[EL] ELB News and Commentary 7/1/15

Rick Hasen rhasen at law.uci.edu
Tue Jun 30 19:31:28 PDT 2015


    “Redistricting litigation persists in key states despite court
    ruling” <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73954>

Posted onJune 30, 2015 7:29 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73954>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Politico 
<http://www.politico.com/story/2015/06/redistricting-litigation-persists-in-key-states-despite-court-ruling-119622.html>:

    The Supreme Court may have knocked out the best-known challenge to
    existing congressional districts in a number of states on Monday,
    but maps still remain in flux for 2016 in three important, large
    battleground states: Florida, North Carolina and Virginia.

    Continued redistricting litigation — spearheaded mostly by
    Democrats, who were in the legislative minority in the three states
    after the 2010 Census, and their allies — involves 51 of the
    nation’s 435 congressional districts and could allow Democrats to
    make a dent in the GOP’s near-historic House majority in next year’s
    elections.

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    “Redistricting Commission has been largely a flop”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73952>

Posted onJune 30, 2015 7:26 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73952>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Robert Robb AZ Republic column. 
<http://www.azcentral.com/story/robertrobb/2015/06/30/redistricting-commission-a-flop/29535857/>

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    What the Heck is Going On in Arizona Redistricting?
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73946>

Posted onJune 30, 2015 5:18 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73946>byJustin Levitt 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=4>

Justin here.  And with all of the action in Arizona redistricting over 
the past few days, I thought I’d throw up just a little update, to help 
sort out what’s what — I’d have written a shorter post, but I didn’t 
have the time. Old SCOTUS 
<http://redistricting.lls.edu/cases-AZ.php#AZ>,new SCOTUS 
<http://redistricting.lls.edu/cases-AZ.php#AZHarris>,non-SCOTUS 
<http://redistricting.lls.edu/cases-AZ.php#AZLeach>, all up after the break.

In most states, the default body to draw district lines for state and 
federal office is the legislature.  Arizona is one of afew states 
<http://redistricting.lls.edu/who-state.php>to change this default; in 
2000, Arizona citizens passed a ballot initiative giving control over 
the state’s legislative and congressional lines to anindependent 
commission <http://redistricting.lls.edu/states-AZ.php#institution>. The 
state’s independent body for nominating appellate judges selects a pool 
of Republicans, Democrats, and individuals not registered in either 
major party; each member of the legislative leadership chooses one 
commissioner from the pool (generally Republicans or Democrats), and 
those four choose a fifth who is not registered with either major party.

The bigSCOTUS case 
<http://www.scotusblog.com/case-files/cases/arizona-state-legislature-v-arizona-independent-redistricting-commission/>on 
Monday <http://redistricting.lls.edu/cases-AZ.php#AZ>was about whether 
this commission could draw_congressional_lines. The 
Constitution’sElections Clause 
<https://www.law.cornell.edu/constitution/articlei>says that rules for 
federal elections “shall be prescribed in each state by the legislature 
thereof,” except when Congress says otherwise. The Court held 
<http://www.scotusblog.com/2015/06/independent-redistricting-commission-survives-challenge-in-plain-english/#more-230012>that 
both the Constitution and Congress allow states to determine their 
law-making processes for themselves.  That is, the Court upheld the use 
of the Arizona commission (and ballot initiatives elsewhere) to regulate 
federal elections. (Disclosure: I’d worked on anamicus brief 
<http://redistricting.lls.edu/files/AZ%20leg%2020150123%20scholars.pdf>construing 
the1911 federal statute 
<https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/2/2a>along the same lines as 
the Court.  The brief also laid out alist of the questions 
<http://redistricting.lls.edu/files/AZ%20leg%2020150123%20scholars.pdf#page=34>– 
and potential chaos – awaiting a Court decision in the other direction.)

That was Monday.  This morning, the Court went right back to the well, 
announcing that it would hear argument inanother Arizona redistricting 
case <http://redistricting.lls.edu/cases-AZ.php#AZHarris>(Harris v. 
AIRC).  As with the last round, this case comes up on appeal to SCOTUS 
directly from athree-judge federal trial court 
<https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/28/2284>,an unusual procedure 
<http://scholarship.law.upenn.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1543&context=jcl>mostly 
reserved for redistricting and campaign finance cases.

