Paul H. Edelman of Vanderbilt University asked me to pass this email
on to the list as he couldn't post for some reason. Questions or
responses should thus go to (or CC) him at
paul.edelman@law.vanderbilt.edu.
-Doug Hess
=-=-=-=-=
Doug,
You are correct that MN was the last seat awarded and that NC
would be next. Also interesting, (at least to me) is that this year
the Hill method (the apportionment method in force since 1941) agrees
with the Hamilton aka Vincent method but they differ from the Webster
method in exactly two states. Under Webster, NC would have gotten its
extra seat and RI would have lost one.
For some reason the election-law list will not let me post. If you
think this is worth passing along, would you post it for me?
Paul H. Edelman
Professor of Mathematics and Law
Vanderbilt University
615-322-0990
Campus Mail: PMB 407818
On Tue, Dec 21, 2010 at 1:29 PM, Doug Hess <douglasrhess@gmail.com> wrote:
With today's data release from Census, I updated an Excel file I
created for a demography class I took five or six years ago. The
worksheets (or tabs) in the Excel file allow users to play with the
Census 2000 and Census 2010 data as well as their own state population
estimates to see how changes in population or in estimates affect the
apportionment of seats for the US House of Representatives (which also
affects, of course, the distribution of Electoral College votes). You
can access this Excel file here:
http://researchforhaiti.typepad.com/blog/2010/12/2010-us-census-apportionment-data-and-calculations.html
Note that it appears to me that MN hung on to the last seat given out
and NC would have recieved the next seat had one more been available
(note that my numbering starts with the seats apportioned based on
population, so add 50 to any number if you want to report the total
number in the US House). I haven't analyzed what the population shift
would have to have been to give it to NC instead of MN, but this file
should allow one to do so.
Comments and corrections welcomed. Please email them to me instead of
leaving comments on the blog the link takes you to, as that blog is
rather moribund (and really has nothing to do with US elections...I
just didn't have another place for this).
Doug Hess
202-277-6400 (cell)
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