[EL] CA Republicans MIGHT (or might not) be outnumbered by "No Party Preference"

[Paul Gronke]

Rob

Exactly. They are by definition “unaffiliated,” but Vladimir is right to remind us that doesn’t mean they are truly “independent” and don’t “lean” toward one or another political party, or vote in a predictable partisan fashion.

“Some would suggest…” Hmmm……...

---
Paul Gronke
Professor, Reed College
Director, Early Voting Information Center
http://earlyvoting.net

General Inquiries: Laura Swann swannla at reed.edu

Media Inquiries: Kevin Myers myersk at reed.edu

> On May 30, 2018, at 5:31 PM, Rob Richie <rr at fairvote.org> wrote:
> 
> It does mean that in some states like Oregon they can't vote in partisan primaries. So not expressing affiliation has a great impact on how they get to define the parties -- and yet still patterns not to affiliate.
> 
> Some would suggest that's a rather good reason to offer voters more choices in November and having electoral systems designed to accommodate that energy and increase accountability for major parties.
> 
> Rob
> 
> On Wed, May 30, 2018 at 8:28 PM, Kogan, Vladimir <kogan.18 at osu.edu <mailto:kogan.18 at osu.edu>> wrote:
> We should be careful about reading too much into the rise of so-called “unaffiliated” voters. Most of them are in fact affiliated, and are just unwilling to self-identify as such for social desirability reasons.
> 
> 
> 
> Here is a recent book by Samara Klar <https://sgpp.arizona.edu/user/samara-klar> and Yanna Krupnikov <https://www.yannakrupnikov.com/> on this very topic: https://www.amazon.com/Independent-Politics-American-Political-Inaction-ebook/dp/B01B1G84CM <https://www.amazon.com/Independent-Politics-American-Political-Inaction-ebook/dp/B01B1G84CM>
> 
> 
> “The number of independent voters in America increases each year, yet they remain misunderstood by both media and academics. Media describe independents as pivotal for electoral outcomes. Political scientists conclude that independents are merely 'undercover partisans': people who secretly hold partisan beliefs and are thus politically inconsequential. Both the pundits and the political scientists are wrong, argue the authors. They show that many Americans are becoming embarrassed of their political party. They deny to pollsters, party activists, friends, and even themselves, their true partisanship, instead choosing to go 'undercover' as independents. Independent Politics demonstrates that people intentionally mask their partisan preferences in social situations. Most importantly, breaking with decades of previous research, it argues that independents are highly politically consequential. The same motivations that lead people to identify as independent also diminish their willingness to engage in the types of political action that sustain the grassroots movements of American politics.”
> 
> 
> 
> I highly recommend the book!
> 
> 
> 
> Vlad
> 
> 
> 
> <image001.png>
> Vladimir Kogan, Assistant Professor
> Department of Political Science
> 
> 2004 Derby Hall | 154 N. Oval Mall, Columbus, OH 43210-1373
> 510/415-4074 Mobile
> 
> 614/292-9498 Office
> 
> 614/292-1146 Fax
> 
> http://u.osu.edu/kogan.18/ <http://u.osu.edu/kogan.18/>
> kogan.18 at osu.edu <mailto:kogan.18 at osu.edu>
> 
> 
> 
> _______________________________________________
> Law-election mailing list
> Law-election at department-lists.uci.edu <mailto:Law-election at department-lists.uci.edu>
> https://department-lists.uci.edu/mailman/listinfo/law-election <https://department-lists.uci.edu/mailman/listinfo/law-election>
> 
> 
> 
> --
> ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
> Rob Richie
> President and CEO, FairVote
> 6930 Carroll Avenue, Suite 240
> Takoma Park, MD 20912
> rr at fairvote.org <mailto:rr at fairvote.org>  (301) 270-4616  http://www.fairvote.org <http://www.fairvote.org/>
> FairVote Facebook <https://www.facebook.com/FairVoteReform>   FairVote Twitter <https://twitter.com/fairvote>   My Twitter <https://twitter.com/rob_richie>
> 
> Thank you for considering a donation <http://www.fairvote.org/donate>. Enjoy our video on ranked choice voting <https://youtu.be/CIz_nzP-W_c>!
> (Note: Our Combined Federal Campaign number is 10132.)

-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://webshare.law.ucla.edu/Listservs/law-election/attachments/20180530/2a8dabcf/attachment.html>
-------------- next part --------------
A non-text attachment was scrubbed...
Name: signature.asc
Type: application/pgp-signature
Size: 833 bytes
Desc: Message signed with OpenPGP
URL: <http://webshare.law.ucla.edu/Listservs/law-election/attachments/20180530/2a8dabcf/attachment.sig>