The new case,/Harris/, is about the_state legislative_lines the 
commission drew.  There was a bittercontroversy 
<http://redistricting.lls.edu/states-AZ.php>over the alleged 
partisanship of the commission’s chair (including an impeachmentlater 
invalidated <http://redistricting.lls.edu/cases-AZ.php#AZBrewer>by the 
state’s Supreme Court).  The new SCOTUS case claims (in part) that 
partisanship bleeded over into the state lines as well.  It alleges that 
the lines are systematically unequally populated, to favor Democrats and 
disfavor Republicans. (Though district populations can vary a bit for 
good reasons, it seems they cannot vary for bad ones: in a 2004 decision 
namedCox v. Larios 
<https://law.resource.org/pub/us/case/reporter/US/542/542.US.947.03-1413.html>, 
SCOTUS summarily affirmed a decision striking down Georgia districts as 
unconstitutional because they were systematically unequally populated to 
favor Democrats.)

A splinteredthree-judge trial court 
<http://redistricting.lls.edu/files/AZ%20harris%2020140429%20order.pdf>in/Harris/found 
that the lines were unequally populated because of the Voting Rights 
Act, not because of partisanship.  The court found that the lines were 
drawn as they were in order to preserve the number of majority-minority 
and coalition districts in which cohesive minority populations had the 
ability to elect candidates of choice in a polarized political 
environment, under section 5 of the Act.  An additional question for 
SCOTUS is whether underpopulation is permissible for this purpose.  (And 
because/Shelby County 
<http://www.scotusblog.com/case-files/cases/shelby-county-v-holder/>/left section 
5 no longer applicable, there’s still another question: even if it was 
once permissible, is it still?)

The case is superficially related to/Evenwel 
<http://www.scotusblog.com/case-files/cases/evenwel-v-abbott/>, /one of 
the other big districting cases at SCOTUS next Term. But really, the 
cases are quite different:/Evenwel/is about/who/counts in determining 
district size;/Harris/is about the justifications that may support small 
size differences.  The case is another avenue for the Court to argue 
about whether partisanship is a problem in drawing district lines (and 
if so, under what circumstances). And it could lead to some curious 
alignments. The lead plaintiff, Wesley Harris, is aTea Party 
<http://www.npr.org/2012/07/12/156673878/arizona-tea-party-activists-say-they-re-back>activist 
seeking to overturn a map he claims favors Democrats with relatively 
small population deviations. But he may be looking for help from the 
leftish wing of the Court,more sympathetic 
<https://scholar.google.com/scholar_case?case=16656282825028631654&hl=en&as_sdt=6&as_vis=1&oi=scholarr>to 
claims of partisan manipulation; moreover, Justice Scaliawrote 
specifically 
<https://law.resource.org/pub/us/case/reporter/US/542/542.US.947.03-1413.html> in/Cox 
v. Larios/to express his skepticism that such claims make 
out constitutional wrongs for the courts to hear.  I’ve said before that 
I think SCOTUS lineups aremore ideological than partisan 
<http://ssrn.com/abstract=2239491>; this case will be yet another test.

For those keeping score,/Harris/is the third redistricting case at the 
Court next Term (after/Evenwel 
<http://redistricting.lls.edu/cases-TX.php#TXother>/and/Shapiro 
<http://redistricting.lls.edu/cases-MD.php#MD>/).26 cases 
<http://redistricting.lls.edu/cases.php#sct>affecting statewide 
redistricting this cycle have sought SCOTUS review.

And there’s life beyond SCOTUS as well.  Arizona hasanother case pending 
<http://redistricting.lls.edu/cases-AZ.php#AZLeach>: a challenge (/Leach 
v. AIRC/) in state court to the congressional maps that has been held 
pending Monday’s disposition.  Beyond Arizona, there are25 other live 
cases <http://redistricting.lls.edu/cases.php>in seven other states.  
And just six years to go before it all starts over again…

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<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=6>,Supreme Court 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=29>byJustin Levitt 
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    “Nationwide Implications Of A Supreme Court Ruling On
    Gerrymandering” <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73944>

Posted onJune 30, 2015 4:22 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73944>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Set to be onTuesday’s Diane Rehm Show 
<http://thedianerehmshow.org/shows/2015-07-01/nationwide-implications-of-a-supreme-court-ruling-on-gerrymandering> talking 
SCOTUS AZ redistricting with Stu Rothenberg, Jan Baran, and Colleen Mathis.

Tune in.

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    Congrats to Peter Miller, Bernie Grofman, and UCI Law Review
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73939>

Posted onJune 30, 2015 3:50 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73939>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Peter and Bernie’s article 
<http://www.law.uci.edu/lawreview/vol3/no3/miller_grofman.pdf>in the UCI 
Law Reviewsymposium I organized 
<http://www.law.uci.edu/lawreview/issuearchive/vol3no3.html>on 
nonpartisanship in election administration, campaign financing and 
redistricting was cited by the Supreme Court in theAZ redistricting 
case. <http://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/14pdf/13-1314_kjfl.pdf>

I expect this is the first of many citations to UCI Law’s new law review 
in Supreme Court opinions.

