election-law_gl-digest Wednesday, February 13 2002 Volume 01 : Number 139
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Date: Wed, 13 Feb 2002 07:53:48 -0800
From: Rick Hasen <rick.hasen@lls.edu>
Subject: California initiative to roll back term limits
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Rick Hasen
Professor of Law and William M. Rains Fellow
Loyola Law School
919 South Albany Street
Los Angeles, CA 90015-1211
(213)736-1466 - voice
(213)380-3769 - fax
rick.hasen@lls.edu
http://www.lls.edu/academics/faculty/hasen.html
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<SPAN CLASS=3D"cHeadline1">A 'No' Vote Could Bring Back Willie Brown</SPA=
N><BR>
<SPAN class=3D"keydeck14"><img src=3D"/images/standard/blackpix.g=
if" hspace=3D"3" vspace=3D"2" height=3D"6" width=3D"6" alt=3D"*"> Prop. 4=
5: If proposal to loosen term limits fails, the San Francisco mayor might=
run for state Senate.<BR><BR></SPAN>
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By DAN MORAIN, TIMES STAFF WRITER<BR><BR>
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SACRAMENTO --
=
More often than not, Willie Brown got the last laugh during his 31 years=
in the California Assembly--and he's getting a chuckle again these days.=
<BR><BR>A dozen years after California voters approved a strict term-limi=
ts initiative, forcing an end to Brown's Assembly career in 1995, lawmake=
rs are mounting a multimillion-dollar campaign to potentially lengthen th=
eir careers, with passage of Proposition 45 on the March 5 ballot.<BR><BR=
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</table>The twist is that if the measure doesn't pass, if term limits are=
left unchanged, the man who once dubbed himself the Ayatollah of the Ass=
embly could end up back at the Capitol. As it is, state senators are limi=
ted to two four-year terms. Assembly members can serve no more than three=
two-year terms. But backers of Proposition 45, led by Democratic lawmake=
rs and interest groups that do business before them, are betting a politi=
cal truism: Voters have disdain for the Legislature, but like their homet=
own lawmaker.<BR><BR>Proposition 45's backers say the measure offers a mo=
dest softening of one of the nation's strictest term-limit laws. Critics =
denounce it as an underhanded attempt to undermine a law that brings new =
blood into the Legislature.<BR><BR>If it passes, senators could seek a th=
ird four-year term and Assembly members could seek two more two-year term=
s, provided they gather petition signatures from 20% of the registered vo=
ters who cast ballots in the prior election. After accumulating enough si=
gnatures, they would face election.<BR><BR>So how is it that Brown could =
return to Sacramento in 2004?<BR><BR>If voters approve the initiative, Br=
own's longtime friend, Senate President Pro Tem John Burton (D-San Franci=
sco), could run for a third term in 2004.<BR><BR>But if it fails and Burt=
on is forced from the Legislature, Brown, 67, whose tenure as San Francis=
co mayor is ending, would be the favorite to succeed him. Brown already h=
as raised more than $500,000 for a Senate campaign.<BR><BR>"Voters ought =
to know--those who wanted term limits and whose nightmare apparently was =
the continuation of my 31-year career--that if they vote 'no' on this one=
, if they refuse to modify it, I'm baaaack," Brown said, feigning an evil=
cackle.<BR><BR>The initiative's backers include some of the strongest fo=
es of term limits. Many donors financing the campaign spent heavily again=
st Proposition 140, the initiative that brought about term limits a dozen=
years ago. But a cursory reading of the initiative could lead a voter to=
assume it is the brainchild of term-limit advocates.<BR><BR>"Term limits=
have reinvigorated the political process by promoting full participation=
and bringing a breath of fresh air to California government," the preamb=
le reads.<BR><BR>It goes on: "The people recognize that in some instances=
a few specially skilled and popular lawmakers have been unable to comple=
te important legislative programs for their districts before they must le=
ave office. In recognition of these special cases, the people of Californ=
ia seek an opportunity by petition to extend some specific district repre=
sentatives' terms in office by a maximum of four years."<BR><BR>Term Limi=
ts Challenged in Other States<BR><BR>In Idaho, the Legislature repealed t=
hat state's limits earlier this month. An effort to end them in Maine is =
underway.<BR><BR>But with polls showing a strong majority of California v=
oters still supporting the concept of term limits, proponents here opted =
against pushing a measure to directly lengthen terms or abolish limits al=
together.<BR><BR>"It's kind of like Proposition 13," Burton said, referri=
ng to the landmark 1978 property tax-slashing initiative. "[Voters	=
3; have a visceral reaction. But if you give the people the option at the=
local level, that is something they will consider."<BR><BR>Only five sta=
tes have term-limit measures as strict or stricter than California's, and=
legislators in both parties cite problems with California's system, part=
icularly in the Assembly. If Proposition 45 is approved, perhaps the bigg=
est impact would occur in the lower house, where leaders change every yea=
r or two. Speaker Herb Wesson (D-Culver City), who took office last week,=
is the seventh speaker since Brown was ousted after Republicans briefly =
gained control in the lower house in the 1994 election.<BR><BR>"When you'=
re dealing with a budget of $100 billion," said Wesson, who will negotiat=
e his first budget this year without ever having sat on a budget committe=
e, "I think Californians will recognize the need to have people with a ta=
d more experience."<BR><BR>Support Comes From Variety of Sources<BR><BR>B=
ackers of the ballot measure have raised $8.2 million. Donors include org=
anized labor and businesses with interests ranging from banking and insur=
ance to gambling and alcohol. Most of the donors routinely have issues in=
