[EL] ELB News and Commentary 5/18/16

Rick Hasen rhasen at law.uci.edu
Wed May 18 07:34:02 PDT 2016


    “A Supreme Court Not So Much Deadlocked as Diminished”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82874>

Posted onMay 18, 2016 7:27 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82874>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Smart Adam Liptak piece. 
<http://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/18/us/politics/consensus-supreme-court-roberts.html?ref=politics>

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Posted inSupreme Court <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=29>


    “Why ‘Getting Money Out Of Politics’ Hurts The Little Guy”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82872>

Posted onMay 18, 2016 7:25 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82872>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Brad Smith 
writes<http://thefederalist.com/2016/05/18/why-getting-money-out-of-politics-hurts-the-little-guy/>for 
The Federalist.

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Posted incampaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>


    “Democrats’ latest Supreme Court tactic: No recess till
    confirmation” <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82870>

Posted onMay 18, 2016 7:23 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82870>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

WaPo: 
<https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2016/05/18/democrats-latest-supreme-court-tactic-no-recess-till-confirmation/>

    For three months, Senate Democrats have hammered their Republican
    counterparts over their refusal to take up President Obama’s Supreme
    Court nominee. Now House Democrats are looking to do some hammering
    of their own.

    Six of them plan to introduce a House bill Wednesday aimed at
    pressuring Republicans in both houses on the Supreme Court issue.
    The “Senate’s Court Obligations Trump Unconstitutional Stalling,” or
    SCOTUS, resolution would force Congress to remain in session through
    the summer recess — and hence the national party conventions — if
    the Senate has not held hearings on a pending Supreme Court
    nomination by July 19.

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Posted inSupreme Court <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=29>


    Is Sanders Undermining Democratic Party with Claims of Rigged
    Nomination? <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82868>

Posted onMay 18, 2016 7:08 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82868>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Josh Marshall: 
<http://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/it-comes-from-the-very-top>

    Sanders narrative today has essentially been that he*/is/*political
    legitimacy. The Democratic party needs to realize that. This, as I
    said earlier, is the problem with lying to your supporters. Sanders
    is telling his supporters that he can still win, which he can’t.
    He’s suggesting that the win is being stolen by a corrupt
    establishment, an impression which will be validated when his phony
    prediction turns out not to be true. Lying like this sets you up for
    stuff like happened over the weekend in Nevada.

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Posted incampaigns <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=59>


    “Judge slams Kansas voter ID law’s ‘magnitude of harm'”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82866>

Posted onMay 18, 2016 7:01 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82866>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

AP 
<http://www.cbsnews.com/news/judge-kansas-rejects-citizenship-proof-to-vote/>:

    A judge said Tuesday that Kansas can’t require people to show proof
    of U.S. citizenship when registering to vote for federal elections
    at motor vehicle offices.

    U.S. District Judge Julie Robinson ruled that the state’s
    proof-of-citizenship requirements likely violate a provision in the
    National Voter Registration Act that requires only “minimal
    information” to determine a voter’s eligibility. She ordered Kansas
    to register thousands of voters whose paperwork is on hold because
    they did not comply with the requirement. But she put her
    preliminary injunction on hold until May 31 to give the state a
    chance to appeal.

    The state immediately said it would appeal. Unless a higher court
    halts Robinson’s order before the end of the month, it would take
    effect then, clearing the way for those residents to cast a ballot
    in the upcoming federal elections.

    Robinson wrote that “even if instances of noncitizens voting cause
    indirect voter disenfranchisement by diluting the votes of citizens,
    such instances pale in comparison to the number of qualified
    citizens who have been disenfranchised by this law.”

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Posted inelection administration 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18>,The Voting Wars 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=60>


    Bauer on “Oligarchy” and Campaign Finance Reform
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82864>

Posted onMay 18, 2016 6:55 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82864>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Bauer 
<http://www.moresoftmoneyhardlaw.com/2016/05/evidence-reform-anti-reform-argument/>:

    The related but still distinguishable argument about political
    inequality has meant the same search for clinching proof that policy
    follows money and makes for a “rigged” system.  This week, the
    Center for Competitive Politicstook after
    <http://www.campaignfreedom.org/2016/05/13/are-plutocrats-really-uniting/>a
    widely reported paper about the correlation between the aspirations
    of the wealthy and the manufacture of public policy.  Noting that
    Rick Hasen and Larry Lessig had made use of the paper in arguing for
    a political equality theory of regulation, the CCP cited to critics
    of the scholarship and its conclusions.  In this critical view,
    which CCP evidently favors, there is substantial agreement across
    income groups about policy.  So the study that purportedly shows
    that we have a democracy of the rich cannot survive close scrutiny.
    CCP suggests that this should bring sharply into question the “lofty
    solutions” of reformers.

