[EL] does anyone know how to see the new study by Run for Something

Gregory Huber gregory.huber at yale.edu
Mon Apr 19 07:53:02 PDT 2021


The closest published academic work of which I'm aware is about whether 
having a same-party incumbent helps an up-ballot president, by David 
Broockman.
https://polisci.berkeley.edu/people/person/david-edward-broockman


  Do Congressional Candidates Have Reverse Coattails? Evidence from a
  Regression Discontinuity Design

Published online by Cambridge University Press: *04 January 2017*

David E. Broockman 
<https://www.cambridge.org/core/search?filters%5BauthorTerms%5D=David%20E.%20Broockman%20&eventCode=SE-AU> 

------------------------------------------------------------------------
Abstract

Although the presidential coattail effect has been an object of frequent 
study, the question of whether popular congressional candidates boost 
vote shares in return for their parties' presidential candidates remains 
unexplored. This article investigates whether so-called “reverse 
coattails” exist using a regression discontinuity design with 
congressional district-level data from presidential elections between 
1952 and 2004. Taking incumbency to be near-randomly distributed in 
cases where congressional candidates have just won or lost their 
previous elections, I find that the numerous substantial advantages of 
congressional incumbency have no effect on presidential returns for 
these incumbents' parties. This null finding underscores my claim that 
the existing coattail literature deserves greater scrutiny. My results 
also prompt a rethinking of the nature of the advantages that incumbents 
bring to their campaigns and may help deepen our understanding of 
partisanship in the United States.

------------------------------------------------------------------------

Type
    Research Article
Information
    Political Analysis
    <https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/political-analysis> ,
    Volume 17
    <https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/political-analysis/volume/D5B38C592A878528519A8FC0EB16F1C9>
    , Issue 4: Special Issue: Natural Experiments in Political Science
    <https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/political-analysis/issue/98914FC3171AE64CB3C0A84E3FE33553>
    , Autumn 2009 , pp. 418 - 434
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/pan/mpp013[Opens in a new window]
    <https://doi.org/10.1093/pan/mpp013>


On 4/19/2021 10:33 AM, Richard Winger wrote:
> the New York Times has a story about a study by Run for Something.  It 
> shows that when Democrats in 2020 ran legislative candidates in 
> hopeless districts, that helped boost Biden's vote total inside that 
> legislative district.  The Run for Something website doesn't seem to 
> have a link to the study, nor does it have contact information that I 
> can find that would let me contact them to ask for the study.  Can 
> anyone help?
>
> Richard Winger 415-922-9779 PO Box 470296, San Francisco Ca 94147
>
> _______________________________________________
> Law-election mailing list
> Law-election at department-lists.uci.edu
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-- 
==============================================================
Gregory A. Huber
gregory.huber at yale.edu
huber.research.yale.edu
Yale University

Forst Family Professor of Political Science
Chair, Department of Political Science
Associate Director, Center for the Study of American Politics
Director, ISPS Behavioral Research Lab
Resident Fellow, Institution for Social and Policy Studies
Associate Editor, Quarterly Journal of Political Science

203-432-5731 (faculty office, voice)
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