Subject: Thoughts on the Prop. 77 decision
From: Rick Hasen
Date: 2/16/2006, 1:58 PM
To: election-law

http://electionlawblog.org/archives/004954.html

The Prop. 77 Ruling: Some Good News for Those Seeking Clarity and Bad News for Those Worried About Judges Having Too Much Discretion

I have now had a chance to give an initial read to the Supreme Court's 4-3 decision on the Prop. 77 case, a decision that is going to be a very important one for some time to come in regulating initiative-related litigation in California.

First, the good news. At least six of the seven Justices appear to agree on the question of the propriety of pre-election review. (The seventh Justice, Justice Werdegar, would have dismissed the case as moot, but her explanation appears to indicate that she would agree with the other Justices as well). This appears to be the Court's central holding on this point: "[B]ecause the question at issue in such a case is whether the initiative measure has satisfied the constitutional or statutory procedural prerequisites necessary to qualify it for the ballot, it is logical and appropriate for a court to consider such a claim prior to the election, because if the threshold procedural prerequisites have not been satisfied the measure is not entitled to be submitted to the voters. Unlike a challenge to the substantive validity of a proposed measure, it cannot properly be suggested that it would be premature to consider such a claim prior to the election, because the focus of the issue is solely upon whether the measure has qualified for the ballot, and not upon the validity or invalidity of the measure were it to be approved by the voters. Furthermore, once a measure has been placed on the ballot and has been voted upon by the electorate, California decisions have been most reluctant to overturn the results of an election on the basis of a procedural defect that has occurred at the petition-circulation stage of the process, inasmuch as such a defect ordinarily will have no effect on the material that is before the voters or on the fairness or accuracy of the election result." Moreover, "Only when a court is confident that the challenge is meritorious and justifies withholding the measure from the ballot, should a court take the dramatic step of ordering the removal of a measure that ostensibly has obtained a sufficient number of qualified signatures."

Perhaps equally important is this dicta that challenges to the substantive validity of a measure, such as whether in substance it would violate the U.S. or California constitutions, are more appropriate post-election. (See the opinion's footnote 11: "See generally Gordon & Magleby, Pre-Election Judicial Review of Initiatives and Referendums (1989) 64 Notre Dame L.Rev. 298 (concluding that 'it is generally improper for courts to adjudicate pre-election challenges to a measure’s substantive validity' but that 'pre-election review of challenges based on noncompliance with procedural requirements or subject matter limitations is proper')."

Now, what I consider to be the bad news. As I had feared when the California Supreme Court issued its initial order in this case, the Court has now given judges a lot more discretion in deciding whether an initiative should be removed from the ballot when there is not actual compliance with the rules of the statute. The operative test appears to be the following:


The Court rejected a "bright line" rule:

The Court found the argument inconsistent with California precedent.

What is the danger of this approach? Justice Kennard put it well in her concurring and dissenting opinion in footnote 3:


The last sentence is the key. The majority's approach will lead to too much litigation where judges will be called upon to answer difficult questions in a very short time frame. The Court does not answer the questions I raised back in August: Under the new standard "how does one prove that voters were likely to have been misled? How many voters must have been misled before a court should remove a measure from the ballot?" As courts grapple with these questions, there will be ample time for "inappropriate considerations" of the merits of the initiative to creep in, or appear to creep in, to the judges' decisions.
-- 
Rick Hasen 
William H. Hannon Distinguished Professor of Law
Loyola Law School 
919 Albany Street 
Los Angeles, CA  90015-1211 
(213)736-1466 - voice 
(213)380-3769 - fax 
rick.hasen@lls.edu 
http://www.lls.edu/academics/faculty/hasen.html 
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