[EL] ELB News and Commentary 12/31/20

[Rick Hasen]

Here’s to a healthier and happier 2021!

“Sen. Sasse calls effort to overturn electoral college vote a ‘dangerous ploy’<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=120134>
Posted on December 31, 2020 7:34 am<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=120134> by Rick Hasen<https://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

WaPo:<https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/sasse-letter-electoral-college-ploy/2020/12/31/44da8dba-4b65-11eb-a9d9-1e3ec4a928b9_story.html?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=wp_politics>

Sen. Ben Sasse (R-Neb.) on Thursday called the effort in Congress to reverse President-elect Joe Biden’s electoral college victory a “dangerous ploy,” underscoring the challenge President Trump faces in persuading even members of his own party to join it.

In an open letter to constituents, Sasse wrote that there is no evidence of fraud so widespread that it could change the results and said he has urged his colleagues to reject “a project to overturn the election.”

“All the clever arguments and rhetorical gymnastics in the world won’t change the fact that this January 6th effort is designed to disenfranchise millions of Americans simply because they voted for someone in a different party,” Sasse wrote on Facebook<https://www.facebook.com/SenatorSasse/posts/3517705981660655>. “We ought to be better than that.”

His letter followed Wednesday’s announcement by Sen. Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) that he will object next week when Congress convenes to certify the electoral college vote, a move that will force a contentious floor debate that top Senate Republicans had hoped to avoid.

It is worth reading Sen. Sasse’s full post.<https://www.facebook.com/SenatorSasse/posts/3517705981660655>
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Posted in Uncategorized<https://electionlawblog.org/?cat=1>


California Court of Appeal Unanimously Affirms City of Santa Clara’s Liability in California Voting Rights Act Case, First to Trial Involving Asian-American Plaintiffs<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=120132>
Posted on December 31, 2020 7:30 am<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=120132> by Rick Hasen<https://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

This<https://www.courts.ca.gov/opinions/documents/H046105.PDF> is an important decision.
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Posted in Uncategorized<https://electionlawblog.org/?cat=1>


Josh Douglas: “The real reason you need to worry about Hawley’s objection to Biden victory”<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=120130>
Posted on December 31, 2020 7:16 am<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=120130> by Rick Hasen<https://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Josh Douglas<https://www.cnn.com/2020/12/30/opinions/election-results-josh-hawley-joe-biden-douglas/index.html> for CNN Opinion:

Don’t be too nervous about Republican Sen. Josh Hawley’s announcement<https://urldefense.com/v3/__https:/nam04.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https*3A*2F*2Ftwitter.com*2FHawleyMO*2Fstatus*2F1344307458085412867&data=04*7C01*7Cjoshuadouglas*40uky.edu*7C5d1a8b723bc14cfcbf9708d8ad1e0aec*7C2b30530b69b64457b818481cb53d42ae*7C0*7C0*7C637449692118307867*7CUnknown*7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0*3D*7C1000&sdata=fgvHxFlUkXo1yrHunFdlpamfhpJ6G8EJkCmM80s5fDU*3D&reserved=0__;JSUlJSUlJSUlJSUlJSUlJSUlJQ!!AQdq3sQhfUj4q8uUguY!xFDMHdH2TVVjii3gf5Ghy4nrYpqds2MRDpKllYyR7v46uhYz1N3Yz4h1sTlvzTCeyy-rnezg$> that he will object to the certification<https://urldefense.com/v3/__https:/nam04.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https*3A*2F*2Fwww.cnn.com*2F2020*2F12*2F30*2Fpolitics*2Fjosh-hawley-force-votes-electoral-college-results*2Findex.html&data=04*7C01*7Cjoshuadouglas*40uky.edu*7C5d1a8b723bc14cfcbf9708d8ad1e0aec*7C2b30530b69b64457b818481cb53d42ae*7C0*7C0*7C637449692118317826*7CUnknown*7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0*3D*7C1000&sdata=M3RK*2FW2Fg3b4zrhhFUYcLDQClNyvdmlS1I4o8poJ314*3D&reserved=0__;JSUlJSUlJSUlJSUlJSUlJSUlJSUlJSU!!AQdq3sQhfUj4q8uUguY!xFDMHdH2TVVjii3gf5Ghy4nrYpqds2MRDpKllYyR7v46uhYz1N3Yz4h1sTlvzTCey5bFsalv$> of Joe Biden as President when Congress meets on Jan. 6. His ploy won’t stop Biden from taking the oath of office on Jan. 20. But it should make everyone concerned about the long-term health of our democracy.
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Posted in chicanery<https://electionlawblog.org/?cat=12>, electoral college<https://electionlawblog.org/?cat=44>


