[EL] The numbers don't lie

Mon Jun 11 11:14:27 PDT 2012

Even before Citizens United, campaign contribution limits had spawned a
runaway world of independent expenditures. Nothing illustrates that better
than California’s experience before, during and after passage of two
contribution limiting measures.

Larry Levine

From: law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu
[mailto:law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu] On Behalf Of Rick
Hasen
Sent: Monday, June 11, 2012 11:09 AM
To: Smith, Brad
Cc: law-election at uci.edu
Subject: Re: [EL] The numbers don't lie

In the Slate piece
<http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2012/03/the_suprem
e_court_s_citizens_united_decision_has_led_to_an_explosion_of_campaign_spend
ing_.html>  and below, I talk about how the explosion in outside money stems
directly and indirectly from Citizens United.

A couple of quotes from the DC Circuit opinion in SpeechNow makes it clear
that the result flows from SpeechNow:

"Thereafter, the Supreme Court decided Citizens United v. FEC, 130 S. Ct.
876 (2010), which resolves this appeal. In accordance
with that decision, we hold that the contribution limits of 2 U.S.C. §
441a(a)(1)(C) and 441a(a)(3) are unconstitutional as applied to individuals’
contributions to SpeechNow."

"Because of the Supreme Court’s recent decision in Citizens United v. FEC,
the analysis is straightforward. There, the Court held that the government
has no anti-corruption interest in limiting independent expenditures."

"Whatever the merits of those arguments before Citizens United, they plainly
have no merit after Citizens United."

"Given this analysis from Citizens United, we must conclude that the
government has no anti-corruption interest in limiting contributions to an
independent expenditure group such as
SpeechNow."

In sum, before Citizens United, the constitutional question in SpeechNow was
contested and uncertain.  After Citizens United, the Court held the
constitutional result in SpeechNow clearly flowed from Citizens United.

On 6/11/12 10:37 AM, Smith, Brad wrote:

Actually, it's SpeechNow that created "Super PACs." And we're damn proud of
it. 

Bradley A. Smith

Josiah H. Blackmore II/Shirley M. Nault

   Professor of Law

Capital University Law School

303 E. Broad St.

Columbus, OH 43215

614.236.6317

http://law.capital.edu/faculty/bios/bsmith.aspx

  _____  

From: law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu
[law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu] on behalf of Rick Hasen
[rhasen at law.uci.edu]
Sent: Monday, June 11, 2012 10:40 AM
To: law-election at uci.edu
Subject: [EL] ELB News and Commentary 6/11/12

 <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35532> “Campaign Finance: The Nonprofit
World’s New Weapon” 

Posted on  <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35532> June 11, 2012 7:36 am by
Rick Hasen <http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>  

Eliza Newlin Carney reports
<http://www.rollcall.com/features/Outlook_June/outlook/-215183-1.html> for
Roll Call, part of a special series, The State of K Street
<http://www.rollcall.com/outlooks/stateofkstreet.html> .

<http://www.addtoany.com/share_save#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%
3Fp%3D35532&title=%E2%80%9CCampaign%20Finance%3A%20The%20Nonprofit%20World%E
2%80%99s%20New%20Weapon%E2%80%9D&description=> Share

Posted in campaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10> , lobbying
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=28>  | Comments Off 

 <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35530> “Outside Spending: The Big Picture
(So Far)” 

Posted on  <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35530> June 11, 2012 7:34 am by
Rick Hasen <http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>  

Bob Biersack crunches the data
<http://www.opensecrets.org/news/2012/06/outside-spending---the-big-picture.
html> in a must-read post at Open Secrets.  It includes the following chart
on outside money:

outside_april.JPG

This shows a continuation of that the trends I discussed in my Slate piece,
<http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2012/03/the_suprem
e_court_s_citizens_united_decision_has_led_to_an_explosion_of_campaign_spend
ing_.html> “The Numbers Don’t Lie: If you aren’t sure Citizens United gave
rise to the Super PACs, just follow the money,  I used the same data from
the Center for Responsive Politics.

