[EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-Transparency
Steven John Mulroy (smulroy)
smulroy at memphis.edu
Sun Jan 17 14:57:25 PST 2021
I'm coming late to this debate, so apologies if I'm repeating what someone has said. I just wanted to emphasize that some of the disagreement is unnecessary. Of course it's the case that the voter fraud myth is being deliberately stirred up by those who know better, and of course no election admin reform will be able to completely take away public suspicion and conspiracy theories among some part of society. But it's also true that more effective transparency will somewhat alleviate the problem, and is better on the merits anyway.
Most experts agree that the gold standard is Hand Marked Paper Ballots (HMPB) with in-precinct scanners and Risk Limiting Audits (RLA). You don't have to do a manual count of all ballots on election night; you do a RLA of a statistically significant sample as a matter of course, and then a full manual count if the RLA suggests it, or there are credible indications of fraud or irregularities, or if the election is super-close.
By this standard, there is real room for improvement. About 2/3 of US voters use HMPBs, which is great, but it should be 100%. And even HMPB jurisdictions don't all routinely do RLAs. Some do not do audits routinely. Others do what they call 'audits,' but don't meet RLA standards. And, some jurisdictions use paper ballots, but not Hand-Marked paper ballots. Georgia, for example, uses computerized Ballot Marking Devices (BMDs) to mark the paper receipt which the voter is supposed to review for accuracy and then feed into the scanner. Because all computerized BMDs are subject to glitches and hacking, and because the BMD scanners almost always scan a barcode rather than the human-readable portion of the paper ballot, the voter really can't serve as a check here. At any rate, studies show that most voters don't really carefully check the paper ballot anyway.
Federal law should require universal HMPB w/ RLAs. That won't shut up all the conspiracy theorists, but it will help make the system less vulnerable to their accusations.
Today's Topics:
1. Re: The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency
(Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will) (Smith, Bradley)
2. Re: The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency
(Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will) (Rick Hasen)
3. Re: The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency
(Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will) (Paul Lehto)
4. Re: The Root Cause of Election Unrest is
Non-transparency(AllowingPeople to Imagine Whatever They Will
(Paul Lehto)
5. Re: The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency
(Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will) (Paul Lehto)
6. Re: The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency
(Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will) (Paul Lehto)
7. Can we say elections are stolen? (Margaret Groarke)
8. Re: The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency ...
The Function of an Election (John M. Carbone, Esq.)
9. Re: The Root Cause of Election Unrest is
Non-transparency(AllowingPeopleto Imagine Whatever They Will
(RuthAlice Anderson)
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Message: 1
Date: Fri, 8 Jan 2021 14:46:16 +0000
From: "Smith, Bradley" <BSmith at law.capital.edu>
To: Rick Hasen <rhasen at law.uci.edu>, Margaret Groarke
<margaret.groarke at manhattan.edu>, Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com>
Cc: Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>, Virginia Martin
<virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
Subject: Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is
Non-transparency (Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
Message-ID:
<CH2PR17MB38626AFFB12FB267EFE1CF669FAE0 at CH2PR17MB3862.namprd17.prod.outlook.com>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="windows-1252"
"The problem is one of stoking passions through false accusations of election regularities "
You have to admit, Rick's typo is funny. I envision Rick auditioning for a "contributor" gig at Newsmax: "Let's put an end to these false claims that our elections are legitimate! They're cynical efforts to make Americans enthusiastic about voting and democracy!"
Bradley A. Smith
Josiah H. Blackmore II/Shirley M. Nault Professor of Law
Capital University Law School
303 East Broad Street
Columbus, OH 43215
Phone: (614) 236-6317
Mobile: (540) 287-8954
________________________________
From: Law-election <law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu> on behalf of Rick Hasen <rhasen at law.uci.edu>
Sent: Thursday, January 7, 2021 11:08 PM
To: Margaret Groarke <margaret.groarke at manhattan.edu>; Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com>
Cc: Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>; Virginia Martin <virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
Subject: Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency (Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
Well put. The principal problem is not primarily in how elections are run (although that is part of the problem). The problem is one of stoking passions through false accusations of election regularities and attempts to strongarm those with a formal role in the vote tabulating and counting process to reverse the democratic will.
From: Law-election <law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu> on behalf of Margaret Groarke <margaret.groarke at manhattan.edu>
Date: Thursday, January 7, 2021 at 6:44 PM
To: Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com>
Cc: Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>, Virginia Martin <virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
Subject: Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency (Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
I have found it interesting that, after a presidential election in which states had to figure out how to run an election in a pandemic (and did an admirable job), and there were 60 lawsuits brought challenging the results, and in which two months after the election we have the losing candidate still not conceding and instigating an invasion of the Capitol building, there was very little traffic on this list. When I explained to people that Donald Trump and Rudy Giuliani's allegations of various things were false, I would sometimes note that, on a list of election law professors and other elections experts, which runs the gamut politically, there were no reports of fraud or other wrongdoing discussed.
And now, the day after the invasion, there's a debate about whether we should hand count paper ballots. More amazing.
I read Rick Hasen's Election Meltdown this summer, and I've been thinking in particular about the chapter on overblown rhetoric, which I think is closer to the real problem here. Counting huge piles of paper ballots by hand will not eliminate the distrust of the election system. Distrust of the election results was deliberately birthed and stoked by elected officials -- people like Kris Kobach, Rudy Giuliani, Donald Trump and Ted Cruz. They can use whatever raw material is at hand. If there are no photos of election workers pulling ballots out of a suitcase (I guess they would prefer that ballots be left unsecured on a table top), they would use a photo of an election worker buried behind mile high stacks of paper ballots. If three people count a pile of ballots by hand and get slightly different numbers, that will be headline news.
Georgia had paper ballots, which were counted by a machine (and by hand, actually). Nevertheless, as late as Saturday, as we all know, the president was continuning to allege that there was malfeasance in the election. I live in NY, and served as a poll worker for the first time this year (I thought as a political scientist interested in elections I was long past due). We use optical scan ballots -- paper ballots, marked by the voter and counted by a machine. Should you need to do a manual recount it would be possible, although I doubt it would be more accurate or more transparent than the scanner.
It is late, and I am feeling very depressed and worried for our democracy today, and so I am not going to attempt to propose a solution to this very serious crisis. But I don't think going back to paper ballots counted by hand is the solution.
On Thu, Jan 7, 2021 at 9:17 PM Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com<mailto:lehto.paul at gmail.com>> wrote:
Professor Schultz:
I think I can speak on behalf of almost all of the leaders of the 2004 elector challenge regarding Obio in Kerry v Bush and say YES that the transparency of HCPB would allay all of our concerns to have a transparent system of vote counting with good chain of custody.
I was personally involved with the Rossi Gregoire hand recount case in Washington state from 2004 but I know all the people involved on the presidential side.and i know they favor HCPB but of course i don't represent them.
But Professor Schultz references the Trump 2020 effort which was able to grow much faster and had a President instigating behind it.
Here's the problem, you will never be able to put the genie back into the bottle now that tens of millions of people have seen the nontransparency and the many procedural dismissals that don't reach the merits. They may have little evidence or even "no evidence" but their movement amounts to an emphatic vote of no confidence in the nontransparent voting system.
We speak here of the voting system so within that scope I cannot deal with ngoing disputes about the Electors Clause for example. That has nothing to do with voting systems or se. But if there are processes, (as there are), to have legal claims heard and decided after a full transparent airing of all arguments, that safety valve of being heard goes a very long way toward keeping the peace, even if it doesn't settle every dispute.
I took the time to call and talk to one mid-level attorney on the Trump side. We did not agree on voter ID for example, but we were in complete agreement on the need for transparency and that both sides could agree on full transparency and getting rid of the nontransparent machines.
What the Trump 2020 movement is, even if stipulated to have zero evidence, is an emphatic vote of no confidence in the current electronic systems. You don't need evidence per se on a vote of no confidence.
Against that complete failure we are supposed to balance the convenience of some labor avoidance or the inability to wait any more time after a two year campaign?
Paul Lehto, J.D.
On Thu, Jan 7, 2021, 5:33 PM Steve Klein <stephen.klein.esq at gmail.com<mailto:stephen.klein.esq at gmail.com>> wrote:
Professor Schultz,
I appreciate you breaking the mold of "this never would have happened if we had [campaign finance, election, human nature] reform," but I daresay you've found something even more quixotic with the alternative.
No, no, before you all pile on, I'm with you: let's make eliminating the anxiety about losing one's job a cornerstone of the regime. No cost-benefit here. And... Mexico will pay for it. Or something.
On Thu, Jan 7, 2021 at 8:25 PM Schultz, David <dschultz at hamline.edu<mailto:dschultz at hamline.edu>> wrote:
Hi folks:
Let's be real. Do any of you really think that more transparency or other small fixes like this to the election system will ease election unrest? If you do then you must also think that the fact that widespread voter fraud does not exist will convince people that it does not exist. Whatever you mean by election unrest has deeper sociological and economic roots than adding more transparency. Let's begin to think about the gross economic inequalities that plague our system, or the shodding health care system, or perhaps the anxiety about losing one's job as the roots for why people are politically angry.
On Thu, Jan 7, 2021 at 7:13 PM Stephanie Singer <sfsinger at campaignscientific.com<mailto:sfsinger at campaignscientific.com>> wrote:
On Jan 7, 2021, at 4:54 PM, Fredric Woocher <fwoocher at strumwooch.com<mailto:fwoocher at strumwooch.com>> wrote:
I?m sorry, but this is just silly. In a jurisdiction like Los Angeles County, it would take weeks to count all the ballots for a single county-wide election, much less for the scores of contests that are on each primary and election ballot.
It depends on the level of involvement by citizens. The number of ballots is directly proportional to the number of voters.
And the result would be less accurate than a machine count.
Now that more and more jurisdictions are doing risk-limiting tabulation audits, we are starting to have more data about accuracy. Without that kind of check, the best we can say is that machines more reliably get the same answer each time than people using the hash method. That?s at best a statement about precision, not accuracy<https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2fwww.thoughtco.com%2fdifference-between-accuracy-and-precision-609328&c=E,1,VYBoKtvwqdlg0vJ0ckzND2vLDJoSOiBtol27tbnDTMk7_nPbHm5csrl61u6cfFPYeT5vKaAlSgtQVIcpJPDu80nS48IUOTqRd8tsyvsXWdtTLZBwdydSGSk,&typo=1>.
We already have a transparent system: If the election is close enough (and even if it?s not), you can do a manual recount of the ballots and check the results against the machine count.
Depends on who ?you? are, and what state you?re in. And depends on what your state means by ?manual recount?. In a Florida ?manual recount", the paper records people get to hold in their hands and evaluate with their eyes are only the ones identified by the computers as having an undervote or overvote.
And do really think having the votes counted by multiple people with clickers is going to yield a uniform outcome that will convince the people who listen to Donald Trump, Rudy Giuliani, and the Krakens that the vote count was accurate when their preferred candidate loses?
Depends on the level of involvement. If there were a culture of serving and observing, there?s no reason to think we?d be worse off than we are now. There?s nothing like taking part in a bit of election administration to wake people up to the complexities.
Fredric D. Woocher
Strumwasser & Woocher LLP
10940 Wilshire Blvd., Ste. 2000
Los Angeles, CA 90024
fwoocher at strumwooch.com<mailto:fwoocher at strumwooch.com>
(310) 576-1233 x105
Direct: (310) 933-5739
IMPORTANT NOTICE: Pursuant to the Governor?s ?Stay at Home? Order, Strumwasser & Woocher LLP is CLOSED TO THE PUBLIC. Packages requiring signatures will be returned undelivered ? do not serve papers by this method. While our office is closed, Strumwasser & Woocher LLP consents to electronic service in all of its matters. Please serve by electronic mail to fwoocher at strumwooch.com<mailto:fwoocher at strumwooch.com> AND to our Senior Legal Assistant, LaKeitha Oliver, at loliver at strumwooch.com<mailto:loliver at strumwooch.com>. We reserve the right to object to any notice or delivery of any kind if not actually received by counsel before all statutory deadlines.
From: Law-election [mailto:law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu] On Behalf Of Paul Lehto
Sent: Thursday, January 7, 2021 3:53 PM
To: John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com<mailto:john.k.tanner at gmail.com>>
Cc: Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu<mailto:law-election at uci.edu>>; Virginia Martin <virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com<mailto:virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>>
Subject: Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency (Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
So on one side we have nontransparency in the voting system which breeds distrust which is then amplified by every partisan hope, fear, or piece of evidence, all the way up to an insurrection on ONE SIDE,
...And on the other side we have some 75 year old who might be groggy. And more hours to count.
The balancing isn't even close, and I could add much more to the first paragraph but recent events are enough.
The nontransparency is a fatal flaw in the current system, and a transparent system in the form of hand counted ballots is required to secure and guarantee the right to vote vis-a-vis situations of corrupt election officials, power outages and so on, and having tens of thousands of summonses workers nationwide who can personally attest based on their own observation and experience would restore public confidence.
Paul Lehto, J.D.
On Thu, Jan 7, 2021, 3:43 PM John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com<mailto:john.k.tanner at gmail.com>> wrote:
Did you wakes up the 75 year old participants at 4 or 5 am and have them work for 12 hours? On a ballot with 30+ offices and ballot measures?
Sent from my iPhone
On Jan 7, 2021, at 6:38 PM, Stephanie Singer <sfsinger at campaignscientific.com<mailto:sfsinger at campaignscientific.com>> wrote:
I took part in a demo of the clicker method. I don?t know of any academic research, but from my experience the clicker method is far better. It makes sense psychologically ? each person is focused on just one physical spot on the ballot, not needing to look back and forth. And in the demo we had several people tracking each candidate, and their tallies matched at the end (or perhaps were occasionally off by one). It was quick and easy and, with enough people clicking, convincing.
Stephanie Singer<https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2fwww.pdx.edu%2fprofile%2fstephanie-singer&c=E,1,TGrr4GjWGjEyhHFWxcpQeRVFuGYdfCW9vZ7j320uOodseRXY_YsS1fN4gzketkNaWthw3WBrD85ZQtzAwx43k4lT_FXwybagQkL82fpIQvyoejPc&typo=1>
Research Assistant Professor, Portland State University
Former Chair, Philadelphia County Board of Elections
On Jan 7, 2021, at 2:04 PM, John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com<mailto:john.k.tanner at gmail.com>> wrote:
One would think that ?mark, mark, ... tally? would avoid differences, since there?s a check every 5th vote. One would be wrong. And then you have to go back and reconcile to find where the count got off ? usually several tallies back. I suspect the clicker would be even worse
Sent from my iPhone
On Jan 7, 2021, at 4:42 PM, Stephanie Singer <sfsinger at campaignscientific.com<mailto:sfsinger at campaignscientific.com>> wrote:
It?s undeniable that the counting happens at a time when everyone is exhausted. And thanks for pointing out the difficulties of oversight in primaries.
At least one better counting method has been developed and tested by Karen McKim of Wisconsin Election Integrity<https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2fwisconsinelectionintegrity.org%2f&c=E,1,QLN_aTkF3J3INLQ5jL00H9kRr9o3B-DcK2JWMJkdbC-TgilxjuxkC9EG9d3iadD9XXLQ11GeNYe-jwrbzCl6yomAmFaDSbW8Q8HbYgRO&typo=1>. Each person in a group of observers has a hand-held clicker-counter (like the ones used to measure people flowing through turnstiles). The ballots can then be shown one after another, quite quickly. My understanding is that this is quite accurate and efficient.
The science and engineering of post-election tabulation audits for ballot scanners is progressing, but I haven?t yet seen a workable proposal for risk-limiting audits of precinct-counted ballots.
If you don?t count at the precinct at the end of the voting period, you have to solve the ballot custody problem, also quite knotty.
?Stephanie
On Jan 7, 2021, at 1:26 PM, John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com<mailto:john.k.tanner at gmail.com>> wrote:
I agree completely that the election process should include at all levels and locations poll officials and poll watchers appointed by both major parties ? and by all diverse candidates in primaries and nonpartisan elections (easier said than done). And posting the results at the polls and centrally is or used to be common. But hand counted paper ballots? I recall monitoring primary elections with hand counted paper ballots at relatively tiny precincts. It takes forever, in part because of frequent differences in the counts (often resolved by splitting the difference) and poll workers quitting fit the night and one (1) poll official taking the materials home to safeguard them. In one MS primary election, the count wasn?t completed until Thursday evening , at which point I could finally go to sleep (after helping polish off some beer the senior attorney had bought). There?s are reasons we use machines now.
Sent from my iPhone
On Jan 7, 2021, at 1:59 PM, Stephanie Singer <sfsinger at campaignscientific.com<mailto:sfsinger at campaignscientific.com>> wrote:
A big Plus One to what Paul has written.
To move to the kind of resilient system Paul has described, we need to face head on the downsides of such a system. There are people in this country who physically cannot mark and review paper ballots without assistance (either from people or technology). And there are people of this country who cannot physically get to the polling place on the given day (e.g., overseas deployed military).
Companies that manufacture and maintain computerized voting systems have exploited this downside for profit.
I wonder what folks on this list think of proxy voting.
?Stephanie
PS: a relevant piece I wrote was published a few hours before all hell broke loose yesterday: https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2021/01/06/stolen-election-trump-patriot/
On Jan 6, 2021, at 2:46 PM, Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com<mailto:lehto.paul at gmail.com>> wrote:
The short answer is voter-marked and hand counted paper ballots counted in precincts with results posted at the precincts as well as reported to the county or state. And also using a summonsing process to guarantee sufficient labor or add additional independent observers as needed.
This way any group can verify the tabulation by looking at precinct posted results, and counts in precincts are monitored by all interested political parties plus individuals drafted by a process similar to jury summonsing. It is a labor intensive process but most people would much rather spend a day counting ballots than spend two weeks in a jury trial.
If ballot counting is observed by multiple observers adverse to each other (the system used and assumed by the framers of the 12th amendment) out of a combination of people we might not trust to count ballots alone, we can nevertheless achieve a trustable result.
We might also realize that the framers of the 12th amendment presupposed HCPB, and might come to understand that a joint session is subservient to the will of the people and able to make only the objections and corrections that vote counting clerks are able to make, not relitigate the entire election.
More importantly, glitches, errors or frauds create observable evidence that can be accessed, and inaccuracies are isolated to the precinct level. Thus, if and when people tell stories about paper ballot fraud, that actually proves both that fraud can happen and that the voting system actually worked to create evidence of the problem and thus allow us to tell the story today. It is up to the administrative and legal systems - not the voting system - to actually prosecute or correct for the fraud or error. The voting system only needs to be transparent and create clear indelible evidence of voter intent.
With a fully transparent vote counting process, I find that almost everyone I talk to is willing to pay the labor and time pricetag for the system, because of the rational confidence created in the results, and the fact that it is the best guarantee of our right to vote actually working if and when a criminal regime is in control of the vote counting process. Given that voting is our most important right, and given the Declaration of Independence recites that our government was setup for the purpose of securing and guaranteeing our rights, this is not too much to ask. The alternative is to have a voting system that is non-transparent and thus is vulnerable to failing completely at the very moment we need it the most - when criminality has invaded the governmental election processes.
The human need for hand counts of valuable things is witnessed every day when counting our own cash at the bank teller window or at the ATM. There is just no substitute for hand counting when we deal with something valuable AND there is incentive for one or more parties to count inaccurately, as exists in elections.
It would also have the added benefit of bringing statutes back into line with reality, such as the requirement of a 0.5% lead or less to trigger a recount. That kind of narrow window makes sense with HCPB, but with electronic elections if there is fraud it is the same amount of effort to create a lead outside the recount margin as there is to win by just a few votes.
And it would also bring back into alignment the call for public confidence and acceptance of the results. That is a call for rational acceptance of the results if counts are transparent but is a call for a faith that losers find hard to develop when counts are nontransparent.
Paul Lehto, J.D.
On Wed, Jan 6, 2021, 2:10 PM David Mason <dmason12 at gmail.com<mailto:dmason12 at gmail.com>> wrote:
What sorts of systems, policies, and procedures would you recommend to achieve this level of transparency?
Dave Mason
On Wed, Jan 6, 2021 at 4:34 PM Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com<mailto:lehto.paul at gmail.com>> wrote:
Obviously, things have gotten out of hand, but what is the root of the problem?
The problem is that we do not have a voting system that the LOSERS of the election can believe in based on the transparency of the process. If we want peaceful transitions of power the system needs to lead to results trustable by the "sore losers."
While people need to be held accountable for illegal actions,going forward, instead of designing our voting systems with gaining the consent of the governed among the losing side, we instead demand "public confidence" in nontransparent computerized counts on pain of charges of undermining democracy.
This lack of transparency in vote counting is the SEED to which either facts or fevered dreams can attach, and typically our partisan affiliations and the media sources we select predetermine what information we will receive and what conclusions we will draw.
I have predicted this would eventually happen for over a decade. I was quoted in Politico a couple weeks ago about Trump activists because I was active in investigating the 2004 elections after serving as one of Kerry's "army" of lawyers (who were actually just assisting people to vote). https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/12/19/2004-kerry-election-fraud-2020-448604 This article sought to find out what those who questioned 2004 thought of those who questioned 2020. A variety of opinions emerged.
In Politico I was quoted as saying the election disputes are the equivalent of a religious war where both sides assert their strongly held beliefs on the basis of faith rather than on the basis ofknowledge. All people must necessarily have beliefs rather than true personal knowledge about the vote count results because the counts themselves are nontransparent, being done on computers, so that literally no one has personal knowledge the results are correct. Even election officials lack the kind of personal knowledge we expect from any admissible affidavit, Instead, officials believe them to be correct based on logic and accuracy tests and such but they don't really KNOW. Experts can add numerous circumstantial reasons to support that belief, but our opinions remain in the territory of trust and confidence rather than hard facts and knowledge.