Trump Campaign Files Yet Another Quixotic Supreme Court Petition Seeking to Overturn Election Results from Wisconsin, Misspelling “Laches”<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=120128>
Posted on December 31, 2020 7:13 am<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=120128> by Rick Hasen<https://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Can’t make this stuff up<https://twitter.com/johnkruzel/status/1344452650855784450>:
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Posted in fraudulent fraud squad<https://electionlawblog.org/?cat=8>, Supreme Court<https://electionlawblog.org/?cat=29>


Pennsylvania, Opposing Trump Effort to Expedite Consideration of One of Its Bonkers Election Challenges, Calls Argument About Trump’s Delay “Profoundly Incoherent”<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=120126>
Posted on December 31, 2020 7:11 am<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=120126> by Rick Hasen<https://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

The opposition<https://www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/20/20-845/165063/20201230170629712_Secretary%20Boockvar%20Response%20in%20Opposition%20to%20Motion%20to%20Expedite.pdf> also says this:

The Trump Campaign threatens that “if this matter is not timely resolved, not only Petitioner, but the Nation as a whole may suffer injury from the resulting confusion.” Motion at 5. But it is the Trump Campaign that has manufactured this confusion through its baseless attacks on the election, and now seeks to rely on that confusion to obtain relief. The Trump Campaign may seek refuge by constructing an alternative reality with alternative electors, but this Court should not indulge that effort. In courts of law, facts, evidentiary standards, legal doctrines, and the constitutionally prescribed method for electing the President of the United States are fundamental. As is deference to the will of the voters. Pennsylvania voters have made their choice for President, and that choice was ratified by the only Electoral College that actually exists.
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Posted in fraudulent fraud squad<https://electionlawblog.org/?cat=8>, Supreme Court<https://electionlawblog.org/?cat=29>


“Census Bureau to miss deadline, jeopardizing Trump plan”<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=120124>
Posted on December 30, 2020 4:47 pm<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=120124> by Rick Hasen<https://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

AP:<https://www.yahoo.com/news/census-bureau-miss-deadline-jeopardizing-211222551.html>

The Census Bureau will miss a year-end deadline for handing in numbers used for divvying up congressional seats, a delay that could undermine President Donald Trump’s efforts to exclude people in the country illegally from the count if the figures aren’t submitted before President-elect Joe Biden takes office.

The Census Bureau plans to deliver a population count of each state in early 2021, as close to the missed deadline as possible, the statistical agency said in a statement late Wednesday.

“As issues that could affect the accuracy of the data are detected, they are corrected,” the statement said. “The schedule for reporting this data is not static. Projected dates are fluid.”

It will be the first time that the Dec. 31 target date is missed since the deadline was implemented more than four decades ago by Congress.

Internal documents obtained earlier this month by the House Committee on Oversight and Reform show that Census Bureau officials don’t expect the apportionment numbers to be ready until days after Biden is inaugurated on Jan. 20.
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Posted in census litigation<https://electionlawblog.org/?cat=125>


My 2020 Opeds and Commentaries<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=120122>
Posted on December 30, 2020 4:42 pm<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=120122> by Rick Hasen<https://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

This has been quite a trying year for the country and its election system. I’ve chronicled much of that in the opeds below. Here’s to a healthier, happier, and more stable 2021 and beyond! Thanks for reading

More and More Republican Officials Are Standing Up to Trump and His Effort to Overturn the Election<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/12/republican-officials-who-have-gone-against-trump-barr-ducey-kemp.html>, Slate, Dec. 1, 2020

Trump’s Legal Farce is Having Tragic Results<https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/23/opinion/trump-election-courts.html?referringSource=articleShare>, N.Y. Times, Nov. 23, 2020

Trump Needs Three Consecutive Hail Mary Passes<https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/11/trump-needs-three-consecutive-hail-mary-passes/617063/>, The Atlantic, Nov. 11, 2020

What Happens If Trump Won’t Concede?<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/11/trump-concede-threat-legitimacy-biden.html>, Slate, Nov. 8, 2020

