[EL] Invitation to FantasySCOTUS OT14 - Supreme Court Prediction Experiment

[Josh Blackman]

Hello All,

My colleagues, Professors Dan Katz (MSU), Mike Bommarito (MSU), and I, have
developed an algorithm that can predict Supreme Court cases at 70%
accuracy. You can read more about our methodology in our paper:
http://ssrn.com/abstract=2463244

This Term, we are generating predictions for all argued cases. To test our
accuracy, we are hosting a competition between our algorithm and players on
FantasySCOTUS--a Supreme Court prediction market I created in 2009.

https://fantasyscotus.lexpredict.com/

We are assembling an invitation-only "Expert League" on FantasySCOTUS. We
have invited Supreme Court clinics, Professors, and SCOTUS practitioners. I
can't release all of the names yet, but Tom Goldstein, among others will be
playing.

This project is of significant academic importance, as it represents the
most sophisticated Supreme Court prediction project to date. Ultimately our
goal is to determine which types of cases the algorithm does best on, which
cases you all do best on, and create an ensemble prediction methodology.

We hope that a wide variety of SCOTUS wonks will be interested in making
predictions in their area of expertise. Your predictions will not be
publicly visible, and we will not disclose your participation unless you
give us consent.


If any law professors or practitioners who specialize in the Supreme Court
 are interested in joining the expert league, please sign up for an
account, and contact me with your username so I can add you to the expert
league.


https://fantasyscotus.lexpredict.com/account/signup/

Also, we encourage your students to play as well. Thomson Reuters is
providing cash prizes (grand prize is $10,000) for law students to play.
This is the perfect project for students in Supreme Court clinics or SCOTUS
decision making classes.


Sincerely

Josh Blackman
South Texas College of Law
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Josh Blackman
http://JoshBlackman.com
*Unprecedented: The Constitutional Challenge to Obamacare
<http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1610393287/ref=as_li_tf_tl?ie=UTF8&camp=1789&creative=9325&creativeASIN=1610393287&linkCode=as2&tag=joshblaccom-20>*
-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://webshare.law.ucla.edu/Listservs/law-election/attachments/20141016/24aaa50e/attachment.html>