The data are important in showing the indirect effects of the Citizens
United ruling and subsequent court and FEC decisions.

<http://www.addtoany.com/share_save#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%
3Fp%3D35530&title=%E2%80%9COutside%20Spending%3A%20The%20Big%20Picture%20%28
So%20Far%29%E2%80%9D&description=> Share

Posted in campaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>  | Comments
Off 

 <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35527> “Political Consultants, Media Buyers
Gorge On Secret Honey Pot” 

Posted on  <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35527> June 11, 2012 7:29 am by
Rick Hasen <http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>  

HuffPo reports.
<http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/06/09/political-consultants-media-buyers
-secret_n_1582301.html?ref=tw> 

<http://www.addtoany.com/share_save#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%
3Fp%3D35527&title=%E2%80%9CPolitical%20Consultants%2C%20Media%20Buyers%20Gor
ge%20On%20Secret%20Honey%20Pot%E2%80%9D&description=> Share

Posted in campaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10> , campaigns
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=59>  | Comments Off 

 <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35524> “Mr. Romney’s secret bundlers” 

Posted on  <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35524> June 11, 2012 7:20 am by
Rick Hasen <http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>  

WaPo editorial
<http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/mr-romneys-secret-bundlers/2012/06/0
9/gJQAkAqkQV_story.html> .

<http://www.addtoany.com/share_save#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%
3Fp%3D35524&title=%E2%80%9CMr.%20Romney%E2%80%99s%20secret%20bundlers%E2%80%
9D&description=> Share

Posted in campaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>  | Comments
Off 

 <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35521> “Obama-Allied Super-Pac Joins Union
in Spanish Romney Ads” 

Posted on  <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35521> June 11, 2012 7:16 am by
Rick Hasen <http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>  

Bloomberg reports.
<http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-11/obama-allied-super-pac-joins-union
-in-spanish-romney-ads.html> 

<http://www.addtoany.com/share_save#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%
3Fp%3D35521&title=%E2%80%9CObama-Allied%20Super-Pac%20Joins%20Union%20in%20S
panish%20Romney%20Ads%E2%80%9D&description=> Share

Posted in campaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>  | Comments
Off 

 <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35518> “Florida’s Voter Harassment Campaign”

Posted on  <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35518> June 11, 2012 7:12 am by
Rick Hasen <http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>  

Bloomberg View offers this editorial
<http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-10/-election-fraud-is-just-another-wa
y-of-playing-hardball.html> .

<http://www.addtoany.com/share_save#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%
3Fp%3D35518&title=%E2%80%9CFlorida%E2%80%99s%20Voter%20Harassment%20Campaign
%E2%80%9D&description=> Share

Posted in election administration <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18> , The
Voting Wars <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=60>  | Comments Off 

 <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35515> ” A Critic at Large: Benched; The
Supreme Court and the struggle for judicial independence” 

Posted on  <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35515> June 11, 2012 7:10 am by
Rick Hasen <http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>  

Jill LePore has written this New Yorker piece
<http://www.newyorker.com/arts/critics/atlarge/2012/06/18/120618crat_atlarge
_lepore?currentPage=all> , with the subhead “Obamacare, Citizens United, and
Judicial Independence.”

<http://www.addtoany.com/share_save#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%
3Fp%3D35515&title=%E2%80%9D%20A%20Critic%20at%20Large%3A%20Benched%3B%20The%
20Supreme%20Court%20and%20the%20struggle%20for%20judicial%20independence%E2%
80%9D&description=> Share

Posted in campaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10> , Supreme
Court <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=29>  | Comments Off 

 <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35512> “The Scales of Intimidation; Does the
Supreme Court feel threatened, intimidated, or harassed by the press?” 

