[EL] Trump 3rd party run

Smith, Brad BSmith at law.capital.edu
Thu Jul 23 08:48:25 PDT 2015


¡°Exclusive: Trump threatens third-party run¡±<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74526>
Posted on July 23, 2015 7:36 am<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74526> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

The Hill reports.<http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/248910-exclusive-trump-threatens-third-party-run>

That¡¯s why I told Univision<http://noticias.univision.com/article/2408083/2015-07-21/estados-unidos/destino-2016/noticias-elecciones/por-que-los-republicanos-no-expulsan-a-trump?cmpid=Tweet:article> that Republicans will have to tread lightly. Trump is egotistical enough to run a vanity third party candidacy, even if it leads to the election of a Democratic candidate who disagrees with him more on issues such as immigration.

-- And who *agrees* with him more on issues such as the use of eminent domain to give land to private developers, Obamacare, tax cuts (bad), government infrastructure spending, abortion, and more. Given Trump's full plate of issues, there is every reason to think he'd prefer a Democrat to most of the Republican candidates, especially the most conservative Republican candidates in the race.


Bradley A. Smith

Josiah H. Blackmore II/Shirley M. Nault

   Professor of Law

Capital University Law School

303 E. Broad St.

Columbus, OH 43215

614.236.6317

http://law.capital.edu/faculty/bios/bsmith.aspx

________________________________
From: law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu [law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu] on behalf of Rick Hasen [rhasen at law.uci.edu]
Sent: Thursday, July 23, 2015 11:17 AM
To: law-election at UCI.edu
Subject: [EL] ELB News and Commentary 7/23/15

¡°Podcast: Voting rights on trial in North Carolina¡±<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74528>
Posted on July 23, 2015 7:43 am<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74528> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Derek Muller and I spoke with Jeffrey Rosen for a National Constitution Center podcast:<http://blog.constitutioncenter.org/2015/07/podcast-voting-rights-on-trial-in-north-carolina/>

On August 6, the Voting Rights Act will celebrate its 50th anniversary. First enacted in 1965 and extended in 1970, 1975 and 1982, it is considered one of the most important pieces of civil rights legislation in American history. The Voting Rights Act codifies and enforces the 15th Amendment¡¯s guarantee that no American citizen shall be denied the right to vote on account of race or color.

In 2013, the Supreme Court struck down Section 4 of the Act in Shelby County v. Holder. That part of the law established a formula to determine which jurisdictions would be required to obtain federal approval for changes in their election laws. The Court ruled that the formula was unconstitutional in light of improved conditions in those previously covered areas.

In this post-Shelby County world, lawsuits challenging new election regulations have been filed in several states. In fact, as of July 2015, a trial is underway in North Carolina to determine whether a law passed less than two months after the Supreme Court¡¯s Shelby County decision is a violation of the 14th Amendment, 15th Amendment or the Voting Rights Act.

Two superb scholars joined our Jeffrey Rosen to discuss the Voting Rights Act and the North Carolina case.

Rick Hasen<http://www.law.uci.edu/faculty/full-time/hasen/> is the Chancellor¡¯s Professor of Law and Political Science at the University of California-Irvine School of Law. He is an expert in election and campaign finance law, and is the author of the Election Law Blog<http://electionlawblog.org/>.

Derek Muller<http://law.pepperdine.edu/faculty-research/faculty/default.htm?faculty=derek_muller> is Associate Professor of Law at the Pepperdine University School of Law. He is also an expert in election law, and is the author of Excess of Democracy<http://excessofdemocracy.com/>.

You can listen to the full audio in the player below or at the following link: Download this episode (right click and save)<http://nccpodcasts.podbean.com/mf/web/gxe4fb/2015-07-21podcastwpromo.mp3>

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Posted in election administration<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18>, The Voting Wars<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=60>, Voting Rights Act<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=15>
¡°Exclusive: Trump threatens third-party run¡±<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74526>
Posted on July 23, 2015 7:36 am<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74526> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

The Hill reports.<http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/248910-exclusive-trump-threatens-third-party-run>

That¡¯s why I told Univision<http://noticias.univision.com/article/2408083/2015-07-21/estados-unidos/destino-2016/noticias-elecciones/por-que-los-republicanos-no-expulsan-a-trump?cmpid=Tweet:article> that Republicans will have to tread lightly. Trump is egotistical enough to run a vanity third party candidacy, even if it leads to the election of a Democratic candidate who disagrees with him more on issues such as immigration.



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Posted in campaigns<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=59>, third parties<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=47>
¡°How the Never-Ending Battle of Redistricting Will Impact 2016¡å<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74524>
Posted on July 23, 2015 7:32 am<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74524> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Alan Greenblatt reports<http://www.governing.com/topics/politics/gov-redistricting-supreme-court-florida-virginia.html> for Governing.

