[EL] North Carolina Elections

[Even, Jeff (ATG)]

Ditto to Justin on this one.  Allegations about illegal voting based on name and dob matches are notorious for being wrong, to the point that it's frankly irresponsible to even pass them along, except to law enforcement, until they've been much more thoroughly vetted than a mere name and dob match.

From: law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu [mailto:law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu] On Behalf Of Justin Levitt
Sent: Wednesday, April 02, 2014 4:40 PM
To: law-election at department-lists.uci.edu
Subject: Re: [EL] North Carolina Elections

"National Review Online has a story re: approx 35 K instances of double voting in North Carolina."

No, it doesn't.

National Review Online has a headline<http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/374882/nc-state-board-finds-more-35k-incidents-double-voting-2012-andrew-johnson> re: approx 35 K instances of double voting in North Carolina.
National Review Online has a story re: approx 35 K instances of North Carolina voters who apparently share the same first name, last name, and date of birth with voters in other states.

In order to tell the difference between the two, you need to know:

  *   Whether there were any data entry errors by NC pollworkers, in noting the individuals who voted,
  *   Whether there were any data entry errors by other states' pollworkers, in noting the individuals who voted, and
  *   Statistics<http://ssrn.com/abstract=997888>.

Turns out that if you actually run the numbers, there are a lot of people who share the same name and birthdate.  Or, if you prefer anecdote to math, just ask Florida Governor Richard Scott<http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2012/06/15/152432/florida-voter-roll-listed-gov.html>.

I would be very interested indeed in how many of the 35 K alleged double voters are the results of mistakes or mistaken assumptions.  And I mean that.  I hope that there's real follow-up.

And if there is, I'm going to bet<http://www.brennancenter.org/sites/default/files/analysis/The%20Truth%20About%20Voter%20Fraud.pdf> on the vast majority evaporating upon closer scrutiny.  Remember the reports of 900 dead voters<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=27864> in South Carolina?  How'd that turn out<http://www.thestate.com/2013/07/13/2860754/the-buzz-sc-shocker-the-dead-are.html>?

--

Justin Levitt

Associate Professor of Law

Loyola Law School | Los Angeles

919 Albany St.

Los Angeles, CA  90015

213-736-7417

justin.levitt at lls.edu<mailto:justin.levitt at lls.edu>

ssrn.com/author=698321
On 4/2/2014 4:13 PM, Steve Hoersting wrote:

National Review Online has a story re: approx 35 K instances of double voting in North Carolina.

I'd supply a link, but this message is

Sent from my phone.




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