Subject: Re: [EL] no party got a majority of vote in 2010 for top-of-ticket races
From: Michael McDonald
Date: 1/12/2011, 9:24 PM
To: "election-law@mailman.lls.edu" <election-law@mailman.lls.edu>

As Seth McKee and I note, the rise of moderate independent candidates such as Crist, Murkowski, and Chafee (whom I suspect are predominantly driving Richard's observation), are nothing new to American politics. We have seen this activity before when the political parties polarize and drive out their moderate members. We published an op-ed in Politico on this topic prior to the election:

 

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1010/43872.html

 

And presented a paper at the Southern Political Science Association conference last weekend.

 

Of course, these candidates could not enjoy their electoral successes if voters could not vote for them.

 

============

Dr. Michael P. McDonald

Associate Professor, George Mason University

Non-Resident Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution

 

                             Mailing address:

(o) 703-993-4191             George Mason University

(f) 703-993-1399             Dept. of Public and International Affairs

mmcdon@gmu.edu               4400 University Drive - 3F4

http://elections.gmu.edu     Fairfax, VA 22030-4444

 

From: election-law-bounces@mailman.lls.edu [mailto:election-law-bounces@mailman.lls.edu] On Behalf Of Richard Winger
Sent: Wednesday, January 12, 2011 10:43 PM
To: election-law@mailman.lls.edu
Subject: [EL] no party got a majority of vote in 2010 for top-of-ticket races

 

Calculating the national Nov. 2010 vote, using the office at the top of the ticket in each state (Governor in most states; US Senate in states with no gubernatorial races; and US House in the 4 states that had neither Governor nor Senator), gets these results:

Republican 48.40%
Democratic 46.10%
all others 5.50%

That is the highest "other" vote for a midterm year, for the office at the top of the ballot, since 1934.  And it doesn't include the tens of thousands of recorded write-in votes.