    This fight holds unfortunate temptations for both sides.  The
    advocates for more regulation want considerably more, and more
    aggressive, rules, and with the Congress in hostile hands and, until
    recently, a majority the Court unsympathetic, they can be drawn to
    improve their prospects with dramatic evidence.  Studies of interest
    but not fully conclusive or persuasive come to be promoted with a
    surplus of zeal: the marketing can go a little far, outpacing the
    strength of the product.  Along with this appetite for “smoking gun”
    evidence is a taste for the anecdotal, usually the contemporary
    “scandal” that is supposed to prove their point.

    But the adversaries of regulation have their own irresistible
    impulses: to get carried away in their rebuttals.  That a particular
    evidentiary claim is overstated is a point fairly made against
    overstatement.  It does not justify overlooking or dismissing what
    is left of substance in the claim.  Often this rejection of the
    evidence is rooted in ideology, which requires flat-out resistance
    to the reform project and a refusal to acknowledge any value in the
    data.

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Posted incampaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>


    “Donors can give nearly $500,000 to new joint fundraising effort
    between Trump and RNC” <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82862>

Posted onMay 17, 2016 8:32 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82862>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

WaPo 
<https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2016/05/17/donors-can-give-nearly-500000-to-new-joint-fundraising-effort-between-trump-and-rnc/?postshare=7171463541278955&tid=ss_tw>:

    Presumptive GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump will ask donors to
    give as much as $449,400 to support his White House bid and
    down-ballot candidates through a new fundraising agreement with the
    Republican National Committee announced Tuesday night.

    The**Trump Victory Fund — a joint committee between the Trump
    campaign, the RNC and 11 state parties — will solicit larger checks
    than have ever been sought by presidential nominees through such
    ventures, thanks to legal changes made in 2014 that expanded the
    fundraising abilities of national parties. Trump follows Democratic
    front-runner Hillary Clinton, who set up a joint fundraising
    committee with the Democratic National Committee last year that can
    accept up to $356,100 annually per donor.

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Posted incampaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>,campaigns 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=59>


    “Judge rules Kobach must register 18,000 suspended Kansas voters”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82857>

Posted onMay 17, 2016 5:52 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82857>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

The Wichita Eagle reports 
<http://www.kansas.com/news/politics-government/article78211487.html>.

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Posted inelection administration 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18>,The Voting Wars 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=60>


    “No ballot selfies during June 7 primary, state elections officials
    say” <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82855>

Posted onMay 17, 2016 5:50 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82855>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

LAT reports. 
<http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-pol-sac-essential-poli-no-ballot-selfies-on-june-7-say-state-elections-o-1463496675-htmlstory.html>

Oops 
<http://www.highlandnews.net/news/political/vote-early-and-take-a-ballot-selfie/article_4f2572e0-1bb2-11e6-bf65-4f6b158ff5e6.html#.Vztqia0VD-M.twitter>. 
Better tell San Bernardino.

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Posted incampaigns <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=59>


    Breaking: Federal District Court Issues Preliminary Injunction
    Against Kansas Proof of Citizenship Requirements for Registration at
    DMV <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82852>

Posted onMay 17, 2016 3:44 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82852>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

A federal district court has issuedthis 67-page opinion 
<http://electionlawblog.org/wp-content/uploads/fish-v-kobach.pdf>temporarily 
preventing Kansas from requiring those registering to vote at the DMV 
while getting or renewing licenses to provide documentary proof of 
citizenship.

 From the Court’s conclusion:

    Under the heightened preliminary injunction standard, Plaintiffs
    have sustained their burden of making a strong showing that they are
    likely to succeed on the merits of their claim that the Kansas DPOC
    law violates the NVRA provision that a motor voter
    registration application can require only the minimum amount of
    information necessary to enable state officials to assess an
    applicant’s eligibility to vote, and that they will suffer
    irreparable harm without an injunction. Without the injunction,
    approximately 18,000 Kansas motor voter registration applicants will
    be precluded from registering to vote solely based on their failure
    to provide DPOC. The record in this case suggests that there is a
    less burdensome way for the State to assess whether applicants meet
    the citizenship eligibility requirement; namely, by
    asking applicants to complete an attestation of citizenship under
    penalty of perjury.