The election results are simply the conclusions. I've been entitled to every data source any expert in court relies upon for his or her conclusions, except in election law, where the computers are generally deemed inaccessible.
Our present system merely urges public confidence in those conclusory results, which is the same as urging trust or faith. As a result, the opinions on all sides about the election results amount to statements of political religious faith, and thus we have what amounts to a religious war in which various sides insult the faith of the other side, eventually leading to violence as we see today.
Transparency is strongly effective at getting rid of conspiracy theories because when facts are present, no theories, conspiracy or otherwise, are necessary or possible. Transparency would likely not reduce Republican support for objections from Rasmussen's 73% released today down to zero, but it would critically drop it below fifty percent at the very least. And that is the difference between peaceful transitions of power transitions of power that are not peaceful.
Trump supporters may not be able to prove fraud, but the reverse is also true: Biden supporters can't prove Biden win, except with a full hand recount and good chain of custody and no ballot box stuffing. The solution is to get it right on election night with a transparent counting system that the large majority of losers can RATIONALLY trust. Not faith-based elections like we have now.
--
Paul R Lehto, J.D.
PO Box 2796
Renton, WA 98056
lehto.paul at gmail.com<mailto:lehto.paul at gmail.com>
906-204-4965 (cell)
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Message: 2
Date: Fri, 8 Jan 2021 14:47:47 +0000
From: Rick Hasen <rhasen at law.uci.edu>
To: David Becker <dbecker at electioninnovation.org>, Ilya Shapiro
<IShapiro at cato.org>, Margaret Groarke
<margaret.groarke at manhattan.edu>, Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com>
Cc: Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>, Virginia Martin
<virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
Subject: Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is
Non-transparency (Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
Message-ID: <B6261785-85ED-47B5-A8F1-C40340640D10 at law.uci.edu>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="utf-8"
That is exactly right. Both were well within the margin of litigation, and at that point it is not just good lawyering but luck that determines the ultimate winner. We could say the same thing about the current Iowa House race. The key is to have fair procedures to decide these close races (which is why I am somewhat concerned about the partisan House getting involved in deciding that Iowa race, for reasons Derek explained here: https://electionlawblog.org/?p=119861).
Rick
From: David Becker <dbecker at electioninnovation.org>
Date: Friday, January 8, 2021 at 6:32 AM
To: Ilya Shapiro <IShapiro at cato.org>, Rick Hasen <rhasen at law.uci.edu>, Margaret Groarke <margaret.groarke at manhattan.edu>, Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com>
Cc: Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>, Virginia Martin <virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
Subject: Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency (Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
I?m not singling anyone out here, as many on both sides have done this, but can we, once and for all, stop using the language about ?stealing? of elections? We are a nation of laws, and all of these elections were fully litigated in courts and reviewed by election officials. That goes for the 2000 Bush and 2016 Trump electoral victories as well as the 2004 Gregoire and 2008 Franken electoral wins.
Don?t we have enough evidence of the damage such language can do?
David J. Becker
Executive Director and Founder
Center for Election Innovation & Research
1120 Connecticut Ave. NW, Suite 1040
Washington, DC, 20036
(202) 550-3470 (mobile) | dbecker at electioninnovation.org
www.electioninnovation.org | @beckerdavidj
________________________________
From: Law-election <law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu> on behalf of Ilya Shapiro <IShapiro at cato.org>
Sent: Friday, January 8, 2021 8:57:45 AM
To: Rick Hasen <rhasen at law.uci.edu>; Margaret Groarke <margaret.groarke at manhattan.edu>; Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com>
Cc: Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>; Virginia Martin <virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
Subject: Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency (Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
And that of course goes just as much about the false cries of ?voter suppression? and Marc Elias?s legal machinations going back to the stealing of Dino Rossi?s gubernatorial win and Al Franken over Norm Coleman.
Ilya Shapiro
Director, Robert A. Levy Center for Constitutional Studies
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From: Law-election <law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu> On Behalf Of Rick Hasen
Sent: Thursday, January 7, 2021 11:08 PM
To: Margaret Groarke <margaret.groarke at manhattan.edu>; Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com>
Cc: Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>; Virginia Martin <virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
Subject: Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency (Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
*CAUTION: External Email*
Well put. The principal problem is not primarily in how elections are run (although that is part of the problem). The problem is one of stoking passions through false accusations of election regularities and attempts to strongarm those with a formal role in the vote tabulating and counting process to reverse the democratic will.
From: Law-election <law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu<mailto:law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu>> on behalf of Margaret Groarke <margaret.groarke at manhattan.edu<mailto:margaret.groarke at manhattan.edu>>
Date: Thursday, January 7, 2021 at 6:44 PM
To: Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com<mailto:lehto.paul at gmail.com>>
Cc: Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu<mailto:law-election at uci.edu>>, Virginia Martin <virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com<mailto:virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>>
Subject: Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency (Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
I have found it interesting that, after a presidential election in which states had to figure out how to run an election in a pandemic (and did an admirable job), and there were 60 lawsuits brought challenging the results, and in which two months after the election we have the losing candidate still not conceding and instigating an invasion of the Capitol building, there was very little traffic on this list. When I explained to people that Donald Trump and Rudy Giuliani's allegations of various things were false, I would sometimes note that, on a list of election law professors and other elections experts, which runs the gamut politically, there were no reports of fraud or other wrongdoing discussed.
And now, the day after the invasion, there's a debate about whether we should hand count paper ballots. More amazing.
I read Rick Hasen's Election Meltdown this summer, and I've been thinking in particular about the chapter on overblown rhetoric, which I think is closer to the real problem here. Counting huge piles of paper ballots by hand will not eliminate the distrust of the election system. Distrust of the election results was deliberately birthed and stoked by elected officials -- people like Kris Kobach, Rudy Giuliani, Donald Trump and Ted Cruz. They can use whatever raw material is at hand. If there are no photos of election workers pulling ballots out of a suitcase (I guess they would prefer that ballots be left unsecured on a table top), they would use a photo of an election worker buried behind mile high stacks of paper ballots. If three people count a pile of ballots by hand and get slightly different numbers, that will be headline news.
Georgia had paper ballots, which were counted by a machine (and by hand, actually). Nevertheless, as late as Saturday, as we all know, the president was continuning to allege that there was malfeasance in the election. I live in NY, and served as a poll worker for the first time this year (I thought as a political scientist interested in elections I was long past due). We use optical scan ballots -- paper ballots, marked by the voter and counted by a machine. Should you need to do a manual recount it would be possible, although I doubt it would be more accurate or more transparent than the scanner.
It is late, and I am feeling very depressed and worried for our democracy today, and so I am not going to attempt to propose a solution to this very serious crisis. But I don't think going back to paper ballots counted by hand is the solution.
On Thu, Jan 7, 2021 at 9:17 PM Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com<mailto:lehto.paul at gmail.com>> wrote:
Professor Schultz:
I think I can speak on behalf of almost all of the leaders of the 2004 elector challenge regarding Obio in Kerry v Bush and say YES that the transparency of HCPB would allay all of our concerns to have a transparent system of vote counting with good chain of custody.
I was personally involved with the Rossi Gregoire hand recount case in Washington state from 2004 but I know all the people involved on the presidential side.and i know they favor HCPB but of course i don't represent them.
But Professor Schultz references the Trump 2020 effort which was able to grow much faster and had a President instigating behind it.
Here's the problem, you will never be able to put the genie back into the bottle now that tens of millions of people have seen the nontransparency and the many procedural dismissals that don't reach the merits. They may have little evidence or even "no evidence" but their movement amounts to an emphatic vote of no confidence in the nontransparent voting system.
We speak here of the voting system so within that scope I cannot deal with ngoing disputes about the Electors Clause for example. That has nothing to do with voting systems or se. But if there are processes, (as there are), to have legal claims heard and decided after a full transparent airing of all arguments, that safety valve of being heard goes a very long way toward keeping the peace, even if it doesn't settle every dispute.
I took the time to call and talk to one mid-level attorney on the Trump side. We did not agree on voter ID for example, but we were in complete agreement on the need for transparency and that both sides could agree on full transparency and getting rid of the nontransparent machines.
What the Trump 2020 movement is, even if stipulated to have zero evidence, is an emphatic vote of no confidence in the current electronic systems. You don't need evidence per se on a vote of no confidence.
Against that complete failure we are supposed to balance the convenience of some labor avoidance or the inability to wait any more time after a two year campaign?
Paul Lehto, J.D.
On Thu, Jan 7, 2021, 5:33 PM Steve Klein <stephen.klein.esq at gmail.com<mailto:stephen.klein.esq at gmail.com>> wrote:
Professor Schultz,
I appreciate you breaking the mold of "this never would have happened if we had [campaign finance, election, human nature] reform," but I daresay you've found something even more quixotic with the alternative.
No, no, before you all pile on, I'm with you: let's make eliminating the anxiety about losing one's job a cornerstone of the regime. No cost-benefit here. And... Mexico will pay for it. Or something.
On Thu, Jan 7, 2021 at 8:25 PM Schultz, David <dschultz at hamline.edu<mailto:dschultz at hamline.edu>> wrote:
Hi folks:
Let's be real. Do any of you really think that more transparency or other small fixes like this to the election system will ease election unrest? If you do then you must also think that the fact that widespread voter fraud does not exist will convince people that it does not exist. Whatever you mean by election unrest has deeper sociological and economic roots than adding more transparency. Let's begin to think about the gross economic inequalities that plague our system, or the shodding health care system, or perhaps the anxiety about losing one's job as the roots for why people are politically angry.
On Thu, Jan 7, 2021 at 7:13 PM Stephanie Singer <sfsinger at campaignscientific.com<mailto:sfsinger at campaignscientific.com>> wrote:
On Jan 7, 2021, at 4:54 PM, Fredric Woocher <fwoocher at strumwooch.com<mailto:fwoocher at strumwooch.com>> wrote:
I?m sorry, but this is just silly. In a jurisdiction like Los Angeles County, it would take weeks to count all the ballots for a single county-wide election, much less for the scores of contests that are on each primary and election ballot.
It depends on the level of involvement by citizens. The number of ballots is directly proportional to the number of voters.
And the result would be less accurate than a machine count.
Now that more and more jurisdictions are doing risk-limiting tabulation audits, we are starting to have more data about accuracy. Without that kind of check, the best we can say is that machines more reliably get the same answer each time than people using the hash method. That?s at best a statement about precision, not accuracy<https://nam12.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thoughtco.com%2Fdifference-between-accuracy-and-precision-609328&data=04%7C01%7Cdbecker%40electioninnovation.org%7C795bdf37109b41bf327d08d8b3dd91f2%7C24857eadd0694dcf948649483d775ef6%7C0%7C0%7C637457112854377023%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000&sdata=9h%2BkzRobPbnz0GVoX%2BOCs8f7nRXJb6DgF%2Fy%2FgTV7xj0%3D&reserved=0>.
We already have a transparent system: If the election is close enough (and even if it?s not), you can do a manual recount of the ballots and check the results against the machine count.
Depends on who ?you? are, and what state you?re in. And depends on what your state means by ?manual recount?. In a Florida ?manual recount", the paper records people get to hold in their hands and evaluate with their eyes are only the ones identified by the computers as having an undervote or overvote.
And do really think having the votes counted by multiple people with clickers is going to yield a uniform outcome that will convince the people who listen to Donald Trump, Rudy Giuliani, and the Krakens that the vote count was accurate when their preferred candidate loses?
Depends on the level of involvement. If there were a culture of serving and observing, there?s no reason to think we?d be worse off than we are now. There?s nothing like taking part in a bit of election administration to wake people up to the complexities.
Fredric D. Woocher
Strumwasser & Woocher LLP
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From: Law-election [mailto:law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu] On Behalf Of Paul Lehto
Sent: Thursday, January 7, 2021 3:53 PM
To: John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com<mailto:john.k.tanner at gmail.com>>
Cc: Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu<mailto:law-election at uci.edu>>; Virginia Martin <virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com<mailto:virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>>
Subject: Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency (Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
So on one side we have nontransparency in the voting system which breeds distrust which is then amplified by every partisan hope, fear, or piece of evidence, all the way up to an insurrection on ONE SIDE,
...And on the other side we have some 75 year old who might be groggy. And more hours to count.
The balancing isn't even close, and I could add much more to the first paragraph but recent events are enough.
The nontransparency is a fatal flaw in the current system, and a transparent system in the form of hand counted ballots is required to secure and guarantee the right to vote vis-a-vis situations of corrupt election officials, power outages and so on, and having tens of thousands of summonses workers nationwide who can personally attest based on their own observation and experience would restore public confidence.
Paul Lehto, J.D.
On Thu, Jan 7, 2021, 3:43 PM John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com<mailto:john.k.tanner at gmail.com>> wrote:
Did you wakes up the 75 year old participants at 4 or 5 am and have them work for 12 hours? On a ballot with 30+ offices and ballot measures?
Sent from my iPhone
On Jan 7, 2021, at 6:38 PM, Stephanie Singer <sfsinger at campaignscientific.com<mailto:sfsinger at campaignscientific.com>> wrote:
I took part in a demo of the clicker method. I don?t know of any academic research, but from my experience the clicker method is far better. It makes sense psychologically ? each person is focused on just one physical spot on the ballot, not needing to look back and forth. And in the demo we had several people tracking each candidate, and their tallies matched at the end (or perhaps were occasionally off by one). It was quick and easy and, with enough people clicking, convincing.
Stephanie Singer<https://nam12.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.pdx.edu%2Fprofile%2Fstephanie-singer&data=04%7C01%7Cdbecker%40electioninnovation.org%7C795bdf37109b41bf327d08d8b3dd91f2%7C24857eadd0694dcf948649483d775ef6%7C0%7C0%7C637457112854377023%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000&sdata=NgZYNQJnD5Dtb52Sgbb5YnYbjWrEfBHihguZxxOrwEw%3D&reserved=0>
Research Assistant Professor, Portland State University
Former Chair, Philadelphia County Board of Elections
On Jan 7, 2021, at 2:04 PM, John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com<mailto:john.k.tanner at gmail.com>> wrote:
One would think that ?mark, mark, ... tally? would avoid differences, since there?s a check every 5th vote. One would be wrong. And then you have to go back and reconcile to find where the count got off ? usually several tallies back. I suspect the clicker would be even worse
Sent from my iPhone
On Jan 7, 2021, at 4:42 PM, Stephanie Singer <sfsinger at campaignscientific.com<mailto:sfsinger at campaignscientific.com>> wrote:
It?s undeniable that the counting happens at a time when everyone is exhausted. And thanks for pointing out the difficulties of oversight in primaries.
At least one better counting method has been developed and tested by Karen McKim of Wisconsin Election Integrity<https://nam12.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwisconsinelectionintegrity.org%2F&data=04%7C01%7Cdbecker%40electioninnovation.org%7C795bdf37109b41bf327d08d8b3dd91f2%7C24857eadd0694dcf948649483d775ef6%7C0%7C0%7C637457112854387013%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000&sdata=0uYn6ftTLVcZtLM7heKZ8F5%2BAXMaRpyiJG2bp10O9xo%3D&reserved=0>. Each person in a group of observers has a hand-held clicker-counter (like the ones used to measure people flowing through turnstiles). The ballots can then be shown one after another, quite quickly. My understanding is that this is quite accurate and efficient.
The science and engineering of post-election tabulation audits for ballot scanners is progressing, but I haven?t yet seen a workable proposal for risk-limiting audits of precinct-counted ballots.
If you don?t count at the precinct at the end of the voting period, you have to solve the ballot custody problem, also quite knotty.
?Stephanie
On Jan 7, 2021, at 1:26 PM, John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com<mailto:john.k.tanner at gmail.com>> wrote:
I agree completely that the election process should include at all levels and locations poll officials and poll watchers appointed by both major parties ? and by all diverse candidates in primaries and nonpartisan elections (easier said than done). And posting the results at the polls and centrally is or used to be common. But hand counted paper ballots? I recall monitoring primary elections with hand counted paper ballots at relatively tiny precincts. It takes forever, in part because of frequent differences in the counts (often resolved by splitting the difference) and poll workers quitting fit the night and one (1) poll official taking the materials home to safeguard them. In one MS primary election, the count wasn?t completed until Thursday evening , at which point I could finally go to sleep (after helping polish off some beer the senior attorney had bought). There?s are reasons we use machines now.
Sent from my iPhone
On Jan 7, 2021, at 1:59 PM, Stephanie Singer <sfsinger at campaignscientific.com<mailto:sfsinger at campaignscientific.com>> wrote:
A big Plus One to what Paul has written.
To move to the kind of resilient system Paul has described, we need to face head on the downsides of such a system. There are people in this country who physically cannot mark and review paper ballots without assistance (either from people or technology). And there are people of this country who cannot physically get to the polling place on the given day (e.g., overseas deployed military).
Companies that manufacture and maintain computerized voting systems have exploited this downside for profit.
I wonder what folks on this list think of proxy voting.
?Stephanie
PS: a relevant piece I wrote was published a few hours before all hell broke loose yesterday: https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2021/01/06/stolen-election-trump-patriot/<https://nam12.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.washingtonpost.com%2Foutlook%2F2021%2F01%2F06%2Fstolen-election-trump-patriot%2F&data=04%7C01%7Cdbecker%40electioninnovation.org%7C795bdf37109b41bf327d08d8b3dd91f2%7C24857eadd0694dcf948649483d775ef6%7C0%7C0%7C637457112854387013%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000&sdata=H7Kq%2FTA3OQAnVya0s9wJv3KKzNf1tJicwI7vYK2UgKY%3D&reserved=0>
On Jan 6, 2021, at 2:46 PM, Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com<mailto:lehto.paul at gmail.com>> wrote:
The short answer is voter-marked and hand counted paper ballots counted in precincts with results posted at the precincts as well as reported to the county or state. And also using a summonsing process to guarantee sufficient labor or add additional independent observers as needed.
This way any group can verify the tabulation by looking at precinct posted results, and counts in precincts are monitored by all interested political parties plus individuals drafted by a process similar to jury summonsing. It is a labor intensive process but most people would much rather spend a day counting ballots than spend two weeks in a jury trial.
If ballot counting is observed by multiple observers adverse to each other (the system used and assumed by the framers of the 12th amendment) out of a combination of people we might not trust to count ballots alone, we can nevertheless achieve a trustable result.
We might also realize that the framers of the 12th amendment presupposed HCPB, and might come to understand that a joint session is subservient to the will of the people and able to make only the objections and corrections that vote counting clerks are able to make, not relitigate the entire election.
More importantly, glitches, errors or frauds create observable evidence that can be accessed, and inaccuracies are isolated to the precinct level. Thus, if and when people tell stories about paper ballot fraud, that actually proves both that fraud can happen and that the voting system actually worked to create evidence of the problem and thus allow us to tell the story today. It is up to the administrative and legal systems - not the voting system - to actually prosecute or correct for the fraud or error. The voting system only needs to be transparent and create clear indelible evidence of voter intent.
With a fully transparent vote counting process, I find that almost everyone I talk to is willing to pay the labor and time pricetag for the system, because of the rational confidence created in the results, and the fact that it is the best guarantee of our right to vote actually working if and when a criminal regime is in control of the vote counting process. Given that voting is our most important right, and given the Declaration of Independence recites that our government was setup for the purpose of securing and guaranteeing our rights, this is not too much to ask. The alternative is to have a voting system that is non-transparent and thus is vulnerable to failing completely at the very moment we need it the most - when criminality has invaded the governmental election processes.
The human need for hand counts of valuable things is witnessed every day when counting our own cash at the bank teller window or at the ATM. There is just no substitute for hand counting when we deal with something valuable AND there is incentive for one or more parties to count inaccurately, as exists in elections.
It would also have the added benefit of bringing statutes back into line with reality, such as the requirement of a 0.5% lead or less to trigger a recount. That kind of narrow window makes sense with HCPB, but with electronic elections if there is fraud it is the same amount of effort to create a lead outside the recount margin as there is to win by just a few votes.
And it would also bring back into alignment the call for public confidence and acceptance of the results. That is a call for rational acceptance of the results if counts are transparent but is a call for a faith that losers find hard to develop when counts are nontransparent.
Paul Lehto, J.D.
>
> Here's the problem, *you will never be able to put the genie back into
> the bottle now that tens of millions of people have seen the
> nontransparency *and the many procedural dismissals that don't reach the
> merits. They may have little evidence or even "no evidence" but their
> movement amounts to an emphatic vote of no confidence in the nontransparent
> voting system.
>
>
>
> We speak here of the voting system so within that scope I cannot deal with
> ngoing disputes about the Electors Clause for example. That has nothing to
> do with voting systems or se. But if there are processes, (as there are),
> to have legal claims heard and decided after a full transparent airing of
> all arguments, that safety valve of being heard goes a very long way toward
> keeping the peace, even if it doesn't settle every dispute.
>
>
>
> I took the time to call and talk to one mid-level attorney on the Trump
> side. We did not agree on voter ID for example, but we were in complete
> agreement on the need for transparency and that both sides could agree on
> full transparency and getting rid of the nontransparent machines.
>
>
>
> What the Trump 2020 movement is, even if stipulated to have zero evidence,
> is *an emphatic vote of no confidence *in the current electronic systems.
> You don't need evidence per se on a vote of no confidence.
>
>
>
> Against that complete failure we are supposed to balance the convenience
> of some labor avoidance or the inability to wait any more time after a two
> year campaign?
>
>
>
> Paul Lehto, J.D.
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> On Thu, Jan 7, 2021, 5:33 PM Steve Klein <stephen.klein.esq at gmail.com>
> wrote:
>
> Professor Schultz,
>
>
>
> I appreciate you breaking the mold of "this never would have happened if
> we had [campaign finance, election, human nature] reform," but I daresay
> you've found something even more quixotic with the alternative.
