[EL] ELB News and Commentary 2/19/16

Rick Hasen rhasen at law.uci.edu
Fri Feb 19 06:49:06 PST 2016 

    When Jeb Bush Drops Out This Weekend, Don’t Tell Us Money in
    Politics Doesn’t Matter <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80125>

Posted onFebruary 19, 2016 6:46 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80125>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

I’ve already writtenthe prebuttal in WaPo: 
<https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/money-cant-buy-jeb-bush-the-white-house-but-it-still-skews-politics/2016/01/14/7c920780-b554-11e5-9388-466021d971de_story.html>

    It iseasy
    <http://www.vox.com/polyarchy/2015/12/16/10294606/ad-spending-polls>todismiss
    <http://www.wsj.com/articles/why-the-2016-election-is-different-1451412444>asoverblown
    <http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2015/08/citizens-united-2016-121739>the
    concern about the outsize role of ultra-rich donors in the American
    political scene. Exhibit 1: Jeb Bush.Bush’s $100 million in super
    PAC fundraising
    <https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2015/07/31/bush-aligned-super-pac-nets-more-than-100-million/>was
    supposed to be part of a shock-and-awe campaign that would scare
    away competitors and give him a smooth path to the Republican
    presidential nomination. Well, it hasn’t worked out that way. Bush
    has been polling toward the bottom in the Republican race despite
    the war chest, and Donald Trump,who has spent little
    <https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/12/01/donald-trump-has-only-spent-217000-on-tv-ads-thats-absolutely-amazing/>on
    his campaign despite his billionaire status, has been on top.

    “Hurrah for Citizens United
    <http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2015/08/citizens-united-2016-121739>,”
    Politico’s Jack Shafer wrote in one representative piece. He
    asserted that worries about the 2010 Supreme Court ruling have been
    proved wrong. “Expectations that big money would float the
    best-financed candidate directly to the White House have yet to
    materialize this campaign season.”

    But this overly simplistic analysis misses the key role of money in
    contemporary American politics. In spite of the rhetoric of some
    campaign reformers, money doesn’t buy elections. Instead, it
    increases the odds of electoral victory and of getting one’s way on
    policies,tax breaks
    <http://www.nytimes.com/2015/12/30/business/economy/for-the-wealthiest-private-tax-system-saves-them-billions.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=first-column-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&_r=0>and
    government contracts. And the presidential race is the place we are
    least likely to see money’s effects. Looking to Congress and the
    states, though, we can see that the era of big moneyunleashed by the
    Supreme
    Court<http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2012/03/the_supreme_court_s_citizens_united_decision_has_led_to_an_explosion_of_campaign_spending_.html>is
    hurtling us toward a plutocracy in which the people with the
    greatest economic power can wield great political power through
    campaign donations and lobbying….

    The legacy of/Citizens United/is not about the ultra-wealthy simply
    buying elections or about politicians on the take. Money can’t buy
    you Jeb. Instead, we face a subtler but equally pernicious rise of a
    plutocratic class capturing private benefits for personal gain.

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Posted incampaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>,campaigns 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=59>,Supreme Court 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=29>


    “How Scalia’s Absence Impacts Democracy Rulings”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80123>

Posted onFebruary 19, 2016 6:44 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80123>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Eliza Newlin Carney reports. 
<http://prospect.org/article/how-scalias-absence-impacts-democracy-rulings>

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Posted inSupreme Court <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=29>


    “South Carolina Voters Are Getting Misleading Instructions About
    Voter ID” <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80121>

Posted onFebruary 19, 2016 6:41 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80121>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Think Progress reports. 
<http://thinkprogress.org/politics/2016/02/19/3750017/south-carolina-voters-are-getting-misleading-instructions-about-voter-id/> “Only 
in the fine print at the bottom does the poster concede that people 
without ID can still vote, and their ballots will be counted.”

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Posted inelection administration 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18>,The Voting Wars 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=60>


    Derek Muller Tracks the Natural Born Citizen Litigation
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80119>

Posted onFebruary 19, 2016 6:38 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80119>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

So you 
<http://excessofdemocracy.com/blog/2016/2/status-of-pending-natural-born-citizen-challenges-and-litigation-in-2016-presidential-election>(or 
I) don’t have to.

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Posted incampaigns <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=59>


    “Are Alabama election laws blocking third parties from the ballot?”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80117>

Posted onFebruary 19, 2016 6:36 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80117>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Leigh LaChine oped. 
<http://www.al.com/opinion/index.ssf/2016/02/are_alabama_election_laws_bloc.html#incart_river_index>

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Posted inballot access <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=46>


    “End Citizens United: Reform Group or Cash Cow?”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80115>

Posted onFebruary 19, 2016 6:28 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80115>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

TAP 
<http://prospect.org/article/end-citizens-united-reform-group-or-cash-cow>:

    In March of last year, a new organization with the arguably
    misleading name of End Citizens United began bombarding progressive
    donors with high-pressure fundraising emails tailor made to exploit
    grassroots passions over the toxic influence of corporate and
    billionaire money on elections.

