[EL] ELB News and Commentary 11/9/17

Wed Nov 8 20:05:20 PST 2017

“Potential chaos ahead as control of Virginia House of Delegates hangs in balance”<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=95903>
Posted on November 8, 2017 7:57 pm<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=95903> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>
WaPo:<https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/virginia-politics/potential-chaos-ahead-as-control-of-virginia-house-of-delegates-hangs-in-balance/2017/11/08/bef75346-c448-11e7-84bc-5e285c7f4512_story.html?utm_term=.984a9b297984>
Republicans, who held 66 of 100 seats in the lower house of the state legislature, saw their majority melt away Tuesday in a Democratic wave that felled at least 12 GOP incumbents and flipped three open seats to the Democrats — an unprecedented shift.
With four races still too close to call, both parties are bracing for the messiest of all outcomes: a dead-even 50-50 split that requires power-sharing and a potentially ugly fight for the speakership.
That would be triggered if Democrats pick up one of the four races that are close enough for a state-funded recount. Republicans have leads difficult to overcome in three of them, including Del. Timothy D. Hugo (R-Fairfax), who narrowly pulled ahead of his challenger after unofficial results were tallied. Del. David Yancey (R-Newport News) is just 12 votes ahead of Democratic challenger Shelly Simonds, with provisional ballots still being counted through Monday.
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Posted in election administration<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=18>

“St. Paul mayoral candidate Dai Thao ‘involved’ in voter fraud investigation, police say”<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=95901>
Posted on November 8, 2017 7:48 pm<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=95901> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>
Star Tribune reports.<http://www.startribune.com/st-paul-mayoral-candidate-dai-thao-involved-in-voter-fraud-investigation-police-say/456228783/>

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Posted in chicanery<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=12>

“Maine’s governor wants to ignore the will of voters. He’s not alone.”<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=95899>
Posted on November 8, 2017 7:44 pm<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=95899> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>
Josh Silver WaPo oped:<https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/maines-governor-wants-to-ignore-the-will-of-voters-hes-not-alone/2017/11/08/099e9582-c0a5-11e7-8444-a0d4f04b89eb_story.html?utm_term=.91711f503507&wpmk=MK0000200>
Less than a day after voters in Maine voted to expand Medicaid in their state, Gov. Paul LePage (R) moved quickly<http://bangordailynews.com/2017/11/08/politics/lepage-signals-opposition-to-implementing-medicaid-expansion/> to subvert their democratic will, announcing Wednesday that he will not implement the expansion until it is “fully funded by the Legislature<http://www.pressherald.com/2017/11/08/lepage-says-he-wont-expand-medicaid-in-maine-unless-legislature-funds-it/>.”
This is not the first time that elected officials in the state have blatantly ignored voters in this way. Last year, Mainers approved an innovative reform known as “ranked-choice voting<https://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/03/us/maine-ranked-choice-voting.html?_r=0>,” as an effort to ensure that their governor wins with a majority of the vote. But the state legislature did not agree with that decision, so it recently voted to delay and potentially repeal<http://www.pressherald.com/2017/10/23/in-special-session-legislature-cant-break-impasse-on-ranked-choice-voting/> the initiative. In fact, it brazenly meddled with every single ballot measure passed by the state’s voters in 2016.
The news out of Maine is part of an ominous pattern: state legislators across the country resisting the will of the people by gutting or even repealing citizen initiatives. This is a shockingly undemocratic trend at a time when U.S. voters are already deeply unsatisfied with their elected leaders.
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Posted in direct democracy<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=62>

“The Computer Scientist Who Prefers Paper; Barbara Simons believes there is only one safe voting technology.”<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=95897>
Posted on November 8, 2017 7:38 pm<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=95897> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>
Nice profile<https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2017/12/guardian-of-the-vote/544155/> of Barbara and Verified Voting in the December Atlantic.
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Posted in voting technology<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=40>

“US elections: How far have we come since Bush v. Gore?”<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=95895>
Posted on November 8, 2017 3:14 pm<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=95895> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>
Great episode of Warren Olney’s To the Point today.
This is his last week of broadcasts, as he switches to a weekly podcast.
Warren is one of the best in the business—asks deep penetrating questions, is respectful but pushes when necessary. Give people a chance to give a nuanced answer.  Very rare in radio these days.
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Posted in Uncategorized<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=1>