(Disclosure, Bernie and I, along with Marty Wattenberg, sat on Peter’s 
dissertation committee.)

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    Election Law Academics Update <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73937>

Posted onJune 30, 2015 3:35 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73937>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Here’s my yearly roundup of election law academic hires, promotions 
moves, visits, accolades.

Barry Burden <https://faculty.polisci.wisc.edu/bcburden/>has 
been appointed the inaugural Director of theElections Research Center 
<https://elections.wisc.edu/>at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.

Yasmin Dawood 
<http://www.law.utoronto.ca/faculty-staff/full-time-faculty/yasmin-dawood>received 
tenure and was promoted to associate professor at the Faculty of Law, 
University of Toronto

Michael Dimino<http://harrisburglaw.widener.edu/faculty/detail/13>has 
been promoted to Professor of Law at Widener-Harrisburg.

Jim Gardner 
<http://www.law.buffalo.edu/faculty/facultyDirectory/GardnerJames.html>has 
been named interim dean at Buffalo.

Beth Garrett 
<http://www.news.cornell.edu/stories/2014/09/elizabeth-garrett-usc-provost-named-president-cornell>was 
named president-elect of Cornell University.

Thad 
Kousser<https://polisci.ucsd.edu/about-our-people/faculty/kousser.html>was 
promoted to Professor at UC San Diego, and served as the 2015 Fulbright 
Flinders University Distinguished Chair in American Political Science in 
Adelaide, Australia.

Michael McDonald<http://polisci.ufl.edu/michael-mcdonald/>moved to the 
University of Florida.

David Schleicher <http://www.law.yale.edu/news/19407.htm>will move to 
Yale Law School in July.

David Schultz <http://www.hamline.edu/faculty-staff/david-schultz/>of 
Hamline University and the University of Minnesota was the 2013 winner 
of the  Leslie A. Whittington Excellence in Teaching Award. This 
national teaching award, given to one professor per year by the Network 
of Schools of Public Policy, Affairs, and Administration (NASPAA), 
recognizes professors who make outstanding contributions to public 
policy education.

Congratulations all!

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    “Prison inmate forms super PAC; Cyber stalker worked as Romney,
    Gingrich campaign intern” <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73935>

Posted onJune 30, 2015 3:22 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73935>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

CPI reports. 
<http://www.publicintegrity.org/2015/06/30/17601/prison-inmate-forms-super-pac>

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    “In Search of Qualified FEC Commissioners”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73933>

Posted onJune 30, 2015 2:56 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73933>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Larry Noble blogs. 
<http://www.campaignlegalcenter.org/news/blog/clc-blog-search-qualified-fec-commissioners>

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    Why No Liberal Concurrences in Kennedy’s Obergefell Case?
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73931>

Posted onJune 30, 2015 2:55 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73931>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Jason Mazzone nails it. 
<http://balkin.blogspot.com/2015/06/the-kennedy-problem.html>

Would have been nice to have a more logical and coherent analysis in 
Obergefell.

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    “A court of one: Anthony Kennedy” <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73929>

Posted onJune 30, 2015 1:18 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73929>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

I have writtenthis oped 
<http://www.latimes.com/opinion/op-ed/la-oe-0702-hasen-kennedy-court-20150630-story.html>for 
the LA Times.  It begins:

    Forget the debate over whether the Supreme Court has taken a liberal
    turn. It is not a liberal court or a conservative court. It’s a
    Kennedy court. On major constitutional and statutory questions,
    Justice Anthony M. Kennedy’s views matter more than anything else.

    Liberals do have more to celebrate this term than in the recent
    past, from the same-sex marriage and Obamacare decisions, to a major
    housing discrimination case, to a surprising win for minority
    plaintiffs in a voting rights lawsuit. In all of those cases,
    Kennedy was in the majority, and all but one — Obamacare — were
    decided 5-4.

    But there were some victories for conservatives as well. The court
    blocked a key environmental rule on mercury pollution. It upheld
    Oklahoma’s lethal injection method. And it rejected an attempt to
    put a Texas voter identification law on hold even after a federal
    court found that the legislature intended to discriminate against
    minority voters. Kennedy was in the majority in these rulings.

