Here's where "Kerry lost Ohio":

The new suburbs of Cincinnati and Columbus in the counties adjacent to these
cities.  These were the fastest growing parts of the state and they averaged
around 30% vote for Kerry, which is just slightly worse than what Gore did
in 2000.  In the remainder of the state, turnout was up proportionally from
2000 and support for Kerry was about the same as Gore.  Kerry might have
been able to pull it off if he had been able to capitalize on the increased
turnout in the large cities.

In my own state of Virginia, I see the same trend.  The new suburbs farther
out from DC grew, and maintained their solid Republican leanings, which
offset gains for Democrats in Fairfax, the most populous county that went
Democratic for the first time since 1968.

Hopefully, when I get access to the AP feed tomorrow I will be able to do a
more complete U.S. analysis.

==================================
Dr. Michael P. McDonald
Brookings Institution, Visiting Fellow
George Mason University, Assistant Professor
Dept of Public and International Affairs
4400 University Drive - 3F4
Fairfax, VA 22030-4444

Office: 703-993-4191
Fax: 703-993-1399

mmcdon@gmu.edu
http://elections.gmu.edu/