[EL] delays in ballot counting in presidential swing/toss up states

Tue Oct 6 15:18:42 PDT 2020

This is so easy and fundamental for those who want it to be. For those who put obstacles in the way, it’s either incompetence of willful obstruction. Can’t begin to process absentee ballots until election day? Come on. Why not? Don’t have enough staff to deal with the load? Come on. You’ve known about this for half a year. Sorry, folks, but my patience has worn thin with all the intellectualizing about this. Let’s call it what it is – voter suppression by people who have admitted they can’t win if everyone votes.

Larry

From: Law-election <law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu> On Behalf Of timwhite at rockisland.com
Sent: Tuesday, 6 October 2020 2:59 PM
To: Hess, Doug <HESSDOUG at Grinnell.EDU>
Cc: law-election <law-election at department-lists.uci.edu>
Subject: Re: [EL] delays in ballot counting in presidential swing/toss up states

WA state prediction by SoS Kim Wyman on 9-22:

90% of ballots to be counted & reported by Tuesday Nov 10.

WA notes: 

All vote-by-mail.

Election-day postmark deadline (not a deadline that ballots arrive in official hands by election day). 

Late-arriving ballots with valid postmark are counted if arrive through Monday Nov 23, the day before county certification.

That last 10 percent consists of the trickle of slow UOCAVA and snailmail arrivals, plus ballot envelope signature cures .

Wyman expects Nov turnout may exceed 90%. 

She reports that in normal lower-turnout years, and with higher percent of ballots voted earlier, that 90% level would normally be reached on Friday Nov 6.

Sec Wyman explains her estimate's logistics and variables at play beginning at timestamp 50:50 at video below.

Thank you,

posted by Tim White, Okanogan WA

Stand with the facts - Voting security and what you need to know

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=me2sReDH2h4

WA SoS Wyman interviewed by Kim Malcolm

KUOW (Seattle NPR affiliate)

9-22-20

from minute 50:50 

  _____  

From: "Hess, Doug" <HESSDOUG at Grinnell.EDU <mailto:HESSDOUG at Grinnell.EDU> >
To: "law-election" <law-election at department-lists.uci.edu <mailto:law-election at department-lists.uci.edu> >
Sent: Tuesday, October 6, 2020 12:12:51 PM
Subject: [EL] delays in ballot counting in presidential swing/toss up states

Hello. 

I’m wondering if anybody has or has seen analysis on which states are certain (or very likely) to be counting mail-in ballots well after election day? From there, I can figure out which might be “close” presidential-election states.

If you respond, please keep my email address in the response as I am embarrassed to say that I don’t check the list as regularly as I should (mea culpa). 

Thank you. 

-----------------------

Douglas R Hess

On sabbatical until Aug 31, 2021

Asst. Professor, Political Science/Policy Studies

http://www.douglasrhess.com <https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=http-3A__www.douglasrhess.com_&d=DwMGaQ&c=HUrdOLg_tCr0UMeDjWLBOM9lLDRpsndbROGxEKQRFzk&r=xr_OjwGHtP-zw6I-DJj_MQ4cusLbiVT1bScGa0c8ZJo&m=1Su0W65D8QCtkZsJ9MBhqWnbMcCIi_d8PwyIITS_tY4&s=aHRFhpmE6iq5wHSEeTCwBPdVAD0eUAghzYZAx_GUTyE&e=>   

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