Posted on  <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35512> June 11, 2012 7:05 am by
Rick Hasen <http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>  

Dahlia Lithwick has written this jurisprudence essay
<http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/jurisprudence/2012/06/do_th
e_justices_feel_intimidated_by_the_media_s_scrutiny_of_their_decisions_and_c
onduct_.html> for Slate.  It expands on an aspect of my Speech, No
Consequences  <http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0512/76919.html> oped in
Politico last week.

<http://www.addtoany.com/share_save#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%
3Fp%3D35512&title=%E2%80%9CThe%20Scales%20of%20Intimidation%3B%20Does%20the%
20Supreme%20Court%20feel%20threatened%2C%20intimidated%2C%20or%20harassed%20
by%20the%20press%3F%E2%80%9D&description=> Share

Posted in Supreme Court <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=29>  | Comments Off

 <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35509> “In a world of super PACs, Mitt
Romney rules; Allies moved fastest to exploit new system” 

Posted on  <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35509> June 10, 2012 8:35 pm by
Rick Hasen <http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>  

The Boston Globe offers this must-read report.
<http://www.bostonglobe.com/news/nation/2012/06/09/world-super-pacs-mitt-rom
ney-rules/3b7reioa7a8ABAXuKgP8ZO/story.html> 

<http://www.addtoany.com/share_save#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%
3Fp%3D35509&title=%E2%80%9CIn%20a%20world%20of%20super%20PACs%2C%20Mitt%20Ro
mney%20rules%3B%20Allies%20moved%20fastest%20to%20exploit%20new%20system%E2%
80%9D&description=> Share

Posted in campaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>  | Comments
Off 

 <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35506> “Interfering with Voting Rights” 

Posted on  <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35506> June 10, 2012 8:24 pm by
Rick Hasen <http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>  

WaPo editorial
<http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/interfering-with-voting-rights/2012/
06/10/gJQAHh9ATV_story.html> : “FLORIDA IS one of a number of states to have
recently imposed ill-considered restrictions on voting rights, as it
interferes with efforts to register new voters and seeks to purge
non-citizens from state voting rolls.”

<http://www.addtoany.com/share_save#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%
3Fp%3D35506&title=%E2%80%9CInterfering%20with%20Voting%20Rights%E2%80%9D&des
cription=> Share

Posted in election administration <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18> ,
NVRA (motor voter) <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=33> , The Voting Wars
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=60>  | Comments Off 

 <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35503> “Latino Growth Not Fully Felt at
Voting Booth” 

Posted on  <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35503> June 10, 2012 8:22 pm by
Rick Hasen <http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>  

NYT:
<http://www.nytimes.com/2012/06/10/us/politics/latino-growth-not-fully-felt-
at-voting-booth.html?_r=1&ref=politics>  “The nation’s rapidly growing
Latino population is one of the most powerful forces working in President
Obama
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/o/barack_obama/i
ndex.html?inline=nyt-per> ’s favor in many of the states that will determine
his contest with Mitt Romney
<http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/primaries/candidates/mitt-romney?inline=n
yt-per> . But Latinos are not registering or voting in numbers that fully
reflect their potential strength, leaving Hispanic leaders frustrated and
Democrats worried as they increase efforts to rally Latino support.”

See also While Seeking Support, Obama Faces a Frustrated Hispanic
Electorate.
<http://www.nytimes.com/2012/06/11/us/politics/obama-faces-a-frustrated-hisp
anic-electorate.html?ref=politics> 

<http://www.addtoany.com/share_save#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%
3Fp%3D35503&title=%E2%80%9CLatino%20Growth%20Not%20Fully%20Felt%20at%20Votin
g%20Booth%E2%80%9D&description=> Share

Posted in campaigns <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=59>  | Comments Off 

 <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35500> “Friends and family plan: Super PACs
often personal campaign fundraising affairs” 

Posted on  <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35500> June 10, 2012 8:17 pm by
Rick Hasen <http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>  

WaPo
<http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/friends-and-family-plan-super-pacs-o
ften-personal-campaign-fundraising-affairs/2012/06/10/gJQAi8hLTV_story.html>
: “The Committee to Elect an Effective Valley Congressman has one particular
congressman in mind: Howard L. Berman
<http://projects.washingtonpost.com/congress/members/B000410> , a 15-term
California Democrat who is struggling to hold on to his redistricted San
Fernando Valley seat. The political fundraising committee is essentially the
creation of one man trying to keep a close friend and political ally in
office.”

