[EL] How Many Absentee Votes Would Normally Be Expected in WI
Pildes, Rick
rick.pildes at nyu.edu
Wed Apr 8 06:23:38 PDT 2020
I might post on this, but before doing so, I wanted to check a figure with election administrators or others on the list -
My understanding is that election administrators normally expect about 80% of the absentee ballots that are sent out to be returned.
If that's a correct rule of thumb, how do things look as of now in WI? There were 1.287 M requests for absentee ballots (I will use that higher figure, rather than the number sent out, which is about 12,000 lower). 80% of that would be 1.03 M, which would be the number of absentee ballots we would then normally expect to be returned.
As of 7.30 am today, 1.02 M absentee ballots have been returned. That number will continue to grow over the next week, given that these ballots are valid if received by April 13th.
I have not tracked down data on this, but I assume others can tell me whether that 80% figure is roughly correct under normal circumstances.
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