>
>
>
> No, no, before you all pile on, I'm with you: let's make eliminating t*he
> anxiety about losing one's job* a cornerstone of the regime. No
> cost-benefit here. And... Mexico will pay for it. Or something.
>
>
>
> On Thu, Jan 7, 2021 at 8:25 PM Schultz, David <dschultz at hamline.edu>
> wrote:
>
> Hi folks:
>
>
>
> Let's be real. Do any of you really think that more transparency or
> other small fixes like this to the election system will ease election
> unrest? If you do then you must also think that the fact that widespread
> voter fraud does not exist will convince people that it does not exist.
> Whatever you mean by election unrest has deeper sociological and economic
> roots than adding more transparency. Let's begin to think about the gross
> economic inequalities that plague our system, or the shodding health care
> system, or perhaps the anxiety about losing one's job as the roots for
> why people are politically angry.
>
>
>
> On Thu, Jan 7, 2021 at 7:13 PM Stephanie Singer <
> sfsinger at campaignscientific.com> wrote:
>
>
>
> On Jan 7, 2021, at 4:54 PM, Fredric Woocher <fwoocher at strumwooch.com>
> wrote:
>
>
>
> I?m sorry, but this is just silly. In a jurisdiction like Los Angeles
> County, it would take weeks to count all the ballots for a single
> county-wide election, much less for the scores of contests that are on each
> primary and election ballot.
>
> It depends on the level of involvement by citizens. The number of ballots
> is directly proportional to the number of voters.
>
> And the result would be less accurate than a machine count.
>
> Now that more and more jurisdictions are doing risk-limiting tabulation
> audits, we are starting to have more data about accuracy. Without that kind
> of check, the best we can say is that machines more reliably get the same
> answer each time than people using the hash method. That?s at best a
> statement about precision, not accuracy
> <https://www.thoughtco.com/difference-between-accuracy-and-precision-609328>
> .
>
>
>
> We already have a transparent system: If the election is close enough
> (and even if it?s not), you can do a manual recount of the ballots and
> check the results against the machine count.
>
> Depends on who ?you? are, and what state you?re in. And depends on what
> your state means by ?manual recount?. In a Florida ?manual recount", the
> paper records people get to hold in their hands and evaluate with their
> eyes are only the ones identified by the computers as having an undervote
> or overvote.
>
>
>
> And do really think having the votes counted by multiple people with
> clickers is going to yield a uniform outcome that will convince the people
> who listen to Donald Trump, Rudy Giuliani, and the Krakens that the vote
> count was accurate when their preferred candidate loses?
>
> Depends on the level of involvement. If there were a culture of serving
> and observing, there?s no reason to think we?d be worse off than we are
> now. There?s nothing like taking part in a bit of election administration
> to wake people up to the complexities.
>
>
>
> Fredric D. Woocher
>
> Strumwasser & Woocher LLP
>
> 10940 Wilshire Blvd., Ste. 2000
>
> Los Angeles, CA 90024
>
> fwoocher at strumwooch.com
>
> (310) 576-1233 x105
>
> Direct: (310) 933-5739
>
>
>
> *IMPORTANT NOTICE**:* Pursuant to the Governor?s ?Stay at Home? Order,
> Strumwasser & Woocher LLP is CLOSED TO THE PUBLIC. *Packages requiring
> signatures will be returned undelivered ? do not serve papers by this
> method.* While our office is closed, *Strumwasser & Woocher LLP consents
> to electronic service in all of its matters*. Please serve by electronic
> mail to *fwoocher at strumwooch.com <fwoocher at strumwooch.com>* AND to our
> Senior Legal Assistant, LaKeitha Oliver, at loliver at strumwooch.com. We
> reserve the right to object to any notice or delivery of any kind if not
> actually received by counsel before all statutory deadlines.
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> *From:* Law-election [mailto:law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu
> <law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu>] *On Behalf Of *Paul Lehto
> *Sent:* Thursday, January 7, 2021 3:53 PM
> *To:* John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com>
> *Cc:* Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>; Virginia Martin <
> virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
> *Subject:* Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency
> (Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
>
>
>
> So on one side we have nontransparency in the voting system which breeds
> distrust which is then amplified by every partisan hope, fear, or piece of
> evidence, all the way up to an insurrection on ONE SIDE,
>
>
>
> ...And on the other side we have some 75 year old who might be groggy.
> And more hours to count.
>
>
>
> The balancing isn't even close, and I could add much more to the first
> paragraph but recent events are enough.
>
>
>
> The nontransparency is a fatal flaw in the current system, and a
> transparent system in the form of hand counted ballots is required to
> secure and guarantee the right to vote vis-a-vis situations of corrupt
> election officials, power outages and so on, and having tens of thousands
> of summonses workers nationwide who can personally attest based on their
> own observation and experience would restore public confidence.
>
>
>
> Paul Lehto, J.D.
>
>
>
> On Thu, Jan 7, 2021, 3:43 PM John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com> wrote:
>
> Did you wakes up the 75 year old participants at 4 or 5 am and have them
> work for 12 hours? On a ballot with 30+ offices and ballot measures?
>
> Sent from my iPhone
>
>
>
> On Jan 7, 2021, at 6:38 PM, Stephanie Singer <
> sfsinger at campaignscientific.com> wrote:
>
> I took part in a demo of the clicker method. I don?t know of any academic
> research, but from my experience the clicker method is far better. It makes
> sense psychologically ? each person is focused on just one physical spot on
> the ballot, not needing to look back and forth. And in the demo we had
> several people tracking each candidate, and their tallies matched at the
> end (or perhaps were occasionally off by one). It was quick and easy and,
> with enough people clicking, convincing.
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> Stephanie Singer <https://www.pdx.edu/profile/stephanie-singer>
>
> Research Assistant Professor, Portland State University
>
> Former Chair, Philadelphia County Board of Elections
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> On Jan 7, 2021, at 2:04 PM, John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com> wrote:
>
>
>
> One would think that ?mark, mark, ... tally? would avoid differences,
> since there?s a check every 5th vote. One would be wrong. And then you
> have to go back and reconcile to find where the count got off ? usually
> several tallies back. I suspect the clicker would be even worse
>
>
>
> Sent from my iPhone
>
>
>
> On Jan 7, 2021, at 4:42 PM, Stephanie Singer <
> sfsinger at campaignscientific.com> wrote:
>
> It?s undeniable that the counting happens at a time when everyone is
> exhausted. And thanks for pointing out the difficulties of oversight in
> primaries.
>
>
>
> At least one better counting method has been developed and tested by Karen
> McKim of Wisconsin Election Integrity
> <https://wisconsinelectionintegrity.org/>. Each person in a group of
> observers has a hand-held clicker-counter (like the ones used to measure
> people flowing through turnstiles). The ballots can then be shown one after
> another, quite quickly. My understanding is that this is quite accurate and
> efficient.
>
>
>
> The science and engineering of post-election tabulation audits for ballot
> scanners is progressing, but I haven?t yet seen a workable proposal for
> risk-limiting audits of precinct-counted ballots.
>
>
>
> If you don?t count at the precinct at the end of the voting period, you
> have to solve the ballot custody problem, also quite knotty.
>
>
>
> ?Stephanie
>
>
>
> On Jan 7, 2021, at 1:26 PM, John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com> wrote:
>
>
>
> I agree completely that the election process should include at all levels
> and locations poll officials and poll watchers appointed by both major
> parties ? and by all diverse candidates in primaries and nonpartisan
> elections (easier said than done). And posting the results at the polls
> and centrally is or used to be common. But hand counted paper ballots?
> I recall monitoring primary elections with hand counted paper ballots at
> relatively tiny precincts. It takes forever, in part because of frequent
> differences in the counts (often resolved by splitting the difference) and
> poll workers quitting fit the night and one (1) poll official taking the
> materials home to safeguard them. In one MS primary election, the count
> wasn?t completed until Thursday evening , at which point I could finally go
> to sleep (after helping polish off some beer the senior attorney had
> bought). There?s are reasons we use machines now.
>
> Sent from my iPhone
>
>
>
> On Jan 7, 2021, at 1:59 PM, Stephanie Singer <
> sfsinger at campaignscientific.com> wrote:
>
> A big Plus One to what Paul has written.
>
>
>
> To move to the kind of resilient system Paul has described, we need to
> face head on the downsides of such a system. There are people in this
> country who physically cannot mark and review paper ballots without
> assistance (either from people or technology). And there are people of this
> country who cannot physically get to the polling place on the given day
> (e.g., overseas deployed military).
>
>
>
> Companies that manufacture and maintain computerized voting systems have
> exploited this downside for profit.
>
>
>
> I wonder what folks on this list think of proxy voting.
>
>
>
> ?Stephanie
>
> PS: a relevant piece I wrote was published a few hours before all hell
> broke loose yesterday:
> https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2021/01/06/stolen-election-trump-patriot/
>
>
>
> On Jan 6, 2021, at 2:46 PM, Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com> wrote:
>
>
>
> The short answer is voter-marked and hand counted paper ballots counted in
> precincts with results posted at the precincts as well as reported to the
> county or state. And also using a summonsing process to guarantee
> sufficient labor or add additional independent observers as needed.
>
>
>
> This way any group can verify the tabulation by looking at precinct posted
> results, and counts in precincts are monitored by all interested political
> parties plus individuals drafted by a process similar to jury summonsing.
> It is a labor intensive process but *most people would much rather spend
> a day counting ballots than spend two weeks in a jury trial. *
>
>
>
> If ballot counting is observed by multiple observers adverse to each other
> (the system used and assumed by the framers of the 12th amendment) out of a
> combination of people we might not trust to count ballots alone, we can
> nevertheless achieve a trustable result.
>
>
>
> We might also realize that the framers of the 12th amendment presupposed
> HCPB, and might come to understand that a joint session is subservient to
> the will of the people and *able to make only the objections and
> corrections that vote counting clerks are able to make, not relitigate the
> entire election*.
>
>
>
> More importantly, glitches, errors or frauds create observable evidence
> that can be accessed, and inaccuracies are isolated to the precinct level.
> Thus, if and when people tell stories about paper ballot fraud, that
> actually proves both that fraud can happen and that *the voting system
> actually worked to create evidence of the problem and thus allow us to tell
> the story today*. It is up to the administrative and legal systems - not
> the voting system - to actually prosecute or correct for the fraud or
> error. The voting system only needs to be transparent and create clear
> indelible evidence of voter intent.
>
>
>
> With a fully transparent vote counting process, I find that almost
> everyone I talk to is willing to pay the labor and time pricetag for the
> system, because of the rational confidence created in the results, and the
> fact that it is the best guarantee of our right to vote actually working if
> and when a criminal regime is in control of the vote counting process.
> Given that voting is our most important right, and given the Declaration of
> Independence recites that our government was setup for the purpose of
> securing and guaranteeing our rights, this is not too much to ask. The
> alternative is to have a voting system that is non-transparent and thus is
> vulnerable to failing completely at the very moment we need it the most -
> when criminality has invaded the governmental election processes.
>
>
>
> The human need for hand counts of valuable things is witnessed every day
> when counting our own cash at the bank teller window or at the ATM. There
> is just no substitute for hand counting when we deal with something
> valuable AND there is incentive for one or more parties to count
> inaccurately, as exists in elections.
>
>
>
> It would also have the added benefit of bringing statutes back into line
> with reality, such as the requirement of a 0.5% lead or less to trigger a
> recount. That kind of narrow window makes sense with HCPB, but with
> electronic elections if there is fraud it is the same amount of effort to
> create a lead outside the recount margin as there is to win by just a few
> votes.
>
>
>
> And it would also bring back into alignment the call for public confidence
> and acceptance of the results. That is a call for rational acceptance of
> the results if counts are transparent but is a call for a faith that losers
> find hard to develop when counts are nontransparent.
>
>
>
> Paul Lehto, J.D.
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> On Wed, Jan 6, 2021, 2:10 PM David Mason <dmason12 at gmail.com> wrote:
>
> What sorts of systems, policies, and procedures would you recommend to
> achieve this level of transparency?
>
>
>
> Dave Mason
>
>
>
> On Wed, Jan 6, 2021 at 4:34 PM Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com> wrote:
>
>
> Obviously, things have gotten out of hand, but what is the root of the
> problem?
>
>
>
> The problem is that *we do not have a voting system that the LOSERS of
> the election can believe in* based on the transparency of the process. *If
> we want peaceful transitions of power the system needs to lead to results
> trustable by the "sore losers."*
>
>
>
> While people need to be held accountable for illegal actions,*going
> forward*, instead of designing our voting systems with gaining the
> consent of the governed among the losing side, we instead demand "public
> confidence" in nontransparent computerized counts on pain of charges of
> undermining democracy.
>
>
>
> *This lack of transparency in vote counting is the SEED to which either
> facts or fevered dreams can attach*, and typically our partisan
> affiliations and the media sources we select predetermine what information
> we will receive and what conclusions we will draw.
>
>
>
> I have predicted this would eventually happen for over a decade. I was
> quoted in Politico a couple weeks ago about Trump activists because I was
> active in investigating the 2004 elections after serving as one of Kerry's
> "army" of lawyers (who were actually just assisting people to vote).
> https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/12/19/2004-kerry-election-fraud-2020-448604
> This article sought to find out what those who questioned 2004 thought of
> those who questioned 2020. A variety of opinions emerged.
>
>
>
> In *Politico *I was quoted as saying the election disputes are the
> equivalent of a religious war where both sides assert their strongly held
> beliefs on the basis of faith rather than on the basis of*knowledge*.
> All people must necessarily have beliefs rather than true personal
> knowledge about the vote count results because the counts themselves are
> nontransparent, being done on computers, so that literally no one has
> personal knowledge the results are correct. Even election officials lack
> the kind of personal knowledge we expect from any admissible affidavit,
> Instead, officials believe them to be correct based on logic and accuracy
> tests and such but they don't really KNOW. Experts can add numerous
> circumstantial reasons to support that belief, but our opinions remain in
> the territory of trust and confidence rather than hard facts and
> knowledge.
>
>
>
> The election results are simply the conclusions. I've been entitled to
> every data source any expert in court relies upon for his or her
> conclusions, except in election law, where the computers are generally
> deemed inaccessible.
>
>
>
> Our present system merely urges public confidence in those conclusory
> results, which is the same as urging trust or faith. As a result, t*he
> opinions on all sides about the election results amount to statements of
> political religious faith*, and thus we have what amounts to a religious
> war in which various sides insult the faith of the other side, eventually
> leading to violence as we see today.
>
>
>
> Transparency is strongly effective at getting rid of conspiracy theories
> because when facts are present, no theories, conspiracy or otherwise, are
> necessary or possible. Transparency would likely not reduce Republican
> support for objections from Rasmussen's 73% released today down to zero,
> but it would critically drop it below fifty percent at the very least. And
> that is the difference between peaceful transitions of power transitions of
> power that are not peaceful.
>
>
>
> Trump supporters may not be able to prove fraud, but the reverse is also
> true: Biden supporters can't prove Biden win, except with a full hand
> recount and good chain of custody and no ballot box stuffing. The solution
> is to get it right on election night with a transparent counting system
> that the large majority of losers can RATIONALLY trust. Not faith-based
> elections like we have now.
>
>
>
> --
>
> Paul R Lehto, J.D.
> PO Box 2796
>
> Renton, WA 98056
> lehto.paul at gmail.com
> 906-204-4965 (cell)
>
>
>
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Message: 4
Date: Fri, 8 Jan 2021 09:23:18 -0800
From: Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com>
To: RuthAlice Anderson <ruthalice.anderson at comcast.net>
Cc: Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>, Virginia Martin
<virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
Subject: Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is
Non-transparency(AllowingPeople to Imagine Whatever They Will
Message-ID:
<CAD=1OvemoREHjeuRP8-Lp6yELYixqMq65xGnrm6qB37vmW3tvw at mail.gmail.com>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="utf-8"
Ruth, you call my argument extreme but the Court of Appeals in my case
acknowledged that my case based on these arguments raised important
questions at the very bedrock of democracy, not "extreme" interpretations.
The Court only dismissed my case attacking contracts to purchase voting
machines as void against public policy because it said I had won - the
county canceled the contract for the touch screens and thereby mooted my
attack upon the contract is violating public policy.
On the contrary, your argument or fear that people may misunderstand or
misinterpret election information if it is given to them is an extreme
attack upon transparency of all kinds.
The same argument or fear applies to every government record and violates
the declared public policy of my state of Washington found at RCW 42.30.010:
The people of this state do not yield their sovereignty to the agencies
which serve them.
*The people, in delegating authority, do not give their public servants the
right to decide what is good for the people to know and what is not good
for them to know. The people insist on remaining informed so that they may
retain control over the instruments they have created.*
The conservative state of Texas takes it further:
Sec. 552.001. POLICY; CONSTRUCTION. (a) Under the fundamental philosophy of
the American constitutional form of representative government that adheres
to the principle that government is the servant and not the master of the
people, it is the policy of this state that each person is entitled, unless
otherwise expressly provided by law, at all times to complete information
about the affairs of government and the official acts of public officials
and employees. The people, in delegating authority, do not give their
public servants the right to decide what is good for the people to know and
what is not good for them to know. The people insist on remaining
informed so that they may retain control over the instruments they have
created.
The same or nearly identical language is the fundamental public policy in
many other states like CA, AK, HI, GA and others.
Most state constitutions recite that a frequent recurrence to fundamental
principles is necessary for the preservation of liberty and free
government. This is true.
The problem generally is that we have focused too much on mechanics and
administrative convenience instead of recurring to our most important laws
and principles.
Thati s why my argument to protect the bedrock of democracy can
occasionally be perceived as "extreme" - the government has strayed from
our most fundamental rights in favor of convenience and efficiency claims
that do not guarantee our most important rights. They did it accidentally
by signing vendor contracts that took transparent vote counts and made them
the private intellectual property of vendors and/or *de facto* government
secrets.
Paul Lehto, J.D.
On Thu, Jan 7, 2021, 10:56 PM RuthAlice Anderson <
ruthalice.anderson at comcast.net> wrote:
> Wow, that?s an extreme interpretation. I think trained poll watchers are
> essential for transparency. Streaming to the untrained and already
> suspicious public is dangerous. People who want to find something will
> misinterpret innocent acts as malice. Because that?s what they want to
> find.
>
> Poll watchers from both parties are absolutely proper. Training people is
> proper. Having people this believe in lizard people watching from their
> homes is not.
>
>
> https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/nov/17/ballot-counting-livestreams-misinformation-us-election
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> Sent from Mail <https://go.microsoft.com/fwlink/?LinkId=550986> for
> Windows 10
>
>
>
> *From: *Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com>
> *Sent: *Thursday, January 7, 2021 4:32 PM
> *To: *RuthAlice Anderson <ruthalice.anderson at comcast.net>
> *Cc: *John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com>; Election Law Listserv
> <law-election at uci.edu>; Virginia Martin <virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
> *Subject: *Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is
> Non-transparency(AllowingPeople to Imagine Whatever They Will)
>
>
>
> I have never heard the claim that streaming led to widespread fraud
> allegations. That said, if transparency could be defeated by a significant
> possibility of misunderstanding what is going on, then you are arguing
> against transparency generally. Any government document or record is
> subject to the danger of being misunderstood.
>
>
>
> The misunderstanding argument is one of the arguments made for widespread
> secrecy in forms of government that aren't free or do not wish to be held
> accountable or to be checked and balanced - namely that the masses can't
> understand the fine arts of governance, so it is better that they just
> trust us and not get information. In reality, The risk of misunderstanding
> would be an argument against having juries, or even voting without a
> literacy and civics test.
>
>
>
> I think you would find people keen to participate in a meaningful event
> like elections and eager to learn.
>
>
>
> Training is at its simplest with hand counted paper ballots, but if there
> is a problem with lack of training there is a straightforward solution -
> more training.
>
>
>
> Paul Lehto, J.D.
>
> On Thu, Jan 7, 2021, 4:09 PM RuthAlice Anderson <
> ruthalice.anderson at comcast.net> wrote:
>
> Doesn?t it seem that many of the most widespread false allegations of
> fraud originated with transparency efforts such as streaming video of the
> ballot count. People without any idea what is happening in the room saw
> things they did not understand (cases under the table being opened with
> ballots) and found a malignant interpretation.
>
> It also seems that the poll watchers and observers were poorly trained.
> When I was a poll watcher before vote by mail, we had a fairly lengthy
> training on what to watch for and how to report it. We were advised not to
> talk about it because we could be wrong.
>
> RuthAlice
>
>
>
> Sent from Mail <https://go.microsoft.com/fwlink/?LinkId=550986> for
> Windows 10
>
>
>
> *From: *Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com>
> *Sent: *Thursday, January 7, 2021 3:55 PM
> *To: *John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com>
> *Cc: *Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>; Virginia Martin
> <virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
> *Subject: *Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is
> Non-transparency(Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
>
>
>
> So on one side we have nontransparency in the voting system which breeds
> distrust which is then amplified by every partisan hope, fear, or piece of
> evidence, all the way up to an insurrection on ONE SIDE,
>
>
>
> ...And on the other side we have some 75 year old who might be groggy.
> And more hours to count.
>
>
>
> The balancing isn't even close, and I could add much more to the first
> paragraph but recent events are enough.
>
>
>
> The nontransparency is a fatal flaw in the current system, and a
> transparent system in the form of hand counted ballots is required to
> secure and guarantee the right to vote vis-a-vis situations of corrupt
> election officials, power outages and so on, and having tens of thousands
> of summonses workers nationwide who can personally attest based on their
> own observation and experience would restore public confidence.
>
>
>
> Paul Lehto, J.D.
>
>
>
> On Thu, Jan 7, 2021, 3:43 PM John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com> wrote:
>
> Did you wakes up the 75 year old participants at 4 or 5 am and have them
> work for 12 hours? On a ballot with 30+ offices and ballot measures?