It concludes:

    Driven by feeling over theory, Kennedy also has the frustrating
    habit of taking nondefinitive positions as he makes up his mind.
    He’s skeptical of racial preferences, but not so skeptical that he’s
    willing to completely jettison affirmative action. And so the law
    remains uncertain. He’s troubled by partisan gerrymandering, but is
    reluctant to police legislatures. And so the law remains uncertain.

    It’s crazy to have major social and public policy questions depend
    so much on Kennedy’s whim, not to say what he had for breakfast. But
    it could be worse. As much as liberals would love to see Kennedy
    retire and be replaced by another Elena Kagan or Sonia Sotomayor,
    depending on the next election, we could get another Samuel A. Alito
    Jr. or Antonin Scalia. Then we’ll be pining for the days when
    Kennedy ruled America.

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    Michael Morley on the SCOTUS AZ Redistricting Decision
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73927>

Posted onJune 30, 2015 1:16 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73927>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Here is a guest post fromMichael Morley 
<https://www.barry.edu/law/future-students/faculty/staff/mmorley.html>, 
whosearticle on the Elections Clause issue 
<http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2515096>was cited by 
Chief Justice Roberts in his AZ dissent:

    Yesterday, the Supreme Court upheld the use of independent
    redistricting commissions to redraw congressional district lines, by
    a bare 5-4 majority, in/Arizona State Legislature v. Arizona
    Independent Redistricting Commission/. The Elections Clause of the
    U.S. Constitution grants the power to regulate federal elections
    specifically to the “Legislature” of each state, rather than to the
    state as a whole. Arizona voters had enacted an initiative amending
    their state constitution transferring the state legislature’s
    authority to determine congressional district boundaries to a
    bipartisan independent commission. While the Court’s endorsement of
    such commissions is the opinion’s most immediate impact, there are
    other important aspects of the ruling that bear exploring.

    */First/*, and perhaps least surprisingly, the Court expressly
    affirmed that legislatures may delegate their power to regulate
    federal elections to other entities. Slip op. at 25. Interestingly,
    the only authority cited for this proposition is a concession by
    Petitioners’ counsel at oral argument./See id/. (citing Tr. of Oral
    Arg. 15-16). Nevertheless, this holding makes it more difficult for
    plaintiffs to challenge regulations, policies, or decisions
    regarding federal elections made by state or local officials on the
    grounds that the Elections Clause requires the legislature itself to
    make the determination (at least if the legislature has delegated
    authority to promulgate rules or make certain decisions). At most,
    perhaps state legislatures acting under the Elections Clause may be
    bound by the same nondelegation doctrine, such as it is, that
    ostensibly limits Congress in the exercise of its Article I, § 8 powers.

    */Second/*, the majority’s ruling represents a dramatic expansion of
    precedent because it not only allows entities other than a state’s
    institutional legislature to redraw congressional districts, but it
    permits the institutional legislature to be completely excluded from
    the process. Prior cases such as/Ohio ex rel. Davis v. Hildebrant/,
    241 U.S. 565 (1916), and/Smiley v. Holm/, 285 U.S. 355 (1932), had
    adopted a broad construction of the term “legislature,” as including
    any entities that exercise a state’s legislative authority. Neither
    of those precedents, however, allowed an institutional legislature
    to be completely excluded from regulating any aspects of federal
    elections. Under the majority’s approach, a state is free to decide
    that its “legislature” for purposes of the Elections Clause does not
    include its actual institutional legislature. The majority may have
    done better to adopt a compromise position, in which entities such
    as independent commissions may participate in the congressional
    redistricting process, but not to the complete exclusion of the
    institutional legislature (for example, by allowing the
    institutional legislature to veto the commission’s redistricting
    plan by a 2/3 or 3/4 vote).

    */Third/*, the majority’s opinion contains no limiting principle.
    While this case concerned only redistricting commissions, the
    Court’s reasoning appears to apply equally to all aspects of federal
    election law. In other words, the majority opinion appears to permit
    a state—whether through state constitutional amendment, public
    initiative or referendum, or even traditional legislative action—to
    vest complete authority over the rules governing federal elections
    in some entity other than the institutional legislature. In short,
    independent redistricting commissions may be just the beginning.
    Under the majority’s view, it seems that power to determine a
    state’s rules concerning voter registration, voter identification,
    voter list maintenance and updating, voter challenges, poll
    watchers, polling place locations and hours, and the complete host
    of other issues relating to federal elections may be completely
    vested in an ostensibly nonpartisan or bipartisan entity other than
    the institutional legislature.

