[EL] popular and electoral vote counts; turnout down in 2012

Rob Richie rr at fairvote.org
Wed Nov 7 10:08:05 PST 2012


Most of the rest of the votes to be counted are going to lean Obama. In
2008, for example,Obama led McCain by 7.2 million the day after the
election and ultimately won by about 9.5 million. So it wouldn't surprise
me if Obama ended up winning by more than four million votes. He'll win
more than 50%.

Rob Richie

############

On Wed, Nov 7, 2012 at 1:00 PM, Richard Winger <richardwinger at yahoo.com>wrote:

> Final totals will probably be at least 5% higher than the totals we have
> now.  Chances are high that the number of people who voted in November 2012
> will be a larger number than the number of voters who voted in November
> 2008.  But the percentage of the potential electorate will probably be
> lower in 2012 than in 2008.
>
> It's not clear yet if Obama got as much as 50% of the national popular
> vote for president.
>
> Richard Winger
> 415-922-9779
> PO Box 470296, San Francisco Ca 94147
>
> --- On *Wed, 11/7/12, Mark Rush <markrush7983 at gmail.com>* wrote:
>
>
> From: Mark Rush <markrush7983 at gmail.com>
> Subject: [EL] popular and electoral vote counts; turnout down in 2012
> To: "law-election at UCI.edu" <law-election at uci.edu>
> Date: Wednesday, November 7, 2012, 9:41 AM
>
>
> Interesting points.
>
> Obama's margin over Romney is about the same as Bush over Kerry in 2004.
> Only difference is the electoral college.
>
> Obama dropped from 66 million votes in 2008 to 60 million in 2012.  The
> GOP vote, at last count that I saw, is down about a million.
>
> This is a reason to celebrate...barely.
>
> --
> Mark Rush
>
> -----Inline Attachment Follows-----
>
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