    “Will you donate $3 or more to support our work toward reforming our
    campaign finance system and ultimately overturning Citizens United?”
    read one of the dozens of fundraising emails that has hit my inbox.
    End Citizens United is “dedicated to countering the disastrous
    effects of Citizens United and reforming our campaign finance
    system,” declares the group’s website.

    But despite such lofty rhetoric, the group has done virtually
    nothing to actually promote a constitutional amendment to
    overturn/Citizens United/, the 2010 Supreme Court ruling that
    deregulated political spending. Instead, the group is strictly a
    political action committee that has raised $6.8 million thanks to
    heavy spending on list rentals and fundraising overhead.

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Posted incampaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>,chicanery 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=12>


    “Want to vote in this state? You have to have a passport or dig up a
    birth certificate.” <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80113>

Posted onFebruary 19, 2016 6:21 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80113>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Must-read Sari 
Horwitz<https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-nation/wp/2016/02/19/how-kansas-has-become-a-battleground-state-for-voting-rights/>in 
WaPo on what’s the matter with Kansas (hint: It’s Kris Kobach.)

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Posted inelection administration 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18>,Election Assistance Commission 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=34>,fraudulent fraud squad 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=8>,The Voting Wars 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=60>


    “Automatic Registration Is The Latest Chapter In Fight Over Voting
    Rights” <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80111>

Posted onFebruary 19, 2016 6:20 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80111>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Pam Fessler reports 
<http://www.npr.org/2016/02/17/466986646/automatic-registration-is-the-latest-chapter-in-fight-over-voting-rights>for 
NPR.

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Posted inelection administration 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18>,The Voting Wars 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=60>


    As #SCOTUS Dithers, NC Scrambles on Court-Ordered Redistricting Map
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80108>

Posted onFebruary 18, 2016 8:56 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80108>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

WRAL 
<http://www.wral.com/lawmakers-move-to-change-congressional-primary-date-eliminate-runoff-elections/15388503/>:

    The elections date measure calls for a June 7 election, unless the
    U.S. Supreme Court steps in to stay the lower court order that
    demanded the new maps.

    So until March 15, candidates running under the maps drawn in 2011
    will have to keep running. If no stay is forthcoming, those results
    will be thrown out, and a new filing period for those who want to
    run for Congress under the new maps will open on March 16 and run
    though March 25.

I’m really, really surprised we have not yet heard from the Supreme 
Court on the stay order.  One might suppose it is because of the change 
in the schedule at the Court given Justice Scalia’s death. But the Court 
did manage to issue an emergency order related to a death penalty case 
yesterday. And if the Court simply divided 4-4, and no one had anything 
to write, we would have most likely simply seen an order denying the stay.

So not sure what’s happening. And the delay is causingsome chaos in NC 
<http://www.journalnow.com/news/elections/redistricting-will-create-chaos-forsyth-county-party-officials-say/article_bf3b5e1f-490b-53c0-847f-ae2d27d7feee.html>.

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Posted inredistricting <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=6>,Supreme Court 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=29>


    “Scalia’s Death Offers Best Chance in a Generation to Reshape
    Supreme Court” <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80106>

Posted onFebruary 18, 2016 8:47 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80106>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Excellent NYT article 
<http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/19/us/politics/scalias-death-offers-best-chance-in-a-generation-to-reshape-supreme-court.html?ref=politics&_r=0>by 
Adam Liptak:

    At-risk precedents run from campaign finance to commerce, from race
    to religion, and they include some signature Scalia projects, such
    as the Second Amendment,” said Lee Epstein, a law professor and
    political scientist at Washington University in St. Louis.

    “Some would go quickly, like Citizens United, and some would go
    slower,” she said. “But they’ll go.”

What was missing, though, was discussion of the OTHER upcoming vacancies 
on the Supreme Court, and how that affects the possible shifts in the 
Court.  More on that inmy Wonkblog piece from Monday 
<https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2016/02/15/the-battle-over-replacing-justice-scalia-is-just-the-start-of-a-war-over-the-supreme-court/>, The 
battle over replacing Justice Scalia is just the start of a war over the 
Supreme Court.

