[EL] “New York Mayor’s Race in Chaos After Elections Board Counts 135,000 Test Ballots”
sean at impactpolicymanagement.com
sean at impactpolicymanagement.com
Wed Jun 30 11:24:40 PDT 2021
Thanks for the explanation!
Sean
From: Michael Parsons <michael at parsons.net>
Sent: Wednesday, June 30, 2021 1:01 PM
To: sean at impactpolicymanagement.com
Cc: Rick Hasen <rhasen at law.uci.edu>; Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu>
Subject: Re: [EL] “New York Mayor’s Race in Chaos After Elections Board Counts 135,000 Test Ballots”
There are two schools of thought on when/how to release RCV tabulation information: (1) hold all ranking info until every last ballot is counted (including cured absentees), or (2) release ranking info as ballots are received/counted by the central office, with preliminary results released on election night and with rolling updates following every day thereafter until all ballots have been counted.
There are merits to both approaches – unfortunately NYC took a middle road that is arguably a "worst of both worlds" approach by holding ranking info on the in-person votes for a week, then releasing it all at once but without absentees included.
The benefits of holding until all votes are counted is that it avoids any confusion re shifting leaders as new ballots alter the order of elimination, and the final results are simply the final results. That said, many jurisdictions eventually opt for the second approach (which is preferable, in my view): releasing updated results as they come in and are counted. Because the results are being constantly updated, the media and the public can settle into a rhythm and better understand that these are the "with X% reporting" results, that the ballots are still being counted, and that the "leader(s)" can change until the count is complete. (It's also helpful if the media emphasizes that the "top contenders" can change as the ballots are counted rather than declaring that "X has been eliminated" or saying that "it's down to a race between Y & Z" since that can change.)
Rolling updates can also provide a number of other benefits: no premature/runaway narratives developing re "who likely won" based on 1st choices alone; no conspiracies re "why the wait" (since many voters have come to expect from prior experience that at least some initial #s should start coming in on election night); allows for a longer/more inclusive absentee grace period and cure period w/o causing all results to be on hold in the interim; and voters/media get transparency into the process. (That transparency would have been helpful in NYC, for example: it's harder to overlook 135k test ballots when you're preparing your first election-night batch – and the public would've caught the problem earlier in the process either way).
All that said, there are good reasons to want to hold off on running tentative elimination rounds until all the absentees are in and cured. And there are a lot of good reasons to provide rolling updates. Unfortunately, the approach NYC took offers none of the benefits of either method.
Mike Parsons
On Wed, Jun 30, 2021 at 12:17 PM <sean at impactpolicymanagement.com <mailto:sean at impactpolicymanagement.com> > wrote:
Does anybody know WHY the NYC BOE decided to release preliminary results before they had received and tabulated all of the absentee ballots (plus finished the cure process)? Why would they do it in an RCV election given that the elimination process could look very different once those ballots are received?
Sean Parnell
From: Law-election <law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu <mailto:law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu> > On Behalf Of Rick Hasen
Sent: Wednesday, June 30, 2021 11:35 AM
To: Election Law Listserv <law-election at uci.edu <mailto:law-election at uci.edu> >
Subject: [EL] FW: Election Law Blog: ELB News and Commentary
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Subject: Election Law Blog: ELB News and Commentary
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