    The injunction requires the Secretary of State to register to vote
    those applicants whose only infirmity was not having the opportunity
    to produce DPOC contemporaneously with their driver’s license
    applications, or later because of lack of consistent notice or
    reasonable opportunity to cure that infirmity. Although the Court is
    cognizant that the injunction will cause some administrative burden
    to the State, it is a burden that is outweighed by the risk of
    thousands of otherwise eligible voters being disenfranchised in
    upcoming federal elections. On balance, the public interest in the
    enfranchisement of otherwise eligible voters, the irreparable harm
    to prospective voters, the balance of harms, and Plaintiffs’ strong
    showing that they are likely to succeed on their claim that the DPOC
    law is preempted by NVRA § 5’s provision that the State only require
    the minimum amount of information necessary for the State to assess
    citizenship of the applicant, justifies entry of this preliminary
    injunction.

The order is stayed until the end of the month to give Kansas time to 
implement this or seek a stay from the 10th Circuit.

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Posted inelection administration 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18>,The Voting Wars 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=60>


    “The Conspiracy Theory That the Clinton Campaign Stole Votes Makes
    No Sense” <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82850>

Posted onMay 17, 2016 2:04 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82850>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

The Nation reports. 
<http://www.thenation.com/article/the-conspiracy-theory-that-the-clinton-campaign-stole-votes-makes-no-sense/>

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Posted inelection administration 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18>,fraudulent fraud squad 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=8>


    Breaking: Federal Court Strikes Down Key Montana Contribution
    Limits, Setting Up Quick 9th Circuit Battle and Potential SCOTUS
    Deadlock <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82847>

Posted onMay 17, 2016 12:52 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82847>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Senior federal district court judgeCharles Lovell 
<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles_C._Lovell>has issuedthis 30 page 
opinion 
<http://electionlawblog.org/wp-content/uploads/lair.pdf> granting 
summary judgment to plaintiffs challenging key provisions of Montana’s 
campaign finance law, including individual and committee contributions 
to candidates for governor and state offices. This case has been 
bouncing around for years, and has been on remand from the 9th Circuit, 
but at bottom the trial court found the following: applying the 9th 
Circuit’s earlier opinion in this case and the Supreme Court’s 
definition of corruption from/Citizens United/, the court could only 
uphold Montana’s limits if they were justified to prevent quid pro quo 
corruption or its appearance, and that the limits were closely drawn 
toward that purpose. In a brief (I’d say quite superficial) analysis, 
the court held that Montana satisfied neither prong of this test. The 
court held that there was not enough evidence of corruption or its 
appearance to justify the law, and in any case the real motivation for 
the law was to promote political equality, an impermissible interest. 
(There are shades of the debate at the Supreme Court in the /Arizona 
Free Enterprise//Club/case here.) The court further held there was not 
enough evidence that the limits were closely drawn (no surprise, since 
the judge found no real interest in the law).

So what happens next? I expect the state of Montana to seek emergency 
relief from the Ninth Circuit, and in the meantime (as happened last 
time) I expect the Republican Party of Montana to /quickly/flood the 
coffers of those they want to support while this order is in effect (see 
the end of the opinion, where this happened with a $500,000 contribution 
from the party the last time around). Right now there are NO individual 
contribution limits in Montana, and the judge invites the state to enact 
new limits the next time the Legislature is in session.

Not sure what the Ninth Circuit motions panel will do, but I expect that 
this case could well end up /en banc/before the Ninth Circuit, where the 
questionable earlier decision in this case (which seems to require way 
too much evidence of quid pro quo corruption to justify campaign 
contribution limits given Supreme Court precedent) will be reconsidered. 
There’s a good chance if this happens that the district court will be 
reversed. Then again,as I’ve argued 
<http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/jurisprudence/2014/04/the_subtle_awfulness_of_the_mccutcheon_v_fec_campaign_finance_decision_the.html>, 
the McCutcheon case (which gets very little attention in Judge Lovell’s 
opinion) contains some language making it much easier to challenge 
contribution limit laws as violating the First Amendment.

Either way, the matter could come before the Supreme Court, which is 
currently divided 4-4 on these issues, leaving the matter in the hands 
of the Ninth Circuit. As I’ve said, the absence of Justice Scalia has 
empowered the circuit courts and state supreme courts tremendously.

Here 
<http://www.kxlh.com/story/31996565/federal-judge-strikes-down-montanas-campaign-contribution-limits>is 
an early news story on what should be a case that will garner national 
attention.

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Posted incampaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>,Supreme 
Court <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=29>


    “Ben & Jerry’s Just Started A New Political Fight In North Carolina”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82845>

Posted onMay 17, 2016 9:56 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82845>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

HuffPo: 
<http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/ben-jerrys-voter-suppression_us_573a2c72e4b077d4d6f3bfa8>

    Ben & Jerry’s is churning out a campaign against laws that restrict
    access to voting.