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Posted inSupreme Court <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=29>


    “A federal judge has refused to suspend Alabama’s photo voter
    identification requirement in upcoming elections”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80104>

Posted onFebruary 18, 2016 8:43 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80104>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

AP reports. 
<http://www.greenfieldreporter.com/view/story/d5bb20dc878f4af981e297c644552640/AL--Voter-ID?platform=hootsuite>

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Posted inUncategorized <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=1>


    “New Yorkers seek court order to keep Ted Cruz off the ballot in
    state Republican presidential primaries because he was born in
    Canada” <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80102>

Posted onFebruary 18, 2016 8:39 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80102>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

NYDN reports. 
<http://www.nydailynews.com/new-york/new-yorkers-seek-court-order-ted-cruz-ballot-article-1.2536639>

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Posted incampaigns <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=59>


    “Judges rule out up-or-down vote for state Supreme Court”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80100>

Posted onFebruary 18, 2016 8:33 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80100>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Charlotte Observer: 
<http://www.charlotteobserver.com/news/state/north-carolina/article61153192.html>

    A three-judge panel has decided a new option for choosing members of
    the North Carolina Supreme Court is unconstitutional.

    Lawyers were alerted Thursday to the judges’ ruling striking down
    the 2015 law creating “retention elections.” The Superior Court
    judges — Anna Mills Wagoner, Lisa Bell and Benjamin Alford — heard
    oral arguments earlier this week in a lawsuit challenging the concept.

    The law gives most sitting justices the option to be re-elected to
    additional eight-year terms without head-to-head matchups with
    challengers. Instead, the justice can choose to be elected in an
    up-or-down vote. It’s supposed to be used by Associate Justice Bob
    Edmunds for the first time this November.

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Posted injudicial elections <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=19>


    Hearing Monday Before Judge Leon in EAC Citizenship Form Lawsuit
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80098>

Posted onFebruary 18, 2016 8:17 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80098>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

So tweets Josh Gerstein. 
<https://twitter.com/joshgerstein/status/700446208490397696>

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Posted inUncategorized <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=1>


    “NBC10 Investigators Uncover Allegations of Voter Fraud in
    Harrisburg” <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80096>

Posted onFebruary 18, 2016 1:03 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80096>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Not really voter 
fraud<http://www.nbcphiladelphia.com/news/politics/voter-fraud-ghost-voting-harrisburg-369312361.html>but 
LEGISLATOR voting fraud. Ghost voting.

John Oliver featured that in his recent excellentLast Week Tonight 
segment. <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rHFOwlMCdto>

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Posted inUncategorized <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=1>


    “National Poll Highlights What Republican Voters Really Think”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80094>

Posted onFebruary 18, 2016 12:57 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80094>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Release 
<https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/fairvote/pages/3223/attachments/original/1455818689/National_Poll_Highlights_What_Republican_Voters_Really_Think.pdf?1455818689>:

    The College of William of Mary and the nonpartisan electoral reform
    organization FairVote have released a report on a national survey
    offering new insights into voter preferences and views on electoral
    reform. In partnership with YouGov and scholars Alan Abramowitz
    (Emory University) and Walter Strone (UC-Davis), they conducted a
    national online survey of a representative sample of 1,000
    Republican and independent voters, with half of the sample from
    January 21-25 (before the Iowa caucuses) and half from February 4-8
    (before the New Hampshire primary).

    The new survey’s innovative methodology incorporated presidential
    candidate rankings (with more than nine in ten respondents ranking
    all 11 candidates who were surveyed), issue analyses, and opinions
    on electoral reforms. “Our survey provides journalists, pollsters,
    and campaigns with valuable insights into voter preferences that
    have been largely overlooked in national polling,” said FairVote
    executive director Rob Richie.

    The full report
    <http://www.fairvote.org/national_poll_highlights_what_republican_voters_really_think>,
    with analyses and appendices with all responses and crosstab
    information for questions involving electoral reform, is available
    at FairVote.org. The ranking data is also presented at
    /http://www.GOP2016poll.com <http://www.gop2016poll.com/>/ with an
    interactive data tool that allows users to see how candidates fare
    against each one-on-one, who is the second choice of backers of
    different candidates and which candidate would win under a ranked
    choice voting, “instant runoff” election system.

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Posted inalternative voting systems 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=63>,campaigns 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=59>


    “Million-Dollar Donors Gave 24% of Money for all candidates and
    their Super PACs, 42% for Cruz, 38% for Rubio”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80092>

Posted onFebruary 18, 2016 12:49 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80092>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Campaign Finance Institute report. 
<http://www.cfinst.org/Press/PReleases/16-02-18/Sources_of_Presidential_Candidates%E2%80%99_Campaign_Super_PAC_Dollars_in_2015.aspx>

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Posted incampaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>


    Despicable But Predictable Dep’t <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80089>

Posted onFebruary 18, 2016 12:23 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80089>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

True the Vote fundraising email suggests Hillary Clinton will try to 
steal the next presidential election.