>
> Sent from my iPhone
>
>
>
> On Jan 7, 2021, at 6:38 PM, Stephanie Singer <
> sfsinger at campaignscientific.com> wrote:
>
> ?I took part in a demo of the clicker method. I don?t know of any academic
> research, but from my experience the clicker method is far better. It makes
> sense psychologically ? each person is focused on just one physical spot on
> the ballot, not needing to look back and forth. And in the demo we had
> several people tracking each candidate, and their tallies matched at the
> end (or perhaps were occasionally off by one). It was quick and easy and,
> with enough people clicking, convincing.
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> Stephanie Singer <https://www.pdx.edu/profile/stephanie-singer>
>
> Research Assistant Professor, Portland State University
>
> Former Chair, Philadelphia County Board of Elections
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> On Jan 7, 2021, at 2:04 PM, John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com> wrote:
>
>
>
> One would think that ?mark, mark, ... tally? would avoid differences,
> since there?s a check every 5th vote. One would be wrong. And then you
> have to go back and reconcile to find where the count got off ? usually
> several tallies back. I suspect the clicker would be even worse
>
>
>
> Sent from my iPhone
>
>
>
> On Jan 7, 2021, at 4:42 PM, Stephanie Singer <
> sfsinger at campaignscientific.com> wrote:
>
> ?It?s undeniable that the counting happens at a time when everyone is
> exhausted. And thanks for pointing out the difficulties of oversight in
> primaries.
>
>
>
> At least one better counting method has been developed and tested by Karen
> McKim of Wisconsin Election Integrity
> <https://wisconsinelectionintegrity.org/>. Each person in a group of
> observers has a hand-held clicker-counter (like the ones used to measure
> people flowing through turnstiles). The ballots can then be shown one after
> another, quite quickly. My understanding is that this is quite accurate and
> efficient.
>
>
>
> The science and engineering of post-election tabulation audits for ballot
> scanners is progressing, but I haven?t yet seen a workable proposal for
> risk-limiting audits of precinct-counted ballots.
>
>
>
> If you don?t count at the precinct at the end of the voting period, you
> have to solve the ballot custody problem, also quite knotty.
>
>
>
> ?Stephanie
>
>
>
> On Jan 7, 2021, at 1:26 PM, John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com> wrote:
>
>
>
> I agree completely that the election process should include at all levels
> and locations poll officials and poll watchers appointed by both major
> parties ? and by all diverse candidates in primaries and nonpartisan
> elections (easier said than done). And posting the results at the polls
> and centrally is or used to be common. But hand counted paper ballots?
> I recall monitoring primary elections with hand counted paper ballots at
> relatively tiny precincts. It takes forever, in part because of frequent
> differences in the counts (often resolved by splitting the difference) and
> poll workers quitting fit the night and one (1) poll official taking the
> materials home to safeguard them. In one MS primary election, the count
> wasn?t completed until Thursday evening , at which point I could finally go
> to sleep (after helping polish off some beer the senior attorney had
> bought). There?s are reasons we use machines now.
>
> Sent from my iPhone
>
>
>
> On Jan 7, 2021, at 1:59 PM, Stephanie Singer <
> sfsinger at campaignscientific.com> wrote:
>
> ?A big Plus One to what Paul has written.
>
>
>
> To move to the kind of resilient system Paul has described, we need to
> face head on the downsides of such a system. There are people in this
> country who physically cannot mark and review paper ballots without
> assistance (either from people or technology). And there are people of this
> country who cannot physically get to the polling place on the given day
> (e.g., overseas deployed military).
>
>
>
> Companies that manufacture and maintain computerized voting systems have
> exploited this downside for profit.
>
>
>
> I wonder what folks on this list think of proxy voting.
>
>
>
> ?Stephanie
>
> PS: a relevant piece I wrote was published a few hours before all hell
> broke loose yesterday:
> https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2021/01/06/stolen-election-trump-patriot/
>
>
>
> On Jan 6, 2021, at 2:46 PM, Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com> wrote:
>
>
>
> The short answer is voter-marked and hand counted paper ballots counted in
> precincts with results posted at the precincts as well as reported to the
> county or state. And also using a summonsing process to guarantee
> sufficient labor or add additional independent observers as needed.
>
>
>
> This way any group can verify the tabulation by looking at precinct posted
> results, and counts in precincts are monitored by all interested political
> parties plus individuals drafted by a process similar to jury summonsing.
> It is a labor intensive process but *most people would much rather spend
> a day counting ballots than spend two weeks in a jury trial. *
>
>
>
> If ballot counting is observed by multiple observers adverse to each other
> (the system used and assumed by the framers of the 12th amendment) out of a
> combination of people we might not trust to count ballots alone, we can
> nevertheless achieve a trustable result.
>
>
>
> We might also realize that the framers of the 12th amendment presupposed
> HCPB, and might come to understand that a joint session is subservient to
> the will of the people and *able to make only the objections and
> corrections that vote counting clerks are able to make, not relitigate the
> entire election*.
>
>
>
> More importantly, glitches, errors or frauds create observable evidence
> that can be accessed, and inaccuracies are isolated to the precinct level.
> Thus, if and when people tell stories about paper ballot fraud, that
> actually proves both that fraud can happen and that *the voting system
> actually worked to create evidence of the problem and thus allow us to tell
> the story today*. It is up to the administrative and legal systems - not
> the voting system - to actually prosecute or correct for the fraud or
> error. The voting system only needs to be transparent and create clear
> indelible evidence of voter intent.
>
>
>
> With a fully transparent vote counting process, I find that almost
> everyone I talk to is willing to pay the labor and time pricetag for the
> system, because of the rational confidence created in the results, and the
> fact that it is the best guarantee of our right to vote actually working if
> and when a criminal regime is in control of the vote counting process.
> Given that voting is our most important right, and given the Declaration of
> Independence recites that our government was setup for the purpose of
> securing and guaranteeing our rights, this is not too much to ask. The
> alternative is to have a voting system that is non-transparent and thus is
> vulnerable to failing completely at the very moment we need it the most -
> when criminality has invaded the governmental election processes.
>
>
>
> The human need for hand counts of valuable things is witnessed every day
> when counting our own cash at the bank teller window or at the ATM. There
> is just no substitute for hand counting when we deal with something
> valuable AND there is incentive for one or more parties to count
> inaccurately, as exists in elections.
>
>
>
> It would also have the added benefit of bringing statutes back into line
> with reality, such as the requirement of a 0.5% lead or less to trigger a
> recount. That kind of narrow window makes sense with HCPB, but with
> electronic elections if there is fraud it is the same amount of effort to
> create a lead outside the recount margin as there is to win by just a few
> votes.
>
>
>
> And it would also bring back into alignment the call for public confidence
> and acceptance of the results. That is a call for rational acceptance of
> the results if counts are transparent but is a call for a faith that losers
> find hard to develop when counts are nontransparent.
>
>
>
> Paul Lehto, J.D.
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> On Wed, Jan 6, 2021, 2:10 PM David Mason <dmason12 at gmail.com> wrote:
>
> What sorts of systems, policies, and procedures would you recommend to
> achieve this level of transparency?
>
>
>
> Dave Mason
>
>
>
> On Wed, Jan 6, 2021 at 4:34 PM Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com> wrote:
>
>
> Obviously, things have gotten out of hand, but what is the root of the
> problem?
>
>
>
> The problem is that *we do not have a voting system that the LOSERS of
> the election can believe in* based on the transparency of the process. *If
> we want peaceful transitions of power the system needs to lead to results
> trustable by the "sore losers."*
>
>
>
> While people need to be held accountable for illegal actions, *going
> forward*, instead of designing our voting systems with gaining the
> consent of the governed among the losing side, we instead demand "public
> confidence" in nontransparent computerized counts on pain of charges of
> undermining democracy.
>
>
>
> *This lack of transparency in vote counting is the SEED to which either
> facts or fevered dreams can attach*, and typically our partisan
> affiliations and the media sources we select predetermine what information
> we will receive and what conclusions we will draw.
>
>
>
> I have predicted this would eventually happen for over a decade. I was
> quoted in Politico a couple weeks ago about Trump activists because I was
> active in investigating the 2004 elections after serving as one of Kerry's
> "army" of lawyers (who were actually just assisting people to vote).
> https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/12/19/2004-kerry-election-fraud-2020-448604
> This article sought to find out what those who questioned 2004 thought of
> those who questioned 2020. A variety of opinions emerged.
>
>
>
> In *Politico *I was quoted as saying the election disputes are the
> equivalent of a religious war where both sides assert their strongly held
> beliefs on the basis of faith rather than on the basis of *knowledge*.
> All people must necessarily have beliefs rather than true personal
> knowledge about the vote count results because the counts themselves are
> nontransparent, being done on computers, so that literally no one has
> personal knowledge the results are correct. Even election officials lack
> the kind of personal knowledge we expect from any admissible affidavit,
> Instead, officials believe them to be correct based on logic and accuracy
> tests and such but they don't really KNOW. Experts can add numerous
> circumstantial reasons to support that belief, but our opinions remain in
> the territory of trust and confidence rather than hard facts and
> knowledge.
>
>
>
> The election results are simply the conclusions. I've been entitled to
> every data source any expert in court relies upon for his or her
> conclusions, except in election law, where the computers are generally
> deemed inaccessible.
>
>
>
> Our present system merely urges public confidence in those conclusory
> results, which is the same as urging trust or faith. As a result, t*he
> opinions on all sides about the election results amount to statements of
> political religious faith*, and thus we have what amounts to a religious
> war in which various sides insult the faith of the other side, eventually
> leading to violence as we see today.
>
>
>
> Transparency is strongly effective at getting rid of conspiracy theories
> because when facts are present, no theories, conspiracy or otherwise, are
> necessary or possible. Transparency would likely not reduce Republican
> support for objections from Rasmussen's 73% released today down to zero,
> but it would critically drop it below fifty percent at the very least. And
> that is the difference between peaceful transitions of power transitions of
> power that are not peaceful.
>
>
>
> Trump supporters may not be able to prove fraud, but the reverse is also
> true: Biden supporters can't prove Biden win, except with a full hand
> recount and good chain of custody and no ballot box stuffing. The solution
> is to get it right on election night with a transparent counting system
> that the large majority of losers can RATIONALLY trust. Not faith-based
> elections like we have now.
>
>
>
> --
>
> Paul R Lehto, J.D.
> PO Box 2796
>
> Renton, WA 98056
> lehto.paul at gmail.com
> 906-204-4965 (cell)
>
>
>
> _______________________________________________
> Law-election mailing list
> Law-election at department-lists.uci.edu
> https://department-lists.uci.edu/mailman/listinfo/law-election
>
> _______________________________________________
> Law-election mailing list
> Law-election at department-lists.uci.edu
> https://department-lists.uci.edu/mailman/listinfo/law-election
>
>
>
> _______________________________________________
> Law-election mailing list
> Law-election at department-lists.uci.edu
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>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
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Message: 5
Date: Fri, 8 Jan 2021 09:49:07 -0800
From: Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com>
To: Jon Sherman <jsherman at fairelectionscenter.org>
Cc: Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>, Virginia Martin
<virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
Subject: Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is
Non-transparency (Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
Message-ID:
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No I don't really like the term strong arm but I was quoting Rick's
original use of that term to argue that a true election fraud claim is not
strongarming, and to the extent election officials actions might be altered
by a case, that is entirely appropriate and not "strongarming" at all.
A claim of election fraud pays respect to the true will of the people so it
is not properly described as a strong arm unless (as has been the case in
2020) there are circumstances adding the additional elements like
intimidation etc.
Paul Lehto, J.D.
On Fri, Jan 8, 2021, 9:28 AM Jon Sherman <jsherman at fairelectionscenter.org>
wrote:
> Do you really want to be using the term "strong-armed" right now? We
> should be more careful about language like this.
>
> On Fri, Jan 8, 2021 at 11:28 AM Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com> wrote:
>
>> Rick, a reasonable hypothesis of fraud, while it may not exist in 2020,
>> places the question of what the democratic will is directly into question.
>> That is, a good faith reasonable hypothesis of fraud *completely
>> respects the democratic will *but says the will of the people has been
>> mistakenly confused and the winning candidate is actually the Loser.
>>
>> In such a case, respect for democracy requires that the claim be heard
>> and that officials actually be "strong-armed" into recognizing that the
>> results must change, all in the name of respect for democracy.
>>
>> As a result, using the example of 2020 elections sets up a straw man in
>> the form of a weak or empty fraud claim and then - to the extent your
>> comments apply beyond the narrow example of 2020, begs the question of what
>> the will of the voters that ought to be respected is.
>>
>> If you haven't had the time to, when you do have time, which I understand
>> may not be right now, I urge you to read the original post in this thread.
>>
>> That post anchors the claim for first count complete transparency not
>> only in the constitutional right to vote that is preservative of all other
>> rights, but also in the inalienable right to alter our form of government.
>>
>> State constitutions like Massachusetts make clear that nothing can alter
>> the rights to a transparent voting system the public can control, because
>> this control is necessary to guarantee and secure the right to vote even
>> against those election officials who would deny it.
>> Article IV.
>>
>> The people of this commonwealth have the sole and exclusive right of
>> governing themselves, as a free, sovereign, and independent state; and do,
>> and forever hereafter shall, exercise and enjoy every power, jurisdiction,
>> and right, which is not, or may not hereafter, be by them expressly
>> delegated to the United States of America in Congress assembled.
>> Article V.
>>
>> All power residing originally in the people, and being derived from them,
>> the several magistrates and officers of government, vested with authority,
>> [...] *are at all times accountable to them**.[This most certainly must
>> include voting systems, but without transparency accountability is
>> impossible]*
>> Article VII.
>>
>> Government is instituted for the common good; for the protection, safety,
>> prosperity and happiness of the people; and not for the profit, honor, or
>> private interest of any one man, family, or class of men: Therefore *the
>> people alone have an incontestable, unalienable, and indefeasible right to
>> institute government; and to reform, alter, or totally change the same*,
>> when their protection, safety, prosperity and happiness require it
>>
>> So on one side of this discussion, we have the need i have outlined
>> already to secure the most important rights we have at the times when they
>> matter the most.
>>
>> On the other side of this equation, as seen by responders in this thread,
>> we have mere administrative convenience concerns like labor, time and long
>> ballots, all of which I have responded to. But if these competing concerns
>> cannot be balanced there is no serious question which concerns must yield
>> to the others. And we have also had a longtime election worker appear to
>> say that the administrative challenges are ones they can handle.
>>
>> Secret or non-transparent vote counting is indefensible. Essentially,
>> only fully transparent vote counting systems meet the minimum basic
>> qualifications for preserving our rights. As such, it is irrelevant if some
>> other system like electronic voting provides administrative convenience
>> because they do not qualify as systems that secure public rights to
>> accountability and transparency in voting.
>>
>> Paul Lehto, J.D.
>>
>> On Thu, Jan 7, 2021, 8:08 PM Rick Hasen <rhasen at law.uci.edu> wrote:
>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Well put. The principal problem is not primarily in how elections are
>>> run (although that is part of the problem). The problem is one of stoking
>>> passions through false accusations of election regularities and attempts to
>>> strongarm those with a formal role in the vote tabulating and counting
>>> process to reverse the democratic will.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> *From: *Law-election <law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu> on
>>> behalf of Margaret Groarke <margaret.groarke at manhattan.edu>
>>> *Date: *Thursday, January 7, 2021 at 6:44 PM
>>> *To: *Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com>
>>> *Cc: *Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>, Virginia Martin <
>>> virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
>>> *Subject: *Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is
>>> Non-transparency (Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> I have found it interesting that, after a presidential election in which
>>> states had to figure out how to run an election in a pandemic (and did an
>>> admirable job), and there were 60 lawsuits brought challenging the results,
>>> and in which two months after the election we have the losing candidate
>>> still not conceding and instigating an invasion of the Capitol building,
>>> there was very little traffic on this list. When I explained to people that
>>> Donald Trump and Rudy Giuliani's allegations of various things were false,
>>> I would sometimes note that, on a list of election law professors and other
>>> elections experts, which runs the gamut politically, there were no reports
>>> of fraud or other wrongdoing discussed.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> And now, the day after the invasion, there's a debate about whether we
>>> should hand count paper ballots. More amazing.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> I read Rick Hasen's *Election Meltdown* this summer, and I've been
>>> thinking in particular about the chapter on overblown rhetoric, which I
>>> think is closer to the real problem here. Counting huge piles of paper
>>> ballots by hand will not eliminate the distrust of the election system.
>>> Distrust of the election results was deliberately birthed and stoked by
>>> elected officials -- people like Kris Kobach, Rudy Giuliani, Donald Trump
>>> and Ted Cruz. They can use whatever raw material is at hand. If there are
>>> no photos of election workers pulling ballots out of a suitcase (I guess
>>> they would prefer that ballots be left unsecured on a table top), they
>>> would use a photo of an election worker buried behind mile high stacks of
>>> paper ballots. If three people count a pile of ballots by hand and get
>>> slightly different numbers, that will be headline news.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Georgia had paper ballots, which were counted by a machine (and by hand,
>>> actually). Nevertheless, as late as Saturday, as we all know, the president
>>> was continuning to allege that there was malfeasance in the election. I
>>> live in NY, and served as a poll worker for the first time this year (I
>>> thought as a political scientist interested in elections I was long past
>>> due). We use optical scan ballots -- paper ballots, marked by the voter and
>>> counted by a machine. Should you need to do a manual recount it would be
>>> possible, although I doubt it would be more accurate or more transparent
>>> than the scanner.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> It is late, and I am feeling very depressed and worried for our
>>> democracy today, and so I am not going to attempt to propose a solution to
>>> this very serious crisis. But I don't think going back to paper ballots
>>> counted by hand is the solution.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Thu, Jan 7, 2021 at 9:17 PM Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com> wrote:
>>>
>>> Professor Schultz:
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> I think I can speak on behalf of almost all of the leaders of the 2004
>>> elector challenge regarding Obio in Kerry v Bush and say *YES that the
>>> transparency of HCPB would allay all of our concerns *to have a
>>> transparent system of vote counting with good chain of custody.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> I was personally involved with the Rossi Gregoire hand recount case in
>>> Washington state from 2004 but I know all the people involved on the
>>> presidential side.and i know they favor HCPB but of course i don't
>>> represent them.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> But Professor Schultz references the Trump 2020 effort which was able to
>>> grow much faster and had a President instigating behind it.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Here's the problem, *you will never be able to put the genie back into
>>> the bottle now that tens of millions of people have seen the
>>> nontransparency *and the many procedural dismissals that don't reach
>>> the merits. They may have little evidence or even "no evidence" but their
>>> movement amounts to an emphatic vote of no confidence in the nontransparent
>>> voting system.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> We speak here of the voting system so within that scope I cannot deal
>>> with ngoing disputes about the Electors Clause for example. That has
>>> nothing to do with voting systems or se. But if there are processes, (as
>>> there are), to have legal claims heard and decided after a full transparent
>>> airing of all arguments, that safety valve of being heard goes a very long
>>> way toward keeping the peace, even if it doesn't settle every dispute.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> I took the time to call and talk to one mid-level attorney on the Trump
>>> side. We did not agree on voter ID for example, but we were in complete
>>> agreement on the need for transparency and that both sides could agree on
>>> full transparency and getting rid of the nontransparent machines.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> What the Trump 2020 movement is, even if stipulated to have zero
>>> evidence, is *an emphatic vote of no confidence *in the current
>>> electronic systems. You don't need evidence per se on a vote of no
>>> confidence.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Against that complete failure we are supposed to balance the convenience
>>> of some labor avoidance or the inability to wait any more time after a two
>>> year campaign?
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Paul Lehto, J.D.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Thu, Jan 7, 2021, 5:33 PM Steve Klein <stephen.klein.esq at gmail.com>
>>> wrote:
>>>
>>> Professor Schultz,
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> I appreciate you breaking the mold of "this never would have happened if
>>> we had [campaign finance, election, human nature] reform," but I daresay
>>> you've found something even more quixotic with the alternative.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> No, no, before you all pile on, I'm with you: let's make eliminating t*he
>>> anxiety about losing one's job* a cornerstone of the regime. No
>>> cost-benefit here. And... Mexico will pay for it. Or something.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Thu, Jan 7, 2021 at 8:25 PM Schultz, David <dschultz at hamline.edu>
>>> wrote:
>>>
>>> Hi folks:
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Let's be real. Do any of you really think that more transparency or
>>> other small fixes like this to the election system will ease election
>>> unrest? If you do then you must also think that the fact that widespread
>>> voter fraud does not exist will convince people that it does not exist.
>>> Whatever you mean by election unrest has deeper sociological and economic
>>> roots than adding more transparency. Let's begin to think about the gross
>>> economic inequalities that plague our system, or the shodding health care
>>> system, or perhaps the anxiety about losing one's job as the roots for
>>> why people are politically angry.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Thu, Jan 7, 2021 at 7:13 PM Stephanie Singer <
>>> sfsinger at campaignscientific.com> wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Jan 7, 2021, at 4:54 PM, Fredric Woocher <fwoocher at strumwooch.com>
>>> wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> I?m sorry, but this is just silly. In a jurisdiction like Los Angeles
>>> County, it would take weeks to count all the ballots for a single
>>> county-wide election, much less for the scores of contests that are on each
>>> primary and election ballot.
>>>
>>> It depends on the level of involvement by citizens. The number of
>>> ballots is directly proportional to the number of voters.
>>>
>>> And the result would be less accurate than a machine count.
>>>
>>> Now that more and more jurisdictions are doing risk-limiting tabulation
>>> audits, we are starting to have more data about accuracy. Without that kind
>>> of check, the best we can say is that machines more reliably get the same
>>> answer each time than people using the hash method. That?s at best a
>>> statement about precision, not accuracy
>>> <https://www.thoughtco.com/difference-between-accuracy-and-precision-609328>
>>> .