“Commentary: How Dems may use election wins to re-draw voter districts”<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=95893>
Posted on November 8, 2017 2:54 pm<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=95893> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>
Josh Douglas <https://www.reuters.com/article/us-douglas-redistricting-commentary/commentary-how-dems-may-use-election-wins-to-re-draw-voter-districts-idUSKBN1D82ZC> for Reuters Opinion.
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Posted in redistricting<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=6>

“Voter Turnout Surges in All Four Cities with Ranked Choice Voting”<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=95891>
Posted on November 8, 2017 2:53 pm<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=95891> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>
Fairvote post.<http://www.fairvote.org/voter_turnout_surges_in_all_four_cities_with_ranked_choice_voting>
Would like to know how turnout did yesterday in other, similar cities without RCV.
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Posted in alternative voting systems<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=63>

Populism and Democratic Institutional Design: Methods of Selecting Candidates for Chief Executive in the United States and Other Democracies<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=95884>
Posted on November 8, 2017 11:46 am<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=95884> by Richard Pildes<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=7>
As part of the critique I’ve been developing in recent years (e.g., here<https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2546042>) over the excessively populist direction of a number of post-1960s political “reforms,” I have turned my attention to raising questions about changes we’ve made to the presidential nomination process.
I wrote briefly about these changes to the nomination process for a popular audience before the 2016 general election (here<https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/05/25/two-myths-about-the-unruly-american-primary-system/?utm_term=.accb3c27d094>).  I’ve now turned to a more comprehensive academic study of the general subject of how democracies nominate candidates for party leader and/or chief executive.  With Professor Stephen Gardbaum, I’ve posted this article<https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3064938>, with the title above, which both describes the changes made in the 1970s to the process in the United States and shows how much of an outlier among democracies the “purely populist” method is that we now use in the United States.  Here is the abstract:
Donald Trump would most likely not be President but for the institutional change made in the 1970s, and analyzed here, in the nature of the presidential nomination process.
In the 1970s, the United States shifted almost overnight from the methods that had been used for nearly 200 years to select party nominees, in which official representatives of the political parties played the major role in deciding the parties’ candidates for President, to a purely populist mode (primaries and caucuses) for selecting presidential nominees. This article explores the contrast between nomination processes that entail a central role for “peer review” – in which party leaders have a central voice in the selection of their parties’ nominees – and purely populist selection methods, such as currently used in the United States, in which ordinary voters completely control the selection of nominees and party figures have no special role.
The first half of the article is historical and focuses on the United States. The second half is comparative and explores how other major democracies structure the process of choosing party leaders and candidates for chief executive. In the historical sections, we seek to show both how radical the change was that was made in the 1970s and yet how accidental, contingent, and inadvertent this transformation was. The “framers” of these changes did not actually intend to create the system with which we ended up, in which the primaries and caucuses completely determine the parties’ nominees. The comparative sections show that the U.S. system is an extreme outlier among major democracies: in no other democracy is the selection completely controlled by the mass of ordinary voters. Most other democracies use systems of pure peer review to select candidates for chief executive; or use systems that mix elements of peer review with popular participation; and in other ways continue to give official representatives of the parties much greater say than in the United States over the selection of the parties’ nominees for Chief Executive.
The institutional design through which democracies choose nominees who compete to become a nation’s Chief Executive is among the most consequential features in the design of democratic elections. Yet there is surprisingly little scholarship that explores this issue in detail. This article also contributes to the general analysis of the rise of populist politics in many democracies today by showing how the institutional design for how party nominees are chosen can enable or constrain how easily and quickly populist political forces are able to capture control of government.
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Posted in political parties<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=25>, primaries<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=32>, Uncategorized<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=1>

