[EL] more news 10/19/15

Mon Oct 19 14:22:03 PDT 2015

    Justice Kennedy Denies Stay in Montana Political Disclosure Case
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=76836>

Posted onOctober 19, 2015 2:20 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=76836>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

And hedid not even request a respons 
<http://www.supremecourt.gov/search.aspx?filename=/docketfiles/15a398.htm>e 
or refer the matter to the entire Court.

Say what you want about the Court and limits (and I say a lot), but this 
is a Court majority not interested in chipping away constitutionally at 
strong campaign disclosure rules.

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Posted incampaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>

    Federal Court Denies Partial Relief in Wisconsin Voter ID Case
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=76834>

Posted onOctober 19, 2015 2:18 pm 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=76834>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

ACLU 
<http://aclu-wi.org/media/aclu-comment-wisconsin-voter-ballot-access-decision>:

    A federal district court todayrejected a reques
    <https://www.aclu.org/legal-document/frank-v-walker-decision-and-order>t
    to increase access to the ballot for Wisconsin voters. The American
    Civil Liberties Union sought to expand the list of acceptable
    identification to include IDs for veterans and students attending
    technical colleges, as well as out-of-state driver’s licenses.

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Posted inelection administration 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18>,The Voting Wars 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=60>,voter id 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=9>,Voting Rights Act 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=15>

    “‘One person, one vote’ isn’t broken, and the Supreme Court
    shouldn’t fix it.” <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=76832>

Posted onOctober 19, 2015 10:23 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=76832>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Nate Persily 
<http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/in-theory/wp/2015/10/19/theres-nothing-conservative-about-destabilizing-our-election-system/>in 
WaPo, part of an Evenwel symposium:

    In the end, the/Evenwel/appellants are asking the court to change
    the constitutional rules of the game just as Latinos are advancing
    down the field. Almost without exception, states have been drawing
    districts on the basis of total population rather than voter
    population since the “one person, one vote” rule was invented. Only
    now, when the political winners may change, do they claim that the
    Constitution means something so different that states should not
    even be permitted to follow time-honored practice.

    The court should reject the/Evenwel/argument because it is
    unprecedented and destabilizing to the redistricting process. But it
    should also send a message that this attempt to use the judicial
    process to change the rules of political competition for an emerging
    minority will be rejected out of hand.

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Posted inredistricting <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=6>,Supreme Court 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=29>

    “Campaign Receipts Down from 2007 – Can Super PACs Make Up the
    Difference?” <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=76830>

Posted onOctober 19, 2015 9:53 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=76830>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

CFI: 
<http://www.cfinst.org/Press/PReleases/15-10-19/Campaign_Receipts_Down_from_2007_%E2%80%93_Can_Super_PACs_Make_Up_the_Difference.aspx>

    Fundraising by presidential campaign committees, both Democrat and
    Republican are significantly behind 2007 levels, which was the last
    time there was an open race for the Presidency. By thethird quarter
    in 2007
    <http://www.cfinst.org/pdf/federal/president/2012/Pres12_Q3_Table1.pdf>all
    candidates for president has raised a combined $420 million dollars,
    $245 million for Democrats and $175 million for Republicans. This
    year the combined total is $273 million, 35% down from eight years
    ago (see/Table 1/
    <http://www.cfinst.org/pdf/federal/president/2016/Pres16_Q3_Table1.pdf>).

    If we were to add in the money we know has gone into Super PACs
    supporting candidates this gap would be easily made up. Although
    Super PACs won’t report activity for the second half of the year
    until January, Super PACs supporting presidential candidates
    reported raising over $240 million dollars as ofJune 30th
    <http://www.cfinst.org/Press/PReleases/15-08-24/Presidential_Fundraising_New_CFI_Table_Arrays_the_Sources_of_Candidates%E2%80%99_Early_Money.aspx>.
    However, the Super PAC money comes with some question marks. We know
    from 2012 that Super PACs can purchase effective media ads. It
    remains to be seen whether they can make up for deficits in a
    campaign’s core staff operations. Two candidates, Scott Walker and
    Rick Perry, have already withdrawn from the campaign despite the
    money raised by each of their supportive Super PACs.

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Posted incampaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>,campaigns 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=59>

    “Hillary Clinton: Alabama remains front line of voting rights
    battle” <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=76828>

Posted onOctober 19, 2015 9:52 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=76828>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Hillary Clinton 
oped<http://www.al.com/opinion/index.ssf/2015/10/hillary_clinton_alabama_remain.html>at 
Al.com:

    First, Congress should put principle ahead of politics and pass the
    Voting Rights Advancement Act.  This bipartisan bill would restore
    the full protections of the Voting Rights Act.

    Second, we should set a standard across this country of at least 20
    days of early, in-person voting—including opportunities for weekend
    and evening voting.

    Third, we should enact universal, automatic voter registration, so
    every young person in every state is automatically registered to
    vote when they turn 18, unless they opt out.  I applaud California
    for beginning to implement a similar approach last week.  More
    states should follow their lead.

