[EL] popular and electoral vote counts; turnout down in 2012

[Michael McDonald]

There is a lot of vote left to be counted, particularly in California,
Oregon, and Washington, but also in Florida and Ohio with provisional
ballots. Even some larger Florida counties like Miami-Dade and Palm Beach
have not processed their mail ballots yet. We will not really know the vote
count until the election results are certified, but certainly there are a
lot of Democratic votes still to be counted. We might get a better handle on
the count in the coming days as the slow reporting states process their
ballots. I'm projecting 132 million votes cast, with a 60% voting-eligible
turnout rate. There is a lot of uncertainty, especially given the increase
in mail and provisional balloting this election. 

============
Dr. Michael P. McDonald
Associate Professor
George Mason University
4400 University Drive - 3F4
Fairfax, VA 22030-4444

703-993-4191 (office)
e-mail:  mmcdon at gmu.edu               
web:     http://elections.gmu.edu
twitter: @ElectProject     

From: law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu
[mailto:law-election-bounces at department-lists.uci.edu] On Behalf Of Mark
Rush
Sent: Wednesday, November 07, 2012 12:42 PM
To: law-election at UCI.edu
Subject: [EL] popular and electoral vote counts; turnout down in 2012

Interesting points.

Obama's margin over Romney is about the same as Bush over Kerry in 2004. 
Only difference is the electoral college.

Obama dropped from 66 million votes in 2008 to 60 million in 2012.  The GOP
vote, at last count that I saw, is down about a million.

This is a reason to celebrate...barely.

-- 
Mark Rush