Subject: who will redraw Texas boundaries?
From: "ban@richardwinger.com" <richardwinger@yahoo.com>
Date: 6/28/2006, 10:06 AM
To: rkgaddie@ou.edu, Michael McDonald
CC: "'election-law'" <election-law@majordomo.lls.edu>
Reply-to:
ban@richardwinger.com

Will the Texas legislature be called into special
session for redistricting, or will the US District
Court redraw the lines?  I guess if anyone knew the
answer to this, now, it would have been in the news
stories.

--- rkgaddie@ou.edu wrote:


---------------------------------

District 23 cannot be redrawn without substantially
affecting district 28.  You'll want to make Webb
County whole in this process. That makes District 28
non-contiguous, so you will have to redraw 25 as well.
District 11 and 21 will also be affected in the
process.  

One alternative is to reinstitute old district 23, and
then look for how the chips fall. I'll be playing with
this today.

You could end up with a district wrapping arouns San
Antonio that is of an indeterminant composition.  The
problem is that you can't keep all the "Slot Cars" in
the valley and also reconstitute old 23. A district
will have to migrate toward San Antonio.

_____________________________ 
Ronald Keith Gaddie 
Professor of Political Science 
The University of Oklahoma 
455 West Lindsey Street, Room 222 
Norman, OK  73019-2001 
Phone 405-325-4989 
Fax 405-325-0718 
E-mail: rkgaddie@ou.edu 
http://faculty-staff.ou.edu/G/Ronald.K.Gaddie-1




----- Original Message -----

From: Michael McDonald <mmcdon@gmu.edu>

Date: Wednesday, June 28, 2006 11:04 am

Subject: RE: Texas case decided



The decision is here (Rick beat me to this): 




http://www.supremecourtus.gov/opinions/05pdf/05-204.pdf




Like I suspect everyone else, I am pouring over the
document.  No 
presumption that mid-decade redistricting is
un-constitutional and 
currentfederal prohibition.  The Court is going to
require that 
the Hispanic 
population of District 23 be increased, that the
current (and then 
new)District 25 was not a substitution for
decreasing the Hispanic 
population of 
District 23.  This map may be useful to some: 



http://www.tlc.state.tx.us/redist/pdf/c1374/map.pdf 



It's not clear that District 23 can be redrawn
without substantively 
affecting District 28, perhaps even to the point of
forcing 
Cuellar (D-28) 
and Bonilla (R-23) to run against one another.   If
that is the 
case, I 
suspect there will be a dramatic reorganization of
the south part 
of Texas 
to make sure that the political damage is minimized.
 Worst case 
scenariofor the Democrats: If the Republicans so
choose, they 
could redistrict the 
entire state, while manipulating the difference
between the 2000 
census and 
current population growth to shore up any
potentially vulnerable 
Republicansand try to upset some Democratic
incumbents; not to 
neglect the Katrina 
victims in Houston that need to be considered.  The
Supreme Court 
has said 
re-redistricting is permissible and since Texas has
to redistrict 
anyway,why not? 





 _____  

From: owner-election-law_gl@majordomo.lls.edu 
[owner-election-law_gl@majordomo.lls.edu] On Behalf
Of Rick Hasen 
Sent: Wednesday, June 28, 2006 10:17 AM 
To: election-law 
Subject: Texas case decided 




Breaking News: Supreme Court Rejects Texas Partisan
Gerrymandering 
Claim;Strikes Down Texas District 24 as Voting
Rights Act Violation 


See this 

<http://www.scotusblog.com/movabletype/archives/2006/06/decisions_4.html>

early report from Lyle Denniston, who says the Court
did not conclude 
whether these cases are non-justiciable. He also
says the court 
rejected a 
challenge to mid-decade redistricting. If Monday is
any guide, it 
may be up 
to an hour before the opinion actually becomes
available in 
electronic form 
to read. As soon as I have a link, I'll post it, and
analysis will 
followonce I've had a chance to read the set of
opinions. 

-- 
Rick Hasen 
William H. Hannon Distinguished Professor of Law 
Loyola Law School 
919 Albany Street 
Los Angeles, CA  90015-1211 
(213)736-1466 - voice 
(213)380-3769 - fax 
rick.hasen@lls.edu 
http://www.lls.edu/academics/faculty/hasen.html 



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