[EL] 2012 first time since 1952 when US House popular vote majority ends up as minority

Tue Nov 13 07:19:31 PST 2012

The conventional wisdom about the results of the election is now hardened
(or hardening) and numbers are being crunched such as those for California
races below, and yet nearly a week out from the conclusion of the election,
*California alone has* *over 3.334 MILLION ballots left to count*, per the
official reporting of the California Secretary of State. See
http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/2012-elections/nov-general/pdf/unprocessed-ballots-report.pdf

Paul Lehto, J.D.

On Mon, Nov 12, 2012 at 5:14 PM, Aaron Blake <blakea at washpost.com> wrote:

> The Fix has crunched the numbers on that.
>
> If you take out those California races that weren't a Dem vs. a
> Republican, Democrats still led 48.75 percent to 48.41 percent.
>
>
> http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2012/11/12/in-1996-house-democrats-also-won-the-popular-vote-but-remained-in-the-minority/
>
>
>
> On Mon, Nov 12, 2012 at 5:04 PM, Derek Muller <derek.muller at gmail.com>wrote:
>
>> How might the California top-two system affect this analysis, if at all?
>> That is, there were (I believe) six California races in which there were
>> two Democratic candidates on the ballot, and just two in which there were
>> two Republican candidates on the ballot. (There were also a few races in
>> which an independent ran alongside a major party candidate.) It strikes me
>> that this would distort the historical comparative value of the popular
>> vote for the parties.
>>
>> Best,
>>
>> Derek
>>
>> Derek T. Muller
>>
>> Associate Professor of Law
>>
>> Pepperdine University School of Law
>>
>> 24255 Pacific Coast Hwy.
>>
>> Malibu, CA 90263
>>
>> +1 310-506-7058
>>
>> SSRN Author Page: http://ssrn.com/author=464341
>>
>> On Mon, Nov 12, 2012 at 12:08 PM, Smith, Brad <BSmith at law.capital.edu>wrote:
>>
>>> Must have National Popular Vote!
>>>
>>>
>>> Bradley A. Smith
>>>
>>> Josiah H. Blackmore II/Shirley M. Nault
>>>
>>>    Professor of Law
>>>
>>> Capital University Law School
>>>
>>> 303 E. Broad St.
>>>
>>> Columbus, OH 43215
>>>
>>> 614.236.6317
>>>
>>> http://law.capital.edu/faculty/bios/bsmith.aspx
>>>
>>> ________________________________________
>>> From: law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu [
>>> law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu] on behalf of Michael
>>> McDonald [mmcdon at gmu.edu]
>>> Sent: Monday, November 12, 2012 3:03 PM
>>> To: law-election at uci.edu
>>> Subject: Re: [EL] 2012 first time since 1952 when US House popular vote
>>> majority        ends up as minority
>>>
>>> Clearly, friends should not let friends type and talk on the phone:
>>>
>>> Here is the correct 1996 link:
>>>
>>> http://clerk.house.gov/member_info/electionInfo/1996election.pdf
>>>
>>> Sorry for the clutter.
>>>
>>> ============
>>> Dr. Michael P. McDonald
>>> Associate Professor
>>> George Mason University
>>> 4400 University Drive - 3F4
>>> Fairfax, VA 22030-4444
>>>
>>> 703-993-4191 (office)
>>> e-mail:  mmcdon at gmu.edu
>>> web:     http://elections.gmu.edu
>>> twitter: @ElectProject
>>>
>>> -----Original Message-----
>>> From: law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu
>>> [mailto:law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu] On Behalf Of
>>> Michael
>>> McDonald
>>> Sent: Monday, November 12, 2012 2:42 PM
>>> To: law-election at uci.edu
>>> Subject: Re: [EL] 2012 first time since 1952 when US House popular vote
>>> majority ends up as minority
>>>
>>> Of course, that was 2006 that I sent out. Only a decade off!
>>>
>>> Here is the 1996 numbers (p.83 of the pdf)
>>>
>>> http://clerk.house.gov/member_info/electionInfo/2006election.pdf
>>>
>>> Democrats received 43.4 million to the Republicans' 43.1 million.
>>>
>>> ============
>>> Dr. Michael P. McDonald
>>> Associate Professor
>>> George Mason University
>>> 4400 University Drive - 3F4
>>> Fairfax, VA 22030-4444
>>>
>>> 703-993-4191 (office)
>>> e-mail:  mmcdon at gmu.edu
>>> web:     http://elections.gmu.edu
>>> twitter: @ElectProject
>>>
>>> From: law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu
>>> [mailto:law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu] On Behalf Of
>>> Richard
>>> Winger
>>> Sent: Monday, November 12, 2012 2:26 PM
>>> To: law-election at uci.edu
>>> Subject: [EL] 2012 first time since 1952 when US House popular vote
>>> majority
>>> ends up as minority
>>>
>>>
>>> http://www.ballot-access.org/2012/11/12/only-four-u-s-house-elections-in-the
>>>
>>> -last-hundred-years-gave-one-party-a-house-majority-even-though-the-other-ma
>>> jor-party-polled-more-votes-for-u-s-house/<http://www.ballot-access.org/2012/11/12/only-four-u-s-house-elections-in-the-last-hundred-years-gave-one-party-a-house-majority-even-though-the-other-major-party-polled-more-votes-for-u-s-house/>
>>>
>>> Richard Winger
>>> 415-922-9779
>>> PO Box 470296, San Francisco Ca 94147
>>>
>>>
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>>
>>
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>
>
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-- 
Paul R Lehto, J.D.
P.O. Box 1
Ishpeming, MI  49849
lehto.paul at gmail.com
906-204-4965 (cell)
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