New Lawsuit to Halt Ballot Cures in Pennsylvania Could Preview Trump’s Postelection Strategy<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/11/election-day-2020-gop-lawsuit-pennsylvania-ballot-cures.html>, Slate, Nov. 3, 2020

Trump Can’t Just “Declare Victory,” Slate, Nov. 1, 2020
<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/11/if-trump-declares-victory-election-night-axios-nope.html>Our Biggest Election Day Concern<https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/01/opinions/our-biggest-election-day-concern-pildes-hasen/index.html>, CNN Opinion, Nov. 1, 2020 (with Richard H. Pildes)

Kavanaugh has wild ideas about voting. They likely won’t matter on Election Day<https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2020/10/27/brett-kavanaugh-election-opinion/>, Washington Post, Oct. 27, 2020

In a 4-4 Split, the Supreme Court Lets Pennsylvania Make Voting Easier—For Now<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/10/supreme-court-pennsylvania-election-law-order.html>, Slate, Oct. 19, 2020

We’re Living in the Shadows of Bush v. Gore 2.0<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/10/bush-v-gore-but-worse-barrett-scotus.html>, Slate, Oct. 19, 2020 (with Dahlia Lithwick)

What If There’s No Winner on November 4?<https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/19/opinions/election-us-close-trump-biden-hasen/index.html>, CNN Opinion, Oct. 19, 2020

A Key Fix for an Unthinkable Election Disaster<https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/05/opinions/a-key-fix-for-an-unthinkable-election-disaster-hasen/index.html>, CNN Opinion, Oct. 5, 2020

This Will Be a Crucial Week for Pandemic Voting Cases at the Supreme Court<https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/05/opinions/a-key-fix-for-an-unthinkable-election-disaster-hasen/index.html>, Slate, Oct. 5, 2020

Trump’s New Supreme Court Is Coming for the Next Dozen Elections<https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/10/trumps-new-supreme-court-is-coming-for-the-next-elections.html>, N.Y. Mag, Oct. 5, 2020

Electoral Chaos Might Ensue if Biden or Trump Were Forced Out of the Race<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/10/trump-positive-what-happens-if-candidate-incapacitated-or-dies.html>, Slate, Oct. 2, 2020

Don’t fall for claims of voter fraud<https://www.latimes.com/opinion/story/2020-09-25/absentee-ballots-luzerne-county-pennsylvania-william-barr-department-of-justice>, L.A. Times, Sept. 25, 2020

I’ve Never Been More Worried About American Democracy Than I Am Right Now<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/09/trump-plan-supreme-court-stop-election-vote-count.html>, Slate, Sept. 23, 2020

Can Congress Salvage RBG’s Legacy?<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/09/can-congress-salvage-rbg-voting-rights-legacy.html>, Slate, Sept. 21, 2020

Barr’s Undermining of the Election is Downright Dangerous<https://www.cnn.com/2020/09/17/opinions/us-election-2020-william-barr-undermining-hasen/index.html>, CNN Opinion, Sept. 17, 2020

Democrats May Not Trust the Election Results if Trump Wins<https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2020/09/10/trump-win-fair-election/>, Wash. Post, Sept. 10, 2020

Donald Trump’s Encouragement to Vote Twice Could Cause Election Day Chaos<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/09/donald-trump-vote-twice-election-day-chaos.html>, Slate, Sept. 3, 2020

Trump’s Relentless Attacks on Mail-In Voting Are Part of a Larger Strategy<https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/19/opinion/trump-usps-mail-voting.html?smid=tw-nytopinion&smtyp=cur>, N.Y. Times, Aug. 19, 2020

California’s Ballot Harvesting Law: A Crop of Trouble?<https://lalawyer.advanced-pub.com/?issueID=16&pageID=17>, L.A. Lawyer, July/Aug. 2020

Bring on the 28th Amendment<https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/29/opinion/voting-rights.html?action=click&module=Opinion&pgtype=Homepage>, N.Y. Times Sunday Review, June 29, 2020

Texas Voters Face Malicious Prosecutions After COVID-19 Absentee Ballot Ruling<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/05/texas-supreme-court-voters-covid-19-absentee-ballot.html>, Slate, May 27, 2020

The Right-Wing Legal Network is Now Openly Pushing Conspiracy Theories<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/05/leonard-leo-federalist-society-voter-fraud.html>, Slate, May 27, 2020 (with Dahlia Lithwick)

Trump’s bogus attacks on mail-in voting could hurt his supporters, too; The president is undermining democracy. He could also be undermining his own campaign<https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2020/05/20/trump-mail-vote-fraud/>, Wash. Post, May 20, 2020

