[EL] ELB News and Commentary 2/12/19

Mon Feb 11 21:02:53 PST 2019

“‘It’s the metric, 100 percent.’ Democratic presidential hopefuls increasingly see small-dollar donations as a sign of viability.”<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=103578>
Posted on February 11, 2019 8:59 pm<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=103578> by Rick Hasen<https://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

WaPo reports.<https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/its-the-metric-100-percent-democratic-presidential-hopefuls-increasingly-see-small-dollar-donations-as-a-sign-of-viability/2019/02/11/2d3647d0-28bc-11e9-8eef-0d74f4bf0295_story.html?utm_term=.f031a4eb3207>
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Posted in campaign finance<https://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>, campaigns<https://electionlawblog.org/?cat=59>

“Tired of caucusing on a cold winter night? Iowa Democrats move closer to an optional tele-caucus format”<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=103576>
Posted on February 11, 2019 8:58 pm<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=103576> by Rick Hasen<https://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

WaPo reports.<https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/tired-of-caucusing-on-a-cold-winter-night-iowa-democrats-move-closer-to-an-optional-tele-caucus-format/2019/02/11/f936e4ac-2e34-11e9-813a-0ab2f17e305b_story.html?utm_term=.768ed6517111>
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Posted in primaries<https://electionlawblog.org/?cat=32>

New NBER Study Finds Voter ID Laws Have Little to No Effect on Voter Turnout or Fraud Prevention<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=103574>
Posted on February 11, 2019 4:35 pm<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=103574> by Rick Hasen<https://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

New paper:<https://www.nber.org/papers/w25522>

Strict ID Laws Don’t Stop Voters: Evidence from a U.S. Nationwide Panel, 2008-2016

Enrico Cantoni<https://www.nber.org/people/enrico_cantoni>, Vincent Pons<https://www.nber.org/people/vincent_pons>

NBER Working Paper No. 25522
Issued in February 2019
NBER Program(s):Political Economy<https://www.nber.org/papersbyprog/POL.html>

U.S. states increasingly require identification to vote – an ostensive attempt to deter fraud that prompts complaints of selective disenfranchisement. Using a difference-in-differences design on a 1.3-billion-observations panel, we find the laws have no negative effect on registration or turnout, overall or for any group defined by race, gender, age, or party affiliation. These results hold through a large number of specifications and cannot be attributed to mobilization against the laws, measured by campaign contributions and self-reported political engagement. ID requirements have no effect on fraud either – actual or perceived. Overall, our results suggest that efforts to reform voter ID laws may not have much impact on elections.
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Posted in voter id<https://electionlawblog.org/?cat=9>

Census Challengers in NY Case Agree That If Supreme Court Review is Necessary, It is Better to Review Now and Skip the Second Circuit<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=103572>
Posted on February 11, 2019 4:33 pm<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=103572> by Rick Hasen<https://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

From the NY brief<https://www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/18/18-966/87818/20190211110029183_18-966BriefForGovernmentRespondents.pdf>:

Respondents recognize, however, that the resolution of this dispute over the Secretary’s decision to add a citizenship question to the decennial census has consequences for the Nation that may lead this Court to conclude that its review is warranted, despite the narrow and well-grounded nature of the factual and legal conclusions presented. If the Court determines that this case will eventually require its review, whether on a writ of certiorari or on a stay application during or after review by the court of appeals, then the Court should grant certiorari before judgment and issue an expedited briefing schedule. As petitioners explain, there is insufficient time for two levels of merits review before June 30, 2019, the date that petitioners represent as the firm deadline for finalizing the census questionnaire for printing. And if this Court is inclined to review the case, it should do so now, rather than on an application for a stay at some later date, when there is no longer time for full briefing and argument.
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Posted in Uncategorized<https://electionlawblog.org/?cat=1>

“Updated: Small-Donor Matching Funds for New York State Elections: A Policy Analysis of the Potential Impact and Cost”<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=103570>
Posted on February 11, 2019 4:26 pm<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=103570> by Rick Hasen<https://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Updated Campaign Finance Institute report<http://www.cfinst.org/Press/PReleases/19-02-11/Revised_Small-Donor_Matching_Funds_for_New_York_State_Elections.aspx>.
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Posted in campaign finance<https://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>, campaigns<https://electionlawblog.org/?cat=59>

--
Rick Hasen
Chancellor's Professor of Law and Political Science
UC Irvine School of Law
401 E. Peltason Dr., Suite 1000
Irvine, CA 92697-8000
949.824.3072 - office
rhasen at law.uci.edu<mailto:rhasen at law.uci.edu>
http://www.law.uci.edu/faculty/full-time/hasen/
http://electionlawblog.org<http://electionlawblog.org/>
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