[EL] Media-vote suppression

[Rob Richie]

A stark number coming out of this election is the 9 percentage point gap
between turnout in the swing states and the rest of the country -- see
FiveThirtyEight.com.
<http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/voter-turnout-fell-especially-in-states-that-clinton-won/>
Swing state turnout was good this cycle. But having the candidate do more
than 90% of their campaign events in 11 states and more than half in just
four states sure doesn't help spur turnout around the country

Speaking of which, Donald Trump on 60 Minutes reaffirmed his support for
going to a national popular vote for president as it would all states in
play. Se
http://variety.com/2016/tv/news/president-donald-trump-60-minutes-interview-
1201917116/

- Rob Richie


On Sun, Nov 13, 2016 at 3:29 PM, Hess, Doug <HESSDOUG at grinnell.edu> wrote:

> This is an interesting question. I don’t know if it has been studied. The
> reverse question--if you think an election is close, are you more likely to
> vote?--might also be worth thinking about. The dynamics may not be
> symmetrical however. However, if campaigns think an election is close in a
> jurisdiction, they are likely to put more resources into it which can lead
> to greater turnout, so it becomes complex (in a classic social science way)
> issue to study.
>
>
>
> Douglas R Hess
>
> Assistant Professor of Political Science
>
> On research leave for Fall Semester 2016.
>
> http://www.douglasrhess.com
>
>
>
> Grinnell College
> 1210 Park Street, Carnegie Hall #309
> Grinnell, IA 50112
>
> phone: 641-269-4383
>
>
>
>
>
> *From:* joseph.e.larue [mailto:joseph.e.larue at gmail.com]
> *Sent:* Saturday, November 12, 2016 8:42 AM
> *To:* Election Law Listserve <law-election at department-lists.uci.edu>
> *Subject:* [EL] Media-vote suppression
>
>
>
> Has anyone given any thought, or seen any surveys, on what effect the
> media might have had on the Democratic vote? For several weeks leading up
> to the election, much of the media was proclaiming a big Clinton win. I'm
> wondering whether that might have suppressed the Democratic vote, by
> causing some Democrats to feel that their vote was not really needed and so
> helping them decide to skip the lines on Election Day. Just wondering if
> anyone has seen any surveys of voters that might indicate that type of
> effect.
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> Sent from my Verizon, Samsung Galaxy smartphone
>
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