[EL] Toobin and House Results -- Re: ELB News and Commentary 11/18/18
Mark Scarberry
mark.scarberry at pepperdine.edu
Sun Nov 18 17:21:40 PST 2018
Jeffrey Toobin, in the New Yorker article, writes:
"Even the good news from the election comes with a caveat, however.
According to an analysis by the Brennan Center for Justice, Democrats won
the over-all popular vote in the four hundred and thirty-five races for the
House of Representatives by about nine per cent, but they managed to
capture only a relatively narrow majority of seats. This is because the
district lines are so egregiously gerrymandered, especially in states fully
controlled by Republicans."
Assuming my math is correct:
A 9% margin would put the percentages at 54.5 to 45.5 (leaving aside third
parties). Out of 435 seats, 54.5% would be 237, and 45.5% would be 198. It
appears that, with a few races still to be decided, Democrats will have at
least 232 seats and Republicans will have at least 198. If the five other
raises split evenly, the division will be 234 or 235 Democrats, and 200 or
201 Republicans. Is this particularly disproportionate?
Mark
Prof. Mark S. Scarberry
Pepperdine Univ. School of Law
On Sun, Nov 18, 2018 at 4:09 PM, Rick Hasen <rhasen at law.uci.edu> wrote:
...
>
>
> Jeffrey Toobin Expresses Some Optimism About Voting Rights
> <https://electionlawblog.org/?p=102371>
>
> Posted on November 18, 2018 3:17 pm
> <https://electionlawblog.org/?p=102371> by *Rick Hasen*
> <https://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>
>
> Not so sure I agree with this one
> <https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2018/11/26/how-voting-rights-fared-in-the-midterms>
> .
>
> [image: Share]
> <https://www.addtoany.com/share#url=https%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%3Fp%3D102371&title=Jeffrey%20Toobin%20Expresses%20Some%20Optimism%20About%20Voting%20Rights>
>
> Posted in The Voting Wars <https://electionlawblog.org/?cat=60>
>
>
>
> ...
>
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