Sacramento.<BR><BR>The California Democratic Party, which taps donors ra=
nging from organized labor to business interests, is the single largest d=
onor, at $3 million.<BR><BR>Labor unions have contributed $1.2 million di=
rectly to Proposition 45's passage.<BR><BR>"You have to get voters to und=
erstand that this is a very simple extension of one term for an elected o=
fficial they think has done a good job," said Los Angeles political consu=
ltant Bill Carrick, managing the Yes-on-45 campaign and preparing a state=
wide television ad campaign. "If you get people focused on that argument,=
they very much like the idea. It is not an end of term limits."<BR><BR>T=
he campaign against 45 reports having raised a mere $37,100, though leade=
rs vow they will have enough money to wage a campaign.<BR><BR>But the mai=
n organization pushing term limits nationally, U.S. Term Limits in Washin=
gton, has not decided whether to help finance the 45 opposition, Executiv=
e Director Stacie Rumenap said.<BR><BR>Opponents include the three Republ=
ican candidates for governor--former Los Angeles Mayor Richard Riordan, S=
ecretary of State Bill Jones and businessman Bill Simon Jr. Gov. Gray Dav=
is has not taken a position.<BR><BR>Dan Schnur, a political consultant wo=
rking against Proposition 45, is homing in on Burton, 69, a veteran of th=
ree decades in office, first in the Legislature, then in Congress, and no=
w back in the Legislature.<BR><BR>"John Burton," said Schnur, "was electe=
d to the state Legislature the same year that Lyndon Johnson was elected =
president. Thirty years later, his only solution to a budget deficit is t=
o raise taxes. This is what you get with a career politician like John Bu=
rton."<BR><BR>Burton, widely viewed as the most influential lawmaker in S=
acramento, shrugs off the strategy: "Who knows me?"<BR><BR>Schnur also wa=
rns that Proposition 45 would open a loophole in another initiative appro=
ved two years ago capping contributions to legislators at $3,000 from ind=
ividuals, a charge that 45's backers dispute. Incumbents could receive un=
limited donations into their bonus-term petition committees, gaining an u=
nfair advantage over challengers, Schnur said.<BR><BR>"That is unregulate=
d, special-interest soft money," Schnur said, adding that California woul=
d be allowing more soft money--donations not given directly to candidates=
- --as Congress debates legislation to restrict soft money in federal elect=
ions.<BR><BR>Common Cause Takes Neutral Position<BR><BR>Questions about h=
ow incumbents would finance their petition drives helped convince Califor=
nia Common Cause, a nonprofit watchdog group, to remain neutral on the in=
itiative, though Common Cause opposes term limits.<BR><BR>"That is the co=
ncern," said Jim Knox of Common Cause. "It would allow interest groups to=
become involved with signature gathering campaigns in a way that would c=
ircumvent the current contribution limits."<BR><BR>At Burton's request, t=
he legislative counsel studied the issue and concluded last week that con=
tribution caps imposed by Proposition 34 of 2000 would apply to petition =
committees. And if there is a loophole, Burton, the main backer of Propos=
ition 34, said he would push legislation to close it.<BR><BR>"Schnur is a=
good spin meister and he has spun this one pretty well," said attorney L=
ance Olson, who represents dozens of legislative candidates, as well as t=
he Yes-on-45 campaign. "Incumbents are candidates by definition. They hav=
e an obligation to report and disclose all contributions."<BR><BR>The ori=
ginal term-limits initiative, Proposition 140, won with 52% of the vote i=
n 1990. The win by term-limit proponents here helped spread the movement =
nationally. Of the 17 states with limits, 14 adopted them after the Calif=
ornia vote.<BR><BR>Voters approved term limits at the time when the FBI w=
as engaged in a Capitol corruption investigation that ended with convicti=
ons of 14 people, including five legislators. In the Assembly, Brown was =
at the flamboyant height of his power.<BR><BR>"He personified the problem=
in Sacramento," said Republican consultant Wayne Johnson, who oversaw th=
e 1990 campaign for term limits. "People had completely lost faith in the=
ir ability to get anything done. The Legislature was far too cozy with po=
wer interests."<BR><BR>The Legislature is a far different place than the =
one Brown knew. The number of women and Latino lawmakers has increased. A=
lmost every member of the Assembly is new since Brown's days. Even if Bro=
wn were to return, some say, he could never achieve the power he once had=
=2E<BR><BR>"The Willie Brown who left here is not the Willie Brown who wo=
uld come back," Johnson said. "The personalities have changed. There will=
be constant turnover. It truly is a different place."
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Date: Wed, 13 Feb 2002 11:38:47 -0800
From: "Volokh, Eugene" <VOLOKH@mail.law.ucla.edu>
Subject: New York Times and campaign contributions
This message is in MIME format. Since your mail reader does not understand
this format, some or all of this message may not be legible.
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My apologies for raising something that isn't strictly a legal
matter, but more a question of media coverage, but I thought people on the
list might be interested in today's smartertimes.com,
http://www.smartertimes.com/archive/2002/02/020213.html
Eugene
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<P> <FONT FACE=3D"Arial">My =
apologies for raising something that isn't strictly a legal matter, but =
more a question of media coverage, but I thought people on the list =
might be interested in today's smartertimes.com, <A =
HREF=3D"http://www.smartertimes.com/archive/2002/02/020213.html" =
TARGET=3D"_blank">http://www.smartertimes.com/archive/2002/02/020213.htm=
l</A></FONT></P>
<P> <FONT =
FACE=3D"Arial">Eugene</FONT>
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