[EL] Dr. Allan Lichtman's Keys- a response

[Jeff Wice]

As a courtesy to Dr. Allan Lichtman, I am posting a response he is sharing 
regarding his presidential "keys."
Jeff Wice Fellow SUNY Buffalo Law School Of Counsel, Sandler Reiff Lamb 
Rosenstein & Birkenstock PC
 From Dr. Lichtman:
" There is a changing dynamic between the Electoral College and the popular 
vote, the latter of which is becoming increasingly meaningless. New York 
and California, which have become strictly non-competitive, produce many 
millions of additional votes for the Democrats that don't impact the 
Electoral College, while Republican votes are more broadly distributed 
around the country and do impact the Electoral College. Also, in Texas, the 
only reliably Red large state, the gap between the parties is narrowing, 
producing fewer extra popular votes for Republicans. I developed the Keys 
at a time when the popular vote largely drove the electoral college. Since 
that is no longer the case, I am rethinking the relationship between the 
popular vote and the Electoral College as they relate to the Keys, which is 
a reason I did not this time make the popular vote/electoral vote 
distinction in issuing my prediction. The changed relationship between 
these two votes is not only important for the Keys, but represents a major 
development in the political history of the United States."
-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://webshare.law.ucla.edu/Listservs/law-election/attachments/20161111/6b32dc31/attachment.html>