[EL] WARNING: SNARK AHEAD RE: Supreme Court and campaign finance
Mark Schmitt
schmitt.mark at gmail.com
Tue Jul 1 16:21:59 PDT 2014
OK, but what you originally argued was that politicians wouldn't see
campaign finance as a "problem" unless it was hurting incumbents. The
1998-2002 cycles -- the soft-money era -- were as good as it gets for
incumbents, high even by historical standards, so members certainly
weren't reacting to an immediate threat to incumbents. And reelection
rates have been down significantly since 2004, to 85% and 90% in the
last two cycles.
Not only did incumbents do unusually well in the soft-money era, it's
really not true that party soft money went to challengers. The vast
majority went to incumbents in tough races, and the rest to a small
handful of challengers who were already competitive. The map was much
narrower and both parties more cautious in that era. (I have data on
this, but I can't find it right now.) The Super-PAC era is probably
better for supporting long-shot challengers with strong ideological
appeal.
I agree that campaign reform can be designed to benefit incumbents, and
the millionaire's amendment is a very good example of it. (Although one
of its very few beneficiaries was not an incumbent but an obscure state
senator from Chicago seeking a U.S. Senate seat in 2004.) One of the
many reasons I oppose a constitutional amendment is that I think the
Court should retain some ability to strike down campaign regulations
that are plainly intended to entrench power. But the majority of BCRA,
as well as most of the state public-financing laws that were passed by
legislatures (New York City, Connecticut, Minnesota) are not about
incumbent protection.
Finally, with all respect to John Samples, I have never come across a
Democratic political operative who thought that BCRA benefited their
party, at the time or since.
------ Original Message ------
From: "Smith, Brad" <BSmith at law.capital.edu>
To: "law-election at uci.edu" <law-election at uci.edu>
Sent: 7/1/2014 4:47:45 PM
Subject: Re: [EL] WARNING: SNARK AHEAD RE: Supreme Court and campaign
finance
>Incumbent re-election rates are always high.
>
>If you look at McCain-Feingold, the major desire was to stop party soft
>money (a major source of funding for challengers; and the elimination
>of which strengthened the position of individual incumbent
>officeholders as party fundraisers), and to cut back on non-party soft
>money (the McCain-Feingold record is replete with members railing
>against negative ads that attacked them, funded by non-party soft
>money; negative ads tend to be more necessary/effective for
>challengers). Once it had taken up the bill, Congress quickly added the
>"millionaire's amendment" aimed at insulating themselves from
>self-funded challengers (incumbents rarely self fund). The party soft
>money ban also dramatically reduced any threat of a new third party (a
>la the Reform Party) from happening again.
>
>Conversely, there was little interest in eliminating leadership PACs,
>for example. Challengers don't have leadership Pacs.
>
>A phenomenon that doesn't cut directly for incumbency per se but is
>similar is that reforms will tend to be enacted to benefit a party.
>Again, it's not necessarily bad motive, it's is just that a party will
>notice what is hurting it. John Samples argues in The Fallacy of
>Campaign Finance Reform that McCain-Feingold was perceived to benefit
>the Democratic Party*; this required attracting just enough Republican
>votes to pass the legislation, which were found among weak Republican
>incumbents. All of this is not to say that there are not many
>idealistic supporters of "reform" - in fact, part of my point is that
>almost everyone can convince themselves that the reforms they favor are
>idealistic, objectively beneficial to broader society.
>
>*It was also intended to benefit the Democratic Party - not necessarily
>in the sense that members said "let's pass a bill that helps us and
>hurts them," but in the sense, again, that Democrats naturally saw
>elements of the system that worked against them as being, in their
>minds, objectively bad, and certain elements of reform that worked for
>them as being, in their minds, objectively good. Politicians, even more
>than most people, I think, tend to conflate their interests with the
>interests of the nation.
>
>Bradley A. Smith
>
>Josiah H. Blackmore II/Shirley M. Nault
>
> Professor of Law
>
>Capital University Law School
>
>303 E. Broad St.
>
>Columbus, OH 43215
>
>614.236.6317
>
>http://law.capital.edu/faculty/bios/bsmith.aspx
>
>--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>From:law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu
>[law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu] on behalf of Mark
>Schmitt [schmitt.mark at gmail.com]
>Sent: Tuesday, July 01, 2014 12:33 PM
>To:law-election at UCI.edu
>Subject: Re: [EL] WARNING: SNARK AHEAD RE: Supreme Court and campaign
>finance
>
>Interesting theory, but how do you explain the fact that Congress
>passed BCRA after three consecutive cycles of incumbent reelection
>rates of 96% or higher?
