[EL] Media-vote suppression

[John Tanner]

FWIW, l have always heard that it was bad poll numbers for X that drove down turnout for X, and that certainly accords with candidates' emphasizing the positive in talking about their poll numbers.   
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> On Nov 13, 2016, at 3:29 PM, Hess, Doug <HESSDOUG at Grinnell.EDU> wrote:
> 
> This is an interesting question. I don’t know if it has been studied. The reverse question--if you think an election is close, are you more likely to vote?--might also be worth thinking about. The dynamics may not be symmetrical however. However, if campaigns think an election is close in a jurisdiction, they are likely to put more resources into it which can lead to greater turnout, so it becomes complex (in a classic social  science way) issue to study.
>  
> Douglas R Hess
> Assistant Professor of Political Science
> On research leave for Fall Semester 2016.
> http://www.douglasrhess.com
>  
> Grinnell College
> 1210 Park Street, Carnegie Hall #309
> Grinnell, IA 50112
> phone: 641-269-4383
>  
>  
> From: joseph.e.larue [mailto:joseph.e.larue at gmail.com] 
> Sent: Saturday, November 12, 2016 8:42 AM
> To: Election Law Listserve <law-election at department-lists.uci.edu>
> Subject: [EL] Media-vote suppression
>  
> Has anyone given any thought, or seen any surveys, on what effect the media might have had on the Democratic vote? For several weeks leading up to the election, much of the media was proclaiming a big Clinton win. I'm wondering whether that might have suppressed the Democratic vote, by causing some Democrats to feel that their vote was not really needed and so helping them decide to skip the lines on Election Day. Just wondering if anyone has seen any surveys of voters that might indicate that type of effect.
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