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Posted in redistricting<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=6>, Voting Rights Act<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=15>
¡°Chamber Spends Millions in Key Senate Races¡±<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74522>
Posted on July 22, 2015 8:06 pm<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74522> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Bloomberg BNA<http://news.bna.com/mpdm/MPDMWB/split_display.adp?fedfid=73133878&vname=mpebulallissues&jd=a0h0e2v1n8&split=0>:

The U.S. Chamber of Commerce has spent almost $2 million this month on television ads supporting Republicans or opposing Democrats in four key Senate races across the country and announced July 21 that it is jumping into to two more Senate races with major ad buys.
Campaign spending reports filed recently with the Federal Election Commission showed that the Chamber intends to be a major factor in next year¡¯s congressional elections, as it has in past races, even as public attention is drawn to the early stages of the 2016 presidential campaign.
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Posted in campaign finance<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>
Wisconsin¡¯s Responses in the New Federal Challenge to Voter ID Etc.<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74520>
Posted on July 22, 2015 8:01 pm<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74520> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Available here<http://www.doj.state.wi.us/media-center/2015-news-releases/one-wisconsin-institute-inc-v-nichol-answer-motion-dismiss-brief-filed>.

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Posted in election administration<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18>, The Voting Wars<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=60>
¡°National Security or First Amendment? Gyrocopter Case Proceeds¡±<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74518>
Posted on July 22, 2015 12:38 pm<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74518> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Roll Call reports<http://blogs.rollcall.com/hill-blotter/national-security-or-first-amendment-gyrocopter-case-proceeds/>.

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Posted in Uncategorized<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=1>
¡°American Samoans Seek Full D.C. Circuit Review of Panel Decision Denying Birthright Citizenship¡±<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74516>
Posted on July 22, 2015 12:17 pm<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74516> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Press release<http://www.equalrightsnow.org/american_samoans_seek_full_d_c_circuit_review_of_panel_decision_denying_birthright_citizenship>:

Five American Samoans and the Samoan Federation of America petitioned yesterday<https://www.scribd.com/doc/272161910/Tuaua-Petition-for-Rehearing-en-Banc>for the full U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit to review a June decision by a three-judge panel that constitutional citizenship by birth on U.S. soil does not apply in U.S. territories.  The panel held in Tuaua v. United Statesthat people born in the U.S. territory of American Samoa have no claim to birthright citizenship under the Citizenship Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution.  As a result, the United States government does not recognize them as citizens of any place.  Under federal law they owe ¡°permanent allegiance¡± to the United States yet are labeled with the inferior status of ¡°non-citizen national.¡±

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Posted in voting<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=31>
The ELB Search Function is Not Working Right<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74513>
Posted on July 22, 2015 11:43 am<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74513> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

The technical gurus will take a look. Sorry for the inconvenience.

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Posted in Uncategorized<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=1>
¡°VoteCal and the Struggle to Modernize California¡¯s Statewide Voter Registration Database¡±<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74511>
Posted on July 22, 2015 11:25 am<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74511> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Policy Brief<http://www.calvoter.org/issues/voterreg/votecalpolicybrief.html?utm_source=072215_CVF-NEWS&utm_campaign=CVF-NEWS_072215&utm_medium=email> from California Voter Foundation.

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Posted in election administration<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18>, voting technology<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=40>
¡°Reform Groups Urge Senators to Co-sponsor and Support Leahy Bill, the Stop Super PAC-Candidate Coordination Act¡±<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74509>
Posted on July 22, 2015 11:24 am<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74509> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Press release<http://www.democracy21.org/legislative-action/press-releases-legislative-action/reform-groups-urge-senators-to-co-sponsor-and-support-leahy-bill-the-stop-super-pac-candidate-coordination-act/>.

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Posted in campaign finance<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>
¡°Don¡¯t replace state¡¯s elections watchdog agency¡±<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74507>
Posted on July 22, 2015 11:23 am<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74507> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Milwaukee Journal Sentinel editorial<http://www.jsonline.com/news/opinion/dont-replace-states-elections-watchdog-agency-b99541915z1-318019091.html>.

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Posted in campaign finance<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>, election administration<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18>
¡°Legislator: North Carolina¡¯s election law curtailed previous efforts to make it easier for blacks to vote¡±<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74505>
Posted on July 22, 2015 11:22 am<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74505> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

The latest<http://www.journalnow.com/business/legislator-north-carolina-s-election-law-curtailed-previous-efforts-to/article_bf07d616-3099-11e5-a048-931a0b9f065c.html> from the NC voting trial.

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Posted in election administration<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18>, The Voting Wars<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=60>
¡°Why Republicans do not expel Trump¡±<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74503>
Posted on July 22, 2015 8:52 am<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74503> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Univsion reports <http://noticias.univision.com/article/2408083/2015-07-21/estados-unidos/destino-2016/noticias-elecciones/por-que-los-republicanos-no-expulsan-a-trump?cmpid=Tweet:article> (translated from Spanish).