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> We already have a transparent system: If the election is close enough
>>> (and even if it?s not), you can do a manual recount of the ballots and
>>> check the results against the machine count.
>>>
>>> Depends on who ?you? are, and what state you?re in. And depends on what
>>> your state means by ?manual recount?. In a Florida ?manual recount", the
>>> paper records people get to hold in their hands and evaluate with their
>>> eyes are only the ones identified by the computers as having an undervote
>>> or overvote.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> And do really think having the votes counted by multiple people with
>>> clickers is going to yield a uniform outcome that will convince the people
>>> who listen to Donald Trump, Rudy Giuliani, and the Krakens that the vote
>>> count was accurate when their preferred candidate loses?
>>>
>>> Depends on the level of involvement. If there were a culture of serving
>>> and observing, there?s no reason to think we?d be worse off than we are
>>> now. There?s nothing like taking part in a bit of election administration
>>> to wake people up to the complexities.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Fredric D. Woocher
>>>
>>> Strumwasser & Woocher LLP
>>>
>>> 10940 Wilshire Blvd., Ste. 2000
>>>
>>> Los Angeles, CA 90024
>>>
>>> fwoocher at strumwooch.com
>>>
>>> (310) 576-1233 x105
>>>
>>> Direct: (310) 933-5739
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> *IMPORTANT NOTICE**:* Pursuant to the Governor?s ?Stay at Home? Order,
>>> Strumwasser & Woocher LLP is CLOSED TO THE PUBLIC. *Packages requiring
>>> signatures will be returned undelivered ? do not serve papers by this
>>> method.* While our office is closed, *Strumwasser & Woocher LLP
>>> consents to electronic service in all of its matters*. Please serve by
>>> electronic mail to *fwoocher at strumwooch.com <fwoocher at strumwooch.com>* AND
>>> to our Senior Legal Assistant, LaKeitha Oliver, at
>>> loliver at strumwooch.com. We reserve the right to object to any notice
>>> or delivery of any kind if not actually received by counsel before all
>>> statutory deadlines.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> *From:* Law-election [
>>> mailto:law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu
>>> <law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu>] *On Behalf Of *Paul
>>> Lehto
>>> *Sent:* Thursday, January 7, 2021 3:53 PM
>>> *To:* John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com>
>>> *Cc:* Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>; Virginia Martin <
>>> virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
>>> *Subject:* Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is
>>> Non-transparency (Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> So on one side we have nontransparency in the voting system which breeds
>>> distrust which is then amplified by every partisan hope, fear, or piece of
>>> evidence, all the way up to an insurrection on ONE SIDE,
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> ...And on the other side we have some 75 year old who might be groggy.
>>> And more hours to count.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> The balancing isn't even close, and I could add much more to the first
>>> paragraph but recent events are enough.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> The nontransparency is a fatal flaw in the current system, and a
>>> transparent system in the form of hand counted ballots is required to
>>> secure and guarantee the right to vote vis-a-vis situations of corrupt
>>> election officials, power outages and so on, and having tens of thousands
>>> of summonses workers nationwide who can personally attest based on their
>>> own observation and experience would restore public confidence.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Paul Lehto, J.D.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Thu, Jan 7, 2021, 3:43 PM John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com>
>>> wrote:
>>>
>>> Did you wakes up the 75 year old participants at 4 or 5 am and have them
>>> work for 12 hours? On a ballot with 30+ offices and ballot measures?
>>>
>>> Sent from my iPhone
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Jan 7, 2021, at 6:38 PM, Stephanie Singer <
>>> sfsinger at campaignscientific.com> wrote:
>>>
>>> I took part in a demo of the clicker method. I don?t know of any
>>> academic research, but from my experience the clicker method is far better.
>>> It makes sense psychologically ? each person is focused on just one
>>> physical spot on the ballot, not needing to look back and forth. And in the
>>> demo we had several people tracking each candidate, and their tallies
>>> matched at the end (or perhaps were occasionally off by one). It was quick
>>> and easy and, with enough people clicking, convincing.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Stephanie Singer <https://www.pdx.edu/profile/stephanie-singer>
>>>
>>> Research Assistant Professor, Portland State University
>>>
>>> Former Chair, Philadelphia County Board of Elections
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Jan 7, 2021, at 2:04 PM, John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com> wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> One would think that ?mark, mark, ... tally? would avoid differences,
>>> since there?s a check every 5th vote. One would be wrong. And then you
>>> have to go back and reconcile to find where the count got off ? usually
>>> several tallies back. I suspect the clicker would be even worse
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Sent from my iPhone
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Jan 7, 2021, at 4:42 PM, Stephanie Singer <
>>> sfsinger at campaignscientific.com> wrote:
>>>
>>> It?s undeniable that the counting happens at a time when everyone is
>>> exhausted. And thanks for pointing out the difficulties of oversight in
>>> primaries.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> At least one better counting method has been developed and tested by
>>> Karen McKim of Wisconsin Election Integrity
>>> <https://wisconsinelectionintegrity.org/>. Each person in a group of
>>> observers has a hand-held clicker-counter (like the ones used to measure
>>> people flowing through turnstiles). The ballots can then be shown one after
>>> another, quite quickly. My understanding is that this is quite accurate and
>>> efficient.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> The science and engineering of post-election tabulation audits for
>>> ballot scanners is progressing, but I haven?t yet seen a workable proposal
>>> for risk-limiting audits of precinct-counted ballots.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> If you don?t count at the precinct at the end of the voting period, you
>>> have to solve the ballot custody problem, also quite knotty.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> ?Stephanie
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Jan 7, 2021, at 1:26 PM, John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com> wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> I agree completely that the election process should include at all
>>> levels and locations poll officials and poll watchers appointed by both
>>> major parties ? and by all diverse candidates in primaries and nonpartisan
>>> elections (easier said than done). And posting the results at the polls
>>> and centrally is or used to be common. But hand counted paper ballots?
>>> I recall monitoring primary elections with hand counted paper ballots at
>>> relatively tiny precincts. It takes forever, in part because of frequent
>>> differences in the counts (often resolved by splitting the difference) and
>>> poll workers quitting fit the night and one (1) poll official taking the
>>> materials home to safeguard them. In one MS primary election, the count
>>> wasn?t completed until Thursday evening , at which point I could finally go
>>> to sleep (after helping polish off some beer the senior attorney had
>>> bought). There?s are reasons we use machines now.
>>>
>>> Sent from my iPhone
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Jan 7, 2021, at 1:59 PM, Stephanie Singer <
>>> sfsinger at campaignscientific.com> wrote:
>>>
>>> A big Plus One to what Paul has written.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> To move to the kind of resilient system Paul has described, we need to
>>> face head on the downsides of such a system. There are people in this
>>> country who physically cannot mark and review paper ballots without
>>> assistance (either from people or technology). And there are people of this
>>> country who cannot physically get to the polling place on the given day
>>> (e.g., overseas deployed military).
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Companies that manufacture and maintain computerized voting systems have
>>> exploited this downside for profit.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> I wonder what folks on this list think of proxy voting.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> ?Stephanie
>>>
>>> PS: a relevant piece I wrote was published a few hours before all hell
>>> broke loose yesterday:
>>> https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2021/01/06/stolen-election-trump-patriot/
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Jan 6, 2021, at 2:46 PM, Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com> wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> The short answer is voter-marked and hand counted paper ballots counted
>>> in precincts with results posted at the precincts as well as reported to
>>> the county or state. And also using a summonsing process to guarantee
>>> sufficient labor or add additional independent observers as needed.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> This way any group can verify the tabulation by looking at precinct
>>> posted results, and counts in precincts are monitored by all interested
>>> political parties plus individuals drafted by a process similar to jury
>>> summonsing. It is a labor intensive process but *most people would much
>>> rather spend a day counting ballots than spend two weeks in a jury trial. *
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> If ballot counting is observed by multiple observers adverse to each
>>> other (the system used and assumed by the framers of the 12th amendment)
>>> out of a combination of people we might not trust to count ballots alone,
>>> we can nevertheless achieve a trustable result.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> We might also realize that the framers of the 12th amendment presupposed
>>> HCPB, and might come to understand that a joint session is subservient to
>>> the will of the people and *able to make only the objections and
>>> corrections that vote counting clerks are able to make, not relitigate the
>>> entire election*.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> More importantly, glitches, errors or frauds create observable evidence
>>> that can be accessed, and inaccuracies are isolated to the precinct level.
>>> Thus, if and when people tell stories about paper ballot fraud, that
>>> actually proves both that fraud can happen and that *the voting system
>>> actually worked to create evidence of the problem and thus allow us to tell
>>> the story today*. It is up to the administrative and legal systems -
>>> not the voting system - to actually prosecute or correct for the fraud or
>>> error. The voting system only needs to be transparent and create clear
>>> indelible evidence of voter intent.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> With a fully transparent vote counting process, I find that almost
>>> everyone I talk to is willing to pay the labor and time pricetag for the
>>> system, because of the rational confidence created in the results, and the
>>> fact that it is the best guarantee of our right to vote actually working if
>>> and when a criminal regime is in control of the vote counting process.
>>> Given that voting is our most important right, and given the Declaration of
>>> Independence recites that our government was setup for the purpose of
>>> securing and guaranteeing our rights, this is not too much to ask. The
>>> alternative is to have a voting system that is non-transparent and thus is
>>> vulnerable to failing completely at the very moment we need it the most -
>>> when criminality has invaded the governmental election processes.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> The human need for hand counts of valuable things is witnessed every day
>>> when counting our own cash at the bank teller window or at the ATM. There
>>> is just no substitute for hand counting when we deal with something
>>> valuable AND there is incentive for one or more parties to count
>>> inaccurately, as exists in elections.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> It would also have the added benefit of bringing statutes back into line
>>> with reality, such as the requirement of a 0.5% lead or less to trigger a
>>> recount. That kind of narrow window makes sense with HCPB, but with
>>> electronic elections if there is fraud it is the same amount of effort to
>>> create a lead outside the recount margin as there is to win by just a few
>>> votes.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> And it would also bring back into alignment the call for public
>>> confidence and acceptance of the results. That is a call for rational
>>> acceptance of the results if counts are transparent but is a call for a
>>> faith that losers find hard to develop when counts are nontransparent.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Paul Lehto, J.D.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Wed, Jan 6, 2021, 2:10 PM David Mason <dmason12 at gmail.com> wrote:
>>>
>>> What sorts of systems, policies, and procedures would you recommend to
>>> achieve this level of transparency?
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Dave Mason
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Wed, Jan 6, 2021 at 4:34 PM Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com> wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>> Obviously, things have gotten out of hand, but what is the root of the
>>> problem?
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> The problem is that *we do not have a voting system that the LOSERS of
>>> the election can believe in* based on the transparency of the process. *If
>>> we want peaceful transitions of power the system needs to lead to results
>>> trustable by the "sore losers."*
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> While people need to be held accountable for illegal actions,*going
>>> forward*, instead of designing our voting systems with gaining the
>>> consent of the governed among the losing side, we instead demand "public
>>> confidence" in nontransparent computerized counts on pain of charges of
>>> undermining democracy.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> *This lack of transparency in vote counting is the SEED to which either
>>> facts or fevered dreams can attach*, and typically our partisan
>>> affiliations and the media sources we select predetermine what information
>>> we will receive and what conclusions we will draw.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> I have predicted this would eventually happen for over a decade. I was
>>> quoted in Politico a couple weeks ago about Trump activists because I was
>>> active in investigating the 2004 elections after serving as one of Kerry's
>>> "army" of lawyers (who were actually just assisting people to vote).
>>> https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/12/19/2004-kerry-election-fraud-2020-448604
>>> This article sought to find out what those who questioned 2004 thought of
>>> those who questioned 2020. A variety of opinions emerged.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> In *Politico *I was quoted as saying the election disputes are the
>>> equivalent of a religious war where both sides assert their strongly held
>>> beliefs on the basis of faith rather than on the basis of*knowledge*.
>>> All people must necessarily have beliefs rather than true personal
>>> knowledge about the vote count results because the counts themselves are
>>> nontransparent, being done on computers, so that literally no one has
>>> personal knowledge the results are correct. Even election officials lack
>>> the kind of personal knowledge we expect from any admissible affidavit,
>>> Instead, officials believe them to be correct based on logic and accuracy
>>> tests and such but they don't really KNOW. Experts can add numerous
>>> circumstantial reasons to support that belief, but our opinions remain in
>>> the territory of trust and confidence rather than hard facts and
>>> knowledge.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> The election results are simply the conclusions. I've been entitled to
>>> every data source any expert in court relies upon for his or her
>>> conclusions, except in election law, where the computers are generally
>>> deemed inaccessible.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Our present system merely urges public confidence in those conclusory
>>> results, which is the same as urging trust or faith. As a result, t*he
>>> opinions on all sides about the election results amount to statements of
>>> political religious faith*, and thus we have what amounts to a
>>> religious war in which various sides insult the faith of the other side,
>>> eventually leading to violence as we see today.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Transparency is strongly effective at getting rid of conspiracy theories
>>> because when facts are present, no theories, conspiracy or otherwise, are
>>> necessary or possible. Transparency would likely not reduce Republican
>>> support for objections from Rasmussen's 73% released today down to zero,
>>> but it would critically drop it below fifty percent at the very least. And
>>> that is the difference between peaceful transitions of power transitions of
>>> power that are not peaceful.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Trump supporters may not be able to prove fraud, but the reverse is also
>>> true: Biden supporters can't prove Biden win, except with a full hand
>>> recount and good chain of custody and no ballot box stuffing. The solution
>>> is to get it right on election night with a transparent counting system
>>> that the large majority of losers can RATIONALLY trust. Not faith-based
>>> elections like we have now.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> --
>>>
>>> Paul R Lehto, J.D.
>>> PO Box 2796
>>>
>>> Renton, WA 98056
>>> lehto.paul at gmail.com
>>> 906-204-4965 (cell)
>>>
>>>
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>>>
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>>>
>>> *Professor, Political Science*
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> --
> Jon Sherman
> Senior Counsel
> Fair Elections Center
> 1825 K Street NW, Suite 450
> Washington, D.C. 20006
> Phone: (202) 248-5346
> jsherman at fairelectionscenter.org
> www.fairelectionscenter.org
>
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Message: 6
Date: Fri, 8 Jan 2021 11:11:35 -0800
From: Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com>
To: Rick Hasen <rhasen at law.uci.edu>
Cc: Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>, Virginia Martin
<virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
Subject: Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is
Non-transparency (Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
Message-ID:
<CAD=1OvcanQAt5n7yt9ACvNT7au_394yTGOOHyEusOK7CFY3ASw at mail.gmail.com>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="utf-8"
This is a very important discussion with much interest shown. Thanks to the
dozens who replied online or off. However, it is not time sensitive. And
now we have new impeachment developments. If I may summarize below I will
yield. And happy to answer off line....
It is an apropos thread though because what remains after we factor out
disproved claims in 2020 is a widespread vote of no confidence in the
system. No confidence does not require evidence.
Some folks here have expressed doubt that transparency in the first vote
counts, if created, would satisfy all critics. But it doesn't need to be
perfect to keep the number manageable.
But with up to 70% of Republicans supporting challenges to the
nontransparent system, it is worth giving transparency a try, no? The genie
is out of the bottle and I've never seen anyone that has opened their own
eyes to the problems of secret vote counting reverse their position and
favor nontransparency.
*So this is a one way street and a majority of Americans now have no
confidence in current nontransparent voting systems.*
Because "public confidence" is a pillar of the defense of elections,
nontransprency is no longer defensible. We have to try something else to
rebuild the confidence that is destroyed and the problems of the current
system are an order of magnitude greater than any alleged problems with
transparency.
Let's give full transparency on first counts a chance. Nontransparency has
failed. It is the seed of the distrust of extra ballot drop boxes that are
unmonitored, of observers being denied or kept at too great a distance, and
for opposition to secret vote counting. And transparency is anchored in
the most sacred constitutional and inalienable rights.
This position does is not anchored in any particular claims about
particular election results or their accuracy. It is anchored in the fact
that government lacks the power to legitimately destroy vote counting
transparency through the mechanism of vendor contracts or statutes or other
law purported to allow secret.vote counting.
*If my political opponent counts votes in secret that is a picture of
oppression and some might say tyranny If I desire to count votes in secret
that is a picture of corruption. The very desire to act secretly to count
votes is a corrupt desire no matter who possesses it*.
Nontransparent election night vote counts are indefensible.
Paul Lehto, J.D.
P.S. Without wishing to shut anyone down, I will yield to breaking news and
other topics because this can be discussed later, unless folks wish to
reply....
On Fri, Jan 8, 2021, 6:47 AM Rick Hasen <rhasen at law.uci.edu> wrote:
> That is exactly right. Both were well within the margin of litigation,
> and at that point it is not just good lawyering but luck that determines
> the ultimate winner. We could say the same thing about the current Iowa
> House race. The key is to have fair procedures to decide these close races
> (which is why I am somewhat concerned about the partisan House getting
> involved in deciding that Iowa race, for reasons Derek explained here:
> https://electionlawblog.org/?p=119861).
>
> Rick
>
>
>
> *From: *David Becker <dbecker at electioninnovation.org>
> *Date: *Friday, January 8, 2021 at 6:32 AM
> *To: *Ilya Shapiro <IShapiro at cato.org>, Rick Hasen <rhasen at law.uci.edu>,
> Margaret Groarke <margaret.groarke at manhattan.edu>, Paul Lehto <
> lehto.paul at gmail.com>
> *Cc: *Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>, Virginia Martin <
> virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
> *Subject: *Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency
> (Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
>
>
>
> I?m not singling anyone out here, as many on both sides have done this,
> but can we, once and for all, stop using the language about ?stealing? of
> elections? We are a nation of laws, and all of these elections were fully
> litigated in courts and reviewed by election officials. That goes for the
> 2000 Bush and 2016 Trump electoral victories as well as the 2004 Gregoire
> and 2008 Franken electoral wins.
>
>
>
> Don?t we have enough evidence of the damage such language can do?
>
>
>
> David J. Becker
>
> Executive Director and Founder
>
> Center for Election Innovation & Research
>
> 1120 Connecticut Ave. NW, Suite 1040
>
> Washington, DC, 20036
>
> (202) 550-3470 (mobile) | dbecker at electioninnovation.org
>
> www.electioninnovation.org | @beckerdavidj
> ------------------------------
>
> *From:* Law-election <law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu> on
> behalf of Ilya Shapiro <IShapiro at cato.org>
> *Sent:* Friday, January 8, 2021 8:57:45 AM
> *To:* Rick Hasen <rhasen at law.uci.edu>; Margaret Groarke <
> margaret.groarke at manhattan.edu>; Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com>
> *Cc:* Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>; Virginia Martin <
> virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
> *Subject:* Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency
> (Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
>
>
>
> And that of course goes just as much about the false cries of ?voter
> suppression? and Marc Elias?s legal machinations going back to the stealing
> of Dino Rossi?s gubernatorial win and Al Franken over Norm Coleman.
>
>
>
> Ilya Shapiro
>
> Director, Robert A. Levy Center for Constitutional Studies
>
> Publisher, *Cato Supreme Court Review*
>
> Cato Institute
>
> 1000 Massachusetts Ave. NW
>
> Washington, DC 20001
>
> cel. (202) 577-1134
>
> Skype: ishapiro99
>
> Bio/clips: https://www.cato.org/people/ilya-shapiro
> <https://nam12.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.cato.org%2Fpeople%2Filya-shapiro&data=04%7C01%7Cdbecker%40electioninnovation.org%7C795bdf37109b41bf327d08d8b3dd91f2%7C24857eadd0694dcf948649483d775ef6%7C0%7C0%7C637457112854347042%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000&sdata=PK8mMCOMXKWWZx16Hp3Mvye83KQRjbwImuSAO0kjr4U%3D&reserved=0>
>
> Twitter: www.twitter.com/ishapiro
> <https://nam12.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.twitter.com%2Fishapiro&data=04%7C01%7Cdbecker%40electioninnovation.org%7C795bdf37109b41bf327d08d8b3dd91f2%7C24857eadd0694dcf948649483d775ef6%7C0%7C0%7C637457112854357043%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000&sdata=MBFWEbdQOAX512wILY7wkKgscYUeETMi2uxr3Xkyt6A%3D&reserved=0>
>
> SSRN: http://ssrn.com/author=1382023
> <https://nam12.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fssrn.com%2Fauthor%3D1382023&data=04%7C01%7Cdbecker%40electioninnovation.org%7C795bdf37109b41bf327d08d8b3dd91f2%7C24857eadd0694dcf948649483d775ef6%7C0%7C0%7C637457112854357043%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000&sdata=7SiIulpjiL2gFJ9%2Fp8KMO0XBqCbF9i7GwDGZTVKCzxA%3D&reserved=0>
>
>
>
> Buy my new book: *Supreme Disorder: Judicial Nominations and the Politics
> of America?s Highest Court
> <https://nam12.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.amazon.com%2FSupreme-Disorder-Judicial-Nominations-Politics%2Fdp%2F1684510562%2F&data=04%7C01%7Cdbecker%40electioninnovation.org%7C795bdf37109b41bf327d08d8b3dd91f2%7C24857eadd0694dcf948649483d775ef6%7C0%7C0%7C637457112854367029%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000&sdata=ecY94suz8FILrNQtULOe%2F1mNUB4lPnRaPf%2FQ%2FD43%2F%2BA%3D&reserved=0>*
>
>
>
> *Cato Supreme Court Review*: http://www.cato.org/supreme-court-review
> <https://nam12.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.cato.org%2Fsupreme-court-review&data=04%7C01%7Cdbecker%40electioninnovation.org%7C795bdf37109b41bf327d08d8b3dd91f2%7C24857eadd0694dcf948649483d775ef6%7C0%7C0%7C637457112854367029%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000&sdata=XToewUemXjZCRCLc8DnMglKPNp3SUY0fwjrL8Xawd1A%3D&reserved=0>
>
> Watch our 19th Annual Constitution Day Conference, Sept. 17, 2020:
>
> https://www.cato.org/events/19th-annual-constitution-day
> <https://nam12.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.cato.org%2Fevents%2F19th-annual-constitution-day&data=04%7C01%7Cdbecker%40electioninnovation.org%7C795bdf37109b41bf327d08d8b3dd91f2%7C24857eadd0694dcf948649483d775ef6%7C0%7C0%7C637457112854377023%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000&sdata=2CeHHMD%2BCx3%2BX%2FbXIievUc90mCivUTpKh%2B5AP6jlQuw%3D&reserved=0>
>
>
>
> *From:* Law-election <law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu> *On
> Behalf Of *Rick Hasen
> *Sent:* Thursday, January 7, 2021 11:08 PM
> *To:* Margaret Groarke <margaret.groarke at manhattan.edu>; Paul Lehto <
> lehto.paul at gmail.com>
> *Cc:* Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>; Virginia Martin <
> virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
> *Subject:* Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency
> (Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
>
>
>
> *CAUTION: External Email*
>
>
>
>
>
> Well put. The principal problem is not primarily in how elections are run
> (although that is part of the problem). The problem is one of stoking
> passions through false accusations of election regularities and attempts to
> strongarm those with a formal role in the vote tabulating and counting
> process to reverse the democratic will.
