[EL] Kanye West did not "siphon" votes away from Joe Biden

[Jonathan Robinson]

I'm not sure county-level election returns can overcome the ecological
inference problem for a group this small in size

On Sat, Dec 18, 2021 at 5:33 PM Richard Winger <richardwinger at yahoo.com>
wrote:

> A year ago I analyzed the Kanye West vote by county, and it is clear that
> people who voted for Kanye West would have voted mostly for Donald Trump,
> if West had not been running.  If anyone wants to see my analysis (which I
> posted twice at Ballot Access News) just either use the search feature (put
> in "Kanye") or else e-mail me and I will send you a link.
>
> I am disappointed that Rick Hasen posted the claim by Paul Seamus Ryan
> that Kanye "siphoned" votes away from Biden, without also posting my
> analysis of the Kanye vote.
>
> No one ever claims that Jo Jorgensen "siphoned" votes away from Donald
> Trump in 2020.  Jorgensen, the Libertarian nominee, polled well more than
> the margin between Trump and Biden in Wisconsin, Arizona, and Georgia, and
> was a hair's breadth away from doing that in Pennsylvania.
>
> People like to claim that Ralph Nader caused George Bush to win the 2000
> election, but they never mention that Pat Buchanan, also running that year,
> had more than the margin between Gore and Bush in four states that Gore
> carried.
>
> Somehow Democrats beat up on minor parties for "spoiling" without doing
> any analysis or research.  Republicans, for all their grevious faults,
> don't tend to do that as much.
>
> Richard Winger 415-922-9779 PO Box 470296, San Francisco Ca 94147
> _______________________________________________
> Law-election mailing list
> Law-election at department-lists.uci.edu
> https://department-lists.uci.edu/mailman/listinfo/law-election
-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://webshare.law.ucla.edu/Listservs/law-election/attachments/20211218/93c991db/attachment.html>