[EL] PA POTUS numbers

[Thomas J. Cares]

I wrote this for Facebook but it might be interesting for this list to
digest. My source is the PA SoS website as of 14 hours ago. The numbers
feel weird. I mean Trump supporters may have just turned out better (for
political reasons), or could it be something else?

I crunched some numbers on Pennsylvania. Interesting stuff. Clinton is down
70,010 votes. Obama was up 309,840, over Romney, a shift of 380k. Turnout
was up 268k. Trump got 252.4k more votes than Romney. Gary Johnson got 94k
more votes than he received in 2012. Almost triple. Jill Stein received
27.8k more than in 2012. More than double. A new minor candidate received
21k votes. ...Hillary received 127.4k fewer votes in Pennsylvania, than
2012-Obama. The only one to receive fewer than her party did 4 years ago.

Just the shift in Philadelphia county, equals half of Trump's statewide
lead over Hillary. Hillary carried 82.4% of Philadelphia County. Pretty
good, eh? But 2012-Obama carried it with 85.3. And while statewide turnout
increased by 268k votes, 6,843 FEWER voters turned out in Philadelphia
County. ...Hillary led Trump in that county by 34,940 fewer votes than
Obama led Romney. That is virtually half the 70,010 she is down statewide.
Of course, Hillary under-performed Obama much worse in the rest of the
state. Philadelphia County has 12.24% of the state population, while
accounting for 9.2% of the shift.
[off-topic commentary truncated]



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