[EL] ELB News and Commentary 5/6/19
Doug Spencer
dougspencer at gmail.com
Mon May 6 19:38:05 PDT 2019
Brad,
The Comparative Study of Electoral Systems
<http://www.cses.org/datacenter/module1/module1.htm> (CSES) has a similar
question from 1996 that included 1,534 U.S. respondents. The question was:
In some countries, people believe their elections are conducted fairly. In
> other countries, people believe that their elections are conducted
> unfairly. Thinking of the last election in the United States, where would
> you place it on this scale of one to five where ONE means that the last
> election was conducted fairly and FIVE means that the last election was
> conducted unfairly?
This question doesn't directly capture public confidence or the accuracy of
the final tally, but is more on point than the generic trust in government
questions that Charles referred to, that have been asked since the 1950s.
Anderson et al. dig deeper into the CSES data in their volume "Losers'
Consent: Elections and Democratic Legitimacy
<https://www.oxfordscholarship.com/view/10.1093/0199276382.001.0001/acprof-9780199276387>
."
Below are responses to the above question, comparing U.S. respondents to
all others (38 countries):
By number:
1 2 3 4 5 DK/Missing
US 746 394 227 92 54 21
ALL 26066 10818 8148 3096 3491 10790
By percent:
1 2 3 4 5 DK/Missing
US 48.6 25.7 14.8 6.0 3.5 1.3
ALL 41.8 17.3 13.1 5.0 5.6 19.2
---
*Douglas M. Spencer*
*Professor of Law & Public Policy*
University of Connecticut
*Visiting Professor, 2018-2019*
Harris Public Policy
University of Chicago
(415) 335-9698 | www.dougspencer.org
*Social Impact, Down to a Science.*
On Mon, May 6, 2019 at 1:16 PM Lisa Bryant <lbryant at csufresno.edu> wrote:
> Atkeson, Alvarez and Hall discuss confidence as a new measure in the
> post-2000 election environment (and how to measure it) in this piece:
> https://www.liebertpub.com/doi/abs/10.1089/elj.2014.0293?src=recsys&journalCode=elj
>
> Lisa
>
>
>
> On Mon, May 6, 2019 at 11:13 AM Charles H Stewart <cstewart at mit.edu>
> wrote:
>
>> I’ve worked on this question in a couple of published and unpublished
>> papers, and I believe I’ve found every instance of the question (and its
>> variants) being asked. The year 2000 seems to be the first. I just
>> checked the Roper Center, and the first instance of such a question seems
>> to have been asked by CBS/NYT in a survey in the field November 10-12, 2000.
>>
>>
>>
>> Political scientists asked general questions about trust in government
>> before then, but that’s not the same thing.
>>
>>
>>
>> Charles
>>
>>
>>
>> *From:* Law-election [mailto:
>> law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu] *On Behalf Of *Smith, Brad
>> *Sent:* Monday, May 06, 2019 1:57 PM
>> *To:* Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>
>> *Subject:* Re: [EL] ELB News and Commentary 5/6/19
>>
>>
>>
>> Does anyone know of data on public confidence in U.S. election results
>> that predates 2000? Gallup has been asking voters since 2004, and there is
>> some data for 2000, but I'm not familiar with any earlier polling on it.
>> Any info would be appreciated.
>>
>> Here is Gallup' question since 2004:
>>
>> "How confident are you that, across the country, the votes will be
>> accurately cast and counted in this year's election?"
>>
>>
>>
>> *Bradley A. Smith*
>>
>> *Josiah H. Blackmore II/Shirley M. Nault*
>>
>> * Professor of Law*
>>
>> *Capital University Law School*
>>
>> *303 E. Broad St.*
>>
>> *Columbus, OH 43215*
>>
>> *614.236.6317*
>>
>> *http://law.capital.edu/faculty/bios/bsmith.aspx
>> <http://law.capital.edu/faculty/bios/bsmith.aspx>*
>> ------------------------------
>>
>> | tokaji.1 at osu.edu
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