[EL] Is there a Google Sheet...

David david.l.epstein at gmail.com
Thu Nov 8 16:50:15 PST 2018


Here's a link to it. The data is from NCSL; I just downloaded it and
cleaned it up.

The "Diff" sheet shows the changes in Dem seats in each chamber of each
legislature, and it bears out my impression of what happened election eve.
The Reps gained seats in 16 legislative bodies, in which they had a total
increase of only 26 seats (so most pickups were only 1 seat).

On the other hand, the Dems picked up seats in 57 legislative bodies, for a
total pickup of 281 seats. So a map of these changes would be almost
entirely blue. (Perhaps someone could make this; if not, I'll try my hand.)

This is important not just for what it means now, but also because
historically, large gains in state legislatures for one election presage
bigger gains nation-wide in the next election. (There's a well-knows study
of this effect in 1930/32 that I should try to look up.)

One caveat -- these data were downloaded last night, and there are probably
updates to the many races listed as "u" for "undecided." If anyone has
updates, or if any of my numbers are wrong, please let me know and I'll
make the changes.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mxNAyT3FWSBZElINeGmUE83m6NfTMNwf3MkX-LADx4A/edit?usp=sharing


On Thu, Nov 8, 2018 at 7:38 PM Charles H Stewart <cstewart at mit.edu> wrote:

> Please!
>
>
>
>
> -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>
> Charles Stewart III
>
> Kenan Sahin Distinguished Professor of Political Science
>
> The Massachusetts Institute of Technology
>
> Cambridge, Massachusetts   02139
>
> 617-253-3127 <(617)%20253-3127>
>
> cstewart at mit.edu
>
>
>
> *From:* Law-election <law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu> *On
> Behalf Of *David
> *Sent:* Thursday, November 8, 2018 5:41 PM
> *To:* Michael Beckel <mbeckel at issueone.org>
> *Cc:* law-election at uci.edu
> *Subject:* Re: [EL] Is there a Google Sheet...
>
>
>
>
>
> I did a sheet comparing state legislative seats by party before and after
> the election. If anyone is interested, I could post it online.
>
>
>
>
> David
>
>
>
>
>
> On Thu, Nov 8, 2018 at 4:07 PM Michael Beckel <mbeckel at issueone.org>
> wrote:
>
> You may find this sheet from the folks at the Cook Political Report of
> interest:
>
>
>
>  ow.ly/ArRm30mxRQS
>
>
>
> via @Redistrict @CookPolitical
>
>
>
> Best,
>
> Michael
>
>
>
> On Thu, Nov 8, 2018 at 2:58 PM Steven Clift <slc at publicus.net> wrote:
>
> ... with House results thus far.
>
>
>
> I'd like to see districts ranked by total number of voters voting,
> estimates turn-out percent.
>
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> Michael Beckel
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> david.l.epstein at gmail.com
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-- 


David Epstein
646-391-7733
david.l.epstein at gmail.com
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