[EL] Democratic Party seems to hit a new low in registration %

[Richard Winger]

Thanks to Steve Kolbert's help, I was able to factor in relatively recent Florida registration data into the national compilation, and now Democrats are 40.67%.
Even though Republican share rose slightly between Nov. 2014 and Feb. 2016, the registration for independents and minor parties is gaining on the Republicans.  Republicans have 29.92% and independents plus minor parties are now 29.41%.  But again, these will need further revisions when I get Massachusetts, California and New Mexico data, and even newer Florida data expected out by the end of February.
 Richard Winger 415-922-9779 PO Box 470296, San Francisco Ca 94147

      From: Steve Kolbert <steve.kolbert at gmail.com>
 To: Richard Winger <richardwinger at yahoo.com> 
 Sent: Friday, February 19, 2016 7:56 PM
 Subject: Re: [EL] Democratic Party seems to hit a new low in registration %
   
Florida publishes a host of statistical reports on voter registration online:
http://dos.myflorida.com/elections/data-statistics/voter-registration-statistics/voter-registration-monthly-reports/The most recent report covers January 2016.Hope that helps!Steve Kolbert
(202) 422-2588
steve.kolbert at gmail.com
@Pronounce_the_TOn Feb 19, 2016 8:32 PM, "Richard Winger" <richardwinger at yahoo.com> wrote:

I have recently been collecting current voter registration data by party, for the 30 states plus DC that have registration by party.  Four states are still missing, so my conclusion is tentative.  But it seems the percentage of registered Democrats in those 31 jurisdictions is lower than it has been in the last 24 years.  I have been collecting this data since 1992 for Ballot Access News, although I also have data as far back as 1980, before the newsletter existed.
So with the note that 4 states are still missing, Democrats are now 40.78% of the total registration, the lowest since I have data.  In 1992 it was 47.76%.
The four states with missing data are California, Florida, Massachusetts, and New Mexico.  The California Secretary of State has still not published the results of the January 4, 2016 tally, but says it will be available February 24.  For now, for the 4 missing states, I just plug in the November 2014 data.
Republicans have gained slightly since 2014, and so have independents and minor parties. Richard Winger 415-922-9779 PO Box 470296, San Francisco Ca 94147
_______________________________________________
Law-election mailing list
Law-election at department-lists.uci.edu
http://department-lists.uci.edu/mailman/listinfo/law-election



  
-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://webshare.law.ucla.edu/Listservs/law-election/attachments/20160220/ddb9c474/attachment.html>