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Posted inelection administration 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18>,The Voting Wars 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=60>

    “New Filing Shows Largest 3.7% of Donors Account for Half of
    Campaign Funds” <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=76826>

Posted onOctober 19, 2015 9:51 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=76826>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

U.S. PIRG 
<http://uspirg.org/news/usp/new-filing-shows-largest-37-donors-account-half-campaign-funds>:

    On Thursday, the Federal Election Commission (FEC) published
    quarterly fundraising reports for the presidential race. The new
    data shows that donors giving more than $1,000, who account for 3.7
    percent of all contributors, currently provide for more than half of
    all direct fundraising in the election. If a small donor empowerment
    program were in place, like that proposed in the Government by the
    People Act (H.R. 20), analysis by U.S. PIRG Education Fund reveals
    that the same top donors would represent only nine percent of total
    fundraising, while contributors currently giving $200 or less would
    account for more than 79 percent of all direct campaign fundraising.

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Posted incampaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>,campaigns 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=59>

    “Dismantling GAB Weakens Government”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=76824>

Posted onOctober 19, 2015 9:49 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=76824>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Milwaukee Journal Sentinel editorial 
<http://www.jsonline.com/news/opinion/dismantling-gab-weakens-government-b99598021z1-333380841.html>:

    t appears the state Assembly will take up this week the bill aimed
    at wreaking Republican revenge on theGovernment Accountability Board
    <http://www.gab.wi.gov/>, replacing it with a system that doesn’t
    work particularly well on the federal level and hasn’t worked well
    in Wisconsin in the past.

    Thisattack on the nonpartisan watchdog
    agency<http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/lawmakers-to-take-up-bills-on-campaign-finance-election-oversight-b99595015z1-332259842.html>that
    supervises state elections and conducts investigations into ethics
    violations reeks of payback partisanship. Under it, and other
    measures, legislators would like to set themselves up as the sole
    arbiters of transparency and accountability. That’s not how our
    system of government is supposed to work.

    It is similar to the underhanded attempt to gut the state’s open
    records law on the Fourth of July weekend by this same crew of
    legislators led by Assembly Speaker Robin Vos and Senate Majority
    Leader Scott Fitzgerald. And it deserves the same kind of fate: an
    overwhelming demand from angry citizens to kill the bill.

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Posted incampaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>,election 
administration <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18>,The Voting Wars 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=60>

    “Gutting John Doe Law Would Hurt Wisconsin”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=76822>

Posted onOctober 19, 2015 9:48 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=76822>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

E. Michael McGann oped. 
<http://www.jsonline.com/news/opinion/gutting-john-doe-law-would-hurt-wisconsin-b99598079z1-333384741.html>

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Posted inUncategorized <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=1>

    “Gunn reacts to, Carpenter apologizes for race comments”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=76820>

Posted onOctober 19, 2015 9:15 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=76820>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

A follow up 
<http://www.clarionledger.com/story/news/local/dailyledes/2015/10/19/gunn-reacts-carpenter-comments-initiative-42/74212752/>tothis 
post. <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=76793>

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Posted inUncategorized <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=1>

    “In the Shadows of Sunlight: The Effects of Transparency on State
    Political Campaigns” <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=76818>

Posted onOctober 19, 2015 9:03 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=76818>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Abby Wood and Doug Spencer have postedthis 
draft<http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1901551>on 
SSRN.  her is the abstract:

    In recent years, the courts have deregulated many areas of campaign
    finance while simultaneously upholding campaign finance disclosure
    requirements. Opponents of disclosure claim that it chills speech
    and deters political participation. We leverage state contribution
    data and find that the speech-chilling effects of disclosure are
    negligible. On average, donors to sate-level campaigns are no less
    likely to contribute in subsequent elections in states that increase
    the public visibility of campaign contributions, relative to donors
    in states that do not change their disclosure laws or practices over
    the same time period – estimates are indistinguishable from zero and
    confidence intervals are narrow around zero. Moreover, we do not not
    observe heterogeneous effects for small donors or ideological
    outliers, despite an assumption in First Amendment jurisprudence
    that these donors are disproportionately affected by campaign
    finance regulation. In short, the argument that disclosure
    aggressively chills speech is not supported by our data.

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Posted incampaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>

    “The Kochs Want to End WI’s Era of Clean Government”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=76816>

Posted onOctober 19, 2015 9:02 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=76816>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Brendan Fischer blogs. 
<http://www.prwatch.org/news/2015/10/12951/kochs-wisconsin-money-government>

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Posted incampaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>,election 
administration <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18>

    “Line Blurs Further Between Jeb Bush’s Campaign And Super PAC”
    <http://electionlawblog.org/?p=76814>

Posted onOctober 19, 2015 8:59 am 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=76814>byRick Hasen 
<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>

Think Progress reports. 
<http://thinkprogress.org/politics/2015/10/19/3713611/blurred-line-jeb-campaign-super-pac/>

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Posted incampaign finance <http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=10>

-- 
Rick Hasen
Chancellor's Professor of Law and Political Science
UC Irvine School of Law
401 E. Peltason Dr., Suite 1000
Irvine, CA 92697-8000
949.824.3072 - office
949.824.0495 - fax
rhasen at law.uci.edu
http://www.law.uci.edu/faculty/full-time/hasen/
http://electionlawblog.org

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