>
>
>
>
>
> *From: *Law-election <law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu> on
> behalf of Margaret Groarke <margaret.groarke at manhattan.edu>
> *Date: *Thursday, January 7, 2021 at 6:44 PM
> *To: *Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com>
> *Cc: *Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>, Virginia Martin <
> virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
> *Subject: *Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency
> (Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
>
>
>
> I have found it interesting that, after a presidential election in which
> states had to figure out how to run an election in a pandemic (and did an
> admirable job), and there were 60 lawsuits brought challenging the results,
> and in which two months after the election we have the losing candidate
> still not conceding and instigating an invasion of the Capitol building,
> there was very little traffic on this list. When I explained to people that
> Donald Trump and Rudy Giuliani's allegations of various things were false,
> I would sometimes note that, on a list of election law professors and other
> elections experts, which runs the gamut politically, there were no reports
> of fraud or other wrongdoing discussed.
>
>
>
> And now, the day after the invasion, there's a debate about whether we
> should hand count paper ballots. More amazing.
>
>
>
> I read Rick Hasen's *Election Meltdown* this summer, and I've been
> thinking in particular about the chapter on overblown rhetoric, which I
> think is closer to the real problem here. Counting huge piles of paper
> ballots by hand will not eliminate the distrust of the election system.
> Distrust of the election results was deliberately birthed and stoked by
> elected officials -- people like Kris Kobach, Rudy Giuliani, Donald Trump
> and Ted Cruz. They can use whatever raw material is at hand. If there are
> no photos of election workers pulling ballots out of a suitcase (I guess
> they would prefer that ballots be left unsecured on a table top), they
> would use a photo of an election worker buried behind mile high stacks of
> paper ballots. If three people count a pile of ballots by hand and get
> slightly different numbers, that will be headline news.
>
>
>
> Georgia had paper ballots, which were counted by a machine (and by hand,
> actually). Nevertheless, as late as Saturday, as we all know, the president
> was continuning to allege that there was malfeasance in the election. I
> live in NY, and served as a poll worker for the first time this year (I
> thought as a political scientist interested in elections I was long past
> due). We use optical scan ballots -- paper ballots, marked by the voter and
> counted by a machine. Should you need to do a manual recount it would be
> possible, although I doubt it would be more accurate or more transparent
> than the scanner.
>
>
>
> It is late, and I am feeling very depressed and worried for our democracy
> today, and so I am not going to attempt to propose a solution to this very
> serious crisis. But I don't think going back to paper ballots counted by
> hand is the solution.
>
>
>
> On Thu, Jan 7, 2021 at 9:17 PM Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com> wrote:
>
> Professor Schultz:
>
>
>
> I think I can speak on behalf of almost all of the leaders of the 2004
> elector challenge regarding Obio in Kerry v Bush and say *YES that the
> transparency of HCPB would allay all of our concerns *to have a
> transparent system of vote counting with good chain of custody.
>
>
>
> I was personally involved with the Rossi Gregoire hand recount case in
> Washington state from 2004 but I know all the people involved on the
> presidential side.and i know they favor HCPB but of course i don't
> represent them.
>
>
>
> But Professor Schultz references the Trump 2020 effort which was able to
> grow much faster and had a President instigating behind it.
>
>
>
> Here's the problem, *you will never be able to put the genie back into
> the bottle now that tens of millions of people have seen the
> nontransparency *and the many procedural dismissals that don't reach the
> merits. They may have little evidence or even "no evidence" but their
> movement amounts to an emphatic vote of no confidence in the nontransparent
> voting system.
>
>
>
> We speak here of the voting system so within that scope I cannot deal with
> ngoing disputes about the Electors Clause for example. That has nothing to
> do with voting systems or se. But if there are processes, (as there are),
> to have legal claims heard and decided after a full transparent airing of
> all arguments, that safety valve of being heard goes a very long way toward
> keeping the peace, even if it doesn't settle every dispute.
>
>
>
> I took the time to call and talk to one mid-level attorney on the Trump
> side. We did not agree on voter ID for example, but we were in complete
> agreement on the need for transparency and that both sides could agree on
> full transparency and getting rid of the nontransparent machines.
>
>
>
> What the Trump 2020 movement is, even if stipulated to have zero evidence,
> is *an emphatic vote of no confidence *in the current electronic systems.
> You don't need evidence per se on a vote of no confidence.
>
>
>
> Against that complete failure we are supposed to balance the convenience
> of some labor avoidance or the inability to wait any more time after a two
> year campaign?
>
>
>
> Paul Lehto, J.D.
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> On Thu, Jan 7, 2021, 5:33 PM Steve Klein <stephen.klein.esq at gmail.com>
> wrote:
>
> Professor Schultz,
>
>
>
> I appreciate you breaking the mold of "this never would have happened if
> we had [campaign finance, election, human nature] reform," but I daresay
> you've found something even more quixotic with the alternative.
>
>
>
> No, no, before you all pile on, I'm with you: let's make eliminating t*he
> anxiety about losing one's job* a cornerstone of the regime. No
> cost-benefit here. And... Mexico will pay for it. Or something.
>
>
>
> On Thu, Jan 7, 2021 at 8:25 PM Schultz, David <dschultz at hamline.edu>
> wrote:
>
> Hi folks:
>
>
>
> Let's be real. Do any of you really think that more transparency or
> other small fixes like this to the election system will ease election
> unrest? If you do then you must also think that the fact that widespread
> voter fraud does not exist will convince people that it does not exist.
> Whatever you mean by election unrest has deeper sociological and economic
> roots than adding more transparency. Let's begin to think about the gross
> economic inequalities that plague our system, or the shodding health care
> system, or perhaps the anxiety about losing one's job as the roots for
> why people are politically angry.
>
>
>
> On Thu, Jan 7, 2021 at 7:13 PM Stephanie Singer <
> sfsinger at campaignscientific.com> wrote:
>
>
>
> On Jan 7, 2021, at 4:54 PM, Fredric Woocher <fwoocher at strumwooch.com>
> wrote:
>
>
>
> I?m sorry, but this is just silly. In a jurisdiction like Los Angeles
> County, it would take weeks to count all the ballots for a single
> county-wide election, much less for the scores of contests that are on each
> primary and election ballot.
>
> It depends on the level of involvement by citizens. The number of ballots
> is directly proportional to the number of voters.
>
> And the result would be less accurate than a machine count.
>
> Now that more and more jurisdictions are doing risk-limiting tabulation
> audits, we are starting to have more data about accuracy. Without that kind
> of check, the best we can say is that machines more reliably get the same
> answer each time than people using the hash method. That?s at best a
> statement about precision, not accuracy
> <https://nam12.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thoughtco.com%2Fdifference-between-accuracy-and-precision-609328&data=04%7C01%7Cdbecker%40electioninnovation.org%7C795bdf37109b41bf327d08d8b3dd91f2%7C24857eadd0694dcf948649483d775ef6%7C0%7C0%7C637457112854377023%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000&sdata=9h%2BkzRobPbnz0GVoX%2BOCs8f7nRXJb6DgF%2Fy%2FgTV7xj0%3D&reserved=0>
> .
>
>
>
> We already have a transparent system: If the election is close enough
> (and even if it?s not), you can do a manual recount of the ballots and
> check the results against the machine count.
>
> Depends on who ?you? are, and what state you?re in. And depends on what
> your state means by ?manual recount?. In a Florida ?manual recount", the
> paper records people get to hold in their hands and evaluate with their
> eyes are only the ones identified by the computers as having an undervote
> or overvote.
>
>
>
> And do really think having the votes counted by multiple people with
> clickers is going to yield a uniform outcome that will convince the people
> who listen to Donald Trump, Rudy Giuliani, and the Krakens that the vote
> count was accurate when their preferred candidate loses?
>
> Depends on the level of involvement. If there were a culture of serving
> and observing, there?s no reason to think we?d be worse off than we are
> now. There?s nothing like taking part in a bit of election administration
> to wake people up to the complexities.
>
>
>
> Fredric D. Woocher
>
> Strumwasser & Woocher LLP
>
> 10940 Wilshire Blvd., Ste. 2000
>
> Los Angeles, CA 90024
>
> fwoocher at strumwooch.com
>
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>
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>
>
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> *From:* Law-election [mailto:law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu
> <law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu>] *On Behalf Of *Paul Lehto
> *Sent:* Thursday, January 7, 2021 3:53 PM
> *To:* John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com>
> *Cc:* Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>; Virginia Martin <
> virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
> *Subject:* Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency
> (Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
>
>
>
> So on one side we have nontransparency in the voting system which breeds
> distrust which is then amplified by every partisan hope, fear, or piece of
> evidence, all the way up to an insurrection on ONE SIDE,
>
>
>
> ...And on the other side we have some 75 year old who might be groggy.
> And more hours to count.
>
>
>
> The balancing isn't even close, and I could add much more to the first
> paragraph but recent events are enough.
>
>
>
> The nontransparency is a fatal flaw in the current system, and a
> transparent system in the form of hand counted ballots is required to
> secure and guarantee the right to vote vis-a-vis situations of corrupt
> election officials, power outages and so on, and having tens of thousands
> of summonses workers nationwide who can personally attest based on their
> own observation and experience would restore public confidence.
>
>
>
> Paul Lehto, J.D.
>
>
>
> On Thu, Jan 7, 2021, 3:43 PM John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com> wrote:
>
> Did you wakes up the 75 year old participants at 4 or 5 am and have them
> work for 12 hours? On a ballot with 30+ offices and ballot measures?
>
> Sent from my iPhone
>
>
>
> On Jan 7, 2021, at 6:38 PM, Stephanie Singer <
> sfsinger at campaignscientific.com> wrote:
>
> I took part in a demo of the clicker method. I don?t know of any academic
> research, but from my experience the clicker method is far better. It makes
> sense psychologically ? each person is focused on just one physical spot on
> the ballot, not needing to look back and forth. And in the demo we had
> several people tracking each candidate, and their tallies matched at the
> end (or perhaps were occasionally off by one). It was quick and easy and,
> with enough people clicking, convincing.
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> Stephanie Singer
> <https://nam12.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.pdx.edu%2Fprofile%2Fstephanie-singer&data=04%7C01%7Cdbecker%40electioninnovation.org%7C795bdf37109b41bf327d08d8b3dd91f2%7C24857eadd0694dcf948649483d775ef6%7C0%7C0%7C637457112854377023%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000&sdata=NgZYNQJnD5Dtb52Sgbb5YnYbjWrEfBHihguZxxOrwEw%3D&reserved=0>
>
> Research Assistant Professor, Portland State University
>
> Former Chair, Philadelphia County Board of Elections
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> On Jan 7, 2021, at 2:04 PM, John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com> wrote:
>
>
>
> One would think that ?mark, mark, ... tally? would avoid differences,
> since there?s a check every 5th vote. One would be wrong. And then you
> have to go back and reconcile to find where the count got off ? usually
> several tallies back. I suspect the clicker would be even worse
>
>
>
> Sent from my iPhone
>
>
>
> On Jan 7, 2021, at 4:42 PM, Stephanie Singer <
> sfsinger at campaignscientific.com> wrote:
>
> It?s undeniable that the counting happens at a time when everyone is
> exhausted. And thanks for pointing out the difficulties of oversight in
> primaries.
>
>
>
> At least one better counting method has been developed and tested by Karen
> McKim of Wisconsin Election Integrity
> <https://nam12.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwisconsinelectionintegrity.org%2F&data=04%7C01%7Cdbecker%40electioninnovation.org%7C795bdf37109b41bf327d08d8b3dd91f2%7C24857eadd0694dcf948649483d775ef6%7C0%7C0%7C637457112854387013%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000&sdata=0uYn6ftTLVcZtLM7heKZ8F5%2BAXMaRpyiJG2bp10O9xo%3D&reserved=0>.
> Each person in a group of observers has a hand-held clicker-counter (like
> the ones used to measure people flowing through turnstiles). The ballots
> can then be shown one after another, quite quickly. My understanding is
> that this is quite accurate and efficient.
>
>
>
> The science and engineering of post-election tabulation audits for ballot
> scanners is progressing, but I haven?t yet seen a workable proposal for
> risk-limiting audits of precinct-counted ballots.
>
>
>
> If you don?t count at the precinct at the end of the voting period, you
> have to solve the ballot custody problem, also quite knotty.
>
>
>
> ?Stephanie
>
>
>
> On Jan 7, 2021, at 1:26 PM, John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com> wrote:
>
>
>
> I agree completely that the election process should include at all levels
> and locations poll officials and poll watchers appointed by both major
> parties ? and by all diverse candidates in primaries and nonpartisan
> elections (easier said than done). And posting the results at the polls
> and centrally is or used to be common. But hand counted paper ballots?
> I recall monitoring primary elections with hand counted paper ballots at
> relatively tiny precincts. It takes forever, in part because of frequent
> differences in the counts (often resolved by splitting the difference) and
> poll workers quitting fit the night and one (1) poll official taking the
> materials home to safeguard them. In one MS primary election, the count
> wasn?t completed until Thursday evening , at which point I could finally go
> to sleep (after helping polish off some beer the senior attorney had
> bought). There?s are reasons we use machines now.
>
> Sent from my iPhone
>
>
>
> On Jan 7, 2021, at 1:59 PM, Stephanie Singer <
> sfsinger at campaignscientific.com> wrote:
>
> A big Plus One to what Paul has written.
>
>
>
> To move to the kind of resilient system Paul has described, we need to
> face head on the downsides of such a system. There are people in this
> country who physically cannot mark and review paper ballots without
> assistance (either from people or technology). And there are people of this
> country who cannot physically get to the polling place on the given day
> (e.g., overseas deployed military).
>
>
>
> Companies that manufacture and maintain computerized voting systems have
> exploited this downside for profit.
>
>
>
> I wonder what folks on this list think of proxy voting.
>
>
>
> ?Stephanie
>
> PS: a relevant piece I wrote was published a few hours before all hell
> broke loose yesterday:
> https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2021/01/06/stolen-election-trump-patriot/
> <https://nam12.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.washingtonpost.com%2Foutlook%2F2021%2F01%2F06%2Fstolen-election-trump-patriot%2F&data=04%7C01%7Cdbecker%40electioninnovation.org%7C795bdf37109b41bf327d08d8b3dd91f2%7C24857eadd0694dcf948649483d775ef6%7C0%7C0%7C637457112854387013%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000&sdata=H7Kq%2FTA3OQAnVya0s9wJv3KKzNf1tJicwI7vYK2UgKY%3D&reserved=0>
>
>
>
> On Jan 6, 2021, at 2:46 PM, Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com> wrote:
>
>
>
> The short answer is voter-marked and hand counted paper ballots counted in
> precincts with results posted at the precincts as well as reported to the
> county or state. And also using a summonsing process to guarantee
> sufficient labor or add additional independent observers as needed.
>
>
>
> This way any group can verify the tabulation by looking at precinct posted
> results, and counts in precincts are monitored by all interested political
> parties plus individuals drafted by a process similar to jury summonsing.
> It is a labor intensive process but *most people would much rather spend
> a day counting ballots than spend two weeks in a jury trial. *
>
>
>
> If ballot counting is observed by multiple observers adverse to each other
> (the system used and assumed by the framers of the 12th amendment) out of a
> combination of people we might not trust to count ballots alone, we can
> nevertheless achieve a trustable result.
>
>
>
> We might also realize that the framers of the 12th amendment presupposed
> HCPB, and might come to understand that a joint session is subservient to
> the will of the people and *able to make only the objections and
> corrections that vote counting clerks are able to make, not relitigate the
> entire election*.
>
>
>
> More importantly, glitches, errors or frauds create observable evidence
> that can be accessed, and inaccuracies are isolated to the precinct level.
> Thus, if and when people tell stories about paper ballot fraud, that
> actually proves both that fraud can happen and that *the voting system
> actually worked to create evidence of the problem and thus allow us to tell
> the story today*. It is up to the administrative and legal systems - not
> the voting system - to actually prosecute or correct for the fraud or
> error. The voting system only needs to be transparent and create clear
> indelible evidence of voter intent.
>
>
>
> With a fully transparent vote counting process, I find that almost
> everyone I talk to is willing to pay the labor and time pricetag for the
> system, because of the rational confidence created in the results, and the
> fact that it is the best guarantee of our right to vote actually working if
> and when a criminal regime is in control of the vote counting process.
> Given that voting is our most important right, and given the Declaration of
> Independence recites that our government was setup for the purpose of
> securing and guaranteeing our rights, this is not too much to ask. The
> alternative is to have a voting system that is non-transparent and thus is
> vulnerable to failing completely at the very moment we need it the most -
> when criminality has invaded the governmental election processes.
>
>
>
> The human need for hand counts of valuable things is witnessed every day
> when counting our own cash at the bank teller window or at the ATM. There
> is just no substitute for hand counting when we deal with something
> valuable AND there is incentive for one or more parties to count
> inaccurately, as exists in elections.
>
>
>
> It would also have the added benefit of bringing statutes back into line
> with reality, such as the requirement of a 0.5% lead or less to trigger a
> recount. That kind of narrow window makes sense with HCPB, but with
> electronic elections if there is fraud it is the same amount of effort to
> create a lead outside the recount margin as there is to win by just a few
> votes.
>
>
>
> And it would also bring back into alignment the call for public confidence
> and acceptance of the results. That is a call for rational acceptance of
> the results if counts are transparent but is a call for a faith that losers
> find hard to develop when counts are nontransparent.
>
>
>
> Paul Lehto, J.D.
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> On Wed, Jan 6, 2021, 2:10 PM David Mason <dmason12 at gmail.com> wrote:
>
> What sorts of systems, policies, and procedures would you recommend to
> achieve this level of transparency?
>
>
>
> Dave Mason
>
>
>
> On Wed, Jan 6, 2021 at 4:34 PM Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com> wrote:
>
>
> Obviously, things have gotten out of hand, but what is the root of the
> problem?
>
>
>
> The problem is that *we do not have a voting system that the LOSERS of
> the election can believe in* based on the transparency of the process. *If
> we want peaceful transitions of power the system needs to lead to results
> trustable by the "sore losers."*
>
>
>
> While people need to be held accountable for illegal actions,*going
> forward*, instead of designing our voting systems with gaining the
> consent of the governed among the losing side, we instead demand "public
> confidence" in nontransparent computerized counts on pain of charges of
> undermining democracy.
>
>
>
> *This lack of transparency in vote counting is the SEED to which either
> facts or fevered dreams can attach*, and typically our partisan
> affiliations and the media sources we select predetermine what information
> we will receive and what conclusions we will draw.
>
>
>
> I have predicted this would eventually happen for over a decade. I was
> quoted in Politico a couple weeks ago about Trump activists because I was
> active in investigating the 2004 elections after serving as one of Kerry's
> "army" of lawyers (who were actually just assisting people to vote).
> https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/12/19/2004-kerry-election-fraud-2020-448604
> <https://nam12.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.com%2Fnews%2Fmagazine%2F2020%2F12%2F19%2F2004-kerry-election-fraud-2020-448604&data=04%7C01%7Cdbecker%40electioninnovation.org%7C795bdf37109b41bf327d08d8b3dd91f2%7C24857eadd0694dcf948649483d775ef6%7C0%7C0%7C637457112854397009%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000&sdata=N1vavBWjOzrukwzaYYpFUN44900D%2Fq86%2BNox6ybFA10%3D&reserved=0>
> This article sought to find out what those who questioned 2004 thought of
> those who questioned 2020. A variety of opinions emerged.
>
>
>
> In *Politico *I was quoted as saying the election disputes are the
> equivalent of a religious war where both sides assert their strongly held
> beliefs on the basis of faith rather than on the basis of*knowledge*.
> All people must necessarily have beliefs rather than true personal
> knowledge about the vote count results because the counts themselves are
> nontransparent, being done on computers, so that literally no one has
> personal knowledge the results are correct. Even election officials lack
> the kind of personal knowledge we expect from any admissible affidavit,
> Instead, officials believe them to be correct based on logic and accuracy
> tests and such but they don't really KNOW. Experts can add numerous
> circumstantial reasons to support that belief, but our opinions remain in
> the territory of trust and confidence rather than hard facts and
> knowledge.
>
>
>
> The election results are simply the conclusions. I've been entitled to
> every data source any expert in court relies upon for his or her
> conclusions, except in election law, where the computers are generally
> deemed inaccessible.
