[EL] Kanye West did not "siphon" votes away from Joe Biden

[Rick Hasen]

This is the article:

https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/ps-political-science-and-politics/article/why-donald-trump-should-be-a-fervent-advocate-of-using-rankedchoice-voting-in-2024/75B3DD121F1B07CDA0DDFFD878B2DD7C

Rick Hasen
Sent from my iPhone. Please excuse typos.
________________________________
From: Rick Hasen <rhasen at law.uci.edu>
Sent: Saturday, December 18, 2021 6:33:11 PM
To: Richard Winger <richardwinger at yahoo.com>; law-election at uci.edu <law-election at uci.edu>
Subject: Re: [EL] Kanye West did not "siphon" votes away from Joe Biden

Didn’t Bernie Grofman and Jonathan Cervas do an analysis showing that libertarians cost Trump the 2020 election?

Rick Hasen
Sent from my iPhone. Please excuse typos.
________________________________
From: Law-election <law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu> on behalf of Richard Winger <richardwinger at yahoo.com>
Sent: Saturday, December 18, 2021 2:32:32 PM
To: law-election at uci.edu <law-election at uci.edu>
Subject: [EL] Kanye West did not "siphon" votes away from Joe Biden

A year ago I analyzed the Kanye West vote by county, and it is clear that people who voted for Kanye West would have voted mostly for Donald Trump, if West had not been running.  If anyone wants to see my analysis (which I posted twice at Ballot Access News) just either use the search feature (put in "Kanye") or else e-mail me and I will send you a link.

I am disappointed that Rick Hasen posted the claim by Paul Seamus Ryan that Kanye "siphoned" votes away from Biden, without also posting my analysis of the Kanye vote.

No one ever claims that Jo Jorgensen "siphoned" votes away from Donald Trump in 2020.  Jorgensen, the Libertarian nominee, polled well more than the margin between Trump and Biden in Wisconsin, Arizona, and Georgia, and was a hair's breadth away from doing that in Pennsylvania.

People like to claim that Ralph Nader caused George Bush to win the 2000 election, but they never mention that Pat Buchanan, also running that year, had more than the margin between Gore and Bush in four states that Gore carried.

Somehow Democrats beat up on minor parties for "spoiling" without doing any analysis or research.  Republicans, for all their grevious faults, don't tend to do that as much.

Richard Winger 415-922-9779 PO Box 470296, San Francisco Ca 94147
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