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Posted in campaigns<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=59>
¡°High court¡¯s judicial activists are making a bad situation worse¡±<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74500>
Posted on July 22, 2015 8:41 am<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74500> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Cap Times editorial.<http://host.madison.com/news/opinion/editorial/high-court-s-judicial-activists-are-making-a-bad-situation/article_a4b4ec6b-664a-58f9-9147-deba8ce84209.html>

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Posted in Uncategorized<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=1>
¡°Democratic legislator: GOP rushed to pass voting law¡±<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74498>
Posted on July 22, 2015 8:39 am<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74498> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

The latest<http://www.journalnow.com/news/elections/state/democratic-legislator-gop-rushed-to-pass-voting-law/article_7288b3b6-3024-11e5-9a2b-f761ed075375.html> from the NC voting trial.

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Posted in election administration<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18>, The Voting Wars<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=60>
Two on Campaign Finance in Washington Times<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74495>
Posted on July 22, 2015 8:31 am<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74495> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Stephen Klein ¨C Campaign Finance Reform Can¡¯t Punish Free Speech<http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2015/jul/21/celebrate-liberty-month-campaign-finance-reform-ca/>

Alan Morrison ¨CIt¡¯s Buckley, Not Citizens United, That Created Massive Spending<http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2015/jul/21/celebrate-liberty-month-its-buckley-not-citizens-u/>



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Posted in campaign finance<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>, Supreme Court<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=29>
¡°Jeb Bush¡¯s Lobbying Reform Plan Probably Won¡¯t Rein In K Street¡±<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74493>
Posted on July 22, 2015 8:26 am<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74493> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Russ Choma<http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2015/07/jeb-bush-lobbying-reform> for Mother Jones:

The issue is that the six-year ban would only prevent former members of Congress from taking part in ¡°official¡± lobbying¡ªa very specifically defined set of activities. Avoid those activities¡ªor earn less than 20 percent of your income from lobbying activities¡ªand you can avoid registering as a lobbyist. There¡¯s no shortage of high-profile ex-lawmakers who have used this loophole to sell their insider expertise and thick Rolodexes to the highest bidder without ever registering as a lobbyist. Former Democratic Sen. Tom Daschle has worked for three lobbying firms since his departure from Congress 10 years ago, never once officially registering as a lobbyist. Instead, Daschle has served as a ¡°senior policy advisor.¡± Similarly, upon leaving Congress in 1999, former Republican House Speaker Newt Gingrich immediately went to work for a number of private interests offering ¡°quasi-lobbying¡± services<http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/fact-checker/post/newt-gingrich-historian-fact-checker-biography/2011/12/13/gIQAJqiMsO_blog.html>, but called his work anything but lobbying. Notably, Gingrich was paid $1.65 million for his work as a ¡°historian¡± for mortgage lender Freddie Mac.



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Posted in lobbying<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=28>
¡°The Judging of Politicians by Judges, Part II: Blagojevich in the Seventh Circuit¡±<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74491>
Posted on July 22, 2015 7:55 am<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=74491> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Bauer<http://www.moresoftmoneyhardlaw.com/2015/07/judging-politicians-judges-part-ii-blagojevich-seventh-circuit/> on Blagojevich:

The Court seems to believe that, where the political trading is for government posts, thecost of public corruption is somehow more limited, more tolerable. It is just a government salary¡¯s worth of political self-dealing. Of course, it is more than that: there is also the question of the quality of administration, of service to the public. Compare that to the purchase of ¡°access¡± with campaign funds, by which the donor is just offered, for her political support, a chance to make her case, and not everyone would agree on which of the two kinds of trades is more costly.

There also seems to be a belief that the deals politicians cut with each other should be given more room than the deals between politicians and their supporters or donors, because it has always been the ¡°everyday politics¡± of interactions among politicians that helps the government run.   There is merit in this view, up to a point. So would say the ¡°political realists<http://www.brookings.edu/research/reports2/2015/05/political-realism-rauch>.¡± Others, including some of the realists, might worry about a view of public corruption that zeros in on political supporters¡¯ ¡°access¡± while politicians trade more freely in taxpayer funds and in the services that these taxpayers are supposed to get for the money.

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Posted in bribery<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=54>, chicanery<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=12>


--
Rick Hasen
Chancellor's Professor of Law and Political Science
UC Irvine School of Law
401 E. Peltason Dr., Suite 1000
Irvine, CA 92697-8000
949.824.3072 - office
949.824.0495 - fax
rhasen at law.uci.edu<mailto:rhasen at law.uci.edu>
http://www.law.uci.edu/faculty/full-time/hasen/
http://electionlawblog.org
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