>
>
>
> Our present system merely urges public confidence in those conclusory
> results, which is the same as urging trust or faith. As a result, t*he
> opinions on all sides about the election results amount to statements of
> political religious faith*, and thus we have what amounts to a religious
> war in which various sides insult the faith of the other side, eventually
> leading to violence as we see today.
>
>
>
> Transparency is strongly effective at getting rid of conspiracy theories
> because when facts are present, no theories, conspiracy or otherwise, are
> necessary or possible. Transparency would likely not reduce Republican
> support for objections from Rasmussen's 73% released today down to zero,
> but it would critically drop it below fifty percent at the very least. And
> that is the difference between peaceful transitions of power transitions of
> power that are not peaceful.
>
>
>
> Trump supporters may not be able to prove fraud, but the reverse is also
> true: Biden supporters can't prove Biden win, except with a full hand
> recount and good chain of custody and no ballot box stuffing. The solution
> is to get it right on election night with a transparent counting system
> that the large majority of losers can RATIONALLY trust. Not faith-based
> elections like we have now.
>
>
>
> --
>
> Paul R Lehto, J.D.
> PO Box 2796
>
> Renton, WA 98056
> lehto.paul at gmail.com
> 906-204-4965 (cell)
>
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> --
>
> David Schultz, Distinguished University Professor
> Hamline University
> Department of Political Science,
>
> Department of Legal Studies,
>
> Department of Environmental Studies
>
> 1536 Hewitt Ave
>
> MS B 1805
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> Twitter: @ProfDSchultz
> My latest book: Presidential Swing States: Why Only Ten Matter
>
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Message: 7
Date: Fri, 8 Jan 2021 14:46:41 -0500
From: Margaret Groarke <margaret.groarke at manhattan.edu>
To: Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>
Subject: [EL] Can we say elections are stolen?
Message-ID:
<CAONN7eXLAfG3Vf1SLPxuGO9FjsSAKcOAZ2eSxGkHRj=KfUJjwg at mail.gmail.com>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="utf-8"
David Becker earlier today suggested that both sides of the political
divide drop the language of "stolen" elections.
I've been thinking about this a lot lately.
Is it never legitimate to say that an election is stolen? What would be the
conditions that would allow us to call an election "stolen"?
If someone engaged in illegal acts which caused the outcome of the election
to shift from one candidate to another, would that not be stealing? Would
there be legal acts -- passing legislation that served to disenfranchise
your political opponents, let's say -- that constituted stealing? Or is
that something else? Should the fact, as David proposed, that the courts
considered and rejected the allegations of illicit actions make it
inappropriate to call an election stolen? I'm thinking, again, of Rick
Hasen's discussion of the GA gubernatorial election in *Election Meltdown. *
Clearly, it's a problem when a large number of Americans believe that a
legitimately conducted presidential election is not legitimate. Does it
reduce the possibility of this if the supporters of Dino Rossi or Stacy
Abrams stop calling the elections they lost "stolen"? Do we want to
establish a clearer definition of what would constitute a "stolen"
election? Was the North Carolina 9th a stolen election?
Is there any reason to believe that if Democrats didn't use the language of
stolen elections, Trump and Giuliani wouldn't be using it now?
--
*Margaret Groarke*
*Professor, Political Science*
*Coordinator, Community Engaged Learning*
https://jaspercommunityengagement.blogspot.com/
Make an appointment to talk with me
<https://manhattan.starfishsolutions.com/starfish-ops/dl/instructor/serviceCatalog.html?bookmark=connection/13271/schedule>
Bronx, NY 10471
Phone: 718-862-7943
Fax: 718-862-8044
margaret.groarke at manhattan.edu <name.name at manhattan.edu>
www.manhattan.edu
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Message: 8
Date: Fri, 8 Jan 2021 19:54:40 +0000 (UTC)
From: "John M. Carbone, Esq." <ussrecount at aol.com>
To: lehto.paul at gmail.com, rhasen at law.uci.edu
Cc: law-election at uci.edu, virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com
Subject: Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is
Non-transparency ... The Function of an Election
Message-ID: <297706127.8726919.1610135680203 at mail.yahoo.com>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="utf-8"
?And counter-intuitive as it sounds, in a democracy the function of an election is not to pick a winner but rather to assure the voters and the losing candidate that they lost fair and square. That is what instills confidence in the election process.?
?
R, John M. Carbone, Esq.
?"Civility is manifested not only in what we do, but in what we choose not to do."? John M. Carbone?John M. Carbone, Esq.Carbone and FaasseAttorneys at Law401 Goffle RoadRidgewood, NJ 07470?Office Phone ? ? (201) 445 - 7100Office FAX ? ? ? ? (201) 445 - 7520Personal E-Mail USSRECOUNT at AOL.COM?In a message dated 1/8/2021 2:14:42 PM Eastern Standard Time, lehto.paul at gmail.com writes:?
This is a very important discussion with much interest shown. Thanks to the dozens who replied online or off. However, it is not time sensitive. And now we have new impeachment developments. If I may summarize below I will yield. And happy to answer off line....?It is an apropos thread though because what remains after we factor out disproved claims in 2020 is a widespread vote of no confidence in the system.? No confidence does not require evidence.?Some folks here have expressed doubt that transparency in the first vote counts, if created, would satisfy all critics.? But it doesn't need to be perfect to keep the number manageable.??But with up to 70% of Republicans supporting challenges to the nontransparent system, it is worth giving transparency a try, no? The genie is out of the bottle and I've never seen anyone that has opened their own eyes to the problems of secret vote counting reverse their position and favor nontransparency.???So this is a one way street and a majority of
Americans now have no confidence in current nontransparent voting systems.??Because "public confidence" is a pillar of the defense of elections, nontransprency is no longer defensible. We have to try something else to rebuild the confidence that is destroyed and the problems of the current system are an order of magnitude greater than any alleged problems with transparency.?Let's give full transparency on first counts a chance.? Nontransparency has failed. It is the seed of the distrust of extra ballot drop boxes that are unmonitored, of observers being denied or kept at too great a distance, and for opposition to secret vote counting.? And transparency is anchored in the most sacred constitutional and inalienable rights.?This position does is not anchored in any particular claims about particular election results or their accuracy. It is anchored in the fact that government lacks the power to legitimately destroy vote counting transparency through the mechanism of vendor contracts
or statutes or other law purported to allow secret.vote counting.?If my political opponent counts votes in secret that is a picture of oppression and some might say tyranny? If I desire to count votes in secret that is a picture of corruption. The very desire to act secretly to count votes is a corrupt desire no matter who possesses it.??Nontransparent election night vote counts are indefensible.??Paul Lehto, J.D.?P.S. Without wishing to shut anyone down, I will yield to breaking news and other topics because this can be discussed later, unless folks wish to reply....???
On Fri, Jan 8, 2021, 6:47 AM Rick Hasen <rhasen at law.uci.edu> wrote:
That is exactly right.? Both were well within the margin of litigation, and at that point it is not just good lawyering but luck that determines the ultimate winner.? We could say the same thing about the current Iowa House race. The key is to have fair procedures to decide these close races (which is why I am somewhat concerned about the partisan House getting involved in deciding that Iowa race, for reasons Derek explained here:? https://electionlawblog.org/?p=119861).
Rick
?
From: David Becker <dbecker at electioninnovation.org>
Date: Friday, January 8, 2021 at 6:32 AM
To: Ilya Shapiro <IShapiro at cato.org>, Rick Hasen <rhasen at law.uci.edu>, Margaret Groarke <margaret.groarke at manhattan.edu>, Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com>
Cc: Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>, Virginia Martin <virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
Subject: Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency (Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
?
I?m not singling anyone out here, as many on both sides have done this, but can we, once and for all, stop using the language about ?stealing? of elections? We are a nation of laws, and all of these elections were fully litigated in courts and reviewed by election officials. That goes for the 2000 Bush and 2016 Trump electoral victories as well as the 2004 Gregoire and 2008 Franken electoral wins.
?
Don?t we have enough evidence of the damage such language can do?
?
David J. Becker
Executive Director and Founder
Center for Election Innovation & Research
1120 Connecticut Ave. NW, Suite 1040
Washington, DC, 20036
(202) 550-3470 (mobile) | dbecker at electioninnovation.org
www.electioninnovation.org | @beckerdavidj
From: Law-election <law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu> on behalf of Ilya Shapiro <IShapiro at cato.org>
Sent: Friday, January 8, 2021 8:57:45 AM
To: Rick Hasen <rhasen at law.uci.edu>; Margaret Groarke <margaret.groarke at manhattan.edu>; Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com>
Cc: Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>; Virginia Martin <virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
Subject: Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency (Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
?
And that of course goes just as much about the false cries of ?voter suppression? and Marc Elias?s legal machinations going back to the stealing of Dino Rossi?s gubernatorial win and Al Franken over Norm Coleman.
?
Ilya Shapiro
Director, Robert A. Levy Center for Constitutional Studies
Publisher, Cato Supreme Court Review
Cato Institute
1000 Massachusetts Ave. NW
Washington, DC? 20001
cel. (202) 577-1134
Skype: ishapiro99
Bio/clips: https://www.cato.org/people/ilya-shapiro
Twitter: www.twitter.com/ishapiro
SSRN: http://ssrn.com/author=1382023
?
Buy my new book: Supreme Disorder: Judicial Nominations and the Politics of America?s Highest Court
?
Cato Supreme Court Review:? http://www.cato.org/supreme-court-review
Watch our 19th Annual Constitution Day Conference, Sept. 17, 2020:
https://www.cato.org/events/19th-annual-constitution-day
?
From: Law-election <law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu> On Behalf Of Rick Hasen
Sent: Thursday, January 7, 2021 11:08 PM
To: Margaret Groarke <margaret.groarke at manhattan.edu>; Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com>
Cc: Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>; Virginia Martin <virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
Subject: Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency (Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
?
*CAUTION: External Email*
?
?
Well put. The principal problem is not primarily in how elections are run (although that is part of the problem). The problem is one of stoking passions through false accusations of election regularities and attempts to strongarm those with a formal role in the vote tabulating and counting process ?to reverse the democratic will.
?
?
From: Law-election <law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu> on behalf of Margaret Groarke <margaret.groarke at manhattan.edu>
Date: Thursday, January 7, 2021 at 6:44 PM
To: Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com>
Cc: Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>, Virginia Martin <virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
Subject: Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency (Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
?
I have found it interesting that, after a presidential election in which states had to figure out how to run an election in a pandemic (and did an admirable job), and there were 60 lawsuits brought challenging the results, and in which two months after the election we have the losing candidate still not conceding and instigating an invasion of the Capitol building, there was very little traffic on this list. When I explained to people that Donald Trump and Rudy Giuliani's allegations of various things were false, I would sometimes?note that, on a list of election law professors and other elections experts, which runs the gamut politically, there were no reports of fraud or other wrongdoing discussed.?
?
And now, the day after the invasion, there's a debate about whether we should hand count paper ballots. More amazing.?
?
I read Rick Hasen's Election Meltdown?this summer, and I've been thinking in particular about the chapter on overblown rhetoric,?which I think is closer to the real problem here. Counting huge piles of paper ballots by hand will not eliminate the distrust of the election system. Distrust of the election results was deliberately birthed and stoked by elected officials -- people like Kris Kobach, Rudy Giuliani, Donald Trump and Ted Cruz. They can use whatever raw material is at hand. If there are no photos of election workers pulling ballots out of a suitcase (I guess they would prefer that ballots be left unsecured on a table top), they would use a photo of an election worker buried behind mile high stacks of paper ballots. If three people count a pile of ballots by hand and get slightly different numbers, that will be headline news.?
?
Georgia had paper ballots, which were counted by a machine (and by hand, actually). Nevertheless, as late as Saturday, as we all know, the president was continuning?to allege that there was malfeasance in the election. I live in NY, and served as a poll worker for the first time this year (I thought as a political scientist interested in elections I was long past due). We use optical scan ballots -- paper ballots, marked by the voter and counted by a machine. Should you need to do a manual recount it would be possible, although I doubt it would be more accurate or more transparent than the scanner.?
?
It is late, and I am feeling very depressed and worried for our democracy today, and so I am not going to attempt to propose a solution to this very serious crisis. But I don't think going back to paper ballots counted by hand is the solution.?
?
On Thu, Jan 7, 2021 at 9:17 PM Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com> wrote:
Professor Schultz:
?
I think I can speak on behalf of almost all of the leaders of the 2004 elector challenge regarding Obio in Kerry v Bush and say YES that the transparency of HCPB would allay all of our concerns to have a transparent system of vote counting with good chain of custody.?
?
I was personally involved with the Rossi Gregoire hand recount case in Washington state from 2004 but I know all the people involved on the presidential side.and i know they favor HCPB but of course i don't represent them.?
?
But Professor Schultz references the Trump 2020 effort which was able to grow much faster and had a President instigating behind it.?
?
Here's the problem, you will never be able to put the genie back into the bottle now that tens of millions of people have seen the nontransparency and the many procedural dismissals that don't reach the merits. They may have little evidence or even "no evidence" but their movement amounts to an emphatic vote of no confidence in the nontransparent voting system.?
?
We speak here of the voting system so within that scope I cannot deal with ngoing disputes about the Electors Clause for example. That has nothing to do with voting systems or se. But if there are processes, (as there are), to have legal claims heard and decided after a full transparent airing of all arguments, that safety valve of being heard goes a very long way toward keeping the peace, even if it doesn't settle every dispute.?
?
I took the time to call and talk to one mid-level attorney on the Trump side. We did not agree on voter ID for example, but we were in complete agreement on the need for transparency and that both sides could agree on full transparency and getting rid of the nontransparent machines.?
?
What the Trump 2020 movement is, even if stipulated to have zero evidence, is an emphatic vote of no confidence in the current electronic systems. You don't need evidence per se on a vote of no confidence.
?
Against that complete failure we are supposed to balance the convenience of some labor avoidance or the inability to wait any more time after a two year campaign??
?
Paul Lehto, J.D.?
?
?
?
On Thu, Jan 7, 2021, 5:33 PM Steve Klein <stephen.klein.esq at gmail.com> wrote:
Professor Schultz,
?
I appreciate you breaking the mold of "this never would have happened if we had [campaign finance, election, human nature] reform," but I daresay you've found something even more quixotic with the alternative.?
?
No, no, before you all pile on, I'm with you: let's make eliminating the anxiety about losing one's job a cornerstone of the regime. No cost-benefit here. And... Mexico will pay for it. Or something.
?
On Thu, Jan 7, 2021 at 8:25 PM Schultz, David <dschultz at hamline.edu> wrote:
Hi folks:
?
Let's be real.? Do any of you really think that more transparency? or other? small fixes like this to the election system? will ease election unrest?? If you do then you must also think that the fact that widespread voter fraud does not? exist?will convince people that it does not exist.? Whatever you mean by election unrest has deeper sociological and economic roots than adding more transparency.? Let's begin?to think about the gross economic inequalities that plague?our system, or the? shodding? health care system, or perhaps the anxiety? about losing one's job as the roots for why? people are politically angry.
?
On Thu, Jan 7, 2021 at 7:13 PM Stephanie Singer <sfsinger at campaignscientific.com> wrote:
?
On Jan 7, 2021, at 4:54 PM, Fredric Woocher <fwoocher at strumwooch.com> wrote:
?
I?m sorry, but this is just silly.? In a jurisdiction like Los Angeles County, it would take weeks to count all the ballots for a single county-wide election, much less for the scores of contests that are on each primary and election ballot.?
It depends on the level of involvement by citizens. The number of ballots is directly proportional to the number of voters.
?And the result would be less accurate than a machine count.
Now that more and more jurisdictions are doing risk-limiting tabulation audits, we are starting to have more data about accuracy. Without that kind of check, the best we can say is that machines more reliably get the same answer each time than people using the hash method. That?s at best a statement about?precision, not accuracy.
?
We already have a transparent system:? If the election is close enough (and even if it?s not), you can do a manual recount of the ballots and check the results against the machine count.
Depends on who ?you? are, and what state you?re in. And depends on what your state means by ?manual recount?. In a Florida ?manual recount", the paper records people get to hold in their hands and evaluate with their eyes are only the ones identified by the computers as having an undervote or overvote.
?
And do really think having the votes counted by multiple people with clickers is going to yield a uniform outcome that will convince the people who listen to Donald Trump, Rudy Giuliani, and the Krakens that the vote count was accurate when their preferred candidate loses?
Depends on the level of involvement. If there were a culture of serving and observing, there?s no reason to think we?d be worse off than we are now. There?s nothing like taking part in a bit of election administration to wake people up to the complexities.
?
Fredric D. Woocher
Strumwasser & Woocher LLP
10940 Wilshire Blvd., Ste. 2000
Los Angeles, CA 90024
fwoocher at strumwooch.com
(310) 576-1233 x105
Direct: (310) 933-5739
?
IMPORTANT NOTICE:?Pursuant to the Governor?s ?Stay at Home? Order, Strumwasser & Woocher LLP is CLOSED TO THE PUBLIC.??Packages requiring signatures will be returned undelivered ? do not serve papers by this method.? While our office is closed,?Strumwasser & Woocher LLP consents to electronic service in all of its matters.? Please serve by electronic mail to?fwoocher at strumwooch.com?AND to our Senior Legal Assistant, LaKeitha Oliver, at?loliver at strumwooch.com.? We reserve the right to object to any notice or delivery of any kind if not actually received by counsel before all statutory deadlines.
?
?
?
From:?Law-election [mailto:law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu]?On Behalf Of?Paul Lehto
Sent:?Thursday, January 7, 2021 3:53 PM
To:?John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com>
Cc:?Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>; Virginia Martin <virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
Subject:?Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency (Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
?
So on one side we have nontransparency in the voting system which breeds distrust which is then amplified by every partisan hope, fear, or piece of evidence, all the way up to an insurrection on ONE SIDE,?
?
...And on the other side we have some 75 year old who might be groggy.? And more hours to count.?
?
The balancing isn't even close, and I could add much more to the first paragraph but recent events are enough.?
?
The nontransparency is a fatal flaw in the current system, and a transparent system in the form of hand counted ballots is required to secure and guarantee the right to vote vis-a-vis situations of corrupt election officials, power outages and so on, and having tens of thousands of summonses workers nationwide who can personally attest based on their own observation and experience would restore public confidence.??
?
Paul Lehto, J.D.
?
On Thu, Jan 7, 2021, 3:43 PM John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com> wrote:
Did you wakes up the 75 year old participants at 4 or 5 am and have them work for 12 hours? ? On a ballot with 30+ offices and ballot measures? ??
Sent from my iPhone
?
On Jan 7, 2021, at 6:38 PM, Stephanie Singer <sfsinger at campaignscientific.com> wrote:
I took part in a demo of the clicker method. I don?t know of any academic research, but from my experience the clicker method is far better. It makes sense psychologically ? each person is focused on just one physical spot on the ballot, not needing to look back and forth. And in the demo we had several people tracking each candidate, and their tallies matched at the end (or perhaps were occasionally off by one). It was quick and easy and, with enough people clicking, convincing.
?
?
?
Stephanie Singer
Research Assistant Professor, Portland State University
Former Chair, Philadelphia County Board of Elections
?
?
?
On Jan 7, 2021, at 2:04 PM, John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com> wrote:
?
One would think that ?mark, mark, ... tally? would avoid differences, since there?s a check every 5th vote.? One would be wrong.? And then you have to go back and reconcile to find where the count got off ? usually several tallies back.? I suspect the clicker would be even worse
?
Sent from my iPhone
?
On Jan 7, 2021, at 4:42 PM, Stephanie Singer <sfsinger at campaignscientific.com> wrote:
It?s undeniable that the counting happens at a time when everyone is exhausted. And thanks for pointing out the difficulties of oversight in primaries.
?
At least one better counting method has been developed and tested by Karen McKim of?Wisconsin Election Integrity. Each person in a group of observers has a hand-held clicker-counter (like the ones used to measure people flowing through turnstiles). The ballots can then be shown one after another, quite quickly. My understanding is that this is quite accurate and efficient.
?
The science and engineering of post-election tabulation audits for ballot scanners is progressing, but I haven?t yet seen a workable proposal for risk-limiting audits of precinct-counted ballots.
?
If you don?t count at the precinct at the end of the voting period, you have to solve the ballot custody problem, also quite knotty.
?
?Stephanie
?
On Jan 7, 2021, at 1:26 PM, John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com> wrote:
?
I agree completely that the election process should include at all levels and locations poll officials and poll watchers appointed by both major parties ? and by all diverse candidates in primaries and nonpartisan elections (easier said than done). ? And posting the results at the polls and centrally is or used to be common. ? ?But hand counted paper ballots? ? I recall monitoring primary elections with hand counted paper ballots at relatively tiny precincts.? It takes forever, in part because of frequent differences in the counts ?(often resolved by splitting the difference) and poll workers quitting fit the night and one (1) poll official taking the materials home to safeguard them.? In one MS primary election, the count wasn?t completed until Thursday evening , at which point I could finally go to sleep (after helping polish off some beer the senior attorney had bought).? There?s are reasons we use machines now.?
Sent from my iPhone
?
On Jan 7, 2021, at 1:59 PM, Stephanie Singer <sfsinger at campaignscientific.com> wrote:
A big Plus One to what Paul has written.
?
To move to the kind of resilient system Paul has described, we need to face head on the downsides of such a system. There are people in this country who physically cannot mark and review paper ballots without assistance (either from people or technology). And there are people of this country who cannot physically get to the polling place on the given day (e.g., overseas deployed military).?
?
Companies that manufacture and maintain computerized voting systems have exploited this downside for profit.?
?
I wonder what folks on this list think of proxy voting.
?
?Stephanie
PS: a relevant piece I wrote was published a few hours before all hell broke loose yesterday: ?https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2021/01/06/stolen-election-trump-patriot/
?