>
>Mark Schmitt
>202/246-2350
>gchat or Skype: schmitt.mark
>twitter: mschmitt9
>
>
>On Mon, Jun 30, 2014 at 8:21 PM, Smith, Brad <BSmith at law.capital.edu>
>wrote:
>>My general view is that all campaign finance systems will eventually
>>come to benefit incumbents. This isn't necessarily due to nefarious
>>purpose or intent (though it can be and sometimes is). Rather, if the
>>system benefits incumbents, it won't be seen as a problem. Even if
>>pressure grows for "reform," incumbents won't see as the problem those
>>elements (or at least most such elements) that benefit incumbents. If
>>the system is working against incumbents, however, those incumbents
>>will see that as a problem and move to change the system.
>>
>>Bradley A. Smith
>>
>>Josiah H. Blackmore II/Shirley M. Nault
>>
>> Professor of Law
>>
>>Capital University Law School
>>
>>303 E. Broad St.
>>
>>Columbus, OH 43215
>>
>>614.236.6317
>>
>>http://law.capital.edu/faculty/bios/bsmith.aspx
>>
>>--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>>From:law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu
>>[law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu] on behalf of ReThink
>>Media [tyler at rethinkmedia.org]
>>Sent: Monday, June 30, 2014 7:56 PM
>>To: Sean Parnell
>>Cc:law-election at UCI.edu
>>Subject: Re: [EL] WARNING: SNARK AHEAD RE: Supreme Court and campaign
>>finance
>>
>>I didn't mean to imply that this is necessarily the *real* reason
>>Republicans oppose the amendment but rather to show Mr. Bopps argument
>>is easily turned on its head.
>>
>>--
>>Tyler Creighton
>>tyler at rethinkmedia.org
>>
>>Sent from my phone
>>
>>On Jun 30, 2014, at 7:24 PM, "Sean Parnell"
>><sean at impactpolicymanagement.com> wrote:
>>
>>>All I can say is that if I possessed the type of mindreading
>>>abilities displayed here on the matter of why Republicans *really*
>>>oppose a Constitutional amendment giving Congress the powers sought
>>>by Mr. Creighton, I wouldn’t be typing out e-mails to the election
>>>law listserve, I’d be sitting at a poker table in Vegas.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>Best,
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>Sean Parnell
>>>
>>>President
>>>
>>>Impact Policy Management, LLC
>>>
>>>6411 Caleb Court
>>>
>>>Alexandria, VA 22315
>>>
>>>571-289-1374 (c)
>>>
>>>sean at impactpolicymanagement.com
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>From:law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu
>>>[mailto:law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu] On Behalf Of
>>>Tyler Creighton
>>>Sent: Monday, June 30, 2014 6:31 PM
>>>To:law-election at UCI.edu
>>>Subject: Re: [EL] Supreme Court and campaign finance
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>The "campaign finance is incumbency protection" argument is a tired
>>>trope that doesn't hold water. The argument implies that
>>>Congressional inaction to regulate campaign finance is as much an
>>>incumbency protection racket as Congressional action to do the same.
>>>In other words not writing any rules is in fact writing the rules.
