[EL] ELB election day update - final update of the night

Tue Nov 4 22:02:40 PST 2014

    Warner Declares Victory in #VASEN But Gillespie Says Not Yet
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=68027>

Posted onNovember 4, 2014 10:01 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=68027>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

WaPo 
<http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/virginia-politics/election-day-arrives-after-final-push-from-gillespie-warner-in-virginia-senate-race/2014/11/03/21497c8c-63cf-11e4-9fdc-d43b053ecb4d_story.html?hpid=z4>: 
"U.S. Sen. Mark R. Warner declared victory late Tuesday over Republican 
challenger Ed Gillespie in race that dented the former Democratic 
governor's indomitable image...Gillespie declined to concede. 'Let's 
just stay together for a few more days, maybe longer,' he said, calling 
for patience and adding that he wants to be 'respectful of the voters.'"

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Posted inrecounts <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=50>

    "A Case for Compulsory Voting" <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=68024>

Posted onNovember 4, 2014 9:54 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=68024>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Ruth Marcus WaPo column 
<http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/ruth-marcus-a-case-for-compulsory-voting/2014/11/04/9b486afe-6463-11e4-836c-83bc4f26eb67_story.html>.

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Posted invoting <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=31>

    Oregon Top Two Primary Initiative Loses Badly
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=68022>

Posted onNovember 4, 2014 9:50 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=68022>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Very interesting 
<http://www.ballot-access.org/2014/11/oregon-top-two-initiative-defeated-2-1/>.

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Posted inpolitical parties 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=25>,political polarization 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=68>,primaries 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=32>

    CA SOS Race Close, Giving Republican Chance to Win
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=68020>

Posted onNovember 4, 2014 9:45 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=68020>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Pete Peterson (R) leads very narrowly 
<http://graphics.latimes.com/2014-election-results-california-statewide/>, 
with 15% of the vote in.

This is the only statewide race in CA where a Republican still has a 
chance to win.

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Posted inUncategorized <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=1>

    In #VASEN, Warner Up by 13K with 99% Reporting
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=68018>

Posted onNovember 4, 2014 9:42 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=68018>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

If these numbers 
<http://www.timesdispatch.com/news/local/government-politics/election/warner-clings-to-slim-lead/article_9356d4ac-645e-11e4-a496-0017a43b2370.html>hold 
up in the morning, I expect we will see a concession rather than a recount.

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Posted inrecounts <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=50>

    "The most important victory for Republicans might be in Ohio"
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=68016>

Posted onNovember 4, 2014 9:24 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=68016>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Vox writes 
<http://www.vox.com/2014/11/4/7158873/ohio-election-republican-2016>.

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Posted incampaigns <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=59>,election 
administration <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18>

    "Mike Wheat Fends Off Outside Money To Keep Supreme Court Seat"
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=68014>

Posted onNovember 4, 2014 9:22 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=68014>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Big news 
<http://mtpr.org/post/mike-wheat-fends-outside-money-keep-supreme-court-seat#.VFmshzobBxo.twitter>from 
Montana:

    The Republican State Leadership Committee spent hundreds of
    thousands on ads and mailers for VanDyke, while Mike Wheat appeared
    in ads paid for by Montanans for Liberty and Justice, a group
    primarily funded by Montana trial lawyers.

    According to recent estimates, outside groups spent nearly $1
    million on ads during the race, compared to just $165,000 raised by
    the candidates themselves.

    About $400,000 was raised to either tout VanDyke or denounce Wheat.

More here 
<http://missoulian.com/news/local/montana-supreme-court-justices-wheat-rice-win-new-terms-on/article_e7a07ecf-7cb7-535c-8107-9f5815e315f5.html>.

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Posted incampaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>,campaigns 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=59>,judicial elections 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=19>

    Pres. Obama Was Reluctant to Raise Money for Dem. Senate Super PAC
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=68011>

Posted onNovember 4, 2014 9:19 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=68011>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

A nugget in this must-read WaPo report, Battle for the Senate: How the 
GOP woke up while Democrats were feeling the drag 
<http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/battle-for-the-senate-how-the-gop-did-it/2014/11/04/a8df6f7a-62c7-11e4-bb14-4cfea1e742d5_story.html>:

    Despite his deep aversion to super PACs, Obama in early 2012
    reluctantly sanctioned Priorities USA, a super PAC set up to back
    his reelection, and allowed White House and campaign officials to
    appear at the group's fundraisers. But Reid and Senate Democrats
    thought the president was not giving the same level of support for
    Senate Majority PAC.

    Lawyers negotiated for months over legal minutia, with Obama's
    counselors insisting that the president appear only as a guest and
    do no donor solicitation, which would have violated federal law.
    After Obama appeared at two Senate Majority PAC events --- June 17
    in New York and July 22 in Seattle --- the president's lawyers
    demanded that no staffer follow up with the donors for at least
    seven days.

    These contingencies were so strict, Krone argued, that it would be
    fruitless to involve the president at all. "They were setting the
    rules as they saw fit," he said. "For some reason, they hid behind a
    lot of legal issues."

    The White House maintains that it was prudent in protecting the
    presidency and avoid any appearances of a quid pro quo. The senior
    White House official voiced displeasure with Senate Majority PAC's
    methods: "They were calling Obama donors who we had long
    relationships with and making asks that annoyed the donors."

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Posted incampaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>

-- 
Rick Hasen
Chancellor's Professor of Law and Political Science
UC Irvine School of Law
401 E. Peltason Dr., Suite 1000
Irvine, CA 92697-8000
949.824.3072 - office
949.824.0495 - fax
rhasen at law.uci.edu
http://www.law.uci.edu/faculty/full-time/hasen/
http://electionlawblog.org

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