[EL] Estimating Partisan Bias of the Electoral College Under Proposed Changes in Elector Apportionment

[Doug Hess]

I'm not sure if this was posted on the blog:

"Estimating Partisan Bias of the Electoral College Under Proposed Changes
in Elector Apportionment"
Statistics, Politics and Policy. Volume 4, Issue 1, Pages 1–13, ISSN
(Online) 2151-7509, ISSN (Print) 2194-6299, DOI: 10.1515/spp-2012-0001,
January 2013

http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/spp.2013.4.issue-1/spp-2012-0001/spp-2012-0001.xml

Thomas, A. C. / Gelman, Andrew / King, Gary / Katz, Jonathan N.

"Abstract:  In the election for President of the United States, the
Electoral College is the body whose members vote to elect the President
directly. Each state sends a number of delegates equal to its total number
of representatives and senators in Congress; all but two states (Nebraska
and Maine) assign electors pledged to the candidate that wins the state’s
plurality vote. We investigate the effect on presidential elections if
states were to assign their electoral votes according to results in each
congressional district, and conclude that the direct popular vote and the
current electoral college are both substantially fairer compared to those
alternatives where states would have divided their electoral votes by
congressional district."

Douglas R. Hess, PhD
Washington, DC
ph. 202-277-6400
douglasrhess at gmail.com

Starting Aug. 2013:

Assistant Professor
Department of Political Science
Grinnell College
1210 Park Street
Grinnell, IA 50112-1670
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