[EL] Where were the New Minority Reps Elected?

David Lublin dlublin at american.edu
Thu Dec 3 13:26:41 PST 2020


Dear Colleagues:

I did a piece on this regarding 2018 for the Washington Post on African
Americans showing that almost all won in non-Hispanic white districts of
the sort that have rarely elected African Americans in the past.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2018/11/19/this-november-eight-mostly-white-districts-elected-black-members-of-congress-thats-a-breakthrough/

The picture for 2020 is more mixed despite the presence of more
Republicans. Most newly elected Black and Latino Members of Congress won in
the sorts of districts that have traditionally elected them. Among Blacks,
only two of eight follow the 2018 model of winning in districts with clear
non-Hispanic white majorities.

Among the *eight new Black members*:

2 are GOP elected from GOP type White majority districts, Burgess Owens (UT
4) and Donalds (FL 19).

2 replace Black Democrats elected from Black majority districts, Williams
(GA 5) and Bush (MO 1). Williams won her seat after the passing of Rep.
John Lewis. Bush beat incumbent Clay in a primary.

2 are Black Democrats replacing white Democrats in mixed Black/Latino
majority districts of the sort that often elected African Americans
previously. Bowman beat white incumbent Engel in a primary in a district
where Blacks and Latinos are together a large majority (NY 16). Torres (NY
16) is Afro-Latino and his district is majority Latino but with a sizable
Black minority.

2 fit the 2018 development of Blacks elected from WMDs, Jones (NY 17), and
Strickland (WA 10). Strickland is  Afro-Asian.

Among the *six new Latino members*:

4 are Republicans with two elected from Miami Cuban districts (Giménez in
FL 16, Salazar in FL 17), and two elected from other Latino majority
districts that have also elected GOP recently (Valadao in CA 21, Gonzales
in TX 23). Valadao was an incumbent defeated in 2018 who returned to take
back his seat. He's of Portuguese descent so some might not consider him
Latino. Gonzales replaced retiring Black Republican Hurd.

2 are Democrats replacing other Latino Democrats with one elected from a
Latino majority district (NY 15) and the other from a majority-minority
district where Latinos are the plurality greater than 40% (NM 3).

Among the *three new Asians*:

2 are GOP from districts with large (but nowhere near majority) Asian pop
(Kim in CA 39, Steel in CA 48). The third is an Afro-Asian elected from an
under 10% Asian district (unless the district has had a major increase in
the Asian pop).

Best regards,
David

-- 
David Lublin
Professor and Chair
Department of Government
School of Public Affairs
American University
4400 Massachusetts Ave.
Washington, D.C. 20016
http://davidlublin.com/
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