could
end up serving two decades, like Turkson, who is only 64.
Douglas R. Hess, PhD
Washington, DC
ph. 202-277-6400
douglasrhess at gmail.com

Starting Aug. 2013:

Assistant Professor
Department of Political Science
Carnegie Hall
Grinnell College
Grinnell, IA 50112-1670


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