[EL] my thoughts on the John Doe case

Rick Hasen rhasen at law.uci.edu
Thu Jul 16 08:37:28 PDT 2015


Thanks for proving my second point Steve.

On 7/16/15 8:27 AM, Steve Hoersting wrote:
>
> Rick --
>
> Regarding "all they have to do is avoid express advocacy"
>
> I find it troubling you ignore the Vagueness Doctrine -- a bedrock of 
> campaign law.
>
> Regarding "unverified dawn raids."
>
> I missed your paragraph explaining it was illegal for anyone to verify 
> them.
>
> Rick: Yours is not a world even you want to live in. UCI is not a 
> fortress, neither now nor tomorrow.
>
> Steve
>
> On Jul 16, 2015 11:19 AM, "Rick Hasen" <rhasen at law.uci.edu 
> <mailto:rhasen at law.uci.edu>> wrote:
>
>
>         Analysis of Wisconsin John Doe Ruling: Bad News for Campaign
>         Finance Laws <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74355>
>
>     Posted onJuly 16, 2015 7:36 am
>     <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74355>byRick Hasen
>     <http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>
>
>     Today’s lengthy and contentious 4-2 ruling
>     <http://www.wicourts.gov/sc/opinion/DisplayDocument.html?content=html&seqNo=144526> dividing
>     the Court on partisan/ideological lines, from the Wisconsin
>     Supreme Court ending the so-called “John Doe” probe, is
>     significant for three reasons: (1) it removes a cloud from the
>     Scott Walker presidential campaign; (2) it guts, perhaps for
>     years, the effectiveness of the state of Wisconsin’s campaign
>     finance laws, and (3) it reenforces conservative beliefs that they
>     are the victims of frightening harassment, a belief which is
>     likely to lead conservative judges to strike more campaign laws. 
>     The case also raises significant questions about judicial recusal
>     which go unanswered, and provide one of two potential bases to
>     seek U.S. Supreme Court review in this case. Still, high court
>     review seems unlikely.
>
>     I will not spend any time on the effects of the case on the Scott
>     Walker candidacy, as this is an obvious benefit.
>
>     Nor will I review the background of this convoluted set of cases. 
>     For more, seemy earlier Slate piece
>     <http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/jurisprudence/2014/06/the_scott_walker_case_in_wisconsin_could_shred_the_remaining_limits_on_influencing.html?wpsrc>,
>     as well as early coverage of today’s ruling in theNY Times
>     <http://www.nytimes.com/2015/07/17/us/wisconsin-court-to-rule-on-inquiry-involving-scott-walkers-2012-campaign.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&module=first-column-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news>,Milwaukee
>     Journal-Sentinel,
>     <http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/wisconsin-supreme-court-ends-john-doe-probe-into-scott-walkers-campaign-b99535414z1-315784501.html>andWisconsin
>     State Journal
>     <http://host.madison.com/wsj/news/local/govt-and-politics/supreme-court-ends-john-doe-probe-that-threatened-scott-walker/article_50f22c3b-27c9-5906-92e8-ded75ed50954.html>.
>     So let me focus on the remaining two points, and the potential for
>     Court review.
>
>     *Gutting of campaign finance. *The conservatives on the Court have
>     held that Wisconsin’s existing campaign finance laws violate the
>     First Amendment to the extent they limit coordination between a
>     candidate and /any group/, even a 501c4 group not disclosing its
>     donors, on campaigns to support that candidate. The only thing the
>     nominally outside group has to do is to avoid words of express
>     advocacy or their functional equivalent.  Avoiding express
>     advocacy while vigorously supporting a candidate, as we know from
>     the federal period before McCain-Feingold, is child’s play. That
>     is, a candidate can now direct unlimited contributions to a
>     nominally outside group and tell that group what ads to run, when,
>     and how.  If you think it is a problem for someone to be able to
>     give millions of dollars directly to a candidate to support that
>     candidate’s campaign, then this should be very troubling to you.
>     It was a theory of coordination strongly rejected by the 7th
>     Circuit in the federal version of the John Doe case. And there’s
>     no prospect that the Wisconsin legislature, dominated by
>     Republicans and already weakening campaign finance law, will fix
>     this.  This applies only to Wisconsin elections (and not federal
>     elections in Wisconsin) but is very, very bad news. (More analysis
>     inmy earlier /Slate/piece.)
>     <http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/jurisprudence/2014/06/the_scott_walker_case_in_wisconsin_could_shred_the_remaining_limits_on_influencing.html?wpsrc>
>
>     *Conservative harassment.*For months, conservatives have been
>     sending me stories for ELB purporting to show the horrors of the
>     investigation (late night raids, etc.)  However, these stories
>     were never fully verified. As the Milwaukee-Journal
>     Sentineleditorialized
