Below is a link to my turnout estimates based on the vote counted to date and the outstanding vote as projected by the Associated Press. There is still some uncertainty to these estimates, especially for the high mail ballot states. I forecasted a turnout rate of 41.3% for those eligible to vote and the estimated turnout so far is 41.4%.  In raw numbers, 90.1 million votes forecasted and 90.2 million votes estimated from actual election results. There is, of course, error among the states that happened to have a mean close to zero.

 

See: http://elections.gmu.edu/Turnout_2010G.html

 

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Dr. Michael P. McDonald

Associate Professor, George Mason University

Non-Resident Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution

 

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