<x-flowed> Let me respond to Rick's thoughtful post in this thread, hoping
that he and/or others on the list will see something in what I say worth
further responding to.
1. What really bothered me as a social scientist about Vieth was that no
justice bothered to address the concrete, quantitative attempts to
establish standards for judging partisan fairness, and neither does Pildes.
A. For those justices who believe the issue is entirely
non-justiciable, there is no problem. They assume a partisan intent in
redistricting but allow any partisan effects whatever. Since these are the
same justices who apparently believe that Section 5 of the Voting Rights
Act is unconstitutional if used to justify race-conscious districting that
assists minorities, they would presumably agree with the chairman of the
Texas House redistricting committee, who said in deposition in Sessions v.
Perry that but for Section 5, he'd have tried to eliminate EVERY Democratic
district in Texas. O'Connor, Rehnquist, Scalia, and Thomas would
apparently let him. It's instances like this that convince me that there
ought to be some judicial limits to partisan redistricting, though I'm
aware of good arguments, e.g., by Dan Lowenstein, on the other side.
B. For Breyer, Ginsburg, Souter, and Stevens, especially for
Stevens, who's been exploring this position since he was on the 7th
Circuit, and for Kennedy, who's an enigma in Vieth, more examination of
possible standards should have been expected, and I see no reason why their
explorations should have been entirely verbal. In the reapportionment
cases, "one person, one vote" had no practical bite until the Court backed
into the deviation-from-the-mean operationalization. The justices could
have chosen the coefficient of variation, the Gini Coefficient, or any of
several other measures of inequality, or they could have allowed equal
variation in congressional and state districts, or they could have
explained the rationale for applying different constitutional provisions to
each, or they could have allowed more than 10%, or they could have left the
whole muddle to lower courts. Instead, they adopted two bright-line,
quantitative standards. Why, in Vieth, didn't they at least discuss
quantitative standards that have been proposed to operationalize Davis v.
Bandemer and which have been widely used in lower court cases?
2. The convention in explanations of judges' behavior is that we should
give priority to principle. Justice Thomas would like nothing better than
to overturn the central holding of Brown v. Board of Education; thus, it's
unsurprising that he dissented in Gratz and Grutter. Partisanship,
friendship, the influence of a particular law clerk, etc. are secondary
explanatory factors, which come into play only when principles or
philosophy don't seem to explain a judge's vote or opinion.
A. I should except instances in which two principles
clash. E.g., a justice may deplore a line of cases, but also strongly
believe in stare decisis. Rehnquist has taken such a position in some
recent Miranda cases, stating that Miranda is such settled law that he'll
go along, even though he thinks Miranda should be overturned; he takes the
opposite position in abortion cases, such as Casey. But these are perhaps
close calls, and they may require no special explanation.
B. It's the votes that seem to contradict well-established
judicial positions that cry out for other explanations, such as
partisanship. For O'Connor in Shaw v. Reno, the most obvious
contradictions are in Allen v. Wright on standing and Voinovich v. Quilter
on the sufficiency of the Voting Rights Act as a justification for
race-conscious districting. A serious biographer of O'Connor would also
have great difficulty considering her positions on all of the post-Shaw
racial gerrymandering cases as consistent. Did she believe Shaw v. Reno
was an intent case until Pildes gave her another rationale? Is Miller v.
Johnson consistent with her emphasis on district appearances in Shaw I and
II? Isn't her vote in Cromartie I, as I argued in Colorblind Injustice,
interpretable as a go-ahead to the Republican party to use race as a proxy
for party, as it subsequently did so blatantly in Texas in 2003, cleverly
hidden in an opinion that seemed to help blacks? Note that if NC 12 had
been entirely destroyed, Democrats, though not black Democrats, would have
threatened more Republican districts in North Carolina, so the practical
partisan effect of the decision was probably marginally to help
Republicans. Note further that In Colorblind Injustice, I suggested
partisanship as an explanation ONLY for O'Connor. Race served for the four
others in the Shaw majority.
C. In Larios, Scalia's vote I take to be for hearing the case in
order to overrule it on the grounds that partisanship is a perfectly
acceptable motive. Breyer, Ginsburg, Souter, and Stevens I take to have
been willing to go along with Vieth, but Ginsburg and Souter were risk
averse about providing a fourth vote for cert. The more problematic votes
are O'Connor, Rehnquist, and Thomas, whose position seems so contradictory
to their Vieth stance. For them, partisanship seems like a very reasonable
explanation here. Thus, I try to use partisanship as a scalpel, not a
blunderbuss, as Pildes in effect charges.
D. GA v. Ashcroft is a surprising decision, though after Larios,
it's unclear how much precedential power it retains. The position of the
four dissenters might be summarized as skepticism about moving away from
what they consider a manageable standard -- thus, they can be seen as
consistent with their insistence on such standards in Vieth. It's even
more difficult after Larios than it was after Ashcroft to see a principled
line in the votes of O'Connor, Rehnquist, Scalia, and Thomas. Manageable
standards? Racial motives? Partisan intentions and effects? My head
swirls. Perhaps Pam Karlan or some other person on the list who's quicker
at analysis than I am can offer a consistent explanation for every
justice's votes in Ashcroft, Vieth, and Larios. I invite them to take up
the thread.
Morgan
Prof. of History and Social Science, Caltech
snail mail: 228-77 Caltech, Pasadena, CA 91125
phone 626-395-4080
fax 626-405-9841
home page:
<http://www.hss.caltech.edu/~kousser/Kousser.html> (Newly Revised!)
to order Colorblind Injustice:
http://uncpress.unc.edu/books/T-388.html
"Peace if possible, Justice at any rate" -- Wendell Phillips
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