“Civil Rights & Criminal Justice Reform Organizations File Amicus Brief in Louisiana Felony Disenfranchisement Case”<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=95881>
Posted on November 8, 2017 7:58 am<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=95881> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>
Release:<http://www.naacpldf.org/press-release/civil-rights-criminal-justice-reform-organizations-file-amicus-brief-louisiana-felony->
Ysterday, the NAACP Legal Defense and Educational Fund, Inc. (LDF), The Sentencing Project, and the Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC), filed an amicus brief<http://www.naacpldf.org/files/about-us/Ex.%20A%20Vote%20Amicus%20Br%2011.6%20FINAL.PDF> in a Louisiana appellate court in support of plaintiffs-appellants, who are challenging Louisiana’s felony disenfranchisement policy. More than 71,000 Louisianans under probation or parole supervision are prohibited from voting, disproportionately harming Black Louisianans.
The amicus brief provides historical context for the racial discrimination inherent in felony disfranchisement laws, including Louisiana’s, and explains the present-day impact of such laws, on the Black community in Louisiana, particularly.
Louisiana has the country’s highest incarceration rate, imprisoning a greater share of its citizens than any other state. Compounding this reality, from arrest to incarceration, Black Louisianans are disproportionately represented at every level of the state’s criminal justice system. Because of these racial disparities, Black people, who account for 32 percent of the state population, make up 63 percent of individuals who have lost their voting rights through the state’s disenfranchisement law.  At issue in the lawsuit, Vote v. Louisiana<http://www.advancementproject.org/resources/entry/appeal-brief-on-vote-v.-louisiana>, is a group of those disenfranchised, disproportionately Black individuals, on parole and probation and seeking to be full citizens in their communities.
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Posted in felon voting<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=66>

