[EL] does anyone know how to see the new study by Run for Something
Gregory Huber
gregory.huber at yale.edu
Mon Apr 19 07:53:02 PDT 2021
The closest published academic work of which I'm aware is about whether
having a same-party incumbent helps an up-ballot president, by David
Broockman.
https://polisci.berkeley.edu/people/person/david-edward-broockman
Do Congressional Candidates Have Reverse Coattails? Evidence from a
Regression Discontinuity Design
Published online by Cambridge University Press: *04 January 2017*
David E. Broockman
<https://www.cambridge.org/core/search?filters%5BauthorTerms%5D=David%20E.%20Broockman%20&eventCode=SE-AU>
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Abstract
Although the presidential coattail effect has been an object of frequent
study, the question of whether popular congressional candidates boost
vote shares in return for their parties' presidential candidates remains
unexplored. This article investigates whether so-called “reverse
coattails” exist using a regression discontinuity design with
congressional district-level data from presidential elections between
1952 and 2004. Taking incumbency to be near-randomly distributed in
cases where congressional candidates have just won or lost their
previous elections, I find that the numerous substantial advantages of
congressional incumbency have no effect on presidential returns for
these incumbents' parties. This null finding underscores my claim that
the existing coattail literature deserves greater scrutiny. My results
also prompt a rethinking of the nature of the advantages that incumbents
bring to their campaigns and may help deepen our understanding of
partisanship in the United States.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Type
Research Article
Information
Political Analysis
<https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/political-analysis> ,
Volume 17
<https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/political-analysis/volume/D5B38C592A878528519A8FC0EB16F1C9>
, Issue 4: Special Issue: Natural Experiments in Political Science
<https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/political-analysis/issue/98914FC3171AE64CB3C0A84E3FE33553>
, Autumn 2009 , pp. 418 - 434
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/pan/mpp013[Opens in a new window]
<https://doi.org/10.1093/pan/mpp013>
On 4/19/2021 10:33 AM, Richard Winger wrote:
> the New York Times has a story about a study by Run for Something. It
> shows that when Democrats in 2020 ran legislative candidates in
> hopeless districts, that helped boost Biden's vote total inside that
> legislative district. The Run for Something website doesn't seem to
> have a link to the study, nor does it have contact information that I
> can find that would let me contact them to ask for the study. Can
> anyone help?
>
> Richard Winger 415-922-9779 PO Box 470296, San Francisco Ca 94147
>
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--
==============================================================
Gregory A. Huber
gregory.huber at yale.edu
huber.research.yale.edu
Yale University
Forst Family Professor of Political Science
Chair, Department of Political Science
Associate Director, Center for the Study of American Politics
Director, ISPS Behavioral Research Lab
Resident Fellow, Institution for Social and Policy Studies
Associate Editor, Quarterly Journal of Political Science
203-432-5731 (faculty office, voice)
203-432-5240 (chair office, voice)
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