    The ice cream giant on Tuesday announced a new flavor,Empower Mint
    <http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/ben-and-jerrys-empower-mint-ice-cream_us_57363be6e4b08f96c1833be0>,
    as part of the nascent effort to register voters in states where new
    rules meant to curbvirtually nonexistent
    <http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/04/29/voter-fraud-wisconsin_n_5235466.html> fraud
    threaten to keep eligible voters away from ballot boxes. The mint
    ice cream contains chunks of brownie and swirls of fudge.

    “There’s been an organized and coordinated attempt to keep certain
    groups of voters out of the process — people of color, low-income
    people, especially,” Jerry Greenfield, one of the Unilever-owned
    company’s co-founders, told The Huffington Post in an interview last
    week.

    “Instead of expanding voting and making the United States and
    democratic as it can be — setting an example for the rest of the
    world — there has been this effort to prevent people from voting
    when there’s been no evidence there’s any kind of problem with
    voting or voting fraud. It’s absurd,” said Greenfield.

    Ben & Jerry’s campaign, though national in scope, is centered on
    North Carolina, which has become a major political battleground
    during this fever-dream of an election year.

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Posted inThe Voting Wars <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=60>


    “BREAKING: Connecticut To Automatically Register 400,000 Voters”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82843>

Posted onMay 17, 2016 9:45 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82843>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Think Progress reports. 
<http://thinkprogress.org/politics/2016/05/17/3778976/connecticut-automatic-registration/>

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Posted inelection administration <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18>


    “Automatic Voter Registration in Oregon Is Revolutionizing American
    Democracy” <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82841>

Posted onMay 17, 2016 9:44 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82841>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Ari Berman writes 
<http://www.thenation.com/article/automatic-voter-registration-in-oregon-is-revolutionizing-american-democracy/>for 
The Nation.

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Posted inelection administration <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18>


    “Beyond Severability” <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82839>

Posted onMay 17, 2016 9:43 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82839>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

I just had a chance to read Lisa Manheim’sexcellent article 
<http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2614124>, 
forthcoming in the /Iowa Law Review/. Here is the abstract:

    Severability is a wrecking ball. Even the most cautious use of this
    doctrine demolishes statutes in contravention of legislative intent
    and without adequate justification. It does so through the
    imposition of an artificially restrictive framework: one that
    requires that courts respond to a statute’s constitutional flaw by
    disregarding that statute either in whole or in part. In the last
    few years alone, this framework has flattened the Voting Rights Act,
    threatened the Bankruptcy Code, and nearly toppled the Affordable
    Care Act. Yet courts apply severability reflexively, never demanding
    justification for its destructive treatment. Scholars, meanwhile,
    assiduously debate the particulars of the severability rules without
    questioning whether those rules should apply in the first place.
    This Article, the first to insist that severability justify its
    prominent position among the tools of statutory construction,
    concludes that it should be abolished. Courts should replace it with
    a fundamentally broader inquiry into, first, the interpretations of
    a constitutionally defective statute that would diffuse its
    constitutional defects, and, second, which among these options the
    legislature would prefer.

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Posted instatutory interpretation 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=21>,Supreme Court 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=29>


    “Super PAC Seeks IRS Audit of Clinton Foundation”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82837>

Posted onMay 17, 2016 9:40 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82837>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

WSJ 
<http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2016/05/16/super-pac-seeks-irs-audit-of-clinton-foundation/>:

    The conservative super PAC American Crossroads said Monday it filed
    a complaint with the Internal Revenue Service requesting an audit of
    the Clinton Foundation, following articles last week about how the
    foundation aided a for-profit company part-owned by people with ties
    to Bill and Hillary Clinton.

    The complaint by the group—founded by Karl Rove, a former political
    adviser to President George W. Bush and a writer for The Wall Street
    Journal’s op-ed pages—cites a Journal article as well as a New York
    Post article
    <http://nypost.com/2016/05/14/clinton-foundations-actions-highly-suspicious-watchdogs> that
    quoted government watchdogs criticizing the Clinton Foundation
    commitment.

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Posted incampaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>,campaigns 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=59>


    “Justice Sotomayor on Signaling in the Contraception Cases”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82835>

Posted onMay 17, 2016 8:21 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82835>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Must-read Richard Re. 
<http://prawfsblawg.blogs.com/prawfsblawg/2016/05/justice-sotomayor-on-signaling-in-zubik.html>

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Posted inSupreme Court <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=29>


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Rick Hasen
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UC Irvine School of Law
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