On Jan 6, 2021, at 2:46 PM, Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com> wrote:
?
The short answer is voter-marked and hand counted paper ballots counted in precincts with results posted at the precincts as well as reported to the county or state. And also using a summonsing process to guarantee sufficient labor or add additional independent observers as needed.?
?
This way any group can verify the tabulation by looking at precinct posted results, and counts in precincts are monitored by all interested political parties plus individuals drafted by a process similar to jury summonsing. It is a labor intensive process but?most people would much rather spend a day counting ballots than spend two weeks in a jury trial.?
?
If ballot counting is observed by multiple observers adverse to each other (the system used and assumed by the framers of the 12th amendment) out of a combination of people we might not trust to count ballots alone, we can nevertheless achieve a trustable result.?
?
We might also realize that the framers of the 12th amendment presupposed HCPB, and might come to understand that a joint session is subservient to the will of the people and?able to make only the objections and corrections that vote counting clerks are able to make, not relitigate the entire election.?
?
More importantly, glitches, errors or frauds create observable evidence that can be accessed, and inaccuracies are isolated to the precinct level. Thus, if and when people tell stories about paper ballot fraud, that actually proves both that fraud can happen and that?the voting system actually worked to create evidence of the problem and thus allow us to tell the story today. It is up to the administrative and legal systems - not the voting system - to actually prosecute or correct for the fraud or error. The voting system only needs to be transparent and create clear indelible evidence of voter intent.?
?
With a fully transparent vote counting process, I find that almost everyone I talk to is willing to pay the labor and time pricetag for the system, because of the rational confidence created in the results, and the fact that it is the best guarantee of our right to vote actually working if and when a criminal regime is in control of the vote counting process. Given that voting is our most important right, and given the Declaration of Independence recites that our government was setup for the purpose of securing and guaranteeing our rights, this is not too much to ask. The alternative is to have a voting system that is non-transparent and thus is vulnerable to failing completely at the very moment we need it the most - when criminality has invaded the governmental election processes.?
?
The human need for hand counts of valuable things is witnessed every day when counting our own cash at the bank teller window or at the ATM. There is just no substitute for hand counting when we deal with something valuable AND there is incentive for one or more parties to count inaccurately, as exists in elections.?
?
It would also have the added benefit of bringing statutes back into line with reality, such as the requirement of a 0.5% lead or less to trigger a recount. That kind of narrow window makes sense with HCPB, but with electronic elections if there is fraud it is the same amount of effort to create a lead outside the recount margin as there is to win by just a few votes.?
?
And it would also bring back into alignment the call for public confidence and acceptance of the results. That is a call for rational acceptance of the results if counts are transparent but is a call for a faith that losers find hard to develop when counts are nontransparent.?
?
Paul Lehto, J.D.?
?
?
?
On Wed, Jan 6, 2021, 2:10 PM David Mason <dmason12 at gmail.com> wrote:
What sorts of systems, policies, and procedures would?you recommend to achieve this level of transparency?
?
Dave Mason
?
On Wed, Jan 6, 2021 at 4:34 PM Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com> wrote:
Obviously, things have gotten out of hand, but what is the root of the problem???
?
The problem is that?we do not have a voting system that the LOSERS of the election can believe in?based on the transparency of the process.?If we want peaceful transitions of power the system needs to lead to results trustable by the "sore losers."??
?
While people need to be held accountable for illegal actions,going forward, instead of designing our voting systems with gaining the consent of the governed among the losing side, we instead demand "public confidence" in nontransparent computerized counts on pain of charges of undermining democracy.? ?
?
This lack of transparency in vote counting is the SEED to which either facts or fevered dreams can attach, and typically our partisan affiliations and the media sources we select predetermine what information we will receive and what conclusions we will draw.??
?
I have predicted this would eventually happen for over a decade.? I was quoted in Politico a couple weeks ago about Trump activists because I was active in investigating the 2004 elections after serving as one of Kerry's "army" of lawyers (who were actually just assisting people to vote).??https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/12/19/2004-kerry-election-fraud-2020-448604? This article sought to find out what those who questioned 2004 thought of those who questioned 2020.? A variety of opinions emerged.
?
?In?Politico?I was quoted as saying the election disputes are the equivalent of a religious war where both sides assert their strongly held beliefs on the basis of faith rather than on the basis ofknowledge.? All people must necessarily have beliefs rather than true personal knowledge about the vote count results because the counts themselves are nontransparent, being done on computers, so that literally no one has personal knowledge the results are correct. Even election officials lack the kind of personal knowledge we expect from any admissible affidavit, Instead, officials believe them to be correct based on logic and accuracy tests and such but they don't really KNOW.? Experts can add numerous circumstantial reasons to support that belief, but our opinions remain in the territory of trust and confidence rather than hard facts and? knowledge.?
?
The election results are simply the conclusions.? I've been entitled to every data source any expert in court relies upon for his or her conclusions, except in election law, where the computers are generally deemed inaccessible.
?
Our present system merely urges public confidence in those conclusory results, which is the same as urging trust or faith. As a result, the opinions on all sides about the election results amount to statements of political religious faith, and thus we have what amounts to a religious war in which various sides insult the faith of the other side, eventually leading to violence as we see today.
?
Transparency is strongly effective at getting rid of conspiracy theories because when facts are present, no theories, conspiracy or otherwise, are necessary or possible.? Transparency would likely not reduce Republican support for objections from Rasmussen's 73% released today down to zero, but it would critically drop it below fifty percent at the very least.? And that is the difference between peaceful transitions of power transitions of power that are not peaceful.
?
Trump supporters may not be able to prove fraud, but the reverse is also true: Biden supporters can't prove Biden win, except with a full hand recount and good chain of custody and no ballot box stuffing.? The solution is to get it right on election night with a transparent counting system that the large majority of losers can RATIONALLY trust.? Not faith-based elections like we have now.
?
--?
Paul R Lehto, J.D.
PO Box 2796
Renton, WA 98056
lehto.paul at gmail.com
906-204-4965 (cell)
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Message: 9
Date: Fri, 8 Jan 2021 11:56:53 -0800
From: RuthAlice Anderson <ruthalice.anderson at comcast.net>
To: Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com>
Cc: Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>, Virginia Martin
<virginiamartin2010 at gmail.com>
Subject: Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is
Non-transparency(AllowingPeopleto Imagine Whatever They Will
Message-ID: <202101081956.108Jurhd031995 at mx3.service.uci.edu>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="utf-8"
I called your representation of my comment extreme. It is also dishonest. I am completely supportive of poll watchers. I distrust completely electronic voting machines and would prefer optical scanned paper ballots. The hand-marked and counted ballots from when my dad supervised elections in an old abandoned school house are seriously not supportable.
I object to streaming the count to anyone on the internet and please, don?t pretend I said anything else.
As to my objection to streaming. There is no hallowed tradition of streaming election counts going back to the founders. It?s a new innovation, an attempt to be more transparent, an innovation that has led to conspiracist theorizing and maliciously editied video shared by bad actors to incite distrust in the outcome.
You have misrepresented my words twice. Please stop.
RuthAlice
Sent from Mail for Windows 10
From: Paul Lehto
Sent: Friday, January 8, 2021 9:26 AM
To: RuthAlice Anderson
Cc: John Tanner; Election Law Listserv; Virginia Martin
Subject: Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency(AllowingPeopleto Imagine Whatever They Will
Ruth, you call my argument extreme but the Court of Appeals in my case acknowledged that my case based on these arguments raised important questions at the very bedrock of democracy, not "extreme" interpretations. The Court only dismissed my case attacking contracts to purchase voting machines as void against public policy because it said I had won - the county canceled the contract for the touch screens and thereby mooted my attack upon the contract is violating public policy.
On the contrary, your argument or fear that people may misunderstand or misinterpret election information if it is given to them is an extreme attack upon transparency of all kinds.??
The same argument or fear applies to every government record and violates the declared public policy of my state of Washington found at RCW 42.30.010:
The people of this state do not yield their sovereignty to the agencies which serve them. The people, in delegating authority, do not give their public servants the right to decide what is good for the people to know and what is not good for them to know. The people insist on remaining informed so that they may retain control over the instruments they have created.
The conservative state of Texas takes it further:
Sec. 552.001. POLICY; CONSTRUCTION. (a) Under the fundamental philosophy of the American constitutional form of representative government that adheres to the principle that government is the servant and not the master of the people, it is the policy of this state that each person is entitled, unless otherwise expressly provided by law, at all times to complete information about the affairs of government and the official acts of public officials and employees.?The people, in delegating authority, do not give their public servants the right to decide what is good for the people to know and what is not good for them to know. The people insist on remaining informed?so that they may retain control over the instruments they have created.
The same or nearly identical language is the fundamental public policy in many other states like CA, AK, HI, GA and others.
Most state constitutions recite that a frequent recurrence to fundamental principles is necessary for the preservation of liberty and free government.? This is true.
The problem generally is that we have focused too much on mechanics and administrative convenience instead of recurring to our most important laws and principles.
Thati s why my argument to protect the bedrock of democracy can occasionally be perceived as "extreme" - the government has strayed from our most fundamental rights in favor of convenience and efficiency claims that do not guarantee our most important rights. They did it accidentally by signing vendor contracts that took transparent vote counts and made them the private intellectual property of vendors and/or de facto government secrets.
Paul Lehto, J.D.?
On Thu, Jan 7, 2021, 10:56 PM RuthAlice Anderson <ruthalice.anderson at comcast.net> wrote:
Wow, that?s an extreme interpretation. I think trained poll watchers are essential for transparency. Streaming to the untrained and already suspicious public is dangerous. People who want to find something will misinterpret innocent acts as malice. Because that?s what they want to find.
Poll watchers from both parties are absolutely proper. Training people is proper. Having people this believe in lizard people watching from their homes is not.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/nov/17/ballot-counting-livestreams-misinformation-us-election
?
?
?
?
Sent from Mail for Windows 10
?
From: Paul Lehto
Sent: Thursday, January 7, 2021 4:32 PM
To: RuthAlice Anderson
Cc: John Tanner; Election Law Listserv; Virginia Martin
Subject: Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency(AllowingPeople to Imagine Whatever They Will)
?
I have never heard the claim that streaming led to widespread fraud allegations.? That said, if transparency could be defeated by a significant possibility of misunderstanding what is going on, then you are arguing against transparency generally.? Any government document or record is subject to the danger of being misunderstood.?
?
The misunderstanding argument is one of the arguments made for widespread secrecy in forms of government that aren't free or do not wish to be held accountable or to be checked and balanced - namely that the masses can't understand the fine arts of governance, so it is better that they just trust us and not get information. In reality,? The risk of misunderstanding would be an argument against having juries, or even voting without a literacy and civics test.??
?
I think you would find people keen to participate in a meaningful event like elections and eager to learn.
?
Training is at its simplest with hand counted paper ballots, but if there is a problem with lack of training there is a straightforward solution - more training.?
?
Paul Lehto, J.D.?
On Thu, Jan 7, 2021, 4:09 PM RuthAlice Anderson <ruthalice.anderson at comcast.net> wrote:
Doesn?t it seem that many of the most widespread false allegations of fraud originated with transparency efforts such as streaming video of the ballot count. People without any idea what is happening in the room saw things they did not understand (cases under the table being opened with ballots) and found a malignant interpretation.
It also seems that the poll watchers and observers were poorly trained. When I was a poll watcher before vote by mail, we had a fairly lengthy training on what to watch for and how to report it. We were advised not to talk about it because we could be wrong.
RuthAlice
?
Sent from Mail for Windows 10
?
From: Paul Lehto
Sent: Thursday, January 7, 2021 3:55 PM
To: John Tanner
Cc: Election Law Listserv; Virginia Martin
Subject: Re: [EL] The Root Cause of Election Unrest is Non-transparency(Allowing People to Imagine Whatever They Will)
?
So on one side we have nontransparency in the voting system which breeds distrust which is then amplified by every partisan hope, fear, or piece of evidence, all the way up to an insurrection on ONE SIDE,?
?
...And on the other side we have some 75 year old who might be groggy.? And more hours to count.?
?
The balancing isn't even close, and I could add much more to the first paragraph but recent events are enough.?
?
The nontransparency is a fatal flaw in the current system, and a transparent system in the form of hand counted ballots is required to secure and guarantee the right to vote vis-a-vis situations of corrupt election officials, power outages and so on, and having tens of thousands of summonses workers nationwide who can personally attest based on their own observation and experience would restore public confidence.??
?
Paul Lehto, J.D.
?
On Thu, Jan 7, 2021, 3:43 PM John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com> wrote:
Did you wakes up the 75 year old participants at 4 or 5 am and have them work for 12 hours? ? On a ballot with 30+ offices and ballot measures? ??
Sent from my iPhone
?
On Jan 7, 2021, at 6:38 PM, Stephanie Singer <sfsinger at campaignscientific.com> wrote:
?I took part in a demo of the clicker method. I don?t know of any academic research, but from my experience the clicker method is far better. It makes sense psychologically ? each person is focused on just one physical spot on the ballot, not needing to look back and forth. And in the demo we had several people tracking each candidate, and their tallies matched at the end (or perhaps were occasionally off by one). It was quick and easy and, with enough people clicking, convincing.
?
?
?
Stephanie Singer
Research Assistant Professor, Portland State University
Former Chair, Philadelphia County Board of Elections
?
?
?
On Jan 7, 2021, at 2:04 PM, John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com> wrote:
?
One would think that ?mark, mark, ... tally? would avoid differences, since there?s a check every 5th vote.? One would be wrong.? And then you have to go back and reconcile to find where the count got off ? usually several tallies back.? I suspect the clicker would be even worse
?
Sent from my iPhone
?
On Jan 7, 2021, at 4:42 PM, Stephanie Singer <sfsinger at campaignscientific.com> wrote:
?It?s undeniable that the counting happens at a time when everyone is exhausted. And thanks for pointing out the difficulties of oversight in primaries.
?
At least one better counting method has been developed and tested by Karen McKim of?Wisconsin Election Integrity. Each person in a group of observers has a hand-held clicker-counter (like the ones used to measure people flowing through turnstiles). The ballots can then be shown one after another, quite quickly. My understanding is that this is quite accurate and efficient.
?
The science and engineering of post-election tabulation audits for ballot scanners is progressing, but I haven?t yet seen a workable proposal for risk-limiting audits of precinct-counted ballots.
?
If you don?t count at the precinct at the end of the voting period, you have to solve the ballot custody problem, also quite knotty.
?
?Stephanie
?
On Jan 7, 2021, at 1:26 PM, John Tanner <john.k.tanner at gmail.com> wrote:
?
I agree completely that the election process should include at all levels and locations poll officials and poll watchers appointed by both major parties ? and by all diverse candidates in primaries and nonpartisan elections (easier said than done). ? And posting the results at the polls and centrally is or used to be common. ? ?But hand counted paper ballots? ? I recall monitoring primary elections with hand counted paper ballots at relatively tiny precincts.? It takes forever, in part because of frequent differences in the counts ?(often resolved by splitting the difference) and poll workers quitting fit the night and one (1) poll official taking the materials home to safeguard them.? In one MS primary election, the count wasn?t completed until Thursday evening , at which point I could finally go to sleep (after helping polish off some beer the senior attorney had bought).? There?s are reasons we use machines now.?
Sent from my iPhone
?
On Jan 7, 2021, at 1:59 PM, Stephanie Singer <sfsinger at campaignscientific.com> wrote:
?A big Plus One to what Paul has written.
?
To move to the kind of resilient system Paul has described, we need to face head on the downsides of such a system. There are people in this country who physically cannot mark and review paper ballots without assistance (either from people or technology). And there are people of this country who cannot physically get to the polling place on the given day (e.g., overseas deployed military).?
?
Companies that manufacture and maintain computerized voting systems have exploited this downside for profit.?
?
I wonder what folks on this list think of proxy voting.
?
?Stephanie
PS: a relevant piece I wrote was published a few hours before all hell broke loose yesterday: ?https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2021/01/06/stolen-election-trump-patriot/
?
On Jan 6, 2021, at 2:46 PM, Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com> wrote:
?
The short answer is voter-marked and hand counted paper ballots counted in precincts with results posted at the precincts as well as reported to the county or state. And also using a summonsing process to guarantee sufficient labor or add additional independent observers as needed.?
?
This way any group can verify the tabulation by looking at precinct posted results, and counts in precincts are monitored by all interested political parties plus individuals drafted by a process similar to jury summonsing. It is a labor intensive process but most people would much rather spend a day counting ballots than spend two weeks in a jury trial.?
?
If ballot counting is observed by multiple observers adverse to each other (the system used and assumed by the framers of the 12th amendment) out of a combination of people we might not trust to count ballots alone, we can nevertheless achieve a trustable result.?
?
We might also realize that the framers of the 12th amendment presupposed HCPB, and might come to understand that a joint session is subservient to the will of the people and able to make only the objections and corrections that vote counting clerks are able to make, not relitigate the entire election.?
?
More importantly, glitches, errors or frauds create observable evidence that can be accessed, and inaccuracies are isolated to the precinct level. Thus, if and when people tell stories about paper ballot fraud, that actually proves both that fraud can happen and that the voting system actually worked to create evidence of the problem and thus allow us to tell the story today. It is up to the administrative and legal systems - not the voting system - to actually prosecute or correct for the fraud or error. The voting system only needs to be transparent and create clear indelible evidence of voter intent.?
?
With a fully transparent vote counting process, I find that almost everyone I talk to is willing to pay the labor and time pricetag for the system, because of the rational confidence created in the results, and the fact that it is the best guarantee of our right to vote actually working if and when a criminal regime is in control of the vote counting process. Given that voting is our most important right, and given the Declaration of Independence recites that our government was setup for the purpose of securing and guaranteeing our rights, this is not too much to ask. The alternative is to have a voting system that is non-transparent and thus is vulnerable to failing completely at the very moment we need it the most - when criminality has invaded the governmental election processes.?
?
The human need for hand counts of valuable things is witnessed every day when counting our own cash at the bank teller window or at the ATM. There is just no substitute for hand counting when we deal with something valuable AND there is incentive for one or more parties to count inaccurately, as exists in elections.?
?
It would also have the added benefit of bringing statutes back into line with reality, such as the requirement of a 0.5% lead or less to trigger a recount. That kind of narrow window makes sense with HCPB, but with electronic elections if there is fraud it is the same amount of effort to create a lead outside the recount margin as there is to win by just a few votes.?
?
And it would also bring back into alignment the call for public confidence and acceptance of the results. That is a call for rational acceptance of the results if counts are transparent but is a call for a faith that losers find hard to develop when counts are nontransparent.?
?
Paul Lehto, J.D.?
?
?
?
On Wed, Jan 6, 2021, 2:10 PM David Mason <dmason12 at gmail.com> wrote:
What sorts of systems, policies, and procedures would?you recommend to achieve this level of transparency?
?
Dave Mason
?
On Wed, Jan 6, 2021 at 4:34 PM Paul Lehto <lehto.paul at gmail.com> wrote:
Obviously, things have gotten out of hand, but what is the root of the problem???
?
The problem is that we do not have a voting system that the LOSERS of the election can believe in based on the transparency of the process. If we want peaceful transitions of power the system needs to lead to results trustable by the "sore losers."??
?
While people need to be held accountable for illegal actions, going forward, instead of designing our voting systems with gaining the consent of the governed among the losing side, we instead demand "public confidence" in nontransparent computerized counts on pain of charges of undermining democracy.? ?
?
This lack of transparency in vote counting is the SEED to which either facts or fevered dreams can attach, and typically our partisan affiliations and the media sources we select predetermine what information we will receive and what conclusions we will draw.??
?
I have predicted this would eventually happen for over a decade.? I was quoted in Politico a couple weeks ago about Trump activists because I was active in investigating the 2004 elections after serving as one of Kerry's "army" of lawyers (who were actually just assisting people to vote).??https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/12/19/2004-kerry-election-fraud-2020-448604? This article sought to find out what those who questioned 2004 thought of those who questioned 2020.? A variety of opinions emerged.
?
?In Politico I was quoted as saying the election disputes are the equivalent of a religious war where both sides assert their strongly held beliefs on the basis of faith rather than on the basis of knowledge.? All people must necessarily have beliefs rather than true personal knowledge about the vote count results because the counts themselves are nontransparent, being done on computers, so that literally no one has personal knowledge the results are correct. Even election officials lack the kind of personal knowledge we expect from any admissible affidavit, Instead, officials believe them to be correct based on logic and accuracy tests and such but they don't really KNOW.? Experts can add numerous circumstantial reasons to support that belief, but our opinions remain in the territory of trust and confidence rather than hard facts and? knowledge.?
?
The election results are simply the conclusions.? I've been entitled to every data source any expert in court relies upon for his or her conclusions, except in election law, where the computers are generally deemed inaccessible.
?
Our present system merely urges public confidence in those conclusory results, which is the same as urging trust or faith. As a result, the opinions on all sides about the election results amount to statements of political religious faith, and thus we have what amounts to a religious war in which various sides insult the faith of the other side, eventually leading to violence as we see today.
?
Transparency is strongly effective at getting rid of conspiracy theories because when facts are present, no theories, conspiracy or otherwise, are necessary or possible.? Transparency would likely not reduce Republican support for objections from Rasmussen's 73% released today down to zero, but it would critically drop it below fifty percent at the very least.? And that is the difference between peaceful transitions of power transitions of power that are not peaceful.
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Trump supporters may not be able to prove fraud, but the reverse is also true: Biden supporters can't prove Biden win, except with a full hand recount and good chain of custody and no ballot box stuffing.? The solution is to get it right on election night with a transparent counting system that the large majority of losers can RATIONALLY trust.? Not faith-based elections like we have now.
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--
Paul R Lehto, J.D.
PO Box 2796
Renton, WA 98056
lehto.paul at gmail.com
906-204-4965 (cell)
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