>     <http://www.jsonline.com/news/opinion/open-john-doe-investigation-of-gov-scott-walker-to-the-public-b99491741z1-302162641.html> about
>     the selling of this story: “A breathless articlein the
>     conservative National Review
>     <http://www.nationalreview.com/article/417155/wisconsins-shame-i-thought-it-was-home-invasion-david-french>.
>     An equally breathless reportby Megyn Kelly on Fox News
>     <http://www.foxnews.com/transcript/2015/04/24/scott-walker-supporters-claim-police-raided-homes-over-politics/>.Tart
>     comments from Gov. Scott
>     Walker<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cuuGYGWoaC0>on the campaign
>     trail in Iowa…. onservatives targeted by the John Doe
>     investigation for more than a year have declined to discuss their
>     concerns with the Journal Sentinel or other independent news
>     outlets that will seek out all sides to a story. They have told
>     their stories only to partisan outlets that share their political
>     agenda, such as Fox News, the National Review andThe Wall Street
>     Journal’s editorial page
>     <http://www.wsj.com/articles/another-john-doe-disclosure-1402265159>(not
>     its news staff).”  Now the conservatives on the Supreme Court have
>     validated this version of events, and without full transparency
>     the stories cannot be fully investigated. One Justice even went so
>     far as to reach the issue of the constitutionality of the
>     nighttime raids even though the issue was not before the Court. (I
>     would love that Justice to ride along with police in the poorer
>     parts of Milwaukee at night and perhaps gain some appreciation of
>     what others face from law enforcement every day.) In the meantime,
>     they fit into a conservative meme of persecution for conservative
>     ideas. Expect this to lead to calls for even more laws to be
>     struck down out of fear of persecution, fearswhich generally do
>     not stand up to scrutiny
>     <http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1948313>.
>
>     *Recusal?*We know that one of the prosecutors in the case asked at
>     least one of the Justices who decided the case to recuse because
>     the Justice may have been supported by some of the campaign
>     spending in the case. As the dissenting Justice Abrahamson notes,
>     the majority did not even respond to the issue. It seems to me
>     that this at least deserves a response as to why recusal is not
>     warranted.
>
>     *U.S. Supreme Court review?*The dissent notes that under the U.S.
>     Supreme Court’s /Caperton /decision/, /the failure to recuse in
>     this case could be a due process violation. At least
>     theoretically, that’s an issue which could go to the U.S. Supreme
>     Court. The Court could also potentially consider the First
>     Amendment holding about coordinated issue advocacy. My guess is
>     that the Court will decline review in this case, and frankly,
>     given this Supreme Court on campaign finance issues, I’d be very
>     afraid of having this issue before this Supreme Court. I mean I
>     think Justice Kennedy would consider coordinated issue advocacy to
>     be regulable, but I don’t know that I’d be the entire country’s
>     campaign finance system on it.
>
>     In all, this is anunsurprising partisan holding
>     <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74299>on a partisan court about a
>     campaign finance investigation with partisan implications. (True,
>     Justice Crooks who dissented campaigned as a conservative, but
>     started as a Democrat. So I guess there’s that to argue this is
>     not fully a partisan decision.) The Wisconsin Supreme Court has
>     been among the most bitterly divided along partisan lines. I doubt
>     that after this they will move on. This will just further entrench
>     things.  A bad day for campaign finance, and a worse day for
>     Wisconsin.
>
>     [/This post has been updated and edited./]
>
>     Share
>     <https://www.addtoany.com/share_save#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%3Fp%3D74355&title=Analysis%20of%20Wisconsin%20John%20Doe%20Ruling%3A%20Bad%20News%20for%20Campaign%20Finance%20Laws&description=>
>     Posted incampaign finance
>     <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>,chicanery
>     <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=12>
>
>     -- 
>     Rick Hasen
>     Chancellor's Professor of Law and Political Science
>     UC Irvine School of Law
>     401 E. Peltason Dr., Suite 1000
>     Irvine, CA 92697-8000
>     949.824.3072  <tel:949.824.3072>  - office
>     949.824.0495  <tel:949.824.0495>  - fax
>     rhasen at law.uci.edu  <mailto:rhasen at law.uci.edu>
>     http://www.law.uci.edu/faculty/full-time/hasen/
>     http://electionlawblog.org
>
>
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-- 
Rick Hasen
Chancellor's Professor of Law and Political Science
UC Irvine School of Law
401 E. Peltason Dr., Suite 1000
Irvine, CA 92697-8000
949.824.3072 - office
949.824.0495 - fax
rhasen at law.uci.edu
http://www.law.uci.edu/faculty/full-time/hasen/
http://electionlawblog.org

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