>>>Republicans in Congress refuse to support a constitutional amendment
>>>empowering Congress to place contribution limits on independent
>>>expenditure groups because they wish to preserve a leg up over
>>>challengers who cannot attract large sums of IEs. Republicans in
>>>Congress refuse to support a constitutional amendment empowering
>>>Congress to re-enforce aggregate contribution limits because
>>>incumbents can join together to solicit multi-million dollar
>>>contributions to JFCs.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>Moreover, the argument is completely divorced from hard data and the
>>>reality of modern day fundraising. The data shows us that incumbents
>>>are disproportionately advantaged in raising large sums of money with
>>>higher contribution limits. Incumbents have ready made fundraising
>>>networks and connections to industry and lobbyists who are willing to
>>>write checks and host fundraisers. Of the top 20 State Assembly
>>>fundraisers in 2012 in Texas, a state with no individual contribution
>>>limit to candidates, 14 were incumbents while a mere 4 were
>>>challengers and 2 were for open seats. A challenger doesn't crack the
>>>top 7. Only one true challenger is in the top 20 list for State
>>>Senate candidates. A much more exhaustive look at contribution limits
>>>and electoral competition by the Brennan Center (itself supported by
>>>this GMU research) substantiates this quick glance at the data in
>>>Texas.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>One can certainly envision a contribution limit sufficiently low as
>>>to advantage incumbents over challengers, but high contribution
>>>limits is the other side of the same coin. If your goal is electoral
>>>competition, public financing of elections, as demonstrated in
>>>Connecticut and elsewhere, should be your goal, not abolishment of
>>>all contribution caps.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>Tyler Creighton | tyler at rethinkmedia.org | Media Associate
>>>
>>>ReThink Media | (202) 449-6960 office | (925) 548-2189 mobile
>>>
>>>@ReThinkDemocrcy | @ReThink_Media | @TylerCreighton
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>On Mon, Jun 30, 2014 at 3:46 PM, Rick Hasen <rhasen at law.uci.edu>
>>>wrote:
>>>
>>>If anyone responds to this, please use this (or another) subject line
>>>(and not ELB News and Commentary)
>>>
>>>On 6/30/14, 12:44 PM, JBoppjr at aol.com wrote:
>>>
>>>>Regarding this:
>>>>
>>>>The Court has shown no such deference when it comes to the need for
>>>>campaign finance regulation or to protect the voting rights of
>>>>racial minorities and others. The Roberts Court has overturned or
>>>>limited every campaign finance law it has examined (aside from
>>>>disclosure laws). It has struck down a key provision of the Voting
>>>>Rights Act. How much deference did Congress get in those cases?
>>>>None.
>>>>
>>>>Well when is Congress wise and entitled to deference? When the Court
>>>>agrees with Congress’s approach. Let’s call that “faux deference,”
>>>>to go with the “faux-nanimity” of the rest of the term.
>>>>
>>>>Rather than deference, a much better argument could be made for
>>>>scepticism when it comes to Congress writing campaign finance laws.
>>>>After all, with campaign finance laws, members of Congress are
>>>>writing the rules for their own election specifically and when
>>>>citizens can criticize them generally. There are no subjects that
>>>>they are more intensely self-interested.
>>>>
>>>>Ironically, "reformers" should know this. Some of them believe that
>>>>members of Congress thirst so strongly for campaign contributions
>>>>that they would sell their votes for just a few hundred dollars. If
>>>>this is true, then surely they would write campaign finance laws to
>>>>benefit themselves. Jim Bopp
>>>>
>>>>In a message dated 6/30/2014 1:05:54 P.M. Eastern Daylight Time,
>>>>rhasen at law.uci.edu writes:
>>>>
>>>>>#HobbyLobby: When is Congress “Wise?” When the Court Agrees with
>>>>>Congress’s Wisdom
>>>>>Posted on June 30, 2014 8:50 am by Rick Hasen
>>>>>
>>>>>Near the end of Justice Alito’s majority opinion in the Hobby Lobby
>>>>>case today, he writes that it is not the Court’s job to question
>>>>>the “wisdom” of Congress in using the compelling interest test in
>>>>>RFRA, but the Court applies that RFRA test strongly, and in a way
>>>>>which shows the Court apparently giving great deference to
>>>>>Congress’s judgment about how to balance the government’s interest
>>>>>in generally applicable laws with the accommodations of religious
>>>>>freedoms. It reminded me of Justice Scalia’s pleas in Windsor last
>>>>>term for deference to Congress on the need for the Defense of
>>>>>Marriage Act.
>>>>>
>>>>>The Court has shown no such deference when it comes to the need for
>>>>>campaign finance regulation or to protect the voting rights of
>>>>>racial minorities and others. The Roberts Court has overturned or
>>>>>limited every campaign finance law it has examined (aside from
>>>>>disclosure laws). It has struck down a key provision of the Voting
>>>>>Rights Act. How much deference did Congress get in those cases?
>>>>>None.
>>>>>
>>>>>Well when is Congress wise and entitled to deference? When the
>>>>>Court agrees with Congress’s approach. Let’s call that “faux
>>>>>deference,” to go with the “faux-nanimity” of the rest of the term.
>>>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>--
>>>Rick Hasen
>>>Chancellor's Professor of Law and Political Science
>>>UC Irvine School of Law
>>>401 E. Peltason Dr., Suite 1000
>>>Irvine, CA 92697-8000
>>>949.824.3072 - office
>>>949.824.0495 - fax
>>>rhasen at law.uci.edu
>>>http://www.law.uci.edu/faculty/full-time/hasen/
>>>http://electionlawblog.org
>>>
>>>_______________________________________________
>>>Law-election mailing list
>>>Law-election at department-lists.uci.edu
>>>http://department-lists.uci.edu/mailman/listinfo/law-election
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>
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