GOP War on Mail-in Ballots May Backfire<https://www.nydailynews.com/opinion/ny-oped-how-to-vote-during-a-pandemic-20200420-spwxu5vkgngwfdwcvyw547zoy4-story.html>, NY Daily News, Apr. 20, 2020

We Cannot Hold an Election Without a Functional Post Office<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/04/november-election-post-office-bailout.html>, Slate, Apr. 14, 2020

Trump is Wrong About the Dangers of Absentee Ballots<https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/04/09/trump-is-wrong-about-dangers-absentee-ballots/>, Wash. Post, Apr. 9, 2020

How Republicans are Using the Pandemic to Suppress the Vote<https://www.latimes.com/opinion/story/2020-04-04/coronavirus-voting-republicans-safety-polls>, LA Times, Apr. 4, 2020

What Happens in November if One Side Doesn’t Accept the Election Results? How coronavirus could contribute to a 2020 election meltdown<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/03/2020-election-meltdown-coronavirus-delay.html>, Slate, Mar. 30, 2020

How to Protect the 2020 Election from Coronavirus<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/03/2020-election-coronavirus-bill-vote-by-mail.html>, Slate, Mar. 13, 2020

Why Trump and the RNC are spending $10 million to fight Democrats’ voting rights lawsuits<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/03/2020-election-coronavirus-bill-vote-by-mail.html>, Slate, Mar. 5, 2020

Can’t Call the Super Tuesday Vote? Be Patient<https://www.latimes.com/opinion/story/2020-03-03/2020-election-confidence-absentee-ballot-security>, LA Times, Mar. 3, 2020

If Democrats Fight Right-Wing ‘Fake News’ Fire with Fire, We All Lose<https://www.salon.com/2020/02/23/if-democrats-fight-right-wing-fake-news-fire-with-fire-we-all-lose/>, Salon, Feb. 24, 2020

How to Prevent the Next Election Meltdown<https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-to-prevent-the-next-election-meltdown-11581091661>, Wall St. Journal, Feb. 7, 2020 (Saturday Essay)

What the Impeachment Ordeal Can Tell Us About the 2020 Election<https://www.cnn.com/2020/02/05/opinions/trump-impeachment-senate-hasen/index.html>, CNN Opinion, Feb. 5, 2020

Trump’s Jokes About Defying Election Results Could Create Chaos<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/02/trump-jokes-rigged-elections-chaos.html>, Slate, Feb. 4, 2020

The Alarming Prospect of the Supreme Court Deciding the 2020 Election<https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/02/supreme-court-elections/605899/>, The Atlantic, Feb. 3, 2020

The loser of November’s election may not concede. Their voters won’t, either<https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/the-loser-of-novembers-election-may-not-concede-their-voters-wont-either/2020/01/23/4d81be8c-3d6c-11ea-baca-eb7ace0a3455_story.html>, Wash. Post, Jan. 24, 2020 (Sunday Outlook)
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My Opeds and Commentaries, 2019<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=120120>
Posted on December 30, 2020 4:36 pm<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=120120> by Rick Hasen<https://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Moving these off the sidebar as I spruce things up around here:

The Decade of Citizens United<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/12/citizens-united-devastating-impact-american-politics.html>, Slate, Dec. 19, 2019

These Two Articles of Impeachment Are More than Good Enough<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/12/articles-of-impeachment-donald-trump-abuse-power-obstruction-congress.html>, Slate, Dec. 10, 2019

Trump’s Senate Impeachment Defense Will Be to Put Joe Biden on Trial<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/11/trump-senate-impeachment-trial-joe-biden-defense.html>, Slate, Nov. 22, 2019

Could Matt Bevin Steal the Kentucky Governor’s Election?<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/11/matt-bevin-andy-beshear-trump-stolen-kentucky-election.html>, Slate, Nov. 7, 2019

The Arrest of Giuliani’s Ukraine Associates Shows How Much Trump Has Already Corrupted Our Elections<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/10/giuliani-ukraine-associates-arrested-sdny-trump-corrupt-elections.html>, Slate, Oct. 10, 2019

Democrats Have Trump on the Ropes. They Must Act on Impeachment Now<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/09/democrats-should-impeach-donald-trump-fast-ukraine.html>, Slate, Sept. 27, 2019