New Issue of Kings Law Journal on the Law of Democracy<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=95879>
Posted on November 8, 2017 7:55 am<http://electionlawblog.org/?p=95879> by Rick Hasen<http://electionlawblog.org/?author=3>
Looks like some good stuff here<http://www.tandfonline.com/toc/rklj20/current>:
SPECIAL ISSUE THE LAW OF DEMOCRACY
Editorial
Editorial
Editors’ Preface<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09615768.2017.1373894>
KD Ewing<http://www.tandfonline.com/author/Ewing%2C+KD>, Timothy K Kuhner<http://www.tandfonline.com/author/Kuhner%2C+Timothy+K> & Joo-Cheong Tham<http://www.tandfonline.com/author/Tham%2C+Joo-Cheong>
Pages: 161-162
Published online: 15 Sep 2017
Citation<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09615768.2017.1373894>|Full Text<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09615768.2017.1373894>|
PDF (60 KB)<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09615768.2017.1373894#aHR0cDovL3d3dy50YW5kZm9ubGluZS5jb20vZG9pL3BkZi8xMC4xMDgwLzA5NjE1NzY4LjIwMTcuMTM3Mzg5NEBAQDA=>
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Analysis
‘First Past The Post’ and The Decline of Japanese Democracy<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09615768.2017.1362868>
H Komatsu<http://www.tandfonline.com/author/Komatsu%2C+H>
Pages: 163-166
Published online: 15 Sep 2017
First Page Preview<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09615768.2017.1362868>|Full Text<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09615768.2017.1362868>|
PDF (79 KB)<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09615768.2017.1362868#aHR0cDovL3d3dy50YW5kZm9ubGluZS5jb20vZG9pL3BkZi8xMC4xMDgwLzA5NjE1NzY4LjIwMTcuMTM2Mjg2OEBAQDA=>
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The Brazilian Supreme Court’s ADI 4650 Decision: A Step Towards the End of Plutocracy?<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09615768.2017.1363548>
Arthur Guerra Filho<http://www.tandfonline.com/author/Filho%2C+Arthur+Guerra>
Pages: 167-172
Published online: 15 Sep 2017
First Page Preview<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09615768.2017.1363548>|Full Text<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09615768.2017.1363548>|
PDF (100 KB)<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09615768.2017.1363548#aHR0cDovL3d3dy50YW5kZm9ubGluZS5jb20vZG9pL3BkZi8xMC4xMDgwLzA5NjE1NzY4LjIwMTcuMTM2MzU0OEBAQDA=>
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Articles
Article
Fixing Democracy’s Rules: Statute and Elections in the Constitution<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09615768.2017.1362793>
Heather Green<http://www.tandfonline.com/author/Green%2C+Heather>
Pages: 173-200
Published online: 15 Sep 2017
First Page Preview<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09615768.2017.1362793>|Full Text<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09615768.2017.1362793>|
PDF (249 KB)<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09615768.2017.1362793#aHR0cDovL3d3dy50YW5kZm9ubGluZS5jb20vZG9pL3BkZi8xMC4xMDgwLzA5NjE1NzY4LjIwMTcuMTM2Mjc5M0BAQDA=>
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Article
American Kleptocracy: How to Categorise Trump and His Government<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09615768.2017.1366156>
Timothy K Kuhner<http://www.tandfonline.com/author/Kuhner%2C+Timothy+K>
Pages: 201-238
Published online: 15 Sep 2017
First Page Preview<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09615768.2017.1366156>|Full Text<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09615768.2017.1366156>|
PDF (374 KB)<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09615768.2017.1366156#aHR0cDovL3d3dy50YW5kZm9ubGluZS5jb20vZG9pL3BkZi8xMC4xMDgwLzA5NjE1NzY4LjIwMTcuMTM2NjE1NkBAQDA=>
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Article
Dark Money as a Political Sovereignty Problem<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09615768.2017.1351659>
Ciara Torres-Spelliscy<http://www.tandfonline.com/author/Torres-Spelliscy%2C+Ciara>
Pages: 239-261
Published online: 15 Sep 2017
First Page Preview<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09615768.2017.1351659>|Full Text<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09615768.2017.1351659>|
PDF (247 KB)<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09615768.2017.1351659#aHR0cDovL3d3dy50YW5kZm9ubGluZS5jb20vZG9pL3BkZi8xMC4xMDgwLzA5NjE1NzY4LjIwMTcuMTM1MTY1OUBAQDA=>
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Article
Of Aliens, Money and Politics: Should Foreign Political Donations Be Banned?<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09615768.2017.1351661>
Joo-Cheong Tham<http://www.tandfonline.com/author/Tham%2C+Joo-Cheong>
Pages: 262-278
Published online: 15 Sep 2017
First Page Preview<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09615768.2017.1351661>|Full Text<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09615768.2017.1351661>|
PDF (166 KB)<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09615768.2017.1351661#aHR0cDovL3d3dy50YW5kZm9ubGluZS5jb20vZG9pL3BkZi8xMC4xMDgwLzA5NjE1NzY4LjIwMTcuMTM1MTY2MUBAQDA=>
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Article
Undue Spiritual Influence: A Historical Analysis<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09615768.2017.1363529>
Aileen McColgan<http://www.tandfonline.com/author/McColgan%2C+Aileen>
Pages: 279-308
Published online: 15 Sep 2017
First Page Preview<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09615768.2017.1363529>|Full Text<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09615768.2017.1363529>|
PDF (270 KB)<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09615768.2017.1363529#aHR0cDovL3d3dy50YW5kZm9ubGluZS5jb20vZG9pL3BkZi8xMC4xMDgwLzA5NjE1NzY4LjIwMTcuMTM2MzUyOUBAQDA=>
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Article
Judging Elections: The Constitutional Judiciary in Iraq’s Emerging Democracy<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09615768.2017.1362794>
Majida S Ismael<http://www.tandfonline.com/author/Ismael%2C+Majida+S>
Pages: 309-323
Published online: 15 Sep 2017
First Page Preview<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09615768.2017.1362794>|Full Text<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09615768.2017.1362794>|
PDF (147 KB)<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09615768.2017.1362794#aHR0cDovL3d3dy50YW5kZm9ubGluZS5jb20vZG9pL3BkZi8xMC4xMDgwLzA5NjE1NzY4LjIwMTcuMTM2Mjc5NEBAQDA=>
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Article
Canadian Election Administration on Trial: ‘Robocalls’, Opitz and Disputed Elections in the Courts<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09615768.2017.1351662>
Michael Pal<http://www.tandfonline.com/author/Pal%2C+Michael>
Pages: 324-342
Published online: 15 Sep 2017
First Page Preview<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09615768.2017.1351662>|Full Text<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09615768.2017.1351662>|
PDF (183 KB)<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09615768.2017.1351662#aHR0cDovL3d3dy50YW5kZm9ubGluZS5jb20vZG9pL3BkZi8xMC4xMDgwLzA5NjE1NzY4LjIwMTcuMTM1MTY2MkBAQDA=>
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Article
Jeremy Corbyn and the Law of Democracy<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09615768.2017.1363541>
KD Ewing<http://www.tandfonline.com/author/Ewing%2C+KD>
Pages: 343-362
Published online: 15 Sep 2017
First Page Preview<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09615768.2017.1363541>|Full Text<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09615768.2017.1363541>|
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Posted in Uncategorized<http://electionlawblog.org/?cat=1>
--

Rick Hasen
Chancellor's Professor of Law and Political Science
UC Irvine School of Law
401 E. Peltason Dr., Suite 1000
Irvine, CA 92697-8000
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rhasen at law.uci.edu<mailto:rhasen at law.uci.edu>
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