    */Fourth/*, almost in passing, the majority disavows the
    “independent state legislature doctrine” that the Court had
    endorsed, albeit in/dicta/, in/McPherson v. Black/, 146 U.S. 1, 25
    (1892), and that had been adopted and followed by numerous state
    supreme courts throughout the nation’s history, as well as both
    Houses of Congress. The doctrine provides that a state constitution
    may not impose substantive restrictions or limits on a legislature’s
    authority to regulate federal elections, since the legislature
    derives this power directly and exclusively from the Elections
    Clause of the U.S. Constitution. Thus, in a clash between a state
    constitutional provision regulating federal elections and a state
    law enacted by the legislature, the state law generally has
    prevailed, even in situations where the outcome of an election
    hinged on the issue./See/Michael T. Morley,/Rethinking the Right to
    Vote Under State Constitutions/, 67 Vand. L. Rev. En Banc 189,
    198-204 (2014) (citing cases). The/Arizona Independent
    Redistricting/majority dismisses this doctrine, declaring: “Nothing
    in [the Elections] Clause instructs, nor has this Court ever held,
    that a state legislature may prescribe regulations on the time,
    place, and manner of holding federal elections in defiance of
    provisions of the State’s constitution.” Slip op. at 28. The Court
    did not mention, much less discuss, the state supreme court rulings
    on this issue it was overturning. This holding—perhaps the most
    significant and underappreciated side effect of the majority
    opinion—allows plaintiffs to continue raising state constitutional
    challenges to federal election laws, as Professor Josh Douglas has
    ably advocated./See/Joshua A. Douglas,/The Right to Vote Under State
    Constitutions/, 67 Vand. L. Rev. 89 (2014).

    */Finally/*, although the Justices’ votes largely broke down along
    traditional partisan lines, with Justice Kennedy siding with the
    liberal Justices, the Court’s ruling is unlikely to systematically
    benefit either Democrats or Republicans in the short term.
    Independent commissions strip legislatures of their power to engage
    in partisan gerrymandering, and they exist in states with both
    Democrat- and Republican-controlled legislatures.

    In the long run, however, the opinion might be most beneficial for
    Republicans. The Court’s interpretation of the Elections Clause
    likely would apply,/in pari materia/, to Article II’s Presidential
    Electors Clause, which permits the “Legislature” of each state to
    determine how presidential electors shall be chosen. California
    voters have a history of adopting initiatives that would never pass
    the Democrat-controlled legislature. The majority’s ruling keeps the
    door open for an initiative to allocate California’s electoral votes
    on a district-by-district basis (as Nebraska and Maine presently
    do), or based on the proportion of votes each presidential candidate
    receives statewide, rather than on a winner-take-all basis. This
    would break up California’s monolithic bloc of 54 electoral votes
    that are virtually guaranteed for the Democratic Presidential
    candidate and allow Republican candidates to realistically vie for a
    portion of them. One initiative to do so, the Make Our Vote Count
    Act, was proposed this election cycle, but failed to gain enough
    signatures to appear on the ballot. Should such a measure be
    adopted, we might see some of the liberal groups that
    filed/amicus/briefs ardently embracing direct democracy under the
    Article I Elections Clause take a much dimmer view of it in the
    Article II context.

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Posted inElections Clause <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=70>,Supreme 
Court <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=29>


    “Kobach lost but voting hurdles remain”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73925>

Posted onJune 30, 2015 12:16 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73925>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Wichita Eagle editorial. 
<http://www.kansas.com/opinion/editorials/article25794838.html>

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Posted inUncategorized <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=1>


    “‘Jiggery-Pokery': The Justices Have A Punny Way With Words”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73923>

Posted onJune 30, 2015 12:12 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73923>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

NPR reports. 
<http://www.npr.org/sections/itsallpolitics/2015/06/30/418645881/jiggery-pokery-the-justices-have-a-punny-way-with-words>

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Posted inSupreme Court <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=29>


    “Supreme Court Tacks Left, With Push From Disciplined Liberals”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73921>

Posted onJune 30, 2015 11:22 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=73921>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Adam Liptak assessment 
<http://www.nytimes.com/2015/07/01/us/supreme-court-tacks-left-with-push-from-disciplined-liberals.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&module=first-column-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news>of 
the term.

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Posted inSupreme Court <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=29>

-- 
Rick Hasen
Chancellor's Professor of Law and Political Science
UC Irvine School of Law
401 E. Peltason Dr., Suite 1000
Irvine, CA 92697-8000
949.824.3072 - office
949.824.0495 - fax
rhasen at law.uci.edu
http://www.law.uci.edu/faculty/full-time/hasen/
http://electionlawblog.org

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