<http://www.addtoany.com/share_save#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%
3Fp%3D35500&title=%E2%80%9CFriends%20and%20family%20plan%3A%20Super%20PACs%2
0often%20personal%20campaign%20fundraising%20affairs%E2%80%9D&description=>
Share

Posted in campaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>  | Comments
Off 

 <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35497> “Politics 2012: Picture proving you
are who you say you are at the polling place” 

Posted on  <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35497> June 10, 2012 8:13 pm by
Rick Hasen <http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>  

UPI reports
<http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2012/06/10/Politics-2012-Picture-proving-you
-are-who-you-say-you-are-at-the-polling-place/UPI-69921339315260/> .

<http://www.addtoany.com/share_save#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%
3Fp%3D35497&title=%E2%80%9CPolitics%202012%3A%20Picture%20proving%20you%20ar
e%20who%20you%20say%20you%20are%20at%20the%20polling%20place%E2%80%9D&descri
ption=> Share

Posted in campaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>  | Comments
Off 

 <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35494> “Michael McConnell: Citizens United
and the Wisconsin Vote” 

Posted on  <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35494> June 10, 2012 8:11 pm by
Rick Hasen <http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>  

See this WSJ oped
<http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303753904577452500665661454.h
tml?mod=googlenews_wsj> .

<http://www.addtoany.com/share_save#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%
3Fp%3D35494&title=%E2%80%9CMichael%20McConnell%3A%20Citizens%20United%20and%
20the%20Wisconsin%20Vote%E2%80%9D&description=> Share

Posted in campaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>  | Comments
Off 

 <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35491> “Firm’s niche: Lobbying for federal
judges” 

Posted on  <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35491> June 10, 2012 8:02 pm by
Rick Hasen <http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>  

WaPo reports
<http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/capitalbusiness/young-firm-specializ
es-in-the-business-of-lobbying-for-federal-judges/2012/06/08/gJQATGSNTV_stor
y.html> .

<http://www.addtoany.com/share_save#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%
3Fp%3D35491&title=%E2%80%9CFirm%E2%80%99s%20niche%3A%20Lobbying%20for%20fede
ral%20judges%E2%80%9D&description=> Share

Posted in lobbying <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=28>  | Comments Off 

 <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35488> “Bill Lockyer: SEC should require
full disclosure of corporate political spending” 

Posted on  <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35488> June 10, 2012 8:00 pm by
Rick Hasen <http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>  

See here
<http://www.insidebayarea.com/breaking-news/ci_20823088/bill-lockyer-sec-sho
uld-require-full-disclosure-corporate?refresh> .

<http://www.addtoany.com/share_save#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%
3Fp%3D35488&title=%E2%80%9CBill%20Lockyer%3A%20SEC%20should%20require%20full
%20disclosure%20of%20corporate%20political%20spending%E2%80%9D&description=>
Share

Posted in campaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>  | Comments
Off 

 <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35485> “Shareholder Activism Focused on
Political Spending and Lobbying” 

Posted on  <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35485> June 10, 2012 7:58 pm by
Rick Hasen <http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>  

James R. Copland blogs.
<http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/corpgov/2012/06/10/shareholder-activism-focuse
d-on-political-spending-and-lobbying/> 

<http://www.addtoany.com/share_save#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%
3Fp%3D35485&title=%E2%80%9CShareholder%20Activism%20Focused%20on%20Political
%20Spending%20and%20Lobbying%E2%80%9D&description=> Share

Posted in campaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>  | Comments
Off 

 <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35483> “Nine is Not Enough, or
Nonparticipatory Democracy” 

Posted on  <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35483> June 10, 2012 7:56 pm by
Rick Hasen <http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>  

Hendrik Hertzberg
<http://www.newyorker.com/online/blogs/hendrikhertzberg/2012/06/nine-is-not-
enough-or-nonparticipatory-democracy.html> : 

npv-flag-465.jpg

There ought to be a special U.S. flag for use in Presidential election
years. Forget those fifty stars, all crowed into a corner like swine in a
feedlot. Three rows, three big stars per row. There, that’s the ticket.