Screen Shot 2016-02-18 at 3.22.13 PM 
<http://electionlawblog.org/wp-content/uploads/Screen-Shot-2016-02-18-at-3.22.13-PM.png>

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Posted infraudulent fraud squad <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=8>


    “A.C.L.U. Challenges Kansas Voter Law Requiring Proof of
    Citizenship” <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80087>

Posted onFebruary 18, 2016 12:17 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80087>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

NYT reports. 
<http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/19/us/aclu-challenges-kansas-voter-law-requiring-proof-of-citizenship.html?smid=tw-share>

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Posted inelection administration 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18>,The Voting Wars 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=60>


    “And then there were 10: Field Guides to Ensuring Voter Intent”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80085>

Posted onFebruary 18, 2016 12:16 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80085>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Electionline Weekly 
<http://www.electionline.org/index.php/electionline-weekly>:

    We’ve always believed that democracy is a design problem — that
    design can help solve the biggest problems in elections.

    The trouble is that even though there is a lot of good research
    evidence for the power of good design principles applied to an
    election challenge, it’s hard to make the leap from the research to
    its practical application.

    And so, theField Guides for Ensuring Voter Intent
    <http://civicdesign.org/fieldguides/>were born.

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Posted inUncategorized <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=1>


    “Putting California’s Voter Turnout in Conxtext”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80083>

Posted onFebruary 18, 2016 12:15 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80083>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

New repor <http://www.ppic.org/main/publication.asp?i=1176>t from PPIC.

Share 
<https://www.addtoany.com/share#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%3Fp%3D80083&title=%26%238220%3BPutting%20California%26%238217%3Bs%20Voter%20Turnout%20in%20Conxtext%26%238221%3B&description=>
Posted invoting <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=31>


    “TV Stations on Political Ads: Take the Money and Run”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80081>

Posted onFebruary 18, 2016 12:05 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80081>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Meredith McGehee blogs. 
<http://www.campaignlegalcenter.org/news/blog/tv-stations-political-ads-take-money-and-run>

Share 
<https://www.addtoany.com/share#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%3Fp%3D80081&title=%26%238220%3BTV%20Stations%20on%20Political%20Ads%3A%20Take%20the%20Money%20and%20Run%26%238221%3B&description=>
Posted incampaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>


    “ACLU Files Lawsuit on Behalf of Thousands of Kansans Blocked From
    Voting Over Illegal Documentation Requirement”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80079>

Posted onFebruary 18, 2016 12:03 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80079>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Press release 
<https://www.aclu.org/news/aclu-files-lawsuit-behalf-thousands-kansans-blocked-voting-over-illegal-documentation>:

Kansans trying to register to vote at their state Department of Motor 
Vehicles offices are illegally being forced to provide additional 
documentation of citizenship, according to a new lawsuit brought by the 
American Civil Liberties Union. As a result, more than 30,000 potential 
voters have been blocked from voting because of this bureaucratic 
hurdle….The complaint is at: 
https://www.aclu.org/legal-document/fish-v-kobach-complaint.

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<https://www.addtoany.com/share#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%3Fp%3D80079&title=%26%238220%3BACLU%20Files%20Lawsuit%20on%20Behalf%20of%20Thousands%20of%20Kansans%20Blocked%20From%20Voting%20Over%20Illegal%20Documentation%20Requirement%26%238221%3B&description=>
Posted inelection administration 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18>,The Voting Wars 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=60>


    “Voting in America: How Campaign Finance and Election Laws Threaten
    Democracy” <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80077>

Posted onFebruary 18, 2016 11:58 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=80077>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Watchthis National Constitution Center event 
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SeFciPYW8mI>from earlier today 
featuring Ned Foley, Judge Jeremy Fogel, and me.

Share 
<https://www.addtoany.com/share#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%3Fp%3D80077&title=%26%238220%3BVoting%20in%20America%3A%20How%20Campaign%20Finance%20and%20Election%20Laws%20Threaten%20Democracy%26%238221%3B&description=>
Posted incampaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>,election 
administration <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18>,The Voting Wars 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=60>

-- 
Rick Hasen
Chancellor's Professor of Law and Political Science
UC Irvine School of Law
401 E. Peltason Dr., Suite 1000
Irvine, CA 92697-8000
949.824.3072 - office
949.824.0495 - fax
rhasen at law.uci.edu
http://www.law.uci.edu/faculty/full-time/hasen/
http://electionlawblog.org

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