Trump’s Ukraine Gambit Could Be Another Campaign Finance Crime<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/09/trump-ukraine-campaign-finance-crime.html>, Slate, Sept. 22, 2019

Michigan has a smart idea for fixing gerrymandering. Conservatives want to crush it<https://www.vox.com/2019/9/9/20850936/gerrymandering-michigan-commission-republican-legal-argument>, Vox, Sept. 9, 2019

The Coming Reckoning Over the Electoral College; A ploy to bring the issue to the Supreme Court could backfire<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/09/electoral-college-supreme-court-lessig-faithless-electors.html>, Slate, Sept. 4, 2019

Unlimited Donations to Candidates, Coming Soon? Former Solicitor General Paul Clement may get the Supreme Court closer to killing what’s left of campaign-finance limits<https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/07/campaign-finance-supreme-court/594751/>, The Atlantic, July 26, 2019

The Most Important Lesson the Supreme Court Liberals Can Take from John Paul Stevens<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/07/john-paul-stevens-supreme-court-conservative-votes.html>, Slate, July 17, 2019

The Supreme Court’s Green Light to Partisan Gerrymandering Will Drag It Down Further Into the Mud<https://www.nytimes.com/2019/06/27/opinion/gerrymandering-rucho-supreme-court.html>, N.Y. Times, June 27, 2019

Donald Trump Is Promising to Fight the Census Case. That Might Actually Work<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/06/john-roberts-trump-census-question-supreme-court-october.html>, Slate, June 27, 2019

The Census Case Is Shaping Up to Be the Biggest Travesty Since Bush v. Gore<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/06/census-case-john-roberts-bush-v-gore-tragedy.html>, Slate, June 25, 2019

New Memo Reveals the Census Question Was Added to Boost White Voting Power; Why it won’t matter to the Supreme Court’s conservatives<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/05/census-memo-supreme-court-conservatives-white-voters-alito.html>, Slate, May 30, 2019

Robert Mueller Was Telling Nancy Pelosi to Begin Impeachment Proceedings<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/05/robert-mueller-to-nancy-pelosi-begin-impeachment-proceedings.html>, Slate, May 29, 2019

The Mueller Report Makes It Clear: Trump Is Off the Hook in SDNY as Well<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/04/mueller-report-hush-money-stormy-daniels-trump-cohen-sdny.html>, Slate, Apr. 22, 2019

All the Mistakes Mueller Made in Declining to Prosecute Donald Trump Jr.<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/04/donald-trump-jr-mueller-report-campaign-finance.html>, Slate, Apr. 18, 2019

The Seven Things to Look for When Reading the Redacted Mueller Report<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/04/mueller-report-release-redacted-preview.html>, Slate, Apr. 15, 2019

Roberts’ Rules: This week will test the chief justice’s commitment to calling balls and strikes<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/03/john-roberts-supreme-court-gerrymandering-cases.html>, Slate, Mar. 25, 2019

How Mueller’s Unknown Reasoning Could Endanger American Democracy in 2020<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/03/mueller-report-trump-tower-meeting-no-indictment-first-amendment-2020.html>, Slate, Mar. 24, 2019

Roger Stone’s Indictment Could Be Good News for Donald Trump Jr.<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/01/roger-stone-indictment-campaign-finance-donald-trump-jr.html>, Slate, Mar. 24, 2019

Donald Trump Was Just Handed a Chance to Supercharge Voter Suppression in 2020<https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/01/donald-trump-voter-suppression-plan-2020.html>,Slate, Jan. 8, 2019

The Supreme Court Could Make Gerrymandering Worse<https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/01/supreme-court-will-rule-gerrymandering-md-and-nc/579550/?utm_source=twitter&utm_campaign=the-atlantic&utm_term=2019-01-07T11%3A00%3A28&utm_medium=social&utm_content=edit-promo>, Atlantic, Jan. 7, 2019
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Posted in Uncategorized<https://electionlawblog.org/?cat=1>


“Tenney keeps lead in undecided NY 22nd as ballots go to judge”<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=120118>
Posted on December 30, 2020 11:16 am<https://electionlawblog.org/?p=120118> by Rick Hasen<https://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Syracuse.com reports.<https://www.syracuse.com/politics/cny/2020/12/tenney-keeps-lead-in-undecided-ny-22nd-as-ballots-go-to-judge.html>
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--
Rick Hasen
Chancellor's Professor of Law and Political Science
UC Irvine School of Law
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