Maine and North Carolina are posting early voting statistics, so I've gone ahead and created a webpage for 2010 early voting statistics. Any tips on early voting numbers from listers, especially the lurking election administrators, are most welcome. Like two years ago, I will use these numbers to forecast turnout, which we will use to set interview rates for the exit polls.

 

What will inevitably attract the most attention is the implication of the partisan registration statistics (where available) on the horse races. These are, of course, very early numbers, and no conclusions may be drawn yet as to what these numbers mean for the 2010 elections. However, there are some tantalizing tidbits, with Republicans out to an early lead in North Carolina and Democrats holding near even with Republicans in Maine.

 

http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2010.html

 

============

Dr. Michael P. McDonald

Associate Professor, George Mason University

Non-Resident Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution

 

                             Mailing address:

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http://elections.gmu.edu     Fairfax, VA 22030-4444