<http://www.addtoany.com/share_save#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%
3Fp%3D35483&title=%E2%80%9CNine%20is%20Not%20Enough%2C%20or%20Nonparticipato
ry%20Democracy%E2%80%9D&description=> Share

Posted in alternative voting systems <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=63>  |
Comments Off 

 <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35481> “15 races are still unresolved after
Tuesday’s primary” 

Posted on  <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35481> June 9, 2012 10:19 am by
Rick Hasen <http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>  

The LA Times offers this report,
<http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-election-20120609,0,6881141.story>
with the subhead: “In most of the undecided candidate contests, it’s not yet
clear who finished second — a crucial position in the state’s new ‘top-two’
elections system.”

<http://www.addtoany.com/share_save#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%
3Fp%3D35481&title=%E2%80%9C15%20races%20are%20still%20unresolved%20after%20T
uesday%E2%80%99s%20primary%E2%80%9D&description=> Share

Posted in election administration <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18> ,
political parties <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=25> , primaries
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=32>  | Comments Off 

Interesting New Super PAC <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35478>  

Posted on  <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35478> June 9, 2012 10:12 am by
Rick Hasen <http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>  

Frank Bruni
<http://www.nytimes.com/2012/06/10/opinion/sunday/the-gops-gay-trajectory.ht
ml?hp> : “Now, [Paul] Singer says, he’s providing $1 million to start a new
“super PAC” with several Republican compatriots. Named American Unity PAC,
its sole mission will be to encourage Republican candidates to support
same-sex marriage, in part by helping them to feel financially shielded from
any blowback from well-funded groups that oppose it. “

<http://www.addtoany.com/share_save#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%
3Fp%3D35478&title=Interesting%20New%20Super%20PAC&description=> Share

Posted in campaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>  | Comments
Off 

 <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35476> “After Edwards Trial, Much Returns to
Normal, but Not All Is Set” 

Posted on  <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=35476> June 9, 2012 10:10 am by
Rick Hasen <http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>  

NYT reports
<http://www.nytimes.com/2012/06/09/us/after-john-edwards-case-much-returns-t
o-normal.html?_r=1&ref=politics> .

<http://www.addtoany.com/share_save#url=http%3A%2F%2Felectionlawblog.org%2F%
3Fp%3D35476&title=%E2%80%9CAfter%20Edwards%20Trial%2C%20Much%20Returns%20to%
20Normal%2C%20but%20Not%20All%20Is%20Set%E2%80%9D&description=> Share

Posted in campaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10> , chicanery
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=12> , John Edwards
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=17>  | Comments Off 

-- 
Rick Hasen
Chancellor's Professor of Law and Political Science
UC Irvine School of Law
401 E. Peltason Dr., Suite 1000
Irvine, CA 92697-8000
949.824.3072 - office
949.824.0495 - fax
rhasen at law.uci.edu
http://law.uci.edu/faculty/page1_r_hasen.html
http://electionlawblog.org
Pre-order The Voting Wars: http://amzn.to/y22ZTv 

_______________________________________________
Law-election mailing list
Law-election at department-lists.uci.edu
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-- 
Rick Hasen
Chancellor's Professor of Law and Political Science
UC Irvine School of Law
401 E. Peltason Dr., Suite 1000
Irvine, CA 92697-8000
949.824.3072 - office
949.824.0495 - fax
rhasen at law.uci.edu
http://law.uci.edu/faculty/page1_r_hasen.html
http://electionlawblog.org
Pre-order The